| Literature DB >> 32988418 |
Alfie R Wearn1,2, Esther Saunders-Jennings3, Volkan Nurdal3,4, Emma Hadley3, Michael J Knight5, Margaret Newson6,5, Risto A Kauppinen4, Elizabeth J Coulthard3,6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Here, we address a pivotal factor in Alzheimer's prevention-identifying those at risk early, when dementia can still be avoided. Recent research highlights an accelerated forgetting phenotype as a risk factor for Alzheimer's disease. We hypothesized that delayed recall over 4 weeks would predict cognitive decline over 1 year better than 30-min delayed recall, the current gold standard for detecting episodic memory problems which could be an early clinical manifestation of incipient Alzheimer's disease. We also expected hippocampal subfield volumes to improve predictive accuracy.Entities:
Keywords: Alzheimer’s disease; Early diagnosis; Hippocampus; Long-term memory; MRI; Medial temporal lobe
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32988418 PMCID: PMC7523317 DOI: 10.1186/s13195-020-00693-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Alzheimers Res Ther Impact factor: 6.982
Fig. 1MTL subfield mask example. Three skull-stripped coronal sections of summed-over-echoes T2-w scan of a single participant are shown with anterior MTL (head) on the left and posterior hippocampus (tail) on the right. Shown are subfields CA1 (red), CA2 (light green), CA3 (yellow), DG (light blue), EC (dark green), BA35 (dark blue) and BA36 (grey)
Univariate linear regression statistics for delayed recall, PAL scores and MTL region volumes predicting ΔACE-III
| Predictors | Number | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Word List | ||||
| 30m | .167 | .028 | .274 | 45 |
| 4w | .350 | .123 | .018 | 45 |
| Story | ||||
| 30m | .076 | .006 | .629 | 43 |
| 4w | .165 | .027 | .289 | 43 |
| Complex figure | ||||
| 30m | .018 | .0003 | .912 | 42 |
| 4w | .246 | .061 | .116 | 42 |
| PAL | ||||
| Accuracy | .194 | .037 | .225 | 41 |
| Reaction time | − .021 | .0004 | .898 | 41 |
| Max level | .064 | .004 | .689 | 41 |
| Whole hippocampus | − .072 | .005 | .646 | 43 |
| CA1 | − .084 | .007 | .590 | 43 |
| DG | − .059 | .003 | .707 | 43 |
| SUB | .005 | < .0001 | .976 | 43 |
| EC | .098 | .010 | .532 | 43 |
| PC | .173 | .030 | .269 | 43 |
Fig. 2Delayed recall predicting cognitive decline over 1 year: linear regressions (left) and ROC curves (right). Linear regression panels (left) show raw data for each test and ΔACE-III. Smaller scores on a 4-week word list recall indicate a more negative score change. Solid lines represent statistically significant regressions/ROC curves (p < .05). Dotted lines represent non-significant regressions/ROC curves (p > .05). 30m, 30-min recall scores; 4w, 4-week recall scores; ACE-III, Addenbrooke’s Cognitive Examination III
Demographic information and delayed recall data for people who did or did not decline over the year
| Non-decliner | Decliner | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 (16:15) | 15 (9:6) | 46 (25:21) | |
| Age (years) | 71.1 ± 8.92 | 69.9 ± 5.74 | 70.7 ± 7.97 |
| YOE | 16.7 ± 3.41 | 15.1 ± 3.61 | 16.2 ± 3.35 |
| ACE-III /100 | |||
| Baseline | 95.0 ± 3.03 | 94.7 ± 3.20 | 94.9 ± 3.05 |
| Follow-up | 96.1 ± 2.73 | 90.5 ± 3.14 | 94.2 ± 3.88 |
| Word list /16 | |||
| 30m | 11.5 ± 2.55 | 9.73 ± 2.37 | 10.9 ± 2.61 |
| 4w | 4.35 ± 2.79 | 2.14 ± 2.03 | 3.67 ± 2.76 |
| Story /21 | |||
| 30m | 16.0 ± 2.22 | 14.2 ± 2.49 | 15.4 ± 2.42 |
| 4w | 9.70 ± 4.07 | 7.65 ± 2.85 | 9.08 ± 3.83 |
| Complex figure /36 | |||
| 30m | 31.0 ± 2.57 | 30.2 ± 4.07 | 30.7 ± 3.15 |
| 4w | 13.5 ± 6.42 | 11.5 ± 4.95 | 12.9 ± 5.99 |
Data are shown as mean ± standard deviation. Maximum scores for each cognitive test are shown in the left column
YOE years of education, 30m 30-min delayed recall time point, 4w 4-week delayed recall time point
Fig. 3Accuracy of delayed verbal recall and MTL subfield volumes predicting cognitive decline. Shown are receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for individual combined subfields (CA1–3, DG, EC, BA35) and either 30-min (30m) or 4-week (4w) recall on the word list