| Literature DB >> 33619746 |
Rajib Paul1, Ahmed Arif1, Kamana Pokhrel2, Subhanwita Ghosh1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To identify the county-level effects of social determinants of health (SDoH) on COVID-19 (corona virus disease 2019) mortality rates by rural-urban residence and estimate county-level exceedance probabilities for detecting clusters.Entities:
Keywords: Bayesian inference; chronic diseases; cluster analysis; residential segregation; socioeconomic status
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33619746 PMCID: PMC8014225 DOI: 10.1111/jrh.12557
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Rural Health ISSN: 0890-765X Impact factor: 4.333
Descriptive statistics of the study sample
| Variables | Rural ( | Urban (n = 997) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude mortality rate per 100,000 | 50.78 | 65.43 |
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| |||
| Percent severe housing cost burden | 10.226 (3.914) | 12.253 (4.573) | < .0001 |
| Residential segregation index | 33.540 (46.630) | 45.270 (22.243) | < .0001 |
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| |||
| Percent unemployed | 3.800 (1.700) | 3.500 (1.200) | < .0001 |
| Income inequality ratio | 4.393 (0.867) | 4.420 (0.844) | .02882 |
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| |||
| Percent some college or associate degree | 30.750 (7.300) | 30.100 (6.050) | < .0001 |
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| Percent Black population | 1.279 (5.062) | 7.019 (15.067) | < .0001 |
| Percent above 65 years | 19.870 (4.958) | 16.582 (4.786) | < .0001 |
| Percent female population | 50.110 (1.660) | 50.741 (1.230) | < .0001 |
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| |||
| Percent frequent physical distress | 12.139 (3.526) | 11.698 (2.752) | < .0001 |
| Percent frequent mental distress | 13.163 (2.956) | 12.697 (2.349) | < .0001 |
| Percent diabetes | 12.100 (5.600) | 11.100 (4.500) | < .0001 |
| HIV rate per 100,000 | 61 (128) | 150 (173) | <.0001 |
| Percent of adult smokers | 17.257 (4.973) | 16.715 (4.485) | < .0001 |
Proportions are compared using Chi‐Square Test. For the remaining variables, medians and interquartile ranges are displayed and compared using Mann–Whitney two‐sample test.
Unadjusted and adjusted risk ratios for mortality rates using negative binomial regressions
| Variables | Unadjusted | Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rural | Urban | Rural | Urban | |
|
| ||||
| Percent severe housing cost burden | 1.317 (1.247, 1.392) | 1.291 (1.229, 1.355) | − | − |
| Residential segregation index | 1.020 (1.010, 1.029) | 1.019 (1.010, 1.028) | 1.003 (0.995, 1.010) | 1.034 (1.019, 1.050) |
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| Percent unemployed | 1.868 (1.644, 2.217) | 2.146 (1.838, 2.513) | 1.077 (0.903, 1.284) | 1.479 (1.171, 1.867) |
| Income inequality ratio | 1.023 (1.021, 1.025) | 1.024 (1.021, 1.026) | 1.003 (1, 1.006) | 1.000 (0.995, 1.004) |
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| Percent some college or associate degree | 0.759 (0.733, 0.786) | 0.759 (0.732, 0.787) | 0.938 (0.895, 0.982) | 0.826 (0.779, 0.876) |
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| ||||
| Percent Black population | 1.151 (1.135, 1.166) | 1.125 (1.107, 1.144) | 1.051 (1.029, 1.074) | 1.041 (1.014, 1.068) |
| Percent 65 years and above | 0.878 (0.845, 0.913) | 0.886 (0.847, 0.927) | 0.929 (0.884, 0.976) | 1.023 (0.953, 1.097) |
| Percent female population | 1.154 (1.078, 1.154) | 1.158 (1.107, 1.144) | 1.211 (1.116, 1.314) | 1.278 (1.162, 1.406) |
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| Percent frequent mental distress | 1.862 (1.704, 2.035) | 1.962 (1.783, 2.158) | − | − |
| Percent diabetes | 1.302 (1.247, 1.359) | 1.360 (1.291, 1.434) | 1.094 (1.038, 1.153) | 1.121 (1.031, 1.219) |
| HIV rate per 100,000 populations | 1.012 (1.011, 1.014) | 1.008 (1.006, 1.009) | 1.003 (1.002, 1.005) | 1.001 (1, 1.002) |
| Percent adult smoker | 1.328 (1.264, 1.395) | 1.376 (1.301, 1.456) | 1.039 (0.955, 1.130) | 0.954 (0.861, 1.057) |
In the table, posterior medians of risk ratios and within parentheses its 95% credible Intervals are exhibited under five units change in the independent variable. The independent variables in the final adjusted models were selected using correlation analyses, stepwise subset selection, and Watnabe Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). The adjusted model with all the variables had WAIC = 20,711.8 and the adjusted model without percent severe housing cost burden and percent frequent mental distress had WAIC = 18,422.48. Lower WAIC is better.
FIGURE 1(A) County‐level total COVID‐19 infection rates per 100,000 population. (B) County‐level crude mortality rates per 100,000
FIGURE 2(A) Estimated mortality rates per 100,000 from the semiparametric negative binomial regression. (B) Exceedance probabilities of mortality rates to be greater by 50% from the standardized mortality rates based on semiparametric negative binomial regression