| Literature DB >> 34140482 |
Kamrine E Poels1,2, Adam J Schoenfeld3, Alex Makhnin3, Yosef Tobi3, Yuli Wang4, Heidie Frisco-Cabanos5, Shaon Chakrabarti1,2,6, Manli Shi4, Chelsi Napoli5, Thomas O McDonald1,2,6,7, Weiwei Tan8, Aaron Hata5,9,10, Scott L Weinrich4, Helena A Yu11, Franziska Michor12,13,14,15,16,17.
Abstract
Despite the clinical success of the third-generation EGFR inhibitor osimertinib as a first-line treatment of EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), resistance arises due to the acquisition of EGFR second-site mutations and other mechanisms, which necessitates alternative therapies. Dacomitinib, a pan-HER inhibitor, is approved for first-line treatment and results in different acquired EGFR mutations than osimertinib that mediate on-target resistance. A combination of osimertinib and dacomitinib could therefore induce more durable responses by preventing the emergence of resistance. Here we present an integrated computational modeling and experimental approach to identify an optimal dosing schedule for osimertinib and dacomitinib combination therapy. We developed a predictive model that encompasses tumor heterogeneity and inter-subject pharmacokinetic variability to predict tumor evolution under different dosing schedules, parameterized using in vitro dose-response data. This model was validated using cell line data and used to identify an optimal combination dosing schedule. Our schedule was subsequently confirmed tolerable in an ongoing dose-escalation phase I clinical trial (NCT03810807), with some dose modifications, demonstrating that our rational modeling approach can be used to identify appropriate dosing for combination therapy in the clinical setting.Entities:
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Year: 2021 PMID: 34140482 PMCID: PMC8211846 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23912-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Nat Commun ISSN: 2041-1723 Impact factor: 17.694
Fig. 1Overview of the computational modeling framework and its parameterization.
a The model ensemble consists of a tumor evolution model of multiple cell types, population drug pharmacokinetic model, and toxicity constraints and can be used to identify the most favorable therapy schedules for osimertinib and dacomitinib combination treatment. The waterfall plot represents predicted patient responses for a given dosing regimen. b The tumor evolution model. Each resistance mechanism arises in a one-step process. Each cell type, , has its own drug-dependent birth rate and constant death rate, and , respectively. The drug concentrations of dacomitinib, , and osimertinib, , were modeled as a function of time . The vector of two drug concentrations, , served as the input for the multivariate birth function, . Under a particular drug-dosing schedule, the rates are therefore time-dependent. A mutation from the sensitive cell type to type occurs at rate per cell division. c Total cell counts from CellTiter Glow (CTG) experiments during osimertinib (gray-scale lines) and dacomitinib treatment (red-scale lines). The slope of each line provides the estimated growth rate for a given cell type and drug concentration. Source data are provided as a Source Data file. d Birth rates of cells during combination therapy. Points represent the estimated growth rates from c minus death rates and the contour is the predicted birth rate as a function of dacomitinib and osimertinib concentration.
Fig. 2Drug pharmacokinetics with inter-subject variability and effects on tumor cell fitness.
a Schematic of a two-compartment model of drug concentration over time throughout the body. Output concentrations in nanomolars from a simulation of 30 mg QD of dacomitinib (b) and 40 mg QD of osimertinib (c) in 1000 patients. Blue and red lines correspond to drug concentration in the central ( and ), and peripheral, ( and ), compartment, respectively. Solid lines are median concentrations and shaded areas represent a 95% confidence interval. d Birth rates of four cell types during dosing with 30 mg QD dacomitinib and 40 mg QD osimertinib in one simulated individual. Doses are given every 24 h starting at hour zero.
Fig. 3In silico clinical trials of osimertinib and dacomitinib combination therapy.
a Schematic overview of simulation steps comparison of dosing schedules for one individual. b Distribution of cell types before the initiation of the in silico trial over 1000 simulated patients (rows). c Conventional (top) and proposed (bottom) dose-escalation schedules to identify the MTD in a phase I study. d Comparison in outcomes of different schedules identified by their dacomitinib and osimertinib doses on the axes; the y axis is median improvement percentage of 30 mg QD of dacomitinib and 40 mg BID of osimertinib (proposed level 3 schedule) relative to each dose combination is shown after 1 year of treatment. e, f Waterfall plots with the relative improvement percentage of our proposed schedules compared to the conventional schedules after 8 weeks (2 treatment cycles) and 1 year of treatment, respectively, for 100 patients.
Fig. 4Longitudinal validation experiments in mixed cell pools at days 20, 30, and 40 of treatment.
Predictions and interquartile ranges from mathematical modeling predictions are shown in a dashed red line and shaded regions, respectively. Observations with two standard errors are shown in black dots and error bars, respectively. The RPC9 (RPC9-CL6) clone is composed of 90% exon 19 del cells 10% exon 19 del and T790M alleles. a PC9-RPC9 cell pool in 10–1 ratio. Our predictions ranked schedules correctly, detecting a difference between the two best schedules at day 30 (p = 0.0159, two-sided t-test with n = 6 biological samples). b PC9-RPC9 cell pool in 100–1 ratio. Our predictions ranked schedules correctly except for the worst 2 schedules, but the difference between the schedules was not statistically significant in the observed data (p = 0.294, two-sided t-test with n = 6 biological samples). Source data are provided as a Source Data file.
Dose levels in the dose-escalation study.
| Dose level | Osimertinib | Dacomitinib | # of Patients enrolled | DLT? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40 mg daily | 15 mg daily | 3 | None |
| 2 | 40 mg twice daily | 15 mg daily | 3 | None |
| 3 | 40 mg twice daily | 30 mg daily | 6 | None |
| 4 | 80 mg twice daily | 30 mg daily | N/A | N/A |
| RP2D dose expansion | 40 mg twice daily | 30 mg daily | 10 | None |
Baseline patient characteristics.
| Characteristic | |
| Median age, years (range) | 65 (36–78) |
| Sex | |
| Female | 15 (68%) |
| Male | 7 (32%) |
| KPS (%) | |
| ≥90 | 16 (73%) |
| 80 | 6 (27%) |
| Smoking status | |
| Former (pack years range) | 12 (2–30) |
| Never | 10 (45%) |
| L858R | 8 (36%) |
| Exon 19 deletion | 13 (59%) |
| L861Q | 1 (5%) |
| Brain metastases | |
| No | 13 (59%) |
| Yes (untreated) | 9 (9) |
Grade 1–3 treatment-related adverse events.
| Adverse event | Treatment-related toxicities | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade 1 | Grade 2 | Grade 3 | Total | Incidence | |
| Diarrhea | 13 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 86% |
| Rash acneiform | 8 | 7 | 15 | 68% | |
| Mucositis oral | 5 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 59% |
| Dry skin | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 55% |
| Anorexia | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 41% |
| Dysgeusia | 6 | 2 | 8 | 36% | |
| Fatigue | 5 | 3 | 8 | 36% | |
| Paronychia | 6 | 2 | 8 | 36% | |
| Rash maculopapular | 3 | 4 | 7 | 32% | |
| Pruritus | 5 | 1 | 6 | 27% | |
| Weight loss | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 27% |
| Alopecia | 4 | 4 | 18% | ||
| Nausea | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18% | |
| Skin infection | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18% | |
| Cough | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14% | |
| Dry eye | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14% | |
| Rhinorrhea | 3 | 3 | 14% | ||