| Literature DB >> 34292670 |
Kei Irie1,2, Atsushi Nakagawa3, Hirotoshi Fujita1, Ryo Tamura1, Masaaki Eto4, Hiroaki Ikesue1, Nobuyuki Muroi1, Shoji Fukushima2, Keisuke Tomii3, Tohru Hashida1.
Abstract
The antiretroviral drug favipiravir (FPV) inhibits RNA-dependent RNA polymerase. It has been developed for the treatment of the novel coronavirus (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) infection disease, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, its pharmacokinetics in patients with COVID-19 is poorly understood. In this study, we measured FPV serum concentration by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry and conducted population pharmacokinetic analysis. A total of 39 patients were enrolled in the study: 33 were administered FPV 1600 mg twice daily (b.i.d.) on the first day followed by 600 mg b.i.d., and 6 were administered FPV 1800 mg b.i.d. on the first day followed by 800 mg or 600 mg b.i.d. The median age was 68 years (range, 27-89 years), 31 (79.5%) patients were men, median body surface area (BSA) was 1.72 m2 (range, 1.11-2.2 m2 ), and 10 (25.6%) patients required invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) at the start of FPV. A total of 204 serum concentrations were available for pharmacokinetic analysis. A one-compartment model with first-order elimination was used to describe the pharmacokinetics. The estimated mean clearance/bioavailability (CL/F) and distribution volume/bioavailability (V/F) were 5.11 L/h and 41.6 L, respectively. Covariate analysis revealed that CL/F was significantly related to dosage, IMV use, and BSA. A simulation study showed that the 1600 mg/600 mg b.i.d. regimen was insufficient for the treatment of COVID-19 targeting the 50% effective concentration (9.7 µg/mL), especially in patients with larger BSA and/or IMV. A higher FPV dosage is required for COVID-19, but dose-dependent nonlinear pharmacokinetics may cause an unexpected significant pharmacokinetic change and drug toxicity. Further studies are warranted to explore the optimal FPV regimen.Entities:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34292670 PMCID: PMC8420316 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.12685
Source DB: PubMed Journal: CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol ISSN: 2163-8306
Patient baseline characteristics at the beginning of favipiravir treatment
| Median or | Range or % | |
|---|---|---|
| Patients | 39 | |
| Age, years | 68 | 27–89 |
| Sex, male/female | 31/8 | 79.5/20.5 |
| Body weight, kg | 64 | 29–100 |
| Height, cm | 168 | 144–182 |
| Body surface area, m2 | 1.72 | 1.14–2.20 |
| Body mass index, kg/m2 | 23.5 | 12.9–30.9 |
| SCr, mg/dL | 0.81 | 0.81–10.71 |
| AST, IU/L | 45 | 13–155 |
| ALT, IU/L | 30 | 8–109 |
| WHO ordinal score | ||
| 7 hospitalized, invasive oxygen | 10 | 25.6 |
| 6 hospitalized, high‐flow oxygen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 hospitalized, requiring oxygen | 24 | 61.5 |
| 4 hospitalized, not requiring oxygen | 5 | 12.8 |
| Favipiravir regimen | ||
| 1600/600 mg b.i.d. | 33 | 84.6 |
| 1800/800 or 600 mg b.i.d. | 6 | 15.4 |
Abbreviations: AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; b.i.d., twice daily; SCr, serum creatinine; WHO, World Health Organization.
Covariate analysis (base model, forward inclusion steps, and full models)
| Step | OFV | dOFV | Model |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base model | 0 | 4221.276 | Base model with additive error | ||
| 0 | 3514.076 | Base model with additive error | |||
| 0 | 3413.232 | Base model with combined error | |||
| Forward inclusion | 1 | 3413.54 | 0.308 | AGE on CL/F | 0.579 |
| 2 | 3411.053 | −2.179 | SEX on CL/F | 0.140 | |
| 3 | 3408.898 | −4.334 | WT on CL/F |
| |
| 4 | 3405.29 | −7.942 | HT on CL/F |
| |
| 5 | 3407.302 | −5.93 | BSA on CL/F |
| |
| 6 | 3410.911 | −2.321 | BMI on CL/F | 0.128 | |
| 7 | 3413.22 | −0.012 | SCR on CL/F | 0.913 | |
| 8 | 3410.32 | −2.912 | AST on CL/F | 0.088 | |
| 9 | 3405.562 | −7.67 | ALT on CL/F |
| |
| 10 | 3392.264 | −20.968 | IMV on CL/F |
| |
| 11 | 3411.028 | −2.204 | Baseline IMV on CL/F | 0.138 | |
| 12 | 3411.554 | −1.678 | Amlodipine on CL/F | 0.195 | |
| 13 | 3412.65 | −0.582 | Metoclopramide on CL/F | 0.446 | |
| 14 | 3411.039 | −2.193 | Fentanyl on CL/F | 0.139 | |
| 15 | 3412.984 | −0.248 | Rocuronium on CL/F | 0.619 | |
| 16 | 3411.039 | −2.193 | Propofol on CL/F | 0.139 | |
| 17 | 3411.776 | −1.456 | Dexmedetomidine on CL/F | 0.228 | |
| 18 | 3377.174 | −36.058 | Dose on CL/F |
| |
| Full model | 13 | 3349.983 | −60.785 | ALT, WT, IMV, and dose on CL/F (Full Model 1) |
|
| 13 | 3346.866 | −64.032 | ALT, HT, IMV, and dose on CL/F (Full Model 2) |
| |
| 13 | 3348.498 | −62.875 | ALT, BSA, IMV, and dose on CL/F (Full Model 3) |
|
Bold values indicate statistical significance p < 0.05.
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; BSA, body surface area; CL/F, clearance/bioavailability; dOFV, differences in objective function values; HT, height; IMV, invasive mechanistic ventilation; OFV, object function value; SCR, serum creatinine; WT, body weight.
Covariate analysis (backward elimination and the final model)
| Step | OFV | dOFV | Elimination | Model |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base model | 0 | 4221.276 | Base model with additive error | |||
| Full model | 13 | 3349.983 | −60.785 | ALT, WT, IMV, and dose on CL/F | ||
| 13 | 3346.866 | −64.032 | ALT, HT, IMV, and dose on CL/F | |||
| 13 | 3348.498 | −62.875 | ALT, BSA, IMV, and dose on CL/F | |||
| Backward elimination | 13 | 3352.447 | 2.464 | −ALT | WT, IMV, and dose on CL/F | 0.116 |
| 13 | 3349.2 | 2.334 | −ALT | HT, IMV, and dose on CL/F | 0.127 | |
| 13 | 3350.357 | 1.859 | −ALT | BSA, IMV, and dose on CL/F (final model) | 0.172 | |
| 14 | 3358.452 | 6.005 | −ALT and WT | IMV and dose on CL/F |
| |
| 14 | 3358.452 | 9.252 | −ALT and HT | IMV and dose on CL/F |
| |
| 14 | 3358.452 | 8.095 | −ALT and BSA | IMV and dose on CL/F |
| |
| 15 | 3377.174 | 18.722 | −ALT, WT, and IMV | Dose on CL/F |
|
Bold values indicate statistical significance p < 0.05.
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; BSA, body surface area; CL/F, clearance/bioavailability; dOFV, differences in objective function values; HT, height; IMV, invasive mechanistic ventilation; OFV, object function value; WT, body weight.
Pharmacokinetics parameters on the final model and results of nonparametric bootstrap
| Structure model parameters | Mean | RSE (%) | Shrinkage (%) | Bootstrap ( | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2.5th | – | 97.5th | |||||
| CL/F, L/h | 5.11 | 24.10 | 5.29 | 2.91 | – | 9.75 | ||
| V/F, L/h | 41.6 | 29.60 | 42.2 | 15.1 | – | 84.3 | ||
| Dose on CL/F | –0.61 | 42.80 | −0.60 | −0.20 | – | −3.34 | ||
| IMV on CL/F | 1.71 | 16.80 | 1.63 | 0.98 | – | 2.11 | ||
| BSA on CL/F | 2.22 | 34.60 | 2.22 | 0.75 | 3.94 | |||
| Interindividual variability model parameters | ||||||||
| ω2 CL/F | 0.355 | 26.10 | 2.40 | 0.331 | 0.161 | – | 0.584 | |
| Residual error model parameters | ||||||||
| σ2 proportional error | 0.749 | 13.10 | 3.20 | 0.718 | 0.549 | – | 0.906 | |
| σ2 additive error | 764 | 51.80 | 744 | 125 | – | 1675 | ||
Abbreviations: BSA, body surface area; CL/F, clearance/bioavailability; IMV, invasive mechanistic ventilation; V/F, distribution volume/bioavailability; ω2, interindividual variability; σ2, intraindividual variability.
FIGURE 1Goodness‐of‐fit plots of the final model. Population prediction (PRED) versus observation plots (upper right), individual prediction (IPRED) versus observation plots (upper left), conditional weighted residuals (CWRES) versus PRED plots (lower right), and CWRES versus time after first dose plots (lower left) are presented.
FIGURE 2Prediction‐corrected visual predictive checks of the final model. Red and blue lines are the median and the 5th to 95th percentiles of the prediction‐corrected observed favipiravir (FPV) concentration in each bin, respectively. Red and blue areas are the 90% confidence interval for the median value of the model prediction and the 5th and 95th percentiles of each bin. Dots indicate the prediction‐corrected observations. Negative concentrations were truncated by limit of quantification.
FIGURE 3Effect of three types of regimens on patients with or without invasive mechanistic ventilation (IMV) as simulated using the final model. (a) Patients with body surface area (BSA) = 1.72 and (b) patients with BSA = 2.20 are presented. Red solid line indicates the mean value, blue area indicates the 5th and 95th percentiles of the prediction, and the dotted line indicates the 50% effective concentration (EC50) of favipiravir (FPV) for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2; 9.7 µg/mL). BID, twice daily.