John W McEvoy1, Wen-Yi Yang2, Lutgarde Thijs3, Zhen-Yu Zhang3, Jesus D Melgarejo3, José Boggia4, Tine W Hansen5, Kei Asayama3,6,7, Takayoshi Ohkubo6,7, Eamon Dolan8, Katarzyna Stolarz-Skrzypek9, Sofia Malyutina10, Edoardo Casiglia11, Lars Lind12, Jan Filipovský13, Gladys E Maestre14,15, Yan Li16, Ji-Guang Wang16, Yutaka Imai6, Kalina Kawecka-Jaszcz9, Edgardo Sandoya17, Krzysztof Narkiewicz18, Eoin O'Brien19, Thomas Vanassche20, Jan A Staessen21,22. 1. National University of Ireland Galway, School of Medicine, and National Institute for Prevention and Cardiovascular Health, Ireland (J.W.M.). 2. Department of Cardiology, Shanghai General Hospital (W.-Y.Y.), Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, China. 3. Research Unit Hypertension and Cardiovascular Epidemiology, KU Leuven Department of Cardiovascular Sciences (Z.-Y.Z., L.T., J.D.M., K.A.), University of Leuven, Belgium. 4. Centro de Nefrología and Departamento de Fisiopatología, Hospital de Clínicas, Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay (J.B.). 5. The Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Gentofte, and Center for Health, Capital Region of Denmark, Copenhagen (T.W.H.). 6. Tohoku Institute for Management of Blood Pressure, Sendai, Japan (K.A., T.O., Y.I.). 7. Department of Hygiene and Public Health, Teikyo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan (K.A., T.O.). 8. Stroke and Hypertension Unit, Connolly Hospital, Geriatric Medicine, Dublin, Ireland (E.D.). 9. The First Department of Cardiology, Interventional Electrocardiology and Hypertension, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland (K.S.-S., K.K.-J.). 10. Institute of Internal and Preventive Medicine and Institute of Cytology and Genetics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation (S.M.). 11. Department of Medicine, University of Padua, Italy (E.C.). 12. Section of Geriatrics, Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Uppsala University, Sweden (L.L.). 13. Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Pilsen, Czech Republic (J.F.). 14. Laboratorio de Neurociencias and Instituto Cardiovascular, Universidad del Zulia, Maracaibo, Venezuela (G.E.M.). 15. Department of Biomedical Sciences, Division of Neuroscience and Department of Human Genetics, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley School of Medicine, Brownsville (G.E.M.). 16. Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital (Y.L., J.-G.W.), Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, China. 17. Asociación Española Primera de Socorros Mutuos, Montevideo, Uruguay (E.S.). 18. Hypertension Unit, Department of Hypertension and Diabetology, Medical University of Gdansk, Poland (K.N.). 19. Conway Institute of Biomolecular and Biomedical Research, University College Dublin, Ireland (E.O.). 20. Centre for Molecular and Vascular Biology, KU Leuven Department of Cardiovascular Sciences (T.V.), University of Leuven, Belgium. 21. Biomedical Sciences Group, Faculty of Medicine (J.A.S.), University of Leuven, Belgium. 22. Research Institute Alliance for the Promotion of Preventive Medicine, Mecehelen, Belgium (J.A.S).
Ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitor (ABPM) recordings are considered superior to office BP recordings in quantifying cardiovascular disease risk.[1,2] This is because 24-hour ABPM provides multiple recordings and gives a more precise estimate of physiological BP levels during normal activity than once-off measurements obtained in the clinic. In addition, ABPM recordings offer the opportunity to determine BP values during sleep, which have been shown to impart prognostic information.[3] Consequently, our understanding of a given BP phenotype is incomplete without data from 24-hour ABPM studies.One such phenotype, isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH), is less common than combined systolic-diastolic hypertension or isolated systolic hypertension (ISH).[4] However, depending on the definition applied, IDH can be seen in ≥6% of the adult population.[5] There are 2 definitions of IDH currently in widespread use; the 2018 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline defines IDH as diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg and systolic BP <140 mm Hg,[6] and the 2017 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) guideline defines IDH as diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg with a systolic BP <130 mm Hg (note that both of these definitions assume office measurement of BP).[7]There have been conflicting reports on the association of IDH with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, especially using the 2017 ACC/AHA definition.[4,5,8-11] Analyses suggesting a modest association between the ACC/AHA definition of IDH and events have come from large clinical registries that comprised of routine clinical recordings of BP, whereas analyses finding no association have analyzed BP values obtained under more rigorous research conditions.[5,11,12] In addition, one of the clinical registries reporting a modest association between the ACC/AHA definition of IDH and events demonstrated clear evidence for interaction on the basis of age, with a stronger association between IDH and events among young versus old participants.[10] By contrast, the null studies reported to date using standardized BP values obtained under rigorous research conditions have found no interaction by age.[5,11] To clarify this uncertainty, we studied cardiovascular outcomes in the IDACO (International Database on Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Relation to Cardiovascular Outcomes) cohort among participants with IDH that was confirmed using 24-hour ABPM, focusing primarily on the 2017 ACC/AHA definition. Analyses were conducted in the IDACO sample overall and after stratification based on age.
Methods
The IDACO database is not publicly available; however, the authors declare that all supporting data are available within the article (and its Data Supplement).
Study Population
Previous publications describe the IDACO database in more detail.[3,13,14] Participating population studies qualified for inclusion if office and ambulatory BP measures and cardiovascular risk factors were available at baseline and if follow-up included both fatal and nonfatal outcomes. Of 13 111 people included in the database, we excluded 1976, either because they were teenagers (<18 years) without events (n=493) or because they had an ambulatory BP recording with fewer than 6 daytime or 3 nighttime readings (n=1483).[15] Thus, the number of individuals analyzed was 11 135. We did not exclude persons on antihypertensive therapy in the main analysis, although we excluded them in a sensitivity analysis. The expanded methods section and Table S1 in the Data Supplement provide detailed information on the population sampling methods, timelines, and country of recruitment. All of the included studies received ethical approval from the responsible institutional review boards in their country of origin and all participants provided written informed consent.
BP Measurement
Nurses or physicians obtained the conventional office BP clinical readings with standard auscultation using a mercury sphygmomanometer or with validated microphone or oscillometric automated BP measurement devices (see Expanded Methods in the Data Supplement). For ambulatory BP monitoring (Table S2), portable monitors were programmed to obtain ambulatory readings at 30-minute intervals throughout the whole day or at intervals of 15 to 30 minutes during daytime and at intervals ranging from 20 to 60 minutes during the nighttime.[16] Daytime readings ranged from 10 am to 8 pm in European and South American countries and from 8 am to 6 pm in Asian countries. The corresponding nighttime intervals ranged from midnight to 6 am in European and South American countries and from 10 pm to 4 am in Asian countries. The Expanded Methods section in the Data Supplement further describes the collection of questionnaire and biochemical data.
Ascertainment of End Points
We ascertained vital status and the incidence of fatal and nonfatal events from the appropriate sources in each country.[14] All events were prespecified and coded according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD). The coprimary end points were total mortality and a composite cardiovascular event consisting of cardiovascular mortality (ICD-8 [ICD, Eighth Revision], 390–448; ICD-9 [ICD, Ninth Revision], 390.0–459.9; and ICD-10 [ICD, Tenth Revision], I00–I79 and R96), coronary events (death from ischemic heart disease [ICD-8, 411–412; ICD-9, 411 and 414; and ICD-10, I20 and I24–I25], sudden death [ICD-8, 427.2 and 795; ICD-9, 427.5 and 798; and ICD-10, I46 and R96], nonfatal myocardial infarction [ICD-8 or ICD-9, 410 and ICD-10, I21-I22], and coronary revascularization), stroke (ICD-8 or ICD-9, 430–434 and 436; and ICD-10, I60–I64 and I67–I68, not including transient ischemic attack), and heart failure (ICD-8, 427.0, 427.1, 427.2, 428, 429, 519.1, and 782.4, ICD-9, 429, and ICD-10, I50 and J81). Secondary outcomes included each of the individual outcomes included in the composite cardiovascular event end point. All outcomes were validated against hospital files or medical records held by participants’ primary care physicians or specialists. In analyses of composite outcomes, we only considered the first event.
Statistical Analysis
We used the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for assessing the normality of distributions. For comparison of means and proportions, we applied the large-sample Z test and Fisher exact test, respectively. After stratification by cohort and sex, we interpolated missing values of body mass index and serum cholesterol levels from the regression slopes on age. In participants with unknown status of smoking, drinking, antihypertensive treatment, diabetes, or unknown history of cardiovascular disease, we set the indicator (dummy) variable to the cohort- and sex-specific mean of the codes (0, 1). Missing values were interpolated for body mass index (n=33), serum cholesterol level (n=806), smoking status (n=56), drinking status (n=805), antihypertensive treatment (n=16), diabetes (n=5), and history of cardiovascular disease (n=1).Our analysis modeled 4 categorical exposures: normotension, IDH, ISH, and combined systolic-diastolic hypertension. Conversion of clinic BP thresholds to their respective ABPM equivalents was performed as recommended in 2017 ACC/AHA[7] and in 2018 ESC hypertension guidelines.[17] Specifically, the 24-hour systolic/diastolic ABPM thresholds for a diagnosis of IDH were 125/75 mm Hg by AHA/ACC and 130/80 mm Hg by ESC criteria. Similarly, the nighttime systolic/diastolic ABPM thresholds for a diagnosis of IDH were 110/65 mm Hg by 2017 AHA/ACC and 120/70 mm Hg by 2018 ESC criteria.We compared the cumulative incidence of the primary and secondary outcomes by hypertension category, after adjusting for age and sex. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression, we adjusted for cohort (random effect), sex, and baseline characteristics including age, body mass index, smoking and drinking status, serum cholesterol level, antihypertensive drug intake, diabetes, and history of cardiovascular disease. We checked the proportional hazards assumption by the Kolmogorov-type supremum test. We prespecified that all Cox regression analyses were conducted in the IDACO sample overall and after stratification on the basis of age (<50 years versus ≥50 years) and sex. In these stratified analyses, we tested for effect modification using multiplicative interaction terms.Sensitivity analyses excluded individuals either on baseline antihypertensive medications or those with a baseline history of cardiovascular disease from the models. Finally, we also performed sensitivity analyses of our 4 main categorical exposures with further adjustment for either systolic BP or for diastolic BP as continuous covariables at baseline.For the statistical analysis, we used SAS software, version 9.4. Statistical significance was a 2-tailed α of ≤0.05.
Results
Characteristics of Participants
The study sample analyzed (n=11 135) included 5494 women (49.3%) and consisted of 6929 White Europeans (62.2%), 1887 Asians (17.0%), and 2319 South Americans (20.8%). The median age at baseline was 54.7 years. Study participants included 3022 (27.3%) smokers, 849 (7.6%) diabetics, and 1291 (11.6%) persons with a history of cardiovascular disease.When applying the 2017 ACC/AHA hypertension criteria using 24-hour ambulatory BP thresholds, our sample comprised of 5418 (48.7%) participants with normal BP values, 1129 (10.1%) with BP values meeting criteria for IDH, 1325 (11.9%) with BP values meeting criteria for ISH, and 3263 (29.3%) with combined systolic-diastolic hypertension (Table 1). In comparison to those with normal BP values, persons with IDH by ACC/AHA criteria were numerically more likely to be South American and male. Otherwise, the baseline characteristics of normotensive participants and those with IDH appeared similar, as summarized in Table 1.
Table 1.
Baseline Characteristics of Participants by Hypertension Categories According to 24-Hour Ambulatory BP Thresholds in 2017 ACC/AHA Guidelines
Baseline Characteristics of Participants by Hypertension Categories According to 24-Hour Ambulatory BP Thresholds in 2017 ACC/AHA Guidelines
Primary Analyses on the Whole Study Population
Median follow-up was 13.8 years (5th–95th percentile interval, 2.5–25.1 years). During 153 140 person-years of follow-up, 2836 participants died (incidence rate of 18.5 per 1000 person-years) and 2049 experienced a composite cardiovascular event (13.4 per 1000 person-years), overall. When applying the 2017 ACC/AHA hypertension criteria, crude incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) for death and cardiovascular events were 12.0 and 7.8 among normotensive participants, 9.7 and 8.4 among those with IDH, 34.1 and 26.3 among those with ISH, and 27.2 and 23.5 among participants with combined hypertension. Age and sex-standardized cumulative incidence curves, for both outcomes and among each BP category, are presented in the Figure. Using the 2017 ACC/AHA criteria for IDH, there was no statistically significant crude excess in either mortality or cardiovascular events relative to the normal BP category. However, IDH according to 2018 ESC criteria was associated with an increased cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events (but not death). Irrespective of the guideline criteria applied, both ISH and combined systolic-diastolic hypertension were associated with an excess in death and cardiovascular events.Sex- and age-standardized cumulative incidence of total mortality and cardiovascular (CV) event by hypertensive categories. Relative to normotension, isolated diastolic hypertension was not associated with increased risk of death or CV events when defined according to 2017 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology criteria. The 24-h systolic/diastolic ambulatory blood pressure (BP) thresholds were 125/75 mm Hg by 2017 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology (A and B) and 130/80 mm Hg by 2018 European Society of Cardiology (C and D) definitions. Normotension refers to those with both systolic/diastolic BPs lower than the cutoff values, whereas combined hypertension refers to those with both systolic/diastolic BPs equal to or higher than the cutoff levels. Isolated systolic and diastolic hypertension refers to those with only systolic or diastolic BP elevated. Tabulated data are the number of participants at risk by hypertensive categories at 5-y intervals. P values show significance for comparison with the normotensive group.In Cox regression analyses adjusted for cohort, sex, age, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol drinking status, serum cholesterol levels, antihypertensive drug treatment use, diabetes, and history of cardiovascular disease (Table 2), there was no independent association in the sample overall between IDH by the 2017 ACC/AHA criteria and either death (hazard ratio, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.79–1.13]) or cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 0.94–1.40]), compared with normotension. By contrast, IDH by the 2018 ESC criteria was independently associated with risk for cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.44 [95% CI, 1.12–1.85]; Table 2), but not death. Consistent with the above-described excesses in crude events and cumulative incidence rates, ISH and combined hypertension by both sets of diagnostic criteria also demonstrated excess adjusted risk in the Cox models, relative to normotension.
Table 2.
Multivariable-Adjusted HR in Relation to Hypertension Categories by 24-Hour BP
Multivariable-Adjusted HR in Relation to Hypertension Categories by 24-Hour BPThe above results were almost identical in analyses of the subgroup of 8873 IDACO participants who were not on BP medication at baseline (Table S3). Similarly, when modeling participants on the basis of ABPM values at night, the results were again almost identical as for 24-hour readings, except that nocturnal IDH by the 2018 ESC criteria was no longer associated with cardiovascular events (results for full cohort in Table 3 and for the subgroup not on BP medication at baseline in Table S4).
Table 3.
Multivariable-Adjusted HR in Relation to Hypertension Categories by Nighttime BP
Multivariable-Adjusted HR in Relation to Hypertension Categories by Nighttime BP
Further Sensitivity Analyses
In sensitivity analyses, we further adjusted the categorical BP exposures (ie, IDH, ISH, and combined hypertension) for either diastolic BP or systolic BP values as baseline continuous covariables (Table S5 and Table S6). With further adjustment for diastolic BP as a continuous baseline covariable, the results from the categorical analyses were consistent with the main results presented in Tables 2 and 3. By contrast, with further adjustment for systolic BP as a continuous baseline covariable, there was no longer an association between IDH by the 2018 ESC definition and cardiovascular events. Second, for each of the individual outcomes that comprised the composite cardiovascular event end point, we repeated all of the analyses described above and found that IDH according to 24-hour ABPM criteria (by either guideline) was also not associated with any of these individual outcomes in isolation (Tables S7 and S8). Finally, third, analyses among the 9844 participants without a baseline history of cardiovascular disease produced consistent results (Tables S9 and S10).
Analyses Stratified by Age and Sex
After stratification of the whole IDACO cohort into participants younger than 50 and participants of 50 years or older, there was evidence for higher crude rates of cardiovascular events among younger persons with IDH using 2017 ACC/AHA criteria (3.71 per 1000 person-years) compared with younger persons with normal BP (1.08 per 1000 person-years). By contrast, crude cardiovascular event rates among those aged 50 or more appeared lower in the IDH subgroup versus normotension (Table S11).In adjusted Cox models, there was a statistically significant 3-fold increase in adjusted relative risk for cardiovascular events among IDACO participants younger than 50 who had IDH on 24-hour ABPM by 2017 ACC/AHA criteria, relative to young participants with normotension (Table 4). Furthermore, there was strong evidence of effect modification on the basis of age (P interaction <0.001) and IDACO participants 50 years or older with IDH had no excess cardiovascular risk compared to normotension. There was also a suggestion of effect modification by age on the association between IDH using the 2018 ESC criteria and cardiovascular events; with marginal evidence for higher risk in younger adults than older adults (P interaction =0.06). In contrast to cardiovascular events, IDH on 24-hour ABPM (either by 2017 ACC/AHA or by 2018 ESC criteria) was not significantly associated with mortality at any age and there was no evidence of interaction on the basis of age (Table 4). Similarly, for both the 2018 ESC or 2017 ACC/AHA criteria, the risks of total mortality and cardiovascular events associated with IDH were similar among men and women in the whole IDACO cohort (P interaction =0.10, Tables S12 and S13).
Table 4.
Multivariable-Adjusted HR in Relation to Hypertension Categories After Stratification by Age
Multivariable-Adjusted HR in Relation to Hypertension Categories After Stratification by Age
Discussion
In this international study of adults with 24-hour ABPM recordings, 2 interesting and novel findings become evident. First, we found no association of IDH, as defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline and using 24-hour ABPM readings, with adverse outcomes in the sample overall. By contrast and concordant with prior IDACO reports,[18] IDH on 24-hour ABPM as defined by the 2018 ESC guideline was associated with cardiovascular events, although not with death. The second observation, which addresses an issue of controversy[12], was that after stratifying the study sample by age, IDH on 24-hour ABPM was associated with increased risk for cardiovascular events (both for the 2017 ACC/AHA and the 2018 ESC definitions of IDH) among participants younger than 50 years only.
ACC/AHA Versus ESC Definitions of IDH Among Adults of All Ages
The first main finding from this IDACO report is consistent with prior research.[5,11] By using 24-hour and nocturnal ABPM recordings, the current results are an important validation of the report by McEvoy et al,[5] which analyzed adults of all ages participating in a number of US cohorts who had BP values collected at a single point in time as part of a research study visit. The IDACO results presented here also align with findings from the UK Biobank.[11] In all of these reports, there was no excess cardiovascular risk associated with IDH by the 2017 ACC/AHA definition when all participants, irrespective of age, were included in analyses. An advantage of our IDACO data is that the use of 24-hour ABPM values allows for a more precise measurement of the IDH exposure than has previously been possible, even allowing for the rigorous methods used to record BP in the prior analyses.[5,11]Therefore, these IDACO data challenge prior reports from four large clinical registries, which have suggested a modest increase in adjusted risk for IDH by the 2017 ACC/AHA definition among adults of all ages.[4,10,19,20] These registries studied adults attending routine clinical care visits (thereby introducing the possibility of some confounding by indication) and who had routine, nonstandardized, clinical measurement, and documentation of BP. It is known that routine clinical measurement of BP and recording in electronic health records are not as accurate as standardized assessments undertaken as part of rigorous epidemiological studies like IDACO (this is true in particular for diastolic BP).[21]This IDACO analysis also confirms data from UK Biobank,[11] and elsewhere,[8] demonstrating an increased risk for events among adults of all ages with IDH as defined by the 2018 ESC criteria. The apparent conflict between the 2017 ACC/AHA and 2018 ESC definitions of IDH can be explained by the former definition requiring a diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg, whereas the latter requires a diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg. This suggests that, among all adults with controlled systolic BP, risk for cardiovascular events is low when diastolic BP is between 80 and 89 mm Hg but increases once diastolic BP is ≥90 mm Hg.
ACC/AHA Definition of IDH and Outcomes in Young Versus Old Adults
The second main finding from this IDACO analysis suggests that, by contrast to adults of all ages, the 2017 ACC/AHA definition of IDH may be a specific prognostically adverse feature in young adults aged <50 years. This question is important for several reasons. First, IDH is more common in younger adults,[22] and about half of those newly eligible for a diagnosis of IDH since 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines are aged <50 years.[5] Second, the only prior report suggesting interaction by age in the association between the 2017 ACC/AHA definition of IDH and events comprised of routinely collected BP data from a large clinical registry and may have consequently had methodological biases for the reasons outlined above.[9,10] Prior reports of cohorts with rigorous BP measurements that looked for age interaction in the association between the 2017 ACC/AHA IDH definition and events have suggested that young adults were not at increased risk, although these same cohorts included few younger adults and so may have been underpowered.[11] Therefore, it has been unclear whether young adults have increased risk for events when IDH by the 2017 ACC/AHA definition is ascertained using research-quality BP measurements.In IDACO, we found that younger adults with IDH by the 2017 ACC/AHA definition and measured using 24-hour ABPM did indeed have increased risk for cardiovascular events (but not death). This finding utilizing rigorous ascertainment of BP with ABPM confirms suggestions from prior studies (which used less valid routine clinical assessment of BP)[9,10] that there is an age-related interaction in the association between the 2017 ACC/AHA definition of IDH and events, with far stronger excesses in relative risk among young adults aged less than 50 years compared with older adults. The physiological reasons for this age interaction are not fully known; however, a few considerations are worth noting; (1) diastolic BP has been shown to have more prognostic significance in the young versus the old[18] and (2) the prevalence of elevated diastolic BP is as low as 10% (or less) among adults over 70 years,[4] and, therefore, some cases of IDH in older IDACO adults may have been misclassified due to BP measurement error on both office and 24-hour ABPM (noting that increased vascular stiffness with aging increases the likelihood of the fifth Korotkoff sound being absent, which could result in falsely elevated diastolic BP readings and, therefore, false positive IDH ascertainments).Finally, several factors might help to explain why this IDACO age-stratified finding contrasts with the prior epidemiological studies using research-grade BP measurements,[5,11] none of which have found an age interaction for the 2017 ACC/AHA definition of IDH. First, the very large IDACO dataset is well powered to test this interaction effect, whereas prior studies may not have been; second, the IDACO sample is younger on average than some of the prior analyses[5] testing the 2017 ACC/AHA definition of IDH; and, third, by using 24-hour ABPM readings, our IDACO data were less likely to include spurious or artifactual readings of elevated diastolic BP that may be more commonly seen in BP assessments at a single point in time.
Limitations
This observational analysis has limitations. First, we cannot exclude residual confounding, including but not limited to lipid-lowering and antiplatelet therapies. Second, 24-hour BP and antihypertensive drug treatment status were only recorded at baseline and could therefore not be adjusted for as a time-dependent covariables. Furthermore, our sensitivity analysis excluding persons on antihypertensives at baseline may have included some persons subsequently started on therapy. Third, our prespecified adjustment model did not control for baseline heart rate; however, in further sensitivity analyses adding heart rate to this model, the results remained quantitatively and qualitatively very similar (data not shown). Fourth, there might be misclassification bias in the assessment of the cardiovascular study end points.[23] However, all-cause mortality does not require any adjudication and is therefore not subject to this bias. Fifth, diastolic BP levels as assessed using automated oscillometric ABPM devices can sometimes overestimate true diastolic BP as measured using intra-arterial transducers. In addition, although categorical analyses of diastolic BP have implications for clinical care (given the use of specific BP thresholds to define hypertension), it is also worth noting that BP is a continuous pathophysiologic exposure variable. Sixth, our findings of interaction by age could represent the play of chance; however, they were prespecified and the highly significant P interaction values also make this less likely, as do prior data from registry studies suggesting significant interaction by age on the association between IDH (by both 2017 ACC/AHA and by 2018 ESC criteria) and cardiovascular events.[10] Finally, eighth, no Black participants were included in the IDACO database, and caution should be taken when extrapolating our results to races and ethnicities that were not included.
Perspectives
This prospective cohort analysis of 24-hour ambulatory BP data did not demonstrate an association between the 2017 ACC/AHA definition of IDH and outcomes in the IDACO sample overall. However, significant effect modification was noted on the basis of age and persons younger than 50 years with IDH as defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA criteria for 24-hour ABPM readings did have evidence for increased risk of cardiovascular events. These data, using rigorous 24-hour ABPM assessments, indicate that the clinical implications of IDH differ greatly based on the patient’s age. Older persons (>50 years) with evidence of IDH appear to be a little risk as long as systolic BPs are controlled. However, younger persons with IDH do have elevated relative risk for cardiovascular events and may therefore benefit from intensive lifestyle interventions and, where clinically appropriate, antihypertensive medications.
Acknowledgments
We gratefully acknowledge the study participants and the contribution of clerical staff at the Studies Coordinating Center (Vera De Leebeeck and Renilde Wolfs).
Sources of Funding
Belgium: European Union (HEALTH-F7-305507 HOMAGE), European Research Council (Advanced Researcher Grant 2011-294713-EPLORE and Proof-of-Concept Grant 713601-uPROPHET), European Research Area Net for Cardiovascular Diseases (JTC2017-046-PROACT) and Research Foundation Flanders, Ministry of the Flemish Community, Brussels, Belgium (G.0881.13); China: National Natural Science Foundation of China (grants 81170245, 81270373, 81470533, and 91639203), Ministry of Science and Technology (2013CB530700 and the China-European Union Collaboration Grant 1012), Beijing, China, and the Shanghai Commissions of Science and Technology (grants 14ZR1436200 and 15XD1503200 and Shanghai Pujiang Program-20PJ1412700) and Education (Gaofeng Clinical Medicine Grant Support 20152503); The Czech Republic: European Union (grants LSHM-CT-2006–037093 and HEALTH-F4-2007–201550) and Charles University Research Fund (project P36); Denmark: Danish Heart Foundation (grant 01-2-9-9A-22914) and Lundbeck Fonden (grant R32-A2740); Ireland: the Irish Allied Bank; Italy: European Union (grants LSHM-CT-2006–037093 and HEALTH-F4-2007–201550); Japan: Ministry of Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (17H04126, 17K15853, 17K19930, 18K09674, 18K09904, 18K17396, 19K19466, 19H03908, 19K10662, and 20K08612), ACRO Incubation Grants of Teikyo University, Japan Atherosclerosis Prevention Fund, Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (H29–Junkankitou–Ippan–003 and 20FA1002), Academic Contributions from Pfizer Japan, Inc, and scholarship donations from Chugai Pharmaceutical, Co, Ltd, Daiichi Sankyo Company, Research Support from Astellas Pharma, Inc, and Takeda Pharmaceutical, Co, Ltd; The Health Care Science Institute Research Grant; Health Science Center Research Grant; Takeda Science Foundation; Poland (Gdańsk): European Union (grants LSHM-CT-2006–037093 and HEALTH-F4-2007–201550); Poland (Kraków): European Union (grants LSHM-CT-2006–037093 and HEALTH-F4-2007–201550) and Foundation for Polish Science; The Russian Federation: European Union (grants LSHM-CT-2006–037093 and HEALTH-F4-2007–201550) and Russian Academy of Science (AAAA-A17-117112850280-2); Uruguay: Asociación Española Primera en Salud; Venezuela: The National Institute of Aging and the Fogarty International Center (grant 1-R01AG036469 A1), the National Institutes of Health and National Institute of Aging (grant 1 R03 AG054186-01), FONACIT, Caracas (grant G-97000726), and FundaConCiencia, Maracibo (grant LOCTI/008-2008). The Research Institute Alliance for the Promotion of Preventive Medicine (URL: www.appremed.org) received a nonbinding grant from OMRON Healthcare, Co, Ltd, Kyoto, Japan.
Disclosures
K. Asayama reports grants from Omron Healthcare, personal fees from Takeda Pharmaceuticals, outside the submitted work; K. Narkiewicz reports personal fees from Berlin-Chemie/Menarini, personal fees from Egis, personal fees from Idorsia, personal fees from Gedeon Richter, personal fees from Krka, personal fees from Bausch, personal fees from Polpharma, personal fees from Recordati, personal fees from Servier, outside the submitted work; J.A. Staessen reports that the nonprofit research institute “Alliance for the Promotion of Preventive Medicine” (registration number at the Belgian Registry of Enterprises: 739849385; URL: https://www.appremed.org) received a nonbinding grant from OMRON Healthcare, Co, Ltd, Kyoto, Japan; J.-G. Wang reports grants and personal fees from Omron, personal fees from Novartis, personal fees from Servier, outside the submitted work. The other authors report no conflicts.
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