| Literature DB >> 35695974 |
Xueya Han1, Hongjie Hou1, Jie Xu1, Jiahao Ren1, Shuwen Li1, Ying Wang1, Haiyan Yang2, Yadong Wang3.
Abstract
To investigate the relationship between human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and the risk of mortality among coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients based on adjusted effect estimate by a quantitative meta-analysis. A random-effects model was used to estimate the pooled effect size (ES) with corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). I2 statistic, sensitivity analysis, Begg's test, meta-regression and subgroup analyses were also conducted. This meta-analysis presented that HIV infection was associated with a significantly higher risk of COVID-19 mortality based on 40 studies reporting risk factors-adjusted effects with 131,907,981 cases (pooled ES 1.43, 95% CI 1.25-1.63). Subgroup analyses by male proportion and setting yielded consistent results on the significant association between HIV infection and the increased risk of COVID-19 mortality. Allowing for the existence of heterogeneity, further meta-regression and subgroup analyses were conducted to seek the possible source of heterogeneity. None of factors might be possible reasons for heterogeneity in the further analyses. Sensitivity analysis indicated the robustness of this meta-analysis. The Begg's test manifested that there was no publication bias (P = 0.2734). Our findings demonstrated that HIV infection was independently associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality in COVID-19 patients. Further well-designed studies based on prospective study estimates are warranted to confirm our findings.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; HIV; Meta-analysis; Mortality
Year: 2022 PMID: 35695974 PMCID: PMC9189270 DOI: 10.1007/s10238-022-00840-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Exp Med ISSN: 1591-8890 Impact factor: 5.057
Fig. 1Flow chart of the process of study selection of PRISMA
The general information of the eligible studies in the meta-analysis
| Author | Location | Study design | Sample size | Age | Male (%) | HIV (n/%) | Adjusted effect (95% CI) | Outcome | Setting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrish M | USA | Retrospective study | 469 | 54.49 ± 16.19 | 59.5 | 37 (7.89) | HR: 3.53 (1.57–4.03) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Bennett KE | Ireland | Retrospective study | 19,789 | NR | NR | 364 (1.84) | OR: 1.24 (0.77–2.00) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Bergman J | Swedish | Retrospective study | 68,575 | 46 ± 21 | 39.1 | 84 (0.12) | HR: 1.24 (0.56–2.77) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Bhaskaran K | UK | Retrospective study | 17,282,905 | 50.0 ± 22.2 | 50.0 | 27,840 (0.16) | HR: 2.90 (1.96–4.30) | Mortality | All patients |
| Brown AE | UK | Retrospective study | 45,657,664 | NR | 68.63 | 92,643 (0.20) | RR: 2.18 (1.76–2.70) | Death | All patients |
| Bushman D | USA | Case–control study | 1029 | 56 (23–64) | 65.5 | 28 (2.72) | OR: 2.42 (1.05–5.59) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Cai M | USA | Retrospective study | 49,238 | 63.3 (49.8–73.1) | 88.50 | 504 (1.02) | OR: 1.05 (0.67–1.58) | 30-day mortality | All patients |
| Chanda D | Zambia | Prospective study | 443 | NR | 57.3 | 122 (27.54) | HR: 0.88 (0.49–1.56) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Choi YJ | South Korea | Retrospective study | 7590 | 47.3 | 40.8 | 7 (0.09) | OR: 7.080 (0.462–108.575) | Mortality | All patients |
| Deiana G | Italy | Matched case–control study | 1223 | 58.47 (45.3–78.3) | 40.8 | NR | OR: 1.8 (0.2–13.5) | Deceased | All patients |
| Durstenfeld MS | USA | Retrospective study | 21,528 | 62.24 ± 17.87 | 54.09 | 220 (1.02) | OR: 1.14 (0.78–1.68) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Emami A | Iran | Retrospective study | 1239 | 51.48 ± 19.54 | 55.9 | 5 (0.40) | HR: 10.46 (3.27–33.45) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Filardo TD | USA | Retrospective study | 270 | 58 (50–67) | 67.4 | 5 (1.85) | RR: 1.46 (0.49–4.31) | Mortality | Hospitalized |
| Ge E | Canada | Retrospective study | 167,500 | 42.7 (21.9) | 48.00 | 332 (0.20) | HR: 1.60(0.85–3.00) | 30-day all-cause mortality | All patients |
| Geretti AM | UK | Prospective study | 47,592 | 72.7 ± 17.8 | 56.9 | 122 (0.26) | HR: 1.69 (1.15–2.48) | 28-day mortality | Hospitalized |
| Janssen NAF | Netherland, Belgium | Retrospective study | 519 | 64 (55–72) | 72.80 | 6 (1.16) | OR: 18.96 (1.84–195.11) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Jassat W | South Africa | Retrospective study | 151,779 | 53.4 | 44.9 | 13,793 (9.09) | OR: 1.23 (1.15–1.33) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Kabarriti R | USA | Retrospective study | 5902 | 57.5 (mean) | 46.9 | 92 (1.56) | HR: 0.88 (0.51–1.51) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Kaplan-Lewis E | USA | Retrospective study | 304 | 55.33 ± 13.4 | 70.07 | 110 (36.18) | OR: 0.41 (0.19–0.86) | Mortality | All patients |
| Kelly JD | USA | Prospective study | 27,640 | 56.03 | 88.6 | 332 (1.20) | OR: 1.03 (0.58–1.83) | 30-day Mortality | All patients |
| Laracy J | USA | Retrospective study | 340 | 58.4 ± 12.7 | 71 | 68 (20) | HR: 0.9 (0.3–2.3) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Lee SG | Korea | Retrospective study | 7339 | 47.1 ± 19.0 | 40.1 | 4 (0.05) | OR: 106.93 (6.38- > 999) | Death | All patients |
| Li S | USA | Retrospective study | 6218 | 59.0 ± 19.1 | 47.60 | 35 (0.56) | OR: 1.077 (0.172–6.753) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Lundon DJ | USA | Cross-sectional analysis | 8928 | 58.0 ± 18.8 | 46.2 | 140 (1.57) | OR: 1.37 (0.91–2.05) | Mortality | Hospitalized |
| Makker J | USA | Retrospective study | 1206 | 62.0 ± 12.0 | 60.70 | 79 (6.55) | OR: 0.54 (0.24–1.23) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Mascarello KC | Brazil | Cross-sectional analysis | 104,359 | 42.2 | 46.9 | NR | RR: 2.40 (1.26–4.57) | Death | All patients |
| Mollalo Aa | USA | Retrospective study | NR | NR | NR | NR | OR: 1.23 ( 0.52–2.91) | Mortality | All patients |
| Oh TK | South Korea | Retrospective study | 8070 | 49.34 | 39.5 | 9 (0.11) | HR: 0.96 (0.68–1.35) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Orlando V | Italy | Retrospective study | 3497 | NR | 55.6 | 68 (1.94) | OR: 1.04 (0.58–1.86) | Death | All patients |
| Osibogun A | Nigeria | Retrospective study | 2184 | 43 (33–55) | 65.8 | 7 (0.32) | OR: 16.13 (2.74–95.07) | Death | Hospitalized |
| Paul Ra | USA | Retrospective study | 3104 | NR | NR | 301 (9.70) | RR: 1.002 (1.000–1.004) | Mortality | All patients |
| Perez-Guzman PN | UK | Retrospective study | 614 | 69 (56.5–81.5) | 62.21 | 9 (1.47) | OR: 1.32 (0.24–7.36) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Robles-Pérez E | USA | Retrospective study | 70,531 | NR | 43.2 | 70 (0.10) | OR: 6.97 (1.92–25.28) | Death | All patients |
| Rosenthal N | USA | Prospective study | 64,781 | 56.1 ± 19.9 | 49.3 | 252 (0.39) | OR: 0.68 (0.44–1.04) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Semenzato L | France | Retrospective study | 66,050,590 | 43 ± 24 | 48 | 146,204 (0.22) | HR: 1.93 (1.51- 2.47) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| Sohrabi MR | Iran | Prospective study | 205,645 | 52.8 ± 21.1 | 54.5 | 154 (0.07) | OR: 1.77 (1.053–2.973) | Mortality | Hospitalized |
| Venturas J | South Africa | Prospective study | 384 | 50 (39–60) | 53 | 108 (28.13) | OR: 0.50 (0.20–1.40) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
| WCPHDCb | the Western Cape | Cohort study | 22,308 | NR | 31.6 | 3978 (17.83) | HR: 2.14 (1.70–2.70) | Death | All patients |
| Yang X | USA | Cohort study | 1,436,622 | 47 (32–61) | 44.96 | 13,170 (0.92) | OR: 1.43 (1.29–1.59) | Death | All patients |
| Zimmermann IR | Brazil | Retrospective study | 398,063 | 61.5 | 55.5 | 467 (0.12) | HR: 1.360 (1.13–1.63) | In-hospital mortality | Hospitalized |
The age (years) was presented as mean ± standard deviation or median (interquartile range, IQR); CI, confidence interval; NR, not clearly reported; USA, The United states of America; UK, The United Kingdom; a indicates combined effects based on subgroups; b indicates Western Cape Department of Health in collaboration with the National Institute
Fig. 2Forest plot presents the relationship between HIV infection and COVID-19 mortality with pooled effect and its 95% confidence intervals (CI). * indicates combined effects based on subgroups; ** indicates Western Cape Department of Health in collaboration with the National Institute
Subgroup analysis and meta-regression
| Variables | No. of studies | Meta-regression | Subgroup analysis | Heterogeneity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tau2 | Z-Value | Pooled Effect (95% CI) | ||||||
| Age (years) | 0.1392 | − | 0.6579 | |||||
| ≥ 60 | 7 | − | − 0.9049 | 0.3655 | 1.25 (0.95 − 1.65) | 54% | 0.0584 | 0.04 |
| < 60 | 25 | − | − | − | 1.50 (1.25 − 1.81) | 79% | 0.1058 | < 0.01 |
| NR | 8 | − | − 0.3686 | 0.7124 | 1.42 (0.97 − 2.10) | 93% | 0.2360 | < 0.01 |
| Male (%) | 0.1044 | − | 0.2859 | |||||
| ≥ 50 | 21 | − | 0.1127 | 0.9103 | 1.50 (1.16 − 1.94) | 79% | 0.2186 | < 0.01 |
| < 50 | 16 | − | − | − | 1.45 (1.20 − 1.74) | 78% | 0.0650 | < 0.01 |
| NR | 3 | − | − 1.4583 | 0.8802 | 1.002 (1.000 − 1.004) | 0% | 0 | 0.84 |
| Sample size | 0.1026 | − | 0.7892 | |||||
| ≥ 8000 | 20 | − | 0.6288 | 0.5295 | 1.47 (1.28 − 1.70) | 80% | 0.0606 | < 0.01 |
| < 8000 | 19 | − | − | − | 1.52 (1.04 − 2.22) | 80% | 0.3879 | < 0.01 |
| NR | 1 | − 0.1521 | 0.8791 | 1.23 (0.52 − 2.91) | − | − | − | |
| Setting | 0.1341 | − 0.9378 | 0.3483 | |||||
| All patients | 16 | − | − | − | 1.58 (1.23 − 2.03) | 93% | 0.1543 | < 0.01 |
| Hospitalized | 24 | − | − | − | 1.34 (1.12 − 1.61) | 73% | 0.0964 | < 0.01 |
| Study design | 0.0880 | − | 0.0826 | |||||
| Retrospective study | 28 | − | − 2.2147 | 0.0268 | 1.45 (1.23 − 1.71) | 89% | 0.0894 | < 0.01 |
| Prospective study | 6 | − | − 1.1487 | 0.2507 | 1.05 (0.71 − 1.55) | 69% | 0.1516 | < 0.01 |
| Other | 6 | − | − | − | 1.75 (1.36 − 2.24) | 62% | 0.0438 | 0.02 |
| Region | 0.1007 | − | 0.1033 | |||||
| Asia | 5 | − | 1.2369 | 0.2161 | 3.99 (1.37 − 11.60) | 87% | 0.9965 | < 0.01 |
| Europe | 11 | − | 0.9406 | 0.3469 | 1.74 (1.37 − 2.20) | 57% | 0.0704 | < 0.01 |
| Americas | 19 | − | − 0.5381 | 0.5905 | 1.23 (1.03 − 1.47) | 85% | 0.0771 | < 0.01 |
| Africa | 5 | − | − | − | 1.38 (0.87 − 2.20) | 88% | 0.1811 | < 0.01 |
| Effect | 0.1202 | − | 0.1361 | |||||
| OR | 23 | − | − 1.9172 | 0.0552 | 1.20 (1.01 − 1.44) | 69% | 0.0667 | < 0.01 |
| RR | 4 | − | − 0.1810 | 0.8564 | 1.64 (0.91 − 2.96) | 95% | 0.2864 | < 0.01 |
| HR | 13 | − | − | − | 1.67 (1.30 − 2.15) | 80% | 0.1423 | < 0.01 |
NR, not clearly reported; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; RR, risk ratio; HR, hazard ratio
Fig. 3Sensitivity analysis for pooled effect and 95% CI by deleting single study at a time. * indicates combined effects based on subgroups; ** indicates Western Cape Department of Health in collaboration with the National Institute
Fig. 4Publication bias in Begg’s test based on funnel plot