| Literature DB >> 32410358 |
Susana Monge1,2, Janneke Duijster1, Geert Jan Kommer3, Jan van de Kassteele1, Thomas Krafft4, Paul Engelen5, Jens P Valk6,7, Jan de Waard8, Jan de Nooij8, Annelies Riezebos-Brilman9, Wim van der Hoek1, Liselotte van Asten1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Ambulance dispatches could be useful for syndromic surveillance of severe respiratory infections. We evaluated whether ambulance dispatch calls of highest urgency reflect the circulation of influenza A virus, influenza B virus, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), rhinovirus, adenovirus, coronavirus, parainfluenzavirus and human metapneumovirus (hMPV).Entities:
Keywords: adenovirus; ambulance; coronavirus; influenza; respiratory syncytial virus; rhinovirus
Year: 2020 PMID: 32410358 PMCID: PMC7298355 DOI: 10.1111/irv.12731
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Influenza Other Respir Viruses ISSN: 1750-2640 Impact factor: 4.380
AMPDS triage codes included in the definition of respiratory syndrome for this study
| Code | Description | n | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6c1 | Abnormal breathing | 88 | 0.57 |
| 6d2 | Abnormal breathing, troubles speaking between two breaths | 12 318 | 80.06 |
| 6d3 | Abnormal breathing, change in skin colour | 204 | 1.33 |
| 6d4 | Abnormal breathing, sweaty | 1900 | 12.35 |
| 26c2 | Sick person, abnormal breathing | 875 | 5.69 |
| Total | 15 385 | 100.00 |
The first letter of the code indicates the protocol: 6 is “Breathing problems,” 26 is “Sick person.”
Number of total ambulance dispatch calls of A1 urgency level and calls with a respiratory syndrome
| Total calls | Calls with respiratory syndrome | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % calls |
| ||
| Call centre | ||||
| Hollands Midden | 29 821 | 2144 | 7.2 | <.001 |
| Brabant Noord | 32 976 | 2345 | 7.1 | |
| Brabant Midden‐West | 60 689 | 4752 | 7.8 | |
| Noord Nederland | 88 253 | 6144 | 7.0 | |
| Age group | ||||
| <15 y | 11 522 | 757 | 6.6 | <.001 |
| 15‐64 y | 101 871 | 6322 | 6.2 | |
| ≥65 y | 69 280 | 6753 | 9.8 | |
| Unknown | 25 351 | 1411 | 5.6 | |
| Sex | ||||
| Males | 74 078 | 5306 | 7.2 | .319 |
| Females | 62 536 | 4612 | 7.4 | |
| Unknown | 75 125 | 5467 | 7.3 | |
| Epidemiologic year | ||||
| 2013/14 | 28 983 | 2233 | 7.7 | <.001 |
| 2014/15 | 71 049 | 5298 | 7.5 | |
| 2015/16 | 75 046 | 5178 | 6.9 | |
| 2016/17 | 36 661 | 2676 | 7.3 | |
| Time of the day | ||||
| Out‐of‐office hours | 146 417 | 12 393 | 8.5 | <.001 |
| Office hours | 65 322 | 2992 | 4.6 | |
| Total | 211 739 | 15 385 | 7.3 | |
Figure 1Weekly number of respiratory syndromes and positive laboratory test for respiratory viruses from the weekly sentinel surveillance system of the Dutch working group on clinical virology; 5‐week moving average
Number of positive laboratory tests for respiratory viruses from the Weekly Sentinel Surveillance System of the Dutch Working Group on Clinical Virology
| Respiratory viruses | Total | Number by season | Number by week | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| number | wk 1‐26, 2014 | 2014/15 | 2015/16 | wk 27‐52, 2016 | Mean | Range | |
| Rhinovirus | 7186 | 1084 | 2299 | 2370 | 1433 | 46 | (16‐104) |
| Influenza A | 7179 | 577 | 3350 | 2718 | 534 | 46 | (0‐364) |
| Respiratory Syncytial virus | 5443 | 1363 | 1690 | 1285 | 1105 | 35 | (0‐199) |
| Adenovirus | 4217 | 710 | 1301 | 1487 | 719 | 27 | (11‐61) |
| Influenza B | 2095 | 25 | 697 | 1355 | 18 | 13 | (0‐209) |
| Parainfluenza | 1804 | 211 | 605 | 562 | 426 | 11 | (2‐28) |
| Coronavirus | 1591 | 253 | 524 | 562 | 252 | 10 | (0‐52) |
| hMPV | 1551 | 301 | 625 | 482 | 143 | 10 | (0‐55) |
| All viruses | 31 063 | 4521 | 11 091 | 10 821 | 4630 | 120 | (38‐701) |
wk: week number, and year, included in the study for the two incomplete seasons (2013/14 and 2016/17).
Results from the multivariate models: associations between weekly numbers of positive laboratory tests for respiratory viruses and weekly proportion of ambulance dispatch calls due to respiratory syndromes (RSC)
| Respiratory viruses (×100) | Best fitting lag | Coefficient (95% CI) |
| Number of annual attributable RSC | Proportion of all RSC | RSC per 100 000 population per year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Influenza A | +2 | 2.35 (0.90 to 3.83) | .0018 | 50 (19‐82) |
1.12% (0.43‐1.83) |
1.2 (0.4‐1.9) |
| Influenza A | 0.30 (0.08 to 0.52) | .0070 | 46 (13‐79) |
0.86% (0.24‐1.49) |
1.1 (0.3‐1.9) | ||
| Influenza A | 0.41 (0.16 to 0.66) | .0018 | 53 (20‐86) |
1.02% (0.39‐1.66) |
1.2 (0.5‐2.0) | ||
| Influenza A | 2.84 (−5.42 to 11.46) | .5095 | 71 (−135‐286) |
1.32% (−2.53‐5.34) |
1.7 (−3.2‐6.7) | ||
| hMPV | −4 | 2.81 (1.00 to 4.62) | .0023 | 196 (70‐322) |
3.82% (1.36‐6.29) |
4.6 (1.6‐7.6) | |
| Adenovirus | −4 | 2.00 (0.51 to 3.50) | .0090 | 197 (27‐368) |
3.84% (0.52‐7.17) |
4.6 (0.6‐8.6) | |
| Rhinovirus | −1 | 1.04 (0.14 to 1.94) | .02365 | 335 (45‐627) |
6.5% (0.89‐12.22) |
7.9 (1.1‐14.7) | |
| Age group <15 y | RSV | −3 | 2.01 (0.06 to 4.07) | .0399 | 27 (0.8‐54) |
10.59% (0.32‐21.45) |
3.8 (0.1‐7.7) |
| Age group 15‐64 y | Influenza A | −1 | 0.34 (0.16 to 0.53) | .0004 | 55 (25‐86) |
2.56% (1.17‐3.98) |
2.0 (0.9‐3.1) |
|
Age group ≥65 y | Influenza A | +2 | 0.14 (−0.23 to 0.51) | .4685 | 15 (−24‐54) |
0.65% (−1.08‐2.40) |
1.9 (3.1‐6.9) |
| Adenovirus | +1 | 3.39 (0.65 to 6.16) | .0160 | 210 (40 −382) |
9.33% (1.79‐16.97) |
26.9 (5.1‐49.0) | |
| hMPV | −2 | 3.87 (0.58 to 7.19) | .0206 | 88 (13‐164) |
3.92% (0.59‐7.29) |
11.3 (1.7‐21.0) | |
| Office hours | Influenza A | −1 | 0.19 (−0.06 to 0.44) | .1356 | 19 (−6‐44) |
0.05% (−0.02‐0.11) |
0.4 (−0.1‐1.0) |
| Out‐of‐office hours | Influenza A | +2 | 0.34 (0.10 to 0.58) | .0051 | 76 (23‐129) |
1.47% (0.45‐2.51) |
1.8 (0.5‐3.0) |
| hMPV | −4 | 4.00 (1.96 to 6.04) | .0001 | 193 (94‐291) |
3.76% (1.84‐5.68) |
4.5 (2.2‐6.8) | |
| Rhinovirus | −1 | 1.88 (0.83 to 2.93) | .0005 | 419 (185‐654) |
8.17% (3.60‐12.75) |
9.8 (4.3‐15.4) | |
| Adenovirus | −4 | 2.90 (0.98 to 4.84) | .0031 | 380 (129‐634) |
7.41% (2.52‐12.36) |
8.9 (3.0‐14.9) |
Estimated coefficients have been multiplied by 100 to represent the increase in percentage points. When the effect was found to differ by epidemiologic year, epidemiologic year‐specific effects are shown. Coefficients indicate the increase in percentage points of calls that are respiratory syndromes per increase of 100 positive laboratory tests for respiratory viruses weekly.
The effect of Influenza A virus is presented stratified by epidemiological year.
Adjusted by sine and a cosine term with periodicity of 1 y and weekly linear trend.
Adjusted by sine and a cosine terms with periodicity of 1 y and half of a year.
Adjusted by sine and a cosine terms with periodicity of half of a year and weekly linear trend.
Adjusted by sine and a cosine term with periodicity of 1 y.
+lags mean that the RSC from the current week are best associated with viruses from x weeks in the past (ie trend in viruses precedes RSC); –lags mean that they are best associated with viruses from x weeks in the future (ie trend of RSC precedes the viruses).
Calculated applying the model coefficient to the average weekly number of virus reports, and multiplied by the annual number of ambulance calls by epidemiologic year, age group, office or out‐of‐office hours, as appropriate; for the overall effects, this represents the average per epidemiologic year; for epidemiologic year‐specific effects, the numbers for incomplete epidemiologic years are extrapolations to represent complete epidemiologic years if the average weekly ILI incidence and ambulance calls were similar in non‐observed weeks than in observed weeks.
Calculated dividing the number of RSC attributable to each virus (from the previous column) by the number of observed RSC by age group, epidemiologic year, office or out‐of‐office hours, as appropriate.
Figure 2Results from the multivariate regression models: Stacked weekly respiratory syndrome calls (as proportion of all calls) attributed to different respiratory viruses. The black line represents the 5‐week moving average of the observed proportion of respiratory viruses and the coloured areas the proportions attributed by different viruses or to the unexplained baseline by the model