| Literature DB >> 33203241 |
Zorica Buser1, Patrick Hsieh2, Hans-Joerg Meisel3, Andrea C Skelly4, Erika D Brodt4, Darrel S Brodke5, Jong-Beom Park6, S Tim Yoon7, Jeffrey Wang1.
Abstract
STUDYEntities:
Keywords: BMA; autologous stem cells; fusion rate; lumbar spine; systematic review
Year: 2020 PMID: 33203241 PMCID: PMC8453670 DOI: 10.1177/2192568220973190
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Global Spine J ISSN: 2192-5682
Figure 1.An overview of the patients, interventions and outcomes considered for these questions.
Figure 2.PRISM Chart.
Summary of Patient Demographics and Surgical Characteristics for Comparative Studies Evaluating the Use of Autologous Stem Cells for Primary or Revision Lumbar Fusion.
| Author, | Demographics (mean or %) | Diagnosis | Surgical approach | Treatment groups* | Level, % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary lumbar fusion | |||||
| BMA vs. Autograft | |||||
| Ploumis 2010 | N = 28 | Degenerative lumbar | Instrumented PLF and decompression (laminectomy and medial facetectomies) |
Group 1 (n = 12): BMA (iliac crest) + Healos sponge + autograft (local) Group 2 (n = 16): cancellous allograft + autograft (local) | Single and multi-level (range 1-3, L1-S1) |
| Vaccaro 2007 | N = 73 | Discogenic or mechanical LBP due to DDD or degenerative | Instrumented PLF with various concomitant surgery‡ |
Group 1 (n = 19): BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (local) Group 2 (n = 27): DBM putty + autograft (iliac crest) Group 3 (n = 27): Autograft (iliac crest) alone | Single Level: 57.5% (42/73) |
| Neen 2006 | N = 100 | Lumbar back/leg pain | PLF (30%), PLIF (26%), 360° front and back fusion (44%)** | Group 1 (n = 50) Group 2 (n = 50) | Number of levels NR |
| BMA vs. Allograft | |||||
| Hart 2014 | N = 80 | DDD or degenerative spondylolisthesis of the lumbar or lumbosacral spine | Instrumented PLF | Spongious allograft chips and: Group 1 (n = 40): concentrated† BMA (iliac crest) Group 2 (n = 40): no BMA | Single and multi-level (range 1-3) |
| Revision lumbar fusion | |||||
| Taghavi 2010 | N = 62 | Symptomatic pseudarthrosis (pain and/or | Instrumented lumbar PLF | Group 1 (n = 18) Group 2 (n = 24) Group 3 (n = 20) | Single level: 48.4% (30/62) |
| Comparative studies evaluating subgroups (included for KQ3 only) | |||||
| Ajiboye 2018 | N = 80 | Degenerative disease of | Instrumented lumbar or lumbosacral | Concentrated BMA (iliac crest) + DBM + spongious allograft chips: Group 1 (n = 14): patients age ≥65 years Group 2 (n = 17): patients age <65 years | Single and multi-level (range, 1-3) |
| Epstein 2015 | N = 258 | Stenosis/ossification of the yellow ligament†† | Non-instrumented lumbar PLF | Group 3 (n = 20): ICBG only and age ≥65 years Group 1 (n = 213): Vitoss (form of Beta Tri-Calcium Phosphate) Group 2 (n = 45): NanOss | Multi-level |
BMA = bone marrow aspirate; CBM = cancellous bone marrow; DBM = demineralized bone matrix; DDD = degenerative disc disease; HA = hydroxyapatite; MSCs = mesenchymal stem cells; NR = not reported; PLIF = posterior lumbar interbody fusion; PLF = posterolateral fusion.
* Unconcentrated BMA unless otherwise indicated.
† Leukocytes (with residual platelets) were concentrated, approximately 10 times, together with MSCs; the achieved MSCs concentration was 0.01% to 0.02% (1.74 x 104/L on average; range: 1.06–1.98 x 104/L) of all nucleated bone marrow elements (1–10 x 106/L) in all specimens.
‡Concomitant surgeries included discectomy (38%), laminectomy (73%), posterior lumbar interbody fusion (PLIF) (38%), anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) (6%), and other (21%).
§With subsets exhibiting degenerative spondylolisthesis (82.9%), synovial cysts (20.9%), and disc disease (43.4%).
** All procedures involved pedicle screw instrumentation and posterolateral fusion plus or minus the use of interbody cages.
††With subsets exhibiting degenerative spondylolisthesis (82.9%), synovial cysts (20.9%), and disc disease (43.4%).
Summary of Primary Clinical Outcomes From Comparative Studies of Autologous BMA Versus Autograft for Primary Lumbar Fusion.
| Intervention (I) | Fusion Approach | Author (year) | Outcome | F/U | Intervention (BMA) | Comparison (Autograft) | Effect Estimate p-value* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Function | |||||||
| I: NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos + local autograft | PLF | Ploumis 2010§ | 0 mos. | 77.6 (2.0) | 76.2 (1.2) | NS | |
| 24 mos. | 31. (3.46) | 32.7 (4.0) | MD −1.1 (95% | ||||
| I: NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos | PLF, PLIF or 360° | Neen 2006 | 24 mos. | 88% (44/50) | 92% (46/50) | NS | |
| 24 mos. | 12% (6/50) | 8% (4/50) | NS | ||||
| Pain | |||||||
| I: NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos + local autograft | PLF | Ploumis 2010§ | 0 mos. | Back: 4.2 (0.7) (n = 12) | Back: 4.2 (0.8) (n = 16) | NS | |
| 24 mos. | 3.6 (0.3)‡ | 3.5 (0.4)‡ | NS | ||||
| I: NC-BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (lamina) | PLF alone or with PLIF or with ALIF | Vaccaro 2007 | 24 mos. | 18 | C1: 26 | 0.450 | |
|
| 24 mos. | 26 | C1: 32 | 0.838 |
BMA = bone marrow aspirate; ICBG: iliac crest bone graft (autograft); LBOS = Low Back Outcome Score; NC-BMA = nonconcentrated bone marrow aspirate; ODI = Oswestry Disability Index; Pro = prospective study design; Retro = retrospective study design; RoB = risk of bias; NA = not applicable.
* As reported by authors.
† LBOS (0-75, higher scores = better function) is graded as follows:
• Success = excellent (≥65) or good (50-64); for the intervention and comparison groups, the proportion of excellent results was 42% (21/50) vs. 44% (22/50) and good results was 46% (23/50) vs. 48% (24/50).
• Failure = fair (25-49) or poor (<25); for the intervention and comparison groups, the proportion of fair results was 8% (4/50) vs. 6% (3/50) and poor results was 4% (2/50) vs. 2% (1/50).
‡Authors did not specify whether this was back or leg pain VAS.
§Where standard errors (SE) were reported, values were used to estimate standard deviation (SD): SD = SE*SQRT(n).
Summary of Clinical and Safety Outcomes From the Retrospective Cohort Study by Taghavi et al. 2010 Comparing Autologous BMA Versus Autograft and Versus rh-BMP-2 for Revision Posterolateral Lumbar Fusion.
| Intervention | Comparators | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | F/U | BMA* (iliac crest) + DBM + allograft chips, (n = 18) | Autograft (iliac crest), (n = 20) | rh-BMP-2, (n = 24) | p-value† |
| Clinical outcomes | |||||
| 0 mos. | 8.2 (NR) | 7.9 (NR) | 8.1 (NR) | NS | |
| 1.5 mos. | 4.0 (NR) | 3.5 (NR) | 3.3 (NR) | NS | |
| 6 mos. | 4.2 (NR) | 3.5 (NR) | 3.6 (NR) | NS | |
| 12 mos. | 4.2 (NR) | 3.8 (NR) | 3.5 (NR) | NS | |
| 24 mos. | 4.2 (NR) | 3.8 (NR) | 3.8 (NR) | NS | |
| 0 mos. | 7.9 (NR) | 7.7 (NR) | 7.8 (NR) | NS | |
| 1.5 mos. | 3.6 (NR) | 3.1 (NR) | 3.0 (NR) | NS | |
| 6 mos. | 3.9 (NR) | 3.3 (NR) | 3.2 (NR) | NS | |
| 12 mos. | 3.9 (NR) | 3.4 (NR) | 3.2 (NR) | NS | |
| 24 mos. | 3.9 (NR) | 3.5 (NR) | 3.4 (NR) | NS | |
| mean 28 mos. | 78% (14/18) | 100% (20/20) | 100% (24/24) | 0.005 | |
|
| |||||
| Pseudarthrosis | mean 28 mos. | 22.2% (4/18) | 0% (0/20) | 0% (0/24) | NR |
| Persistent donor site pain | 24 mos. | 0% (0/18) | 20.0% (4/20) | 0% (0/24) | NR |
| Dural tear (small, repaired during index surgery) | mean 28 mos. | 0% (0/18) | 5.0% (1/20) | 4.2% (1/24) | NR |
| Instrumentation removal due to persistent irritation | mean 28 mos. | 5.6% (1/18) | 10.0% (2/20) | 8.3% (2/24) | NR |
| Additional revision surgery | mean 28 mos. | 16.7% (3/18) | 0% (0/20) | 0% (0/24) | NR |
BMA = bone marrow aspirate; ICBG: iliac crest bone graft (autograft); LBOS = Low Back Outcome Score; NC-BMA = nonconcentrated bone marrow aspirate; ODI = Oswestry Disability Index; Pro = prospective study design; Retro = retrospective study design; RoB= risk of bias; NA = not applicable.
* Unconcentrated.
† For BMA versus both comparators (autograft and rh-BMP-2), as reported by authors.
Summary of Fusion Rates From Comparative Studies of Autologous BMA for Primary Lumbar Fusion.
| Proportion of patients fused* | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intervention | Comparison | Fusion approach | Author (year) | F/U (months) | Intervention % (n/N) | Comparator % (n/N) | p-value† |
| BMA vs. Autograft | |||||||
| NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® + local autograft | Cancellous allograft + local autograft | PLF | Ploumis 2010 | 24 mos. | 92% (11/12) | 94% (15/16) | NS |
| NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® | Autograft (iliac crest) | PLF, PLIF, or 360° | Neen 2006 | 24 mos. | 84% (42/50) | 94% (47/50) | NS |
| NC-BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (lamina) | DBM putty + autograft (iliac crest) | PLF alone, or +PLIF or +ALIF | Vaccaro 2007 | 24 mos. | 63% (12/19) | 70% (19/27) | 0.875 |
| Autograft (iliac crest) | 63% (12/19) | 67% (18/27) | 0.875 | ||||
|
| |||||||
| C-BMA (iliac crest) + spongious allograft chips | Spongious allograft chips | PLF | Hart 2014 | 12 mos. | Radiograph: | 0.004 | |
| 24 mos. | Radiograph: | Radiograph: | |||||
ALIF = anterior lumbar interbody fusion; BMA = bone marrow aspirate; C-BMA = concentrated BMA; CT = computed tomography; DBM = demineralized bone matrix; NA = Not applicable; NC-BMA = nonconcentrated BMA; NR = not reported; PLF = posterolateral fusion; PLIF = posterior lumbar interbody fusion; ROB= risk of bias; TLIF = transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion
* Fusion was assessed on radiograph unless otherwise indicated. See Appendix Table G7 for fusion criteria across studies.
†p-value as reported by the authors.
Summary of Complications From Comparative Studies of Autologous BMA for Primary Lumbar Fusion.
| Adverse event | Author | Intervention | Comparison | F/U | BMA % (n/N) | Comparator % (n/N) | p-value† |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pseudarthrosis* | BMA vs. Autograft | ||||||
| Ploumis 2010 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® + local autograft | Cancellous allograft + local autograft | 24 mos. | 8.4% (1/12) | 6.3% (1/16) | NS | |
| Neen 2006 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® | Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 16% (8/50) | 6% (3/50) | NS | |
| Vaccaro 2007 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (lamina) | DBM putty + autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 36.8% (7/19) | 29.6% (8/27) | NS | |
| Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 36.8% (7/19) | 33.3% (9/27) | NS | |||
| BMA vs. Allograft | |||||||
| Hart 2014 | C-BMA (iliac crest) + spongious allograft chips | Spongious allograft chips | 12 mos. | Radiograph: | 0.004 | ||
| 24 mos. | Radiograph: | Radiograph: | 0.003 | ||||
| BMA vs. Autograft | |||||||
| DVT | Ploumis 2010, RCT | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® + local autograft | Cancellous allograft + local autograft | 24 mos. | 8.4% (1/12) | 0% (0/16) | NR |
| Neen 2006 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® | Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 2% (1/50) | 2% (1/50) | NR | |
| Donor site pain | Neen 2006 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® | Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 0% (0/50) | 14% (7/50) | NR |
| Vaccaro 2007 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (lamina) | DBM putty + autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 66.7% (12/18) | 81.5% (22/27) | 0.35 | |
| Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 66.7% (12/18) | 84.6% (22/26) | 0.35 | |||
| Superficial wound infection | Ploumis 2010, RCT | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® + local autograft | Cancellous allograft + local autograft | 24 mos. | 8.4% (1/12) | 0% (0/16) | NR |
| L-5 radiculopathy | 24 mos. | 0% (0/12) | 6.3% (1/16) | NR | |||
| Any complications | 24 mos. | 16.7% (2/12) | 6.3% (1/16) | NR | |||
| Deep infection | Neen 2006 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + Healos® | Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 2% (1/50) | 2% (1/50) | NR |
| Transient nerve root palsy | 24 mos. | 2% (1/50) | 2% (1/50) | NR | |||
| Temporary cauda equine syndrome | 24 mos. | 2% (1/50) | 0% (0/50) | NR | |||
| Urinary tract infection | 24 mos. | 0% (0/50) | 2% (1/50) | NR | |||
| Fatal pulmonary embolus | 24 mos. | 2% (1/50) | 0% (0/50) | NR | |||
| Overall complications | 24 mos. | 10% (5/50) | 22% (11/50) | NR | |||
| Postoperative infections | Vaccaro 2007 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (lamina) | DBM putty + autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 5.3% (1/19) | 7.4% (2/27) | 0.95 |
| Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 5.3% (1/19) | 7.4% (2/27) | 0.95 | |||
| Intraoperative (not further specified) | Vaccaro 2007 | NC-BMA (iliac crest) + DBM putty + autograft (lamina) | DBM putty + autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 0% (0/19) | 3.7% (1/27) | 0.45 |
| Autograft (iliac crest) | 24 mos. | 0% (0/19) | 7.4% (2/27) | 0.45 | |||
| BMA vs. Allograft | |||||||
| Hematoma (requiring subsequent revision surgery and drainage) | Hart 2014 | C-BMA (iliac crest) + spongious allograft chips | Spongious allograft chips | 24 mos. | 5% (2/40) | 5% (2/40) | NR |
*Fusion/pseudarthrosis was assessed on radiograph unless otherwise indicated. See Appendix Table G7 for fusion criteria across studies. DVT?
† As reported by authors.
Evidence Summary: Overall Quality (strength) of Evidence for Effectiveness and Safety Autologous Cells for Primary Lumbar Fusion.
| Outcome | Studies | Serious risk of bias | Serious inconsistency | Serious Indirectness | Serious Imprecision | Overall quality of Evidence | Findings (Intervention vs. Control(s)) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unconcentrated BMA (iliac crest) vs. Autograft or Autograft +Allograft | |||||||
|
| |||||||
| 1 RCT (N = 28) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Low |
No statistical difference between groups in mean ODI score at 24 months: 31.6% ± 3.5% vs. 32.7% ± 4.0%, p = NS (mean change from baseline −46.0% vs. −43.5%). Sample sizes were small. | |
| VAS Pain, NOS* (mean) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Low |
No statistical difference between groups in mean VAS pain (NOS)* scores at 24 months: 3.6 ± 0.3 vs. 3.5 ± 0.4, p = NS. Sample sizes were small. | |
| Fusion (%) ¶ | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Low |
Similar, high rate of fusion in both groups at 24 months: 92% (11/12) vs. 94% (15/16). Time to fusion was statistically longer in the BMA group (mean 10.9 ± 8.3 vs. mean 8.0 ± 11.6 months, p < 0.05) | |
| Harms/adverse events | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Low | No statistical difference between groups in frequency of: The authors report no cases of toxicity attributable to Healos, ectopic bone formation, or recurrence of spinal stenosis Sample sizes were small. | |
| Nonrandomized comparative studies | |||||||
| 1 Retrospective cohort (N = 100) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low |
No statistical difference between groups in the proportion of patients who achieved | |
| NASS Low Back Pain Outcomes Assessment Instrument, Pain and Neurogenic subscales | 1 Prospective cohort (N = 73) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low |
No statistical difference between groups in the average improvement at 24 months for the |
| Fusion (%) ¶ | 2 cohorts (N = 173) | Yes (−1)† | No | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low |
In both studies, no statistical difference was seen between groups in the rate of fusion at 24 months; clinical significance is unclear: 84% (42/50) vs. 94% (47/50), p = NS [Neen] 63% (12/19) vs. 70% (19/27) vs. 67% (18/27), p = 0.88 [Vaccaro] Heterogeneity in study populations and surgical characteristics may partially explain the different rates of fusion across studies. |
| Harms, Adverse events | Yes (−1)† | No | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low | In both studies, no statistical difference was seen between groups in incidence of: The clinical significance of differences between groups is unclear. Heterogeneity in study populations and surgical characteristics may partially explain the different rates of complications across studies. | |
| Concentrated‡ BMA (iliac crest) vs. Allograft | |||||||
| Fusion | 1 RCT (N = 80) | No | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Moderate |
Statistically more patients who received concentrated‡ BMA achieved fusion at 24 months on both radiograph (35% vs. 10%; RR 3.5, 95% CI 1.3 to 9.7; p = 0.04) and CT (80% vs. 40%; RR 2.0, 95% CI 1.3 to 3.0; p = 0.01) |
| Harms, Adverse events | PLF | No | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Moderate |
Statistically fewer patients who received concentrated‡ BMA had pseudarthrosis at 24 months on CT: 20% (8/40) vs. 60% (24/40), p = 0.003 Two cases of hematoma requiring subsequent revision surgery and drainage occurred in both groups: 5% (2/40) for both. |
* In this trial, baseline pain was reported as VAS back pain (mean ± SD), 4.2 ± 0.7 (BMA) vs. 4.2 ± 0.8 (autograft), p = NS, and VAS leg pain, 7.8 ± 0.7 (BMA) vs. 7.6 ± 0.4 (autograft), p = NS; however, it is unclear if the VAS score at 24 months represents back or leg pain or an average of both.
† In Vaccaro et al., 45% of patients had had previous spinal surgery (unclear if at same level as current surgery) and underwent various concomitant surgeries including discectomy (38%), laminectomy (73%), posterior lumbar interbody fusion (PLIF) (38%), anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) (6%), and other (21%).
‡Leukocytes (with residual platelets) were concentrated, approximately 10 times, together with MSCs; the achieved MSCs concentration was 0.01% to 0.02% (1.74 x 104/L on average; range: 1.06–1.98 x 104/L) of all nucleated bone marrow elements (1–10 x 106/L) in all specimens.
Reasons for downgrading quality of evidence (general):
* Serious risk of bias: the majority of studies did not meet one or more criteria of a good quality RCT (see Appendix for details)
† Serious risk of bias: the majority of studies did not meet 2 or more criteria of a good quality cohort or are case series (see Appendix for details)
‡ Small sample size/insufficient power and/or significant variation in estimates (e.g. wide confidence intervals, large standard deviations, etc.) Imprecise effect estimate for an outcome: small sample size and/or confidence interval includes both negligible effect and appreciable benefit or harm with the intervention; If sample size is likely too small to detect rare outcomes, evidence may be downgraded twice. If the estimate is statistically significant, it is imprecise if the CI ranges from “mild” to “substantial.” If the estimate is not statistically significant, it is imprecise if the CI crosses the threshold for “mild/small” effects. Wide (or unknown) confidence interval and/or small sample size may result in downgrade.
§ Unknown consistency; single study or different measures used across studies. Inconsistency: differing estimates of effects across trials; If point estimates across trials are in the same direction, do not vary substantially or heterogeneity can be explained, results may not be downgraded for inconsistency
** Indirect, intermediate or surrogate outcomes may be downgraded.
Evidence Summary: Overall Quality (strength) of Evidence for Effectiveness and Safety Autologous Cells for Revision Lumbar Fusion.
| Outcome | Studies | Serious risk of bias | Serious inconsistency | Serious Indirectness | Serious Imprecision | Overall quality of evidence | Findings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||||
| VAS Pain, Back and Leg (mean difference VAS) | 1 Retrospective cohort (N = 38) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low | No statistical differences between groups at any timepoint measured. Mean scores at final follow-up of 24 months were: |
| Fusion (%) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low |
Statistically fewer patients in BMA group achieved fusion at a mean 28 mos.: 78% (14/18) vs. 100% (20/20), p = 0.005 | |
| Harms, Adverse events | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low | At a mean of 28 mos., the incidence of the following was higher in the BMA group: No patient in the BMA group reported persistent donor site pain (0/18) compared with 20% (/20) in the ICBG group | |
| BMA vs. rhBMP | |||||||
| VAS Pain, Back and Leg (mean difference VAS) | 1 Retrospective cohort (N = 38) | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low | No statistical differences between groups at any timepoint measured. Mean scores at final follow-up of 24 months were: |
| Fusion (%) ¶ | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low |
Statistically fewer patients in BMA group achieved fusion at a mean 28 mos.: 78% (14/18) versus 100% (24/24), p = 0.005 | |
| Harms, Adverse events | Yes (−1)† | Unknown | No | Yes (−1)‡ | Very low | The incidence of the following was higher in the BMA group at a mean of 28 months: No patient in either group reported persistent donor site pain. | |
Reasons for downgrading quality of evidence (general):
* Serious risk of bias: the majority of studies did not meet one or more criteria of a good quality RCT (see Appendix for details).
† Serious risk of bias: the majority of studies did not meet 2 or more criteria of a good quality cohort or are case series (see Appendix for details).
‡ Small sample size/insufficient power and/or significant variation in estimates (e.g. wide confidence intervals, large standard deviations, etc.) Imprecise effect estimate for an outcome: small sample size and/or confidence interval includes both negligible effect and appreciable benefit or harm with the intervention; If sample size is likely too small to detect rare outcomes, evidence may be downgraded twice. If the estimate is statistically significant, it is imprecise if the CI ranges from “mild” to “substantial.” If the estimate is not statistically significant, it is imprecise if the CI crosses the threshold for “mild/small” effects. Wide (or unknown) confidence interval and/or small sample size may result in downgrade.
§ Unknown consistency; single study or different measures used across studies. Inconsistency: differing estimates of effects across trials; if point estimates across trials are in the same direction, do not vary substantially or heterogeneity can be explained, results may not be downgraded for inconsistency.
** Indirect, intermediate or surrogate outcomes may be downgraded.