| Literature DB >> 34993528 |
Dan Bao1, Yanfeng Zhao1, Zhou Liu2, Hongxia Zhong1, Yayuan Geng3, Meng Lin1, Lin Li1, Xinming Zhao1, Dehong Luo1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To explore the value of MRI-based radiomics features in predicting risk in disease progression for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).Entities:
Keywords: Disease progression; LASSO Cox regression analysis; Magnetic resonance imaging; Nasopharyngeal carcinoma; Radiomics
Year: 2021 PMID: 34993528 PMCID: PMC8683387 DOI: 10.1007/s12672-021-00460-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Discov Oncol ISSN: 2730-6011
Fig. 1Flowchart of included pathway for patients
Baseline clinical characteristics of the patients
| Clinical characteristic | All patients | Training set | Validation set | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years old) | 0.861 | |||
| < 40 | 67 | 54 | 13 | |
| ≥ 40 | 132 | 105 | 27 | |
| Gender | 0.518 | |||
| Male | 152 | 123 | 29 | |
| Female | 47 | 36 | 11 | |
| Histology | 0.860 | |||
| Differentiated | 97 | 78 | 19 | |
| Undifferentiated | 102 | 81 | 21 | |
| EGFR | 0.749 | |||
| Positive | 171 | 136 | 35 | |
| Negative | 28 | 23 | 5 | |
| VEGF | 0.782 | |||
| Positive | 43 | 35 | 8 | |
| Negative | 156 | 124 | 32 | |
| T stage | 0.503 | |||
| T1 | 22 | 19 | 3 | |
| T2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | |
| T3 | 95 | 72 | 23 | |
| T4 | 52 | 44 | 8 | |
| N stage | 0.200 | |||
| N0 | 19 | 16 | 3 | |
| N1 | 48 | 42 | 6 | |
| N2 | 89 | 71 | 18 | |
| N3 | 43 | 30 | 13 | |
| Overall stage | 0.348 | |||
| II | 20 | 18 | 2 | |
| II | 89 | 72 | 17 | |
| IV | 90 | 69 | 21 | |
| Treatment | 0.403 | |||
| R | 27 | 24 | 3 | |
| CC | 69 | 56 | 13 | |
| RT | 16 | 13 | 3 | |
| CCT | 37 | 31 | 6 | |
| ICC | 33 | 24 | 9 | |
| ICT | 17 | 11 | 6 | |
| Death | 0.304 | |||
| Disease progression | 17 (8.5%) | 16 (94.1%) | 1 (5.9%) | |
| Accident | 1 (0.5%) | 1 (100%) | 0 | |
| Unknowna | 22 (11.1%) | 15 (68.2%) | 7 (31.8%) | |
| Local–regional recurrenceb | 49 (24.6%) | 39 (79.6%) | 10 (20.4%) | 0.951 |
| Distant metastasisb | 77 (38.7%) | 58 (75.3%) | 19 (24.7%) | 0.201 |
| Censored | 72 (36.2%) | 61 (84.7%) | 11 (15.3%) | 0.201 |
aOf the 22 patients with unknown cause of death, 18 have already developed local–regional recurrence or distant metastasis in the follow-up in our hospital. b4 patients developed local–regional recurrence and distant metastasis. EGFR epidermal growth factor receptor, VEGF vascular endothelial growth factor, R Radiotherapy, CC Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy, RT Radiotherapy + Targeted therapy, CCT Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy + Targeted therapy, ICC Induction Chemotherapy + Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy, ICT Induction Chemotherapy + Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy + Targeted therapy
Fig. 2Workflow of the radiomics analysis
Multivariable Cox regression analysis of four radiomic features of disease progression in the training cohort
| Variable | β | SE | z | P | HR | 95%CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lower | upper | ||||||
| First-order | − 0.0209 | 0.458 | − 0.05 | 0.96 | 0.979 | 0.399 | 2.40 |
| Shape | 0.00199 | 0.0196 | 0.10 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.964 | 1.04 |
| GLCM | 47.0 | 341 | 1.38 | 0.17 | 2.64e+20 | 2.59e−09 | 2.70e+49 |
| GLDM | 269 | 1.36 | 1.97 | 0.04* | 1.48 | 1.02 | 214 |
SE standard error, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, First-order CET1-w_original_firstorder_Median, Shape CET1-w_original_shape_LeastAxisLength, GLCM CET1-w_original_GLCM_JointAverage, GLDM CET1-w_wavelet.LLH_GLDM_DependenceEntropy. * indicates significant difference
Fig. 3Risk score by the Rad-Score, time-dependent ROC curves and Kaplan–Meier survival in the training, validation, and whole NPC patients sets. a Training cohort. b Validation cohort. c Combined cohort
Multivariable Cox regression analysis of clinical risk factors of disease progression in the training cohort
| Variable | β | SE | z | HR | 95%CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | ||||||
| Gender | − 0.26 | 0.28 | − 0.92 | 0.34 | 0.77 | 0.45 | 1.33 |
| Age | < 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Histology | − 0.47 | 0.21 | − 2.22 | 0.03* | 0.62 | 0.41 | 0.95 |
| EGFR | − 0.25 | 0.27 | − 0.94 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 0.46 | 1.32 |
| VEGF | − 0.46 | 0.27 | − 1.72 | 0.09 | 0.63 | 0.37 | 1.07 |
| T stage | 0.21 | 0.16 | 1.32 | 0.19 | 1.23 | 0.90 | 1.69 |
| N stage | 0.47 | 0.17 | 2.91 | < 0.01* | 1.63 | 1.17 | 2.26 |
| Overall stage | 0.04 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.87 | 1.04 | 0.62 | 1.74 |
SE standard error, HR hazard ratio, EGFR epidermal growth factor receptor, VEGF vascular endothelial growth factor, CI confidence interval, * indicates significant difference
Multivariable Cox regression analysis of risk factors of disease progression in the training cohort
| Variable | β | SE | z | HR | 95%CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | ||||||
| Rad-Score | 2.63 | 1.304 | 2.02 | 0.04* | 13.88 | 1.078 | 178.637 |
| N stage | 0.45 | 0.12 | 3.69 | < 0.01* | 1.57 | 1.24 | 1.99 |
| Histology | − 0.44 | 0.21 | 2.10 | 0.04* | 0.65 | 0.43 | 0.97 |
SE standard error, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, * indicates significant difference
Fig. 4Time-dependent ROC curves compare the prognostic accuracy of the Rad-Score with clinicopathological risk factors in the training set (a, b), validation set (c, d), and the combined set (e, f) with NPC of 3-year and 5-year disease PFS
Fig. 5a Nomogram to predict risk of 5-year disease progression-free survival with non-distant metastatic NPC after tumor remission. b Plots depict the calibration of the model in terms of agreement between predicted and observed 5-year outcomes