| Literature DB >> 34071544 |
Lotte Lindberg1, Bent Kristensen1, Ebbe Eldrup2, Jane Frølund Thomsen3, Lars Thorbjørn Jensen1.
Abstract
Raynaud's phenomenon (RP) is characterized by the episodic whitening of the fingers upon exposure to cold. A recently described thermographic algorithm was proposed as a diagnostic replacement of the currently applied finger systolic pressure (FSP) test. The aim of the study was to evaluate the performance of the thermographic algorithm when applied in patients suspected of having RP. Forty-three patients were examined using thermographic imaging after local cooling of the hands in water of 10 °C for 1 min. The thermographic algorithm was applied to predict the probability of RP. The performance of the algorithm was evaluated with different cut-off levels. A new algorithm was proposed based on patients from the target population. The performance of the tested algorithm was noninferior to the FSP test, when a cut-off level of 0.05 was applied, yielding a sensitivity and specificity of 69% and 58%, respectively. The accuracy was 66%. The FSP test had a sensitivity and specificity of 77% and 37%, respectively, and the accuracy was 59%. The thermographic method proved useful for detecting RP and was able to replace the FSP test as a diagnostic test. The alternative algorithm revealed that other thermographic variables were more predictive of the target population, but this should be verified in future patients.Entities:
Keywords: cold challenge; diagnostic method; infrared thermographic imaging; secondary Raynaud’s phenomenon; vibration white finger
Year: 2021 PMID: 34071544 PMCID: PMC8227649 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics11060981
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Diagnostics (Basel) ISSN: 2075-4418
Figure 1The two curve types identified during the analysis of the thermographic temperature curves. The numbers 1–3 refer to the time points of the baseline, immediately after cooling, and at the end of the thermographic examination, respectively. These time points correspond to the temperature variables baseline finger temperature (tbase), finger temperature immediately after cooling (tnul), and end temperature (tend), respectively. The thermographic images associated with the mentioned time points are shown below the curves. The top bar shows the hands of a healthy individual (a), while the bottom bar presents the hands of a patient with RP (b). This figure is reproduced from the study, describing the recently developed algorithm [8].
The prediction model generated from 22 patients with pRP. Reproduced from reference [8]. The time to tend = time to end temperature. The tbase = baseline finger temperature.
| Predictor | Estimate | Std. Error | Wald χ2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 2.4 | 4.9 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| time to tend | 0.11 | 0.04 | 2.9 | 0.004 |
| tbase | −0.30 | 0.15 | −2.0 | 0.04 |
Clinical characteristics of the participants. Data are presented as number (%), mean (SD), or median (IQR). Raynaud’s phenomenon (RP).
| Patients Suspected of RP( | Control Group( | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | Male | 38 (92.7) | 33 (57.9) | <0.001 |
| Female | 3 (7.3) | 24 (42.1) | ||
| Age (Years) | 56.2 (9.3) | 57.8 (12.5) | 0.49 | |
| Family History of RP | None | 34 (82.9) | 48 (84.2) | 0.69 |
| 1° Relative | 5 (12.2) | 5 (8.8) | ||
| 2° Relative | 1 (2.4) | 0 (0.0) | ||
| Unknown | 1 (2.4) | 4 (7.0) | ||
| Smoking | Never | 12 (29.3) | 35 (61.4) | <0.001 |
| Current | 13 (31.7) | 1 (1.8) | ||
| Former | 16 (39.0) | 21 (36.8) | ||
| Smoking (Pack Years) | 15 (0; 40) | 0 (0; 3) | <0.001 | |
| Alcohol (Units/Week) | 9 (2; 15) | 4 (2; 7) | 0.01 | |
| Occupation | Construction | 31 (75.6) | 6 (10.5) | <0.001 |
| Teaching and Healthcare | 2 (4.9) | 30 (52.6) | ||
| Commerce and Transportation | 3 (7.3) | 5 (8.8) | ||
| Industry | 2 (4.9) | 6 (10.5) | ||
| Finance | 0 (0.0) | 7 (12.3) | ||
| Other | 3 (7.3) | 3 (5.3) | ||
Measures of the test performance for the finger systolic pressure (FSP) test and the evaluated thermographic algorithm with the clinical decision as the reference diagnosis (n = 38). The thermographic algorithm is represented by four different predicted probability cut-off levels with associated 95% confidence intervals. PPV = positive predictive value. NPV = negative predictive value.
| Method | Thermographic Algorithm | FSP Test | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cut-Off | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| Sensitivity | 65% (46–81%) | 54% (35–71%) | 50% (32–68%) | 19% (9–38%) | 54% (33–73%) |
| Specificity | 58% (32–81%) | 67% (39–86%) | 75% (47–91%) | 100% (76–100%) | 58% (28–85%) |
| PPV | 77% (57–90%) | 78% (55–91%) | 81% (57–93%) | 100% (57–100%) | 74% (57–86%) |
| NPV | 44% (23–67%) | 40% (22–61%) | 41% (23–61%) | 36% (22–53%) | 37% (24–52%) |
| Accuracy | 63% (47–77%) | 58% (42–72%) | 58% (42–72%) | 45% (30–60%) | 55% (38–71%) |
The new prediction model based on the patients diagnosed with Raynaud’s phenomenon by the clinical evaluation (n = 41) and the healthy controls (n = 57). Estimates are the respective coefficients of the model with the associated standard errors. The p- values show the predictors’ respective contributions to the model.
| Predictor | Estimate | Std. Error | Wald χ2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −28.9 | 8.0 | −3.6 | <0.001 |
| t50 | 0.92 | 0.27 | 3.4 | <0.001 |
| curve type | 4.8 | 1.4 | 3.3 | <0.001 |
| time to tend | 0.06 | 0.02 | 2.7 | 0.007 |