| Literature DB >> 32672844 |
Vijay Gayam1,2, Muchi Ditah Chobufo1,2, Mohamed A Merghani1,2, Shristi Lamichhane1,2, Pavani Reddy Garlapati1,2, Mark K Adler1,2.
Abstract
There is limited data on the clinical presentation and predictors of mortality in the African-American (AA) patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) despite the disproportionately higher burden and mortality. The aim of this study is to report on the clinical characteristics and the predictors of mortality in hospitalized AA patients with COVID-19 infection. In this retrospective cohort review, we included all AA patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection admitted to an inner-city teaching community hospital in New York city. Demographics, clinical presentation, baseline co-morbidities, and laboratory data were compared between survivors and non-survivors. The predictors of mortality were assessed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Of the 408 (median age, 67 years) patients included, 276 (66.65%, median age 63 years) survived while 132 (33.35%, median age 71 years) died. The most common presenting symptoms were cough, myalgia, fever/chills, shortness of breath, and gastrointestinal symptoms (nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, and abdominal pain), with a prevalence of 62.50%, 43.87%, 53.68%, and 27.21%, respectively. Age (odds ratio [OR], 1.06; confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.08; P < .001), body mass index (OR, 1.07; CI, 1.04-1.11; P < .001), elevated serum ferritin (OR, 1.99; CI, 1.08-3.66; P < .02), C-reactive protein (OR, 2.42; CI, 1.36-4.33; P < .01), and D-dimers (OR, 3.79; CI, 2.21-6.50; P < .001) at the time of presentation were identified as the independent predictors of mortality. Cough, shortness of breath, fever/chills, gastrointestinal symptoms, and myalgia were the predominant presentation among AAs hospitalized with COVID-19 infection. Advanced age, higher body mass index, elevated serum ferritin, C-reactive protein, and D-dimers are independent predictors of mortality among hospitalized AAs with COVID-19 infection.Entities:
Keywords: blood; coronavirus; pandemics
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32672844 PMCID: PMC7405133 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.26306
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Med Virol ISSN: 0146-6615 Impact factor: 20.693
General characteristics of study participants
| Variable | Category | All (N = 408) | Non‐survivors (N = 132) | Survivors (N = 276) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, y | Continuous | 67 (56‐76) | 71 (62‐80) | 63 (53‐73) | <.001 |
| BMI, Kg/m2 | Continuous | 29.1 (25.25‐35) | 31.8 (26.5‐37) | 28.3 (25.0‐33.6) | .002 |
| Gender | Male | 231 (56.62) | 76 (32.90) | 155 (67.10) | .787 |
| Female | 177 (43.38) | 56 (31.64) | 121 (68.36) | ||
| Origin | Home | 344 (84.08) | 106 (30.81) | 239 (69.18) | .009 |
| NH | 36 (8.82) | 21 (5.83) | 15 (99.42) | ||
| Shelter | 29 (7.10) | 7 (21.14) | 22 (75.86) | ||
| Smoking status | Active | 36 (8.85) | 8 (22.22) | 28 (77.78) | .170 |
| Nonsmokers | 371 (91.15) | 124 (33.42) | 247 (66.58) | ||
| Hypertension | Yes | 271 (66.42) | 105 (38.75) | 166 (61.25) | <.001 |
| No | 137 (33.58) | 27 (19.71) | 110 (80.29) | ||
| Heart Failure | Yes | 45 (11.03) | 20 (44.44) | 25 (55.56) | .066 |
| No | 363 (88.97) | 112 (30.85) | 251 (69.15) | ||
| Diabetes | Yes | 176 (43.24) | 72 (40.91) | 104 (59.09) | .001 |
| No | 231 (56.76) | 60 (25.97) | 171 (74.03) | ||
| Asthma | Yes | 54 (13.24%) | 16 (29.63) | 38 (70.37) | |
| No | 354 (86.76) | 116 (32.77) | 238 (67.23) | .163 | |
| COPD | Yes | 43 (10.57) | 18 (41.86) | 25 (58.14) | |
| No | 364 (89.43) | 114 (31.32) | 250 (68.68) | ||
| Coronary artery disease | Yes | 54 (13.24) | 20 (37.04) | 34 (62.96) | .43 |
| No | 354 (86.76) | 112 (31.64) | 242 (68.36) | ||
| Dyslipidemia | Yes | 66 (16.18) | 107 (31.29) | 235 (68.71) | .295 |
| No | 342 (83.82) | 25 (37.88) | 41 (62.12) | ||
| CVA | Yes | 26 (6.37) | 14 (53.85) | 12 (46.15) | .015 |
| No | 382 (93.63) | 118 (30.89) | 264 (69.11) | ||
| CKD | Yes | 69 (16.91) | 33 (47.83) | 36 (52.17) | .003 |
| No | 339 (83.01) | 99 (29.20) | 240 (70.80) | ||
| Psychiatric disorders | Yes | 73 (17.89) | 19 (26.03) | 54 (73.97) | .202 |
| No | 335 (82.11) | 113 (33.73) | 222 (66.27) | ||
| Use of ACEI/ARBS | Yes | 32 (7.86) | 12 (9.09) | 120 (90.91) | .615 |
| No | 375 (92.14) | 21 (7.64) | 254 (92.36) | ||
| Mechanical ventilation | Yes | 117 (28.75) | 92 (69.7) | 25 (9.06) | <.001 |
| No | 291 (71.32) | 40 (30.30) | 251 (90.94) | ||
| ICU care | Yes | 117 (28.75) | 78 (59.09) | 39 (14.18) | <.001 |
| No | 290 (71.25) | 54 (40.9) | 236 (85.82) | ||
| Length of stay (days) | 4 (7‐11) | 5 (3‐9.5) | 8 (5‐11) | <.001 | |
Note: Psychiatric disorder (schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, and anxiety disorder). Age, BMI, and length of stay are presented as median (interquartile range). All other values represent frequency (%).
Abbreviations: ACEI, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors; ARB, angiotensin receptor blockers; BMI, body mass index ((Kg/m2)); COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CVA, cerebrovascular accident; ICU, intensive care unit.
P values were obtained from Mann‐Whitney U test, χ 2 test, or Fisher's exact test as appropriate were not retained for use in building multivariate models.
Clinical presentation on admission and triage vitals
| Variable | Categories | All (N = 408) | Non‐survivors (N = 132) | Survivors (N = 276) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitals on presentation (continuous | |||||
| Oxygen saturation (%) | 95 (92‐98) | 94 (89‐97) | 96 (93‐98) | <.001 | |
| Temperature (oF) | 99.7 (98.2‐101.1) | 100 (98.2‐100.8) | 99.5 (98.2‐101.4) | .29 | |
| Respiratory rate (cycles/min) | 20 (19‐22) | 20 (20‐22) | 20 (19‐21) | .006 | |
| Pulse (beats/min) | 99 (87‐111) | 100 (99‐114) | 98 (86‐110) | .259 | |
| Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 128 (112‐142) | 131 (115‐144) | 126 (111‐142) | .048 | |
| Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg | 75 (66‐82) | 75 (65‐82) | 76 (67‐83) | .732 | |
| Symptoms on arrival (categorical | |||||
| Cough | Yes | 255 (62.50) | 81 (31.76) | 174 (68.24) | .743 |
| No | 153 (37.50) | 51 (33.33) | 102 (66.67) | ||
| Myalgia | Yes | 179 (43.87) | 46 (25.70) | 133 (74.30) | .011 |
| No | 229 (56.13) | 86 (37.55) | 143 (62.45) | ||
| Fever/chills | Yes | 219 (53.68) | 153 (69.86) | 66 (30.14) | .303 |
| No | 189 (46.32) | 66 (34.92) | 123 (65.08) | ||
| Shortness of breath | Yes | 273 (66.91) | 99 (36.26) | 174 (63.74) | .016 |
| No | 135 (33.09) | 33 (24.44) | 102 (75.56) | ||
| Fatigue | Yes | 143 (35.22) | 50 (34.97) | 93 (65.03) | .391 |
| No | 263 (64.78) | 81 (30.80) | 182 (69.20) | ||
| Gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms | Yes | 111 (27.21) | 36 (32.43) | 75 (67.75) | .983 |
| No | 297 (72.79) | 96 (32.32) | 201 (67.68) | ||
Continuous variables, presented as median (interquartile range).
Categorical variables displayed as frequency (percentage).
GI symptoms (nausea, vomiting, diarrhea and abdominal pain).
Compares differences in a respective variable between survivors and non‐survivors, values less than 0.05 are considered statistically significant.
Laboratory results of patients hospitalized with COVID‐19
| Variable | All (N = 408) | Non‐survivor (N = 132) | Survivors (N = 276) |
| Normal range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemoglobin, g/dL | 12.9 (11.1‐14.0) | 12.75 (10.95‐14.1) | 12.9 (11.3‐13.9) | .544 | 12‐14 |
| Platelets, *106/μL | 220 (167‐283) | 199 (168‐279) | 226 (166‐286) | .305 | 150‐450 |
| ESR, mm/Hr | 73 (51‐100) | 83 (51‐109) | 71 (52‐97) | .400 | 0‐22 |
| C‐reactive protein, mg/L | 106 (55‐180) | 148 (93‐230) | 88 (44‐167) | <.001 | 0‐10 |
| Troponin, ng/mL | 0.03 (0.03‐0.08) | 0.065 (0.03‐0.155) | 0.03 (0.03‐0.05) | <.001 | 0‐0.03 |
| Brain natriuretic peptide, pg/mL | 57.57 (16.81‐184.26) | 103.76 (39.67‐355.83) | 43.4 (10.83‐132.45) | .001 | 0‐100 |
| Interleukin‐6, pg/mL | 64.7 (33‐133) | 84.5 (53.3‐205) | 53.1 (23.9‐97.4) | <.001 | 0‐15.5 |
| Serum ferritin, ng/dL | 872 (500‐1522) | 999 (742‐1888) | 704 (434‐1235) | <.001 | 15‐150 |
| Procalcitonin, ng/mL | 0.89 (0.2‐2) | 1.57 (0.37‐3.3) | 0.58 (0.15‐1.3) | .002 | 0.00‐0.08 |
| Serum sodium, mmol/L | 138 (135‐141) | 139 (135‐144) | 138 (135‐141) | .09 | 135‐145 |
| Serum potassium, mmol/L | 4.5 (4‐5.1) | 4.5 (4.1‐5.3) | 4.4 (4‐5) | .402 | 3.5‐5.5 |
| Serum bicarbonate, meq/L | 23 (19‐26) | 21 (18‐25) | 23 (20‐26) | .030 | 22‐26 |
| Blood urea nitrogen, mg/dL | 22.8 (13.3‐44.2) | 28 (20‐56.7) | 18.5 (11.9‐40.8) | <.001 | 10‐20 |
| Serum creatinine, mg/dL | 1.42 (1.01‐2.38) | 1.77 (1.18‐2.585) | 1.27 (0.94‐2.23) | <.001 | 057‐1.11 |
| Plasma glucose, mg/dL | 137 (107‐221) | 162 (116‐286.5) | 129 (90‐212) | .005 | 80‐115 |
| Magnesium, mg/dL | 2.1 (1.9‐2.4) | 2.3 (2‐2.7) | 2.1 (1.9‐2.3) | .059 | 1.6‐2.6 |
| APTT, s | 31.3 (28.7‐34.3) | 31 (28.45‐34.8) | 31.35 (28.8‐34.1) | .363 | 25‐36 |
| INR | 1.16 (1.01‐1.27) | 1.17 (1.07‐1.31) | 1.15 (1.09‐1.27) | .695 | 0.85‐1.15 |
| Fibrinogen, mg/dL | 498 (444‐692) | 498 (424‐545) | 494 (466‐725) | .810 | 193‐507 |
| Lactic acid, mmol/L | 1.7 (1.3‐2.4) | 2.2 (1.5‐3.4) | 1.6 (1.2‐2.1) | <.001 | 0.5‐1.9 |
| White blood cells (*1000/μL) | 7.8 (5.5‐10.9) | 8.8 (6.2‐12.1) | 7.1 (5.3‐10.2) | .006 | 4.5‐11 |
| Neutrophils (*1000/μL) | 5.9 (4.2‐9.4) | 7.2 (4.7‐10.35) | 5.6 (3.9‐8.4) | .001 | 2.0‐7.9 |
| Lymphocytes (*1000/μL) | 0.9 (0.6‐1.3) | 0.9 (0.6‐1.3) | 0.9 (0.6‐1.3) | .088 | 10‐4.8 |
| Aspartate aminotransferase, U/L | 45 (28‐78) | 57.5 (36.5‐86.5) | 41 (26‐68) | <.001 | 5‐34 |
| Alanine aminotransferase, U/L | 30 (17‐49) | 31.5 (20‐51) | 26 (15‐47) | .026 | 10‐55 |
| Alkaline phosphatase, U/L | 73 (58‐94) | 76 (62‐96) | 71 (56‐91) | .098 | 40‐150 |
| Creatinine kinase, U/L | 260 (107‐645) | 318 (107‐907) | 238 (113‐443) | .082 | 29‐168 |
| Lactate dehydrogenase, U/L | 479 (337‐479) | 582 (473‐817) | 398 (302‐534) | <.001 | 125‐220 |
| D‐dimers, ng/mL | 2069 (1193‐4491) | 3847 (1765‐9840) | 1833 (1040‐3078) | <.001 | 0‐500 |
| Arterial oxygen saturation (%) | 61.4 (45‐81.8) | 59.15 (48.75‐73) | 65 (45‐89) | .150 | 75‐100 |
| Blood PH | 7.408 (7.348‐7.454) | 7.395 (7.344‐7.458) | 7.425 (7.354‐7.452) | .195 | 7.35‐7.45 |
| PaCO2 saturation (%) | 37.4 (31.6‐44.05) | 35.3 (30.4‐43.7) | 38 (32.9‐44.5) | .25 | 35‐45 |
| Abnormal chest X‐ray | 392 (96.08) | 129 (97.73) | 263 (95.29) | .236 | NA |
| PR interval, ms | 148 (132‐164) | 146 (130‐164) | 148 (134‐166) | .797 | 120‐200 |
| QTc duration, ms | 453 (431‐477) | 454 (430‐477) | 452 (432‐477) | .75 | <460 |
| QRS duration, ms | 84 (76‐92) | 84 (76‐94) | 84 (76‐92) | .925 | 60‐100 |
Abbreviations: APTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; COVID‐19, coronavirus disease 2019; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; INR, international normalised ratio.
*Multiplied by.
Figure 1Forest plot showing predictors of mortality. Age, body mass index, and oxygen saturations are modeled as continuous variables and odds ratio (OR) represent the odds of dying for every unit increase in respective parameter. Shortness of breath and myalgia are modeled as continuous variables. OR represent the odds of dying in those who had the respective symptom compared with those who did not. All other variables were transformed from continuous to categorical and modeled as categorical variables. OR represents odds of dying in those with values in the fourth quartile compared with those in lower quartiles (first, second, and third quartiles). CI, confidence interval