| Literature DB >> 34522115 |
Jung Hyun Kim1, Jae-Hoon Lee2, Hye Sun Lee3, Su-Jin Shin4, Eun Jung Park1, Eun-Suk Cho5, Seung Hyuk Baik1, Kang Young Lee6, Jeonghyun Kang1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that alterations in the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the perioperative periods can serve as prognostic factors. However, research on the clinical impact has been limited and even discordant in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The optimal cut-off value of preoperative NLR (NLR-pre), postoperative NLR (NLR-post), and its change (NLR-delta) were determined to maximize differences in overall survival (OS) between groups. Patients were categorized into four groups (NLR-trend) as follows: G1, low NLR-pre and NLR-post; G2, low NLR-pre and high NLR-post; G3, high NLR-pre and low NLR-post; and G4, high NLR-pre and NLR-post. Discriminatory performance was compared using integrated AUC (iAUC) between all indicators.Entities:
Keywords: NLR; colorectal cancer; iAUC; survival
Year: 2021 PMID: 34522115 PMCID: PMC8434909 DOI: 10.2147/JIR.S327443
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Inflamm Res ISSN: 1178-7031
Characteristics of Patients (n=567)
| NLR-Pre | NLR-Post | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (n=294) N (%) | High (n=273) N (%) | Low (n=348) N (%) | High (n=219) N (%) | ||||
| Sex | Female | 134 (45.6) | 91 (33.3) | 0.004 | 150 (43.1) | 75 (34.2) | 0.044 |
| Male | 160 (54.4) | 182 (66.7) | 198 (56.9) | 144 (65.8) | |||
| Age (years) | < 65 | 170 (57.8) | 139 (50.9) | 0.117 | 212 (60.9) | 97 (44.3) | <0.001 |
| ≥ 65 | 124 (42.2) | 134 (49.1) | 136 (39.1) | 122 (55.7) | |||
| BMI (kg/m2) | < 25 | 205 (69.7) | 196 (71.8) | 0.828 | 234 (67.2) | 167 (76.3) | 0.066 |
| ≥ 25 | 86 (29.3) | 75 (27.5) | 111 (31.9) | 50 (22.8) | |||
| No data | 3 (1) | 2 (0.7) | 3 (0.9) | 2 (0.9) | |||
| CEA (ng/mL) | < 5 | 187 (63.6) | 152 (55.7) | 0.04 | 221 (63.5) | 118 (53.9) | 0.054 |
| ≥ 5 | 93 (31.6) | 113 (41.4) | 113 (32.5) | 93 (42.5) | |||
| No data | 14 (4.8) | 8 (2.9) | 14 (4) | 8 (3.7) | |||
| Tumor location | Colon | 217 (73.8) | 203 (74.4) | 0.958 | 260 (74.7) | 160 (73.1) | 0.753 |
| Rectum | 77 (26.2) | 70 (25.6) | 88 (25.3) | 59 (26.9) | |||
| Histologic grade | G1 & G2 | 271 (92.2) | 248 (90.8) | 0.312 | 323 (92.8) | 196 (89.5) | 0.047 |
| G3 | 12 (4.1) | 8 (2.9) | 7 (2) | 14 (5.9) | |||
| Mucinous & SRC | 11 (3.7) | 17 (6.2) | 18 (5.2) | 10 (4.6) | |||
| LVI | Absent | 191 (65) | 173 (63.4) | 0.187 | 231 (66.4) | 133 (60.7) | 0.389 |
| Present | 81 (27.6) | 88 (32.2) | 97 (27.9) | 72 (32.9) | |||
| No data | 22 (7.5) | 12 (4.4) | 20 (5.7) | 14 (6.4) | |||
| Complications | No | 233 (79.3) | 211 (77.3) | 0.642 | 287 (82.5) | 157 (71.7) | 0.003 |
| Yes | 61 (20.7) | 62 (22.7) | 61 (17.5) | 62 (28.3) | |||
| AJCC Stage | I & II | 118 (40.1) | 93 (34.1) | 0.293 | 133 (38.2) | 78 (35.6) | 0.461 |
| III | 131 (44.6) | 130 (47.6) | 162 (46.6) | 99 (45.2) | |||
| IV | 45 (15.3) | 50 (18.3) | 53 (15.2) | 42 (19.2) | |||
| Chemotherapy | No | 93 (31.6) | 72 (26.4) | 0.199 | 101 (29) | 64 (29.2) | >0.99 |
| Yes | 201 (68.4) | 201 (73.6) | 247 (71) | 155 (70.8) | |||
| NLR-delta | Median (IQR) | −0.01 (−0.42, 0.62) | −1.19 (−1.97, −0.52) | <0.001 | −0.65 (−1.39, −0.15) | 0.14 (−0.79, 0.95) | <0.001 |
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; SRC, signet ring cell; LVI, lymphovascular invasion; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 1Kaplan-Meier survival curve of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio related parameters for overall survival of CRC patients. (A) NLR-pre; The low NLR-pre group (NLR-pre ≤2.33) had better OS compared to high NLR-pre group (NLR-pre >2.33) (5 year OS: 82.6% versus 70.5%; p<0.001). (B) NLR-post; The low NLR-post group (NLR-post ≤2.06) was associated with better OS compared to high NLR-post group (NLR-post >2.06) (5 year OS: 80.1% versus 71.4%; p=0.003). (C) NLR-trend; The G1 (low NLR-pre and low NLR-post group) was significantly associated with better OS than the other groups (low NLR-pre and high NLR-post group, high NLR-pre and low NLR-post group and high NLR-pre) (5 year OS: 86.4%, 73.6%, 70.2% and 70.0% respectively, p=0.001). (D) NLR-delta; The low NLR-delta group (NLR-delta ≤-1.08) had worse OS compared to high NLR-delta group (NLR-delta >-1.08). (5 year OS: 69.5% versus 79.4%; p=0.003).
Univariate and Multivariate Analysis of Factors Associated with Overall Survival (n=567)
| Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | ||||
| Sex | Female | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| Male | 1.59 (1.15–2.20) | 0.004 | 1.37 (0.98–1.92) | 0.06 | |
| Age (years) | < 65 | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| ≥ 65 | 1.66 (1.23–2.23) | 0.0008 | 1.29 (0.94–1.77) | 0.107 | |
| BMI (kg/m2) | < 25 | Ref. | NA | ||
| ≥ 25 | 0.70 (0.49–1.00) | 0.053 | NA | ||
| No data | 0.45 (0.06–3.25) | 0.431 | NA | ||
| CEA (ng/mL) | < 5 | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| ≥ 5 | 1.86 (1.37–2.52) | <0.001 | 1.33 (0.96–1.85) | 0.08 | |
| No data | 0.90 (0.36–2.21) | 0.81 | 0.67 (0.26–1.68) | 0.39 | |
| Tumor site | Colon | Ref. | |||
| Rectum | 0.81 (0.57–1.15) | 0.259 | |||
| Histologic grade | G1 & G2 | Ref. | |||
| G3 | 1.60 (0.78–3.26) | 0.192 | |||
| Mucinous & SRC | 1.38 (0.75–2.54) | 0.299 | |||
| LVI | Absent | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| Present | 2.09 (1.52–2.87) | <0.001 | 1.45 (1.04–2.04) | 0.027 | |
| No data | 2.29 (1.37–3.82) | 0.001 | 2.00 (1.16–3.44) | 0.012 | |
| AJCC Stage | I & II | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| III | 1.35 (0.93–1.96) | 0.109 | 1.90 (1.23–2.94) | 0.003 | |
| IV | 5.23 (3.54–7.73) | <0.001 | 4.11 (2.67–6.33) | <0.001 | |
| Complications | No | Ref. | NA | ||
| Yes | 1.43 (1.02–1.99) | 0.036 | NA | ||
| Chemotherapy | No | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| Yes | 0.39 (0.29–0.52) | <0.001 | 0.37 (0.26–0.53) | <0.001 | |
| NLR-pre | Low | Ref. | NA | ||
| High | 1.67 (1.24–2.26) | 0.0007 | NA | ||
| NLR-post | Low | Ref. | NA | ||
| High | 1.56 (1.16–2.10) | 0.003 | NA | ||
| NLR-trend | G1 | Ref. | Ref. | ||
| G2 | 2.18 (1.38–3.46) | 0.0008 | 1.86 (1.17–2.97) | 0.0084 | |
| G3 | 2.15 (1.43–3.23) | 0.0002 | 2.02 (1.33–3.08) | 0.0009 | |
| G4 | 2.28 (1.50–3.46) | 0.0001 | 2.00 (1.30–3.10) | 0.0016 | |
| NLR-delta | Low | Ref. | NA | ||
| High | 0.68 (0.5–0.94) | 0.02 | NA | ||
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; SRC, signet ring cell; LVI, lymphovascular invasion; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 2Predictive accuracy of the model during follow-up period was measured using the iAUC, a weighted mean of AUC over follow-up period. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve of the NLR-trend was superior to that of NLR-pre (A) (bootstrap iAUC mean difference = 0.036; 95% CI 0.013–0.073), NLR-post (B) (bootstrap iAUC mean difference = 0.045; 95% CI 0.019–0.081) (B) and NLR-delta (C) (bootstrap iAUC mean difference = 0.061; 95% CI 0.025–0.104).