Lan He1, Zhenhui Li1,2, Xin Chen3, Yanqi Huang1,4, Lixu Yan5, Changhong Liang1, Zaiyi Liu1. 1. Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou 510080, China. 2. Department of Radiology, the Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Yunnan Cancer Hospital, Yunnan Cancer Center, Kunming 650118, China. 3. Department of Radiology, Guangzhou First People's Hospital, School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510120, China. 4. The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, China. 5. Department of Pathology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou 510080, China.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a radiomics prognostic scoring system (RPSS) for prediction of progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with platinum-based chemotherapy. METHODS: In this retrospective study, four independent cohorts of stage IV NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy were included for model construction and validation (Discovery: n=159; Internal validation: n=156; External validation: n=81, Mutation validation: n=64). First, a total of 1,182 three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) images of each patient. Then, a radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method (LASSO) penalized Cox regression analysis. Finally, an individualized prognostic scoring system incorporating radiomics signature and clinicopathologic risk factors was proposed for PFS prediction. RESULTS: The established radiomics signature consisting of 16 features showed good discrimination for classifying patients with high-risk and low-risk progression to chemotherapy in all cohorts (All P<0.05). On the multivariable analysis, independent factors for PFS were radiomics signature, performance status (PS), and N stage, which were all selected into construction of RPSS. The RPSS showed significant prognostic performance for predicting PFS in discovery [C-index: 0.772, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.765-0.779], internal validation (C-index: 0.738, 95% CI: 0.730-0.746), external validation (C-index: 0.750, 95% CI: 0.734-0.765), and mutation validation (C-index: 0.739, 95% CI: 0.720-0.758). Decision curve analysis revealed that RPSS significantly outperformed the clinicopathologic-based model in terms of clinical usefulness (All P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study established a radiomics prognostic scoring system as RPSS that can be conveniently used to achieve individualized prediction of PFS probability for stage IV NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy, which holds promise for guiding personalized pre-therapy of stage IV NSCLC.
OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a radiomics prognostic scoring system (RPSS) for prediction of progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with platinum-based chemotherapy. METHODS: In this retrospective study, four independent cohorts of stage IV NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy were included for model construction and validation (Discovery: n=159; Internal validation: n=156; External validation: n=81, Mutation validation: n=64). First, a total of 1,182 three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) images of each patient. Then, a radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method (LASSO) penalized Cox regression analysis. Finally, an individualized prognostic scoring system incorporating radiomics signature and clinicopathologic risk factors was proposed for PFS prediction. RESULTS: The established radiomics signature consisting of 16 features showed good discrimination for classifying patients with high-risk and low-risk progression to chemotherapy in all cohorts (All P<0.05). On the multivariable analysis, independent factors for PFS were radiomics signature, performance status (PS), and N stage, which were all selected into construction of RPSS. The RPSS showed significant prognostic performance for predicting PFS in discovery [C-index: 0.772, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.765-0.779], internal validation (C-index: 0.738, 95% CI: 0.730-0.746), external validation (C-index: 0.750, 95% CI: 0.734-0.765), and mutation validation (C-index: 0.739, 95% CI: 0.720-0.758). Decision curve analysis revealed that RPSS significantly outperformed the clinicopathologic-based model in terms of clinical usefulness (All P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study established a radiomics prognostic scoring system as RPSS that can be conveniently used to achieve individualized prediction of PFS probability for stage IV NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy, which holds promise for guiding personalized pre-therapy of stage IV NSCLC.
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