| Literature DB >> 34285582 |
Yanxiang Shao1, Thongher Lia1, Yaohui Wang1, Kan Wu1, Xu Hu1, Yang Liu1, Shuyang Feng1, Shangqing Ren1,2, Zhen Yang1,3, Sanchao Xiong1, Weixiao Yang1, Qiang Wei1, Hao Zeng1, Xiang Li1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic factors of penile cancer and the utility of prognostic models.Entities:
Keywords: TNM stage; external validation; nomogram; penile cancer; survival
Year: 2021 PMID: 34285582 PMCID: PMC8285520 DOI: 10.2147/CMAR.S323321
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Manag Res ISSN: 1179-1322 Impact factor: 3.989
Clinicopathological Features and CSS Rates for 311 PSCC Patients
| Variants | Number | 1-Year CSS | 2-Year CSS | 5-Year CSS | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age of diagnosis (years) | 0.552 | ||||
| <50 | 132 | 88.2% | 78.9% | 76.5% | |
| 50–69 | 134 | 93.5% | 85.7% | 79.2% | |
| ≥70 | 45 | 90.5% | 76.2% | 76.2% | |
| Smoking history | 0.827 | ||||
| No | 142 | 90.8% | 84.8% | 78.1% | |
| Yes | 169 | 90.8% | 79.3% | 77.2% | |
| Tumor growth velocity | 0.100 | ||||
| <1.5 cm/ recent 3 months | 158 | 91.9% | 84.1% | 81.0% | |
| ≥1.5 cm/ recent 3 months | 153 | 88.8% | 80.2% | 73.9% | |
| Tumor location | 0.078 | ||||
| Prepuse | 15 | 93.3% | 93.3% | 93.3% | |
| Glans of penis | 288 | 90.8% | 81.8% | 77.2% | |
| Body of penis | 8 | 87.5% | 48.6% | 48.6% | |
| Tumor size | 0.127 | ||||
| <3cm | 149 | 91.3% | 83.9% | 81.8% | |
| ≥3cm | 162 | 90.3% | 79.8% | 73.8% | |
| ILND operation | 0.001 | ||||
| No surgery or unknown | 165 | 97.3% | 94.2% | 92.1% | |
| Prophylactic ILND | 28 | 96.3% | 92.3% | 87.4% | |
| Therapeutic ILND | 118 | 80.3% | 61.8% | 55.4% | |
| T stage (8th edition) | 0.001 | ||||
| T1 | 112 | 95.2% | 93.0% | 91.6% | |
| T2 | 103 | 91.4% | 77.8% | 72.7% | |
| T3 | 88 | 86.2% | 74.1% | 68.0% | |
| T4 | 8 | 71.4% | 57.1% | 42.9% | |
| T stage (7th and 6th editions)a | 0.001 | ||||
| T1 | 112 | 95.2% | 93.0% | 91.6% | |
| T2 | 174 | 88.4% | 75.3% | 71.3% | |
| T3 | 17 | 94.1% | 81.6% | 65.3% | |
| T4 | 8 | 71.4% | 57.1% | 42.9% | |
| Nuclear grade | 0.001 | ||||
| Well differentiated | 101 | 99.0% | 96.6% | 90.9% | |
| Moderately differentiated | 148 | 92.7% | 83.8% | 79.1% | |
| Poorly/ undifferentiated | 62 | 72.8% | 53.0% | 50.6% | |
| Lymph vascular invasion | 0.001 | ||||
| Negative | 287 | 92.3% | 85.6% | 82.2% | |
| Positive | 24 | 74.1% | 39.5% | 24.7% | |
| N stage (8th edition) | 0.001 | ||||
| cN0 | 141 | 99.2% | 97.2% | 94.7% | |
| cN+ | 23 | 90.4% | 80.1% | 80.1% | |
| pN0 | 59 | 93.0% | 89.3% | 84.9% | |
| pN1 | 26 | 95.8% | 95.8% | 79.9% | |
| pN2 | 39 | 79.7% | 47.5% | 30.2% | |
| pN3 | 23 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| N stage (7th edition) | 0.001 | ||||
| cN0 | 141 | 99.2% | 97.2% | 94.7% | |
| cN+ | 23 | 90.4% | 80.1% | 80.1% | |
| pN0 | 59 | 93.0% | 89.3% | 84.9% | |
| pN1 | 22 | 94.7% | 94.7% | 94.7% | |
| pN2 | 42 | 81.5% | 53.4% | 38.2% | |
| pN3 | 24 | 43.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| N stage (6th edition) | 0.001 | ||||
| cN0 | 141 | 99.2% | 97.2% | 94.7% | |
| cN+ | 23 | 90.4% | 80.1% | 80.1% | |
| pN0 | 59 | 93.0% | 89.3% | 84.9% | |
| pN1 | 23 | 94.7% | 94.7% | 94.7% | |
| pN2 | 43 | 78.5% | 47.7% | 33.0% | |
| pN3 | 22 | 53.7% | 7.4%% | 0.0% | |
| AJCC stage (8 and 7th editions)b | 0.001 | ||||
| I | 89 | 100.0% | 98.6% | 97.0% | |
| II | 107 | 94.7% | 91.0% | 87.1% | |
| III | 84 | 88.0% | 73.3% | 65.7% | |
| IV | 31 | 53.3% | 16.4% | 12.3% | |
| AJCC stage (6th editions) | 0.001 | ||||
| I | 89 | 100.0% | 98.6% | 97.0% | |
| II | 124 | 94.5% | 92.3% | 90.4% | |
| III | 70 | 84.0% | 61.2% | 50.1% | |
| IV | 28 | 59.5% | 25.7% | 20.6% | |
| Metastasis | 0.001 | ||||
| No | 274 | 94.7% | 89.9% | 88.8% | |
| Yes | 37 | 64.9% | 30.4% | 6.8% |
Notes: aThe same classificatory results for 7th and 6th T stage were seen in our cohorts, so they were described together; bthe same classificatory results for 8th/ 7th AJCC prognostic stage group were seen in our cohorts, so they were described together.
Abbreviations: CSS, cancer specific survival; PSCC, penile squamous cell carcinoma; CI, confidence interval; ILND, Inguinal lymph node dissection; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer.
Univariate Analysis for CSS in 311 PSCC Patients
| Clinical Pathological Data | P value | Hazard Ratio | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smokinga | 0.827 | 1.059 | 0.631–1.778 |
| 50≤Diagnosis age <70 yearsb | 0.476 | 0.752 | 0.344–1.644 |
| Diagnosis age >70 yearsb | 0.967 | 1.016 | 0.479–2.155 |
| Tumor in glans penisc | 0.194 | 3.706 | 0.512–26.809 |
| Tumor in body of penisc | 0.048 | 9.830 | 1.019–94.802 |
| Tumor size ≥3cmd | 0.130 | 1.501 | 0.887–2.541 |
| Tumor growth ≥1.5cm/ recent 3 monthse | 0.103 | 1.542 | 0.917–2.593 |
| T2 (7th and 6th editions)f | 0.001 | 3.919 | 1.836–8.367 |
| T3 (7th and 6th editions)f | 0.015 | 4.007 | 1.310–12.255 |
| T4 (7th and 6th editions)f | 0.001 | 9.643 | 2.896–32.112 |
| T2 (8th edition)f | 0.003 | 3.360 | 1.495–7.553 |
| T3 (8th edition)f | 0.001 | 4.652 | 2.087–10.366 |
| T4 (8th edition)f | 0.001 | 9.647 | 2.897–32.123 |
| Moderately differentiatedg | 0.011 | 2.968 | 1.286–6.848 |
| Poorly/undifferentiatedg | 0.001 | 9.492 | 4.067–22.157 |
| Lymph vascular invasionh | 0.001 | 5.990 | 3.285–10.924 |
| cN+ (8th edition)i | 0.056 | 2.983 | 0.973–9.152 |
| pN1 (8th edition)i | 0.363 | 1.790 | 0.510–6.285 |
| pN2 (8th edition)i | 0.001 | 14.822 | 7.243–30.332 |
| pN3 (8th edition)i | 0.001 | 58.254 | 26.594–127.605 |
| cN+ (7th edition)i | 0.056 | 2.986 | 0.974–9.160 |
| pN1 (7th edition)i | 0.169 | 2.417 | 0.688–8.489 |
| pN2 (7th edition)i | 0.001 | 10.881 | 5.344–22.155 |
| pN3 (7th edition)i | 0.001 | 55.582 | 25.528–121.020 |
| cN+ (6th edition)i | 0.013 | 3.708 | 1.322–10.403 |
| pN1 (6th edition)i | 0.173 | 2.393 | 0.681–8.404 |
| pN2 (6th edition)i | 0.001 | 12.208 | 6.082–24.505 |
| pN3 (6th edition)i | 0.001 | 34.963 | 16.171–75.596 |
| AJCC group II (8th and 7th editions)j | 0.039 | 4.966 | 1.088–22.673 |
| AJCC group III (8th and 7th editions)j | 0.001 | 17.693 | 4.177–74.947 |
| AJCC group IV (8th and 7th editions)j | 0.001 | 92.914 | 21.591–399.845 |
| AJCC group II (6th edition)j | 0.043 | 4.752 | 1.053–21.444 |
| AJCC group III (6th edition)j | 0.001 | 25.505 | 6.065–107.408 |
| AJCC group IV (6th edition)j | 0.001 | 69.474 | 15.975–302.144 |
Notes: aReference group is no-smoker; breference group is diagnosis age <50; creference group is tumor in prepuce; dreference group is tumor size < 3cm; ereference group is Tumor growth < 0.5 cm/month; fthe same classificatory results for 7th and 6th T stage were seen in our cohorts, so they were described together. The reference group is T1; greference group is nuclear well differentiated group; hreference group is lymph vascular invasion negative group; ireference group is cN0/pN0 group; jthe same classificatory results for 8th/ 7th AJCC prognostic stage group were seen in our cohorts, so they were described together. The reference group is AJCC group I.
Abbreviations: CSS, cancer specific survival; PSCC, penile squamous cell carcinoma; CI, confidence interval; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer.
Predictive Value of Different Variants and Prognostic Models in 311 PSCC Patients
| Variants and Prognostic Models | c-Index | (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Tumor sitea | 0.535 | 0.496–0.573 |
| T stage (8th edition) | 0.650 | 0.582–0.718 |
| T stage (7th and 6th edition)b | 0.630 | 0.569–0.691 |
| N stage (8th edition)c | 0.814 | 0.756–0.873 |
| N stage (7th edition)c | 0.811 | 0.752–0.869 |
| N stage (6th edition)c | 0.801 | 0.744–0.859 |
| Nuclear grade | 0.711 | 0.651–0.771 |
| Lymph vascular invasion | 0.600 | 0.548–0.653 |
| AJCC stage (8 and 7th editions)d | 0.821 | 0.774–0.868 |
| AJCC stage (6th edition) | 0.823 | 0.777–0.869 |
| SEER + grade nomograme | 0.738 | 0.681–0.795 |
| TNM + grade nomograme | 0.792 | 0.739–0.846 |
| AJCC + grade nomograme | 0.831 | 0.787–0.875 |
| T1-3 + N+ grade nomogramf | 0.781 | 0.710–0.851 |
| Novel nomogram 1 | 0.870 | 0.829–0.911 |
| Novel nomogram 2 | 0.855 | 0.815–0.896 |
Notes: aTumor site was distinguished as: prepuce, glans of penis, body of penis; bthe same classificatory results for 7th and 6th T stage were seen in our cohorts, so they were described together; clymph node status was distinguished as: cN0/pN0, cN+, pN1, pN2, pN3. dThe same classificatory results for 8th/ 7th AJCC prognostic stage group were seen in our cohorts, so they were described together; ereported by Thuret et al;7 freported by Thuret et al.8
Abbreviations: PSCC, penile squamous cell carcinoma; CI, confidence interval; SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer.
Figure 1Novel nomogram 1 predicting cancer-specific survival of postoperative PSCC patients.
Figure 2Novel nomogram 2 predicting cancer-specific survival of postoperative PSCC patients.
Figure 3ROC curve of different models. (A) ROC of predictive models in 311 PSCC cases. (B) ROC of predictive models in 303 T1-3 cases. aReported by Thuret et al;7 breported by Thuret et al.8