| Literature DB >> 34386595 |
Norikane Miki1, Sachie Inoue2, Hidetoshi Shibahara2, Kenji Kurazono1, Rodolphe Perard3, Ryosuke Tateishi4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Thrombocytopenia is a frequent hematological condition in chronic liver disease (CLD) patients increasing the risk of bleeding in patients undergoing invasive procedures. Without an alternative, clinical guidelines recommended the use of platelet transfusion (PT) prior to procedure to prevent this bleeding risk. Lusutrombopag (LUSU), an orally active, small-molecule thrombopoietin receptor agonist, was developed as an alternative to PT. The objective of this study was to evaluate a cost-effectiveness of LUSU as a potential alternative to PT in Japan.Entities:
Keywords: chronic liver disease; cost‐effectiveness analysis; lusutrombopag; thrombocytopenia; thrombopoietin receptor agonist
Year: 2021 PMID: 34386595 PMCID: PMC8341178 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12597
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JGH Open ISSN: 2397-9070
Figure 1Model structure.AE, adverse event; CLD, chronic liver disease; LUSU, lusutrombopag; PT, platelet transfusion.
Transition probabilities
| Model parameter | Value | Setting in one‐way SA | Source | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower limit | Upper limit | Range | |||||
| Efficacy | |||||||
| Proportion of patients receiving PT prior to the planned invasive procedure | PT group | 100% | — | — | — | UK model (based on clinical expert opinions) | |
| LUSU group | 19.35% (OR: 0.04) | 10.71% (OR: 0.02) | 39.76% (OR: 0.11) | 95% CI | Meta‐analysis of L‐PLUS1, P2b | ||
| Proportion of patients with bleeding | PT group | 33.33% | 21.09% | 46.83% | ±20% | Pooled data of L‐PLUS1, P2b | |
| LUSU group | 18.03% (OR: 0.44) | 8.68% (OR: 0.19) | 33.55% (OR: 1.01) | 95% CI | Meta‐analysis of L‐PLUS1, P2b | ||
| Proportion of patients not receiving their planned invasive procedure | Received PT prior to procedure | PT group | 10.32% | 6.64% | 14.68% | ±20% | Pooled data of L‐PLUS1, L‐PLUS2 and P2b |
| LUSU group | 4.44% | 2.87% | 6.34% | ±20% | |||
| No PT prior to procedure | PT group | 9.09% | 5.86% | 12.94% | ±20% | ||
| LUSU group | 5.47% | 3.53% | 7.80% | ±20% | |||
| Proportion of patients receiving rescue therapy following bleeding | Received PT prior to procedure | PT group | 25.00% | 15.94% | 35.32% | ±20% | Pooled data of L‐PLUS1, P2b |
| LUSU group | 0% | — | — | — | |||
| No PT prior to procedure | PT group | 0% | — | — | — | ||
| LUSU group | 42.86% | 26.82% | 59.70% | ±20% | |||
| Safety | |||||||
| LUSU‐related AE incidence (severe thrombosis) | 1.56% | 0.04% | 5.69% | 95% CI | Pooled data of L‐PLUS1, P2b | ||
| PT‐related AE incidence (severe allergic reaction) (% per day receiving transfusion) | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.07% | ±20% | The Japan Society of Transfusion Medicine and Cell Therapy, | ||
| Mortality | |||||||
| PT‐related mortality (severe allergic reaction) | 10% | 6% | 14% | ±20% | van Eerd et al. | ||
| Bleeding‐related mortality | 0.83% | 0.02% | 3.03% | 95% CI | Takaki et al. | ||
| Annual mortality in CLD patients | Child–Pugh A | 0.099 | — | — | — | Shindo et al. | |
| Child–Pugh B | 0.139 | — | — | — | |||
| Child–Pugh C | 0.462 | — | — | — | |||
| Proportion of severity in CLD patients | Child–Pugh A | 52% | — | — | — | Pooled data of L‐PLUS1, P2b | |
| Child–Pugh B | 48% | — | — | — | |||
| Child–Pugh C | 0% | — | — | — | |||
0.04% (incidence rate per pack) × 1.17 (number of packs administered per day) = 0.05% (incidence rate per day receiving transfusion).
Calculated by multiplying the incidence rate per pack of platelet preparations (the Japan Society of Transfusion Medicine and Cell Therapy 2019) by the number of packs administered per day (claims data analysis).
Annual mortality in CLD patients = (−ln[0.5])/50% survival time × 12.
The annual mortality in CLD patients by weighted averaging of the survival rates by severity in each analysis cycle.
AE, adverse event; CI, confidence interval; CLD, chronic liver disease; LUSU, lusutrombopag; One‐way SA, one‐way sensitivity analysis; OR, odds ratio; P2b, phase 2b trial; PT, platelet transfusion.
Costs
| Model parameter | Value | Setting in one‐way SA | Source | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower limit | Upper limit | Range | ||||||
| Costs of PT prior to procedure | PT cost per day | PT cost per unit | 8169 JPY | — | — | — | Claims data analysis | |
| Units per day | 12.8 units | 7.8 | 17.9 | ±20% | ||||
| Procedure fee for PT | 15 380 JPY | 9351 JPY | 21 408 JPY | ±20% | ||||
| Days receiving PT | LUSU group | 1.23 | 0.75 | 1.71 | ±20% | Pooled data of L‐PLUS1, P2b | ||
| PT group | 1.17 | 0.71 | 1.63 | ±20% | ||||
| Drug costs of LUSU | Prescribed dose | 7.1 tablets | — | — | — | Claims data analysis | ||
| Drug price (JPY/tablet) | 15 586.6 JPY | — | — | — | The NHI drug price standard | |||
| Costs for delayed procedures | Additional length of stay for delays to planned procedures | 4 days | — | — | — | Experts' opinion | ||
| Hospitalization cost per day | 84 451 JPY | 51 347 JPY | 117 555 JPY | ±20% | Claims data analysis | |||
| Costs for rescue therapy following bleeding | Transfusion cost per day | 120 206 JPY | — | — | — | Assumption | ||
| AE treatment cost considering incidence of complications of PT | 59 JPY | — | — | — | ||||
| LUSU‐related AE treatment cost (severe thrombosis) | 1 203 531 JPY | 731 756 JPY | 1 675 306 JPY | ±20% | Claims data analysis | |||
| Costs of treating PT‐related AEs (severe allergic reaction) | 120 820 JPY | 73 459 JPY | 168 180 JPY | ±20% | Chichibu Medical Care Meeting | |||
| Procedure cost | Microwave coagulation therapy | 0.7% | 714 372 JPY | 571 498 JPY | 857 246 JPY | ±20% | Claims data analysis | |
| Paracentesis | 42.3% | 3 769 899 JPY | 3 015 919 JPY | 4 523 879 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Hepatic artery embolization/Transcatheter arterial chemo‐embolization/Hepatic arterial chemotherapy | 10.9% | 913 100 JPY | 730 480 JPY | 1 095 720 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Percutaneous ethanol injection therapy | 0.4% | 442 790 JPY | 354 232 JPY | 531 348 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Radiofrequency ablation | 14.8% | 600 726 JPY | 480 581 JPY | 720 871 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Percutaneous needle biopsy | 4.7% | 1 159 159 JPY | 927 327 JPY | 1 390 991 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy | 0.3% | 4 510 316 JPY | 3 608 253 JPY | 5 412 379 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Endoscopy with scheduled tissue biopsy | 1.7% | 4 065 726 JPY | 3 252 581 JPY | 4 878 871 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Endoscopic polypectomy | 2.7% | 609 251 JPY | 487 401 JPY | 731 101 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Endoscopic retrograde biliary drainage/Metallic stent placement | 0.3% | 1 421 568 JPY | 1 137 254 JPY | 1 705 882 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Endoscopic variceal ligation | 12.3% | 1 168 041 JPY | 934 433 JPY | 1 401 649 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Endoscopic injection sclerotherapy | 7.9% | 911 414 JPY | 729 131 JPY | 1 093 697 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Endoscopic submucosal dissection/Endoscopic mucosal resection | 0.1% | 2 652 498 JPY | 2 121 998 JPY | 3 182 998 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Dental extraction | 0.1% | 233 134 JPY | 186 507 JPY | 279 761 JPY | ±20% | |||
| Peripherally inserted central catheter | 0.9% | 3 368 878 JPY | 2 695 102 JPY | 4 042 654 JPY | ±20% | |||
Assuming PT for a day as rescue therapy, the cost is set by adding the transfusion cost per day to the PT‐related AE treatment cost.
0.05% (incidence of severe allergic reaction) × 120 820 JPY (treatment cost of treatment for severe allergic reaction) = 59 JPY (Treatment cost considering AE incidence).
AE, adverse event; LUSU, lusutrombopag; one‐way SA, one‐way sensitivity analysis; P2b, phase 2b trial; PT, platelet transfusion.
Utilities
| Model parameter | Value | Setting in one‐way SA | Source | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower limit | Upper limit | Range | |||
| Baseline in CLD patients | 0.808 | 0.44 | 0.99 | ±20% | Kaishima et al. |
| LUSU‐related AE (severe thrombosis) | −0.029 | −0.02 | −0.04 | ±20% | Jugrin et al. |
| PT‐related AE (severe allergic reaction) | −0.4 | −0.25 | −0.56 | ±20% | van Eerd et al. |
| Delays to planned invasive procedures | 0 | — | — | — | Assumption |
| Bleeding | −0.397 | −0.55 | −0.25 | ±20% | Jugrin et al. |
| General population | Regression equation | Shiroiwa et al. | |||
Age: Age at each cycle, Male%: Male% at each cycle (estimated male‐female ratio in the analysis population at each cycle by applying mortality rate by sex of the general population to the male–female ratio at baseline).
AE, adverse event; CLD, chronic liver disease; LUSU, lusutrombopag; one‐way SA, one‐way sensitivity analysis; PT, platelet transfusion.
Analysis results
| Strategy | Cost (JPY) | Incremental cost (JPY) | QALY | Incremental QALY | ICER (cost/QALY) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base‐case | |||||
| LUSU | 2 380 219 | −2689 | 6.1803 | 0.0091 | Dominant |
| PT | 2 382 908 | — | 6.1712 | — | — |
| Scenario A: Assuming the number of days receiving PT prior to procedure as 1 day in both groups | |||||
| LUSU | 2 374 847 | 12 362 | 6.1803 | 0.0091 | 1 352 691 JPY |
| PT | 2 362 485 | — | 6.1712 | — | — |
| Scenario B: Using pooled data of Japanese clinical trials (L‐PLUS1, P2b) as proportion of patients receiving PT in the PT group | |||||
| LUSU | 2 380 219 | 19 417 | 6.1803 | 0.0091 | 2 135 211 JPY |
| PT | 2 360 801 | — | 6.1713 | — | — |
| Scenario C: Time horizon of 35 days | |||||
| LUSU | 2 380 219 | −2689 | 0.0760 | 0.0012 | Dominant |
| PT | 2 382 908 | — | 0.0749 | — | — |
Scenario A: The number of days for pre‐procedure PT for both groups to be 1 day (base‐case, LUSU group = 1.23 days; PT group = 1.17 days). Scenario B: The proportion of patients receiving PT prior to the procedure in the PT group was set as 85.71% (base‐case, PT group = 100%). Scenario C: The time horizon of the analysis was set as 35 days (base‐case, 50 years [a lifetime]).
ICER, incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio; LUSU, lusutrombopag; P2b, phase 2b trial; PT; platelet transfusion; QALY, quality‐adjusted life year.
Figure 2Result of one‐way sensitivity analysis using the tornado diagram.CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; PT, platelet transfusion. *Parameters with range ± 20% not 95%CI. , Lower bound; , upper bound.
Figure 3Result of probabilistic sensitivity analysis.(A) Cost‐effectiveness plane. (B) Cost‐effectiveness acceptability curve. CEAC, cost‐effectiveness acceptability curve; QALY, quality‐adjusted life year; WTP, willingness to pay.