| Literature DB >> 33587137 |
Jeffrey J Bazarian1, Robert J Elbin2, Douglas J Casa3, Gillian A Hotz4, Christopher Neville5, Rebecca M Lopez6, David M Schnyer7, Susan Yeargin8, Tracey Covassin9.
Abstract
Importance: An objective, reliable indicator of the presence and severity of concussive brain injury and of the readiness for the return to activity has the potential to reduce concussion-related disability. Objective: To validate the classification accuracy of a previously derived, machine learning, multimodal, brain electrical activity-based Concussion Index in an independent cohort of athletes with concussion. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective diagnostic cohort study was conducted at 10 clinical sites (ie, US universities and high schools) between February 4, 2017, and March 20, 2019. A cohort comprising a consecutive sample of 207 athletes aged 13 to 25 years with concussion and 373 matched athlete controls without concussion were assessed with electroencephalography, cognitive testing, and symptom inventories within 72 hours of injury, at return to play, and 45 days after return to play. Variables from the multimodal assessment were used to generate a Concussion Index at each time point. Athletes with concussion had experienced a witnessed head impact, were removed from play for 5 days or more, and had an initial Glasgow Coma Scale score of 13 to 15. Participants were excluded for known neurologic disease or history within the last year of traumatic brain injury. Athlete controls were matched to athletes with concussion for age, sex, and type of sport played. Main Outcomes and Measures: Classification accuracy of the Concussion Index at time of injury using a prespecified cutoff of 70 or less (total range, 0-100, where ≤70 indicates it is likely the individual has a concussion and >70 indicates it is likely the individual does not have a concussion).Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33587137 PMCID: PMC7885039 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.37349
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JAMA Netw Open ISSN: 2574-3805
Figure 1. Flowchart of Participant Enrollment and Study Population
EEG indicates electroencephalogram; RTP, return to play.
Characteristics of Study Participants
| Characteristic | Participants, No. (%) | |
|---|---|---|
| Controls (n = 373) | Athletes with concussion (n = 207) | |
| Age, y | ||
| Mean (SD) | 19.6 (2.2) | 19.4 (2.5) |
| Median (range) | 19.8 (13.1-25.9) | 19.6 (13.1-25.8) |
| Sex | ||
| Male | 187 (50.1) | 124 (59.9) |
| Female | 186 (49.9) | 83 (40.1) |
| Day 0 CSI score | ||
| Mean (SD) | 2.25 (4.00) | 27.20 (20.42) |
| Median (range) | 1.00 (0.00-26.00) | 24.00 (1.00-82.00) |
| Sport | ||
| Football | 28 (7.5) | 41 (19.8) |
| Soccer | 47 (12.6) | 29 (14.0) |
| Basketball | 17 (4.6) | 12 (5.8) |
| Lacrosse | 12 (3.2) | 11 (5.3) |
| Rugby | 19 (5.1) | 7 (3.4) |
| Other sport | 148 (39.7) | 41 (19.8) |
| Loss of consciousness | NA | 20 (9.7) |
| Return to play, d | ||
| Mean (SD) | NA | 20.1 (17.3) |
| Median (range) | NA | 16 (3-140) |
| RTP ≥14 d | NA | 118 (57.0) |
| RTP <14 d | NA | 89 (43.0) |
Abbreviations: CSI, Concussion Symptom Inventory; NA, not applicable; RTP, return to play.
Control group includes matched controls (n = 256) and preseason controls (n = 150). A table with separate columns for matched and preseason controls are provided in the eTable in the Supplement. Because no pairwise analyses were performed, all “usable” cases were included in the analysis, thus accounting for different numbers for matched controls and participants with concussion.
Number of Positive (Likely Concussed) and Negative (Likely Not Concussed) Concussion Index Test Results for Participants With or Without Concussion on Day-of-Injury Assessment
| Participants | Concussion index test result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Negative | Positive | ||
| Controls | 264 | 109 | 373 |
| Athletes with concussion | 29 | 178 | 207 |
| Total | 293 | 287 | 580 |
EEG and Neurocognitive Features With the Highest Contribution to the Concussion Index
| Algorithm feature | Weighted | |
|---|---|---|
| Controls | Athletes with concussion | |
| Phase synchrony between hemispheres (high frequencies) | 0.10 | −1.20 |
| Phase synchrony between hemispheres (total power) | 0.24 | −0.36 |
| Absolute asymmetry within hemispheres (alpha band) | 10.06 | 7.50 |
| Interhemispheric coherence (beta band) | 0.01 | −1.51 |
| Neurocognitive test-procedural RT throughput ( | 1.42 | −2.24 |
Abbreviations: EEG, electroencephalography; RT, reaction time.
Mean values for independent validation population for the z scores most associated with the Concussion Index algorithm. When reporting group mean z scores, the square root of the group size needs to be taken into account to accurately assess the significance of the differences between groups.
Figure 2. Longitudinal Change in Concussion Index Among Athletes With or Without Concussion
Concussion index value at day 0, return to play (RTP) and RTP+45 days, in the athletes with or without concussion. The dotted line indicates the threshold for the Concussion Index, where more than 70 is not concussed and 70 or less is concussed. Vertical lines indicate the 95% CI.
aSignificance of the difference on day 0 between the mean Concussion Index among athletes with concussion compared with those without concussion (P < .001), with the Concussion Index significantly lower among the athletes with concussion.
bAmong athletes without concussion, significant noninferiority (equivalence) in the mean Concussion Index between day 0 and RTP+45 days was found, with the Concussion Index of 78% of athletes with concussion exceeding the 90th percentile Concussion Index of athletes without concussion.