| Literature DB >> 33458681 |
Gregory B Rehm1, Irene Cortés-Puch2, Brooks T Kuhn2, Jimmy Nguyen3, Sarina A Fazio2, Michael A Johnson4, Nicholas R Anderson5, Chen-Nee Chuah6, Jason Y Adams2.
Abstract
To develop and characterize a machine learning algorithm to discriminate acute respiratory distress syndrome from other causes of respiratory failure using only ventilator waveform data.Entities:
Keywords: acute respiratory distress syndrome; classification; critical care; mechanical ventilation; population surveillance; respiratory failure
Year: 2021 PMID: 33458681 PMCID: PMC7803688 DOI: 10.1097/CCE.0000000000000313
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care Explor ISSN: 2639-8028
Clinical Characteristics of Study Subjects
| ARDS ( | Non-ARDS ( | |
|---|---|---|
| Age (median [IQR]) | 57 (38–65) | 58 (49–67) |
| Female ( | 13 (26) | 23 (46) |
| Body mass index (median [IQR]) | 26.4 (22.3–33.8) | 25.9 (22.1–28.7) |
| Obstructive lung disease ( | ||
| COPD | 0 (0) | 12 (24) |
| Asthma | 0 (0) | 5 (10) |
| Reason for ICU admission ( | ||
| Acute hypoxemic respiratory failure | 24 (48) | — |
| COPD/asthma exacerbation | — | 17 (34) |
| Sepsis | 11 (22) | — |
| Metabolic encephalopathy/drug overdose | 2 (4) | 15 (30) |
| Airway edema/anaphylaxis | — | 5 (10) |
| Stroke | — | 4 (8) |
| Cardiac arrest | 9 (18) | 3 (6) |
| Heart failure | — | 2 (4) |
| Upper gastrointestinal bleeding | — | 2 (4) |
| Trauma/surgery | 3 (6) | 2 (4) |
| Pancreatitis | 1 (2) | — |
| Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (median [IQR]) | 13 (10–16) | 7.5 (5–10) |
| Days from intubation to Berlin criteria (median [IQR]) | 0.1 (0.0–0.2) | — |
| Median Pa | 176 (134–210) | 318 (267–423) |
| Worst Pa | 108 (66–137) | 278 (147–385) |
| ARDS insult type ( | ||
| Pneumonia | 18 (36) | — |
| Aspiration | 14 (28) | — |
| Nonpulmonary sepsis | 10 (20) | — |
| Trauma | 2 (4) | — |
| Diffuse alveolar hemorrhage | 2 (4) | — |
| Pancreatitis | 1 (2) | — |
| Other | 3 (6) | — |
| Hospital length of stay (median [IQR]) | 13.3 (6.6–25.4) | 7.0 (4.2–13.4) |
| Hospital mortality ( | 24 (48) | 10 (20) |
| Ventilator-free days in 28 d (median [IQR]) | 6.6 (0–23.0) | 25.3 (10.6–26.9) |
ARDS = acute respiratory distress syndrome, COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, IQR = interquartile range.
Model Performance Statistics for Both Train 24-/Test 24-hr (24/24) and Train 24-/Test 6-hr (24/6) Models
| Model | Train/Test Split ( | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive Predictive Value | Negative Predictive Value | Area Under the Curve | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Train 24/Test 24 | 80/20 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 1.0 | 0.98 |
| — | — | 2 | 1.0 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.0 | 0.92 |
| — | — | 3 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| — | — | 4 | 0.80 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| — | — | 5 | 1.0 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 0.79 |
| — | Not applicable | Mean of five | 0.90 ± 0.059 | 0.71 ± 0.089 | 0.77 ± 0.082 | 0.90 ± 0.059 | 0.88 ± 0.064 |
| Train 24/Test 6 | 80/14 | Mean of five | 0.90 ± 0.07 | 0.75 ± 0.101 | 0.83 ± 0.088 | 0.83 ± 0.088 | 0.89 ± 0.073 |
Mean (with 95% CIs) performance across all five k-folds is shown for both models, and results of individual k-folds are displayed for the 24/24 model to illustrate the spectrum of performance variability. Note that only 70 subjects had ventilator waveform data available in the first 6 hr, resulting in a smaller sample size for the test cohort in the 24/6 model (see Supplemental Digital Content Table 8, http://links.lww.com/CCX/A480, for individual k-fold results of the 24/6 model).
Performance Characteristics of the Train 24/Test 24-hr (24/24) Model for Detection of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Across Deciles of Voting Thresholds, Illustrating the Tunable Nature of Our Two-Step Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Classification Methodology
| % Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Votes in First 24 hr | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive Predictive Value | Negative Predictive Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.99 ± 0.02 | 0.4 ± 0.096 | 0.63 ± 0.095 | 0.99 ± 0.02 |
| 20 | 0.97 ± 0.033 | 0.51 ± 0.098 | 0.68 ± 0.091 | 0.96 ± 0.038 |
| 30 | 0.96 ± 0.038 | 0.58 ± 0.097 | 0.71 ± 0.089 | 0.96 ± 0.038 |
| 40 | 0.92 ± 0.053 | 0.63 ± 0.095 | 0.74 ± 0.086 | 0.92 ± 0.053 |
| 50 | 0.9 ± 0.059 | 0.71 ± 0.089 | 0.77 ± 0.082 | 0.91 ± 0.056 |
| 60 | 0.87 ± 0.066 | 0.77 ± 0.082 | 0.81 ± 0.077 | 0.87 ± 0.066 |
| 70 | 0.81 ± 0.077 | 081 ± 0.077 | 0.83 ± 0.074 | 0.83 ± 0.074 |
| 80 | 0.75 ± 0.085 | 0.85 ± 0.07 | 0.85 ± 0.07 | 0.79 ± 0.08 |
| 90 | 0.68 ± 0.091 | 0.87 ± 0.066 | 0.86 ± 0.068 | 0.74 ± 0.086 |
| 100 | 0.57 ± 0.097 | 0.91 ± 0.056 | 0.86 ± 0.068 | 0.69 ± 0.091 |