| Literature DB >> 32441789 |
Wenjie Tian1,2, Wanlin Jiang1, Jie Yao3,4,5, Christopher J Nicholson1, Rebecca H Li1, Haakon H Sigurslid1, Luke Wooster6, Jerome I Rotter3,4,5, Xiuqing Guo3,4,5, Rajeev Malhotra1.
Abstract
Mortality rates of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) continue to rise across the world. Information regarding the predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19 remains scarce. Herein, we performed a systematic review of published articles, from 1 January to 24 April 2020, to evaluate the risk factors associated with mortality in COVID-19. Two investigators independently searched the articles and collected the data, in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. We looked for associations between mortality and patient characteristics, comorbidities, and laboratory abnormalities. A total of 14 studies documenting the outcomes of 4659 patients were included. The presence of comorbidities such as hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-3.1; P < .00001), coronary heart disease (OR, 3.8; 95% CI, 2.1-6.9; P < .00001), and diabetes (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.7-2.3; P < .00001) were associated with significantly higher risk of death amongst patients with COVID-19. Those who died, compared with those who survived, differed on multiple biomarkers on admission including elevated levels of cardiac troponin (+44.2 ng/L, 95% CI, 19.0-69.4; P = .0006); C-reactive protein (+66.3 µg/mL, 95% CI, 46.7-85.9; P < .00001); interleukin-6 (+4.6 ng/mL, 95% CI, 3.6-5.6; P < .00001); D-dimer (+4.6 µg/mL, 95% CI, 2.8-6.4; P < .00001); creatinine (+15.3 µmol/L, 95% CI, 6.2-24.3; P = .001); and alanine transaminase (+5.7 U/L, 95% CI, 2.6-8.8; P = .0003); as well as decreased levels of albumin (-3.7 g/L, 95% CI, -5.3 to -2.1; P < .00001). Individuals with underlying cardiometabolic disease and that present with evidence for acute inflammation and end-organ damage are at higher risk of mortality due to COVID-19 infection and should be managed with greater intensity.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; cardiovascular disease; diabetes; meta-analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32441789 PMCID: PMC7280666 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.26050
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Med Virol ISSN: 0146-6615 Impact factor: 20.693
Figure 1Search and selection process according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta‐Analyses (PRISMA) checklist
Included studies
| Author | Publication date (MM/DD) | Sample size (survivor/nonsurvivor) | Country | Hospital (dates of data collection) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richardson et al | 04/22 | 2634 (2081/553) | USA | 12 Hospitals within the Northwell Health system, New York (03/04/2020 to 04/04/2020) |
| Chen et al | 04/11 | 55 (36/19) | China | Patients ≥ 65 y from Zhongnan Hospital (01/01/2020 to 02/10/2020) |
| Chen et al | 04/11 | 274 (161/113) | China | Tongji Hospital (until 02/28/2020) |
| Du et al | 04/08 | 179 (158/21) | China | Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital |
| (12/25/2019 to 02/07/2020) | ||||
| Cao et al | 04/02 | 102 (85/17) | China | Adults patients at Zhongnan Hospital |
| (01/03/2020 to 02/01/2020) | ||||
| Zhou et al | 03/28 | 191 (137/54) | China | ≥18 y old patients from Jinyintan and Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital (until 01/31/2020) |
| Zhang et al | 03/23 | 315 (268/47) | China | Wuhan Union Hospital West Area |
| (01/12/2020 to 02/03/2020) | ||||
| Deng et al | 03/20 | 225 (116/109) | China | Branch hospitals of Tongji Hospital and Wuhan Central Hospital (01/01/2020 to 02/01/2020) |
| He et al | 03/15 | 54 (28/26) | China | Severe patients at Tongji Hospital (02/03/2020 to 02/24/2020) |
| Wu et al | 03/13 | 84 (40/44) | China | Patients with ARDS at Jinyintan Hospital (12/25/2019 to 01/26/2020) |
| Tang et al | 03/13 | 183 (162/21) | China | Tongji Hospital (01/12/2020 to 02/03/2020) |
| Ruan et al | 03/03 | 150 (82/68) | China | Jinyintan and Tongji Hospital (date was not described) |
| Li et al | 03/03 | 161 (96/65) | China | Wuhan Red Cross Hospital (01/21/2020 to 01/26/2020) |
| Yang et al | 02/24 | 52 (20/32) | China | Patients in ICU at Jinyintan Hospital |
| (late December 2019 to 01/26/2020) |
Abbreviation: ICU, intensive care unit.
Summary of meta‐analyses for patient demographics, comorbidities, and clinical manifestations
| Survived | Deceased | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | No. of Studies | Total (survived) | No. with risk factor (%) | Total (deceased) | No. with risk factor (%) | OR (95% CI) | Meta‐analysis |
| Male sex | 14 | 3470 | 1900 (54.8) | 1189 | 781 (65.7) | 1.78 (1.30‐2.42) | .0003 |
|
| |||||||
| Hypertension | 11 | 3192 | 1251 (39.2) | 1071 | 608 (56.8) | 2.53 (2.07‐3.09] | <.00001 |
| CHD/CVD | 12 | 1227 | 96 (7.8) | 615 | 132 (21.5) | 3.81 (2.11‐6.85) | <.00001 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 6 | 652 | 13 (2.0) | 296 | 31 (10.5) | 4.92 (1.54‐15.68) | .007 |
| Diabetes | 12 | 3212 | 682 (21.2) | 1103 | 344 (31.2) | 1.97 (1.67‐2.31) | <.00001 |
| Smoking | 4 | 414 | 16 (3.9) | 264 | 16 (6.1) | 1.77 (0.83‐3.81) | .14 |
| Chronic renal disease | 6 | 769 | 3 (0.4) | 318 | 15 (4.7) | 9.41 (3.23‐27.40) | <.0001 |
| COPD | 4 | 283 | 9 (3.2) | 167 | 9 (5.4) | 2.09 (0.49‐8.90) | .32 |
| Clinical manifestations | |||||||
| Fever | 10 | 931 | 807 (86.7) | 542 | 488 (90.0) | 1.31 (0.77‐2.23) | .31 |
| Fatigue | 9 | 1063 | 452 (42.5) | 448 | 221 (49.3) | 1.62 (1.06‐2.48) | .03 |
| Myalgia | 10 | 1159 | 249 (21.5) | 545 | 110 (20.2) | 1.04 (0.78‐1.37) | .80 |
| Diarrhea | 7 | 899 | 129 (14.3) | 424 | 68 (16.0) | 0.98 (0.70‐1.37) | .88 |
| Hemoptysis | 3 | 435 | 15 (3.4) | 243 | 9 (3.7) | 1.76 (0.62‐4.99) | .29 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CHD, coronary heart disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; OR, odds ratio.
Summary of meta‐analyses for laboratory results
| Laboratory test | No. of studies tested | Mean difference (95% CI) nonsurvivor‐survivor | Meta‐analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albumin | 7 | −3.7 (−5.3 to −2.1) | <.00001 |
| ALT | 7 | 5.7 (2.6‐8.8) | .0003 |
| APTT | 6 | 1.3 (−1.3 to 4.0) | .32 |
| AST | 6 | 15.2 (7.7‐22.7) | <.0001 |
| BUN | 5 | 3.0 (1.6‐4.4) | <.0001 |
| CD4+ T Cell count | 2 | −50.0 (−82.6 to −17.4) | .003 |
| CD8+ T Cell count | 2 | −82.9 (−151.3 to −14.4) | .02 |
| Creatine kinase | 5 | 87 (21‐153) | .010 |
| Creatinine | 8 | 15.3 (6.2‐24.3) | .001 |
| CRP | 8 | 66.3 (46.7‐85.9) | <.00001 |
| D‐Dimer | 8 | 4.6 (2.8‐6.4) | <.00001 |
| ESR | 6 | 6.9 (3.4‐10.4) | .0001 |
| Hemoglobin | 6 | −1.2 (−3.9 to 1.4) | .35 |
| IL‐6 | 3 | 4.6 (3.6‐5.6) | <.00001 |
| Lactate dehydrogenase | 5 | 290 (256‐325) | <.00001 |
| Lymphocyte count | 9 | −0.34 (−0.41 to −0.27) | <.00001 |
| NT‐proBNP | 3 | 903 (718‐1089) | <.00001 |
| Platelet count | 7 | −35.9 (−53.3 to −18.5) | <.0001 |
| Procalcitonin | 4 | 0.21 (0.11‐0.31) | <.0001 |
| PT | 7 | 1.15 (0.43‐1.87) | .002 |
| Total Bilirubin | 6 | 4.8 (3.4‐6.1) | <.00001 |
| Troponin I | 3 | 44.2 (19.0‐69.4) | .0006 |
| WBC count | 9 | 3.8 (3.1‐4.5) | <.00001 |
Abbreviations: ALT, alanine transaminase; APTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; aspartate aminotransferase; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; CI, confidence interval; CRP, C‐reactive protein; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; IL‐6, interleukin‐6; NT‐proBNP, N‐terminal pro‐brain natriuretic peptide; PT, prothrombin time; WBC, white blood cell count.
Figure 2Key factors associated with an increased risk of COVID‐19 mortality. Forest plots demonstrating the association between COVID‐19 mortality and the presence of hypertension (A), and levels of troponin I (B), C‐reactive protein (C), and D‐dimer (D). Sizes of data markers indicate weight of studies. CI, confidence intervals; COVID‐19, coronavirus disease‐2019; df, degrees of freedom; IV, inverse variance