Estimating greenhouse emissions from sanitary landfills using Land-GEM and IPCC model based on realistic scenarios of different urban areas: a case study of Iran.

This study examined the emission of greenhouse gases from municipal solid waste disposal centers in different regions of Iran based on different scenarios. Assuming landfill site opening in 2012 and considering the 20-year plan period for its usage, the amount of wastes entering the landfill site was calculated for 2012-2032. For calculating the production of methane (CH4) and other gases during different years of the project, Land-GEM and IPCC model were used. We defined 9 scenarios for these two models based on the growth rate of population and waste generation. The results revealed that the lowest amount of gas emission in nine scenarios by Land- GEM model was related to non-methane organic compounds (NMOCs). According to the results obtained, the total emissions of greenhouse gases from sanitary landfills for Iran in 2032 were 3,844,000 Mg/year, the largest and lowest amounts of gas emission were related to Tehran region, 860,400 Mg/year, and the South Coast area of the country,138,200 Mg/year, respectively. The major section of the gas production in both landfills was related to greenhouse gas and carbon dioxide emissions. The difference in gas production in the studied regions was due to differences in the percentage of moisture and organic compounds. © Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021.