| Literature DB >> 35085225 |
A Danielle Iuliano, Joan M Brunkard, Tegan K Boehmer, Elisha Peterson, Stacey Adjei, Alison M Binder, Stacy Cobb, Philip Graff, Pauline Hidalgo, Mark J Panaggio, Jeanette J Rainey, Preetika Rao, Karl Soetebier, Susan Wacaster, ChinEn Ai, Vikas Gupta, Noelle-Angelique M Molinari, Matthew D Ritchey.
Abstract
The B.1.1.529 (Omicron) variant of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, was first clinically identified in the United States on December 1, 2021, and spread rapidly. By late December, it became the predominant strain, and by January 15, 2022, it represented 99.5% of sequenced specimens in the United States* (1). The Omicron variant has been shown to be more transmissible and less virulent than previously circulating variants (2,3). To better understand the severity of disease and health care utilization associated with the emergence of the Omicron variant in the United States, CDC examined data from three surveillance systems and a large health care database to assess multiple indicators across three high-COVID-19 transmission periods: December 1, 2020-February 28, 2021 (winter 2020-21); July 15-October 31, 2021 (SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 [Delta] predominance); and December 19, 2021-January 15, 2022 (Omicron predominance). The highest daily 7-day moving average to date of cases (798,976 daily cases during January 9-15, 2022), emergency department (ED) visits (48,238), and admissions (21,586) were reported during the Omicron period, however, the highest daily 7-day moving average of deaths (1,854) was lower than during previous periods. During the Omicron period, a maximum of 20.6% of staffed inpatient beds were in use for COVID-19 patients, 3.4 and 7.2 percentage points higher than during the winter 2020-21 and Delta periods, respectively. However, intensive care unit (ICU) bed use did not increase to the same degree: 30.4% of staffed ICU beds were in use for COVID-19 patients during the Omicron period, 0.5 percentage points lower than during the winter 2020-21 period and 1.2 percentage points higher than during the Delta period. The ratio of peak ED visits to cases (event-to-case ratios) (87 per 1,000 cases), hospital admissions (27 per 1,000 cases), and deaths (nine per 1,000 cases [lagged by 3 weeks]) during the Omicron period were lower than those observed during the winter 2020-21 (92, 68, and 16 respectively) and Delta (167, 78, and 13, respectively) periods. Further, among hospitalized COVID-19 patients from 199 U.S. hospitals, the mean length of stay and percentages who were admitted to an ICU, received invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), and died while in the hospital were lower during the Omicron period than during previous periods. COVID-19 disease severity appears to be lower during the Omicron period than during previous periods of high transmission, likely related to higher vaccination coverage,† which reduces disease severity (4), lower virulence of the Omicron variant (3,5,6), and infection-acquired immunity (3,7). Although disease severity appears lower with the Omicron variant, the high volume of ED visits and hospitalizations can strain local health care systems in the United States, and the average daily number of deaths remains substantial.§ This underscores the importance of national emergency preparedness, specifically, hospital surge capacity and the ability to adequately staff local health care systems. In addition, being up to date on vaccination and following other recommended prevention strategies are critical to preventing infections, severe illness, or death from COVID-19.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35085225 PMCID: PMC9351529 DOI: 10.15585/mmwr.mm7104e4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ISSN: 0149-2195 Impact factor: 35.301
FIGURESeven-day moving average number of COVID-19 cases, emergency department visits, hospital admissions, and deaths — United States,* December 1, 2020–January 15, 2022
Sources: CDC state-reported data (cases and deaths), Unified Hospital dataset (admissions), and National Syndromic Surveillance Program (ED visits with COVID-19 discharge diagnoses).
Abbreviation: ED = emergency department.
* COVID-19 hospital admissions include admissions for COVID-19 as well as patients who receive a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result after being admitted for other reasons. National Syndromic Surveillance Program represents approximately 70% of all U.S. ED visits.
COVID-19 disease, hospital, and death indicators during the Omicron period compared with the winter 2020–21 and Delta periods* — United States, December 2020–January 2022
| Indicator/Age group, yrs | Winter 2020–21 period | Delta period | Omicron period | Comparison of Omicron with winter 2020–21 period | Comparison of Omicron with Delta period | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peak value date range | Peak value (7-day moving average) | Peak value date range | Peak value (7-day moving average) | Date of maximum assessed value§ | Maximum 7-day moving average | Number or percentage point difference¶ | Relative % difference** | Number or percentage point difference¶ | Relative % difference** | |
|
| ||||||||||
|
| Jan 4–11, 2021 | 250,335 | Aug 25–Sep 1, 2021 | 164,249 | Jan 15, 2022 | 798,976 | 548,641 | 219.2 | 634,727 | 386.4 |
|
| Dec 29, 2020–Jan 5, 2021 | 20,372 | Aug 19–26, 2021 | 25,873 | Jan 4, 2022 | 48,238 | 27,866 | 136.8 | 22,365 | 86.4 |
| 0–17 | 901 (4.4) | 3,177 (12.3) | 6,990 (14.5) | 6,089 (10.1) | 676.1 | 3,813 (2.2) | 120.0 | |||
| 18–49 | 6,872 (33.7) | 11,853 (45.8) | 23,372 (48.5) | 16,500 (14.7) | 240.1 | 11,519 (2.6) | 97.2 | |||
| ≥50 | 12,406 (60.9) | 10,546 (40.8) | 17,471 (36.2) | 5,066 (−24.7) | 40.8 | 6,926 (−4.5) | 65.7 | |||
|
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| Jan 2–9, 2021 | 16,497 | Aug 20–27, 2021 | 12,285 | Jan 15, 2022 | 21,586 | 5,089 | 30.8 | 9,301 | 75.7 |
| 0–17 | 207 (1.3) | 319 (2.6) | 914 (4.2) | 707 (3.0) | 341.9 | 595 (1.6) | 186.5 | |||
| 18–49 | 2,761 (16.7) | 3,559 (29.0) | 5,218 (24.2) | 2,457 (7.4) | 89.0 | 1,659 (−4.8) | 46.6 | |||
| ≥50 | 12,840 (77.8) | 7,828 (63.7) | 14,773 (68.4) | 1,933 (−9.4) | 15.1 | 6,945 (4.7) | 88.7 | |||
|
| Jan 4–11, 2021 | 125,100 | Aug 28–Sep 4, 2021 | 94,503 | Jan 15, 2022 | 142,687 | 17,587 | 14.1 | 48,184 | 51.0 |
|
| 17.2 | 13.4 | 20.6 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 7.2 | 53.7 | |||
|
| 74.1 | 76.8 | 79.2 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.1 | |||
|
| Jan 9–16, 2021 | 27,958 | Sep 6–13, 2021 | 24,774 | Jan 15, 2022 | 24,776 | −3,182 | −11.4 | 2 | 0.0 |
|
| 30.9 | 29.2 | 30.4 | −0.5 | −1.7 | 1.2 | 4.2 | |||
|
| 78.2 | 79.6 | 82.2 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 3.2 | |||
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| Jan 6–13, 2021 | 3,422 | Sep 9–15, 2021 | 1,924 | Jan 15, 2022 | 1,854 | −1,568 | −45.8 | −70 | −3.6 |
Sources: CDC state-reported data (case and death totals), CDC case line-level data (cases by age), Unified Hospital data set (hospital admissions, inpatient, and ICU), and National Syndromic Surveillance Program (ED visits with COVID-19 discharge diagnoses).
Abbreviations: ED = emergency department; ICU = intensive care unit; N = no. of hospital admissions.
* COVID-19 hospital admissions include admissions for COVID-19 as well as patients who receive a positive test result for COVID-19 after being admitted for other reasons. National Syndromic Surveillance Program data are not inclusive of all ED visits, representing approximately 71% of all visits. The peak value and associated date are calculated independently for each indicator as the highest 7-day moving average value during Dec 1, 2020–Jan 31, 2021 (winter 2020–21 period), Aug 1–Sep 30, 2021 (Delta period), or Dec 19, 2021–Jan 15, 2022 (Omicron period). The date and value of peaks might change slightly if data are backfilled.
† Data were pulled on January 20, 2022.
§ Maximum value date for the Omicron period was assessed for December 19, 2021–January 15, 2022. This date is defined as the maximum value for each of the severity indicators at the time that the data were pulled for this report on January 20, 2022. The date of the maximum value might be different at the time of publication.
¶ Total difference is presented for the number of cases, ED visits, hospital admissions, deaths, and inpatient and ICU beds in use. Percentage point difference is presented for the percentage of ED visits and hospital admissions by age groups and for the percentages of inpatient and ICU beds in use for COVID-19 patients.
** Relative percent difference is calculated as the value for cases, ED visits, hospital admissions, inpatient bed use, ICU bed use, and deaths from the Omicron period minus the same indicator value from the comparison period (winter 2020–21 or Delta period) divided by the same indicator value from the comparison period.
Total hospitalizations, hospitalized COVID-19 patients, and indicators of disease severity among hospitalized COVID-19 patients during the Omicron period compared with the winter 2020–21 and Delta periods,* by age group, 199 hospitals—United States, January 2021–January 2022
| Indicator/Age group, yrs | No. (%) | Comparison of Omicron with winter 2020–21 period | Comparison of Omicron with Delta period | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter 2020–21 period | Delta period | Omicron period | |||||
| Jan 1–21, 2021 | Aug 22–Sep 11, 2021 | Dec 26, 2021–Jan 15, 2022 | Percentage point or mean difference | Relative % difference | Percentage point or mean difference | Relative % difference | |
|
| |||||||
| All | 108,360 | 110,950 | 98,920 | — | — | — | — |
| 0–17 | 11,504 | 13,946 | 11,517 | — | — | — | — |
| 18–50 | 31,070 | 34,537 | 28,040 | — | — | — | — |
| >50 | 65,786 | 62,467 | 59,363 | — | — | — | — |
|
| |||||||
| All | 12,963 (12.0) | 10,440 (9.4) | 12,800 (12.9) | 1.0† | 8.2 | 3.5† | 37.5 |
| 0–17 | 147 (1.3) | 272 (2.0) | 405 (3.5) | 2.2† | 175.2 | 1.6† | 80.3 |
| 18–50 | 2,474 (8.0) | 3,304 (9.6) | 3,988 (14.2) | 6.3† | 78.6 | 4.7† | 48.7 |
| >50 | 10,342 (15.7) | 6,864 (11.0) | 8,407 (14.2) | −1.6† | −9.9 | 3.2† | 28.9 |
|
| |||||||
| All | 2,359 (18.2) | 1,824 (17.5) | 1,658 (13.0) | −5.2† | −28.8 | −4.5† | −25.9 |
| 0–17 | 25 (17.0) | 50 (18.4) | 42 (10.4) | −6.6 | −39.0 | −8.0 | −43.6 |
| 18–50 | 346 (14.0) | 438 (13.3) | 377 (9.5) | −4.5† | −32.4 | −3.8† | −28.7 |
| >50 | 1,988 (19.2) | 1,336 (19.5) | 1,239 (14.7) | −4.5† | −23.3 | −4.7† | −24.3 |
|
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| All | 764 (7.5) | 503 (6.6) | 358 (3.5) | −4.0† | −53.4 | −3.1† | −46.5 |
| 0–17 | 1 (0.8) | 1 (0.4) | 0 (—) | NC | NC | NC | NC |
| 18–50 | 122 (6.2) | 118 (4.9) | 73 (2.3) | −3.9† | −63.2 | −2.6† | −53.2 |
| >50 | 641 (8.0) | 384 (7.7) | 285 (4.3) | −3.7† | −46.2 | −3.4† | −44.3 |
|
| |||||||
| All | 976 (12.9) | 803 (12.3) | 533 (7.1) | −5.8† | −44.9 | −5.2† | −42.3 |
| 0–17 | 1 (1.1) | 0 (—) | 0 (—) | NC | NC | NC | NC |
| 18–50 | 57 (4.0) | 110 (5.4) | 38 (1.7) | −2.3† | −58.3 | −3.7† | −69.2 |
| >50 | 918 (15.2) | 693 (16.0) | 495 (10.0) | −5.2† | −34.2 | −6.0† | −37.5 |
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| All | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 0–17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 18–50 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| >50 | 5 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
|
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| All | 8.0 (15.6) | 7.6 (10.6) | 5.5 (13.1) | −2.5† | −31.0 | −2.0† | −26.8 |
| 0–17 | 4.4 (10.1) | 3.9 (5.3) | 3.5 (9.7) | −0.9 | −20.3 | −0.4 | −9.5 |
| 18–50 | 5.8 (7.8) | 6.1 (6.9) | 4.3 (7.4) | −1.5† | −25.6 | −1.8† | −29.9 |
| >50 | 8.6 (17.0) | 8.4 (12.0) | 6.2 (15.1) | −2.4† | −27.7 | −2.2† | −25.8 |
Source: BD Insights Research Database.
Abbreviations: ICU = intensive care unit; IMV = invasive mechanical ventilation; NC = not calculated.
*The winter period was defined as January 1–21, 2021, the Delta period was defined as August 22–September 11, 2021, and the Omicron period was defined as December 26, 2021–January 15, 2022 for BD analysis.
† p<0.001.
p<0.05.
¶ Data on IMV were available from a subset of 135 hospitals. The denominators of hospitalized COVID-19 patients for IMV percentages were as follows for each period and age group: winter 2020–21 (0–17 years [132]; 18–50 years [1,964]; and >50 years [8,039]); Delta (0–17 years [258]; 18–50 years [2,415]; and >50 years [4,988]); and Omicron (0–17 years [355]; 18–50 years [3,189]; and >50 years [6,646]).
** Data on in-hospital deaths were available from a subset of 148 hospitals. The denominators of hospitalized COVID-19 patients for in-hospital death percentages were as follows for each period and age group: winter 2020–21 (0–17 years [87]; 18–50 years [1,437]; and >50 years [6,048]); Delta (0–17 years [142]; 18–50 years [2,045]; and >50 years [4,333]); and Omicron (0–17 years [250]; 18–50 years [2,297]; and >50 years [4,954]).