| Literature DB >> 32321203 |
Tae Ho Huh1, Jong Lull Yoon1,2, Jung Jin Cho1,2, Mee Young Kim1,2, Young Soo Ju3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Korea's rapidly aging population has experienced a sharp rise in the prevalence of dementia. Patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD), which is estimated to be about three-quarters of all patients with dementia, tend to have higher mortality rates compared with patients without Alzheimer's disease. In this study, a survival analysis of patients with AD was conducted in order to provide knowledge to those who provide medical care to these patients.Entities:
Keywords: Alzheimer Disease; Database; Mortality; Survival Analysis
Year: 2020 PMID: 32321203 PMCID: PMC7385296 DOI: 10.4082/kjfm.18.0114
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Korean J Fam Med ISSN: 2005-6443
Figure. 1.Flowchart of subjects from the Korean National Health Insurance Services’ Senior Cohort database (2002–2013). To compare the survival of the AD group and the non-AD group during the observation period, those who died before the study period were excluded. The total number of included subjects was 209,254, including 2,695 who were first diagnosed with AD during the year 2004 and 206,559 non-AD subjects. The numbers of deaths were 1,787 and 54,282 in the non-AD group, respectively. AD, Alzheimer’s disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; CVA, cerebral vascular accident.
Basaline characteristics and mortalities of the cohort
| Characteristic | Total | AD | Non-AD | P-value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subtotal | Mortality | Subtotal | Mortality | |||
| Total | 209,254 | 2,695 (1.3) | 1,787 (66.3) | 206,559 (98.7) | 54,282 (26.3) | <0.0001 |
| Age (y) | 71.59±6.0 | 76.4±6.8 | 71.5±5.9 | <0.0001 | ||
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 85,710 (40.9) | 816 (30.3) | 619 (75.9) | 84,786 (41.0) | 27,453 (32.4) | <0.0001 |
| Female | 123,980 (59.1) | 1,879 (69.7) | 1,168 (62.2) | 121,773 (59.0) | 26,829 (22.0) | |
| Age range (y) | <0.0001 | |||||
| 65–69 | 97,997 (46.8) | 473 (17.6) | 202 (42.7) | 97,524 (47.2) | 13,551 (13.9) | |
| 70–74 | 56,522 (27.0) | 662 (24.6) | 353 (53.3) | 55,860 (27.0) | 12,818 (22.9) | |
| 75–79 | 30,113 (14.4) | 675 (25.0) | 465 (68.9) | 29,438 (14.3) | 11,598 (39.4) | |
| ≥80 | 24,622 (11.8) | 885 (32.8) | 767 (86.7) | 23,737 (11.5) | 16,315 (68.7) | |
| Hypertension | <0.0001 | |||||
| Yes | 80,479 (38.5) | 1,160 (43.0) | 758 (65.3) | 79,319 (38.4) | 22,072 (27.8) | |
| No | 128,775 (61.5) | 1,535 (57.0) | 1,029 (67.0) | 127,240 (61.6) | 32,210 (25.3) | |
| Diabetes mellitus | 0.035 | |||||
| Yes | 32,130 (15.3) | 453 (16.8) | 298 (65.8) | 31,677 (15.3) | 9,705 (30.6) | |
| No | 177,124 (84.7) | 2,242 (83.2) | 1,489 (66.4) | 174,882 (84.7) | 44,577 (25.5) | |
| Dyslipidemia | 0.0022 | |||||
| Yes | 12,612 (6.0) | 200 (7.4) | 102 (51.0) | 12,412 (6.0) | 2,068 (16.7) | |
| No | 196,642 (94.0) | 2,495 (92.6) | 1,685 (67.5) | 194,147 (94.0) | 52,214 (26.9) | |
| Income level[ | 0.0003 | |||||
| Very low | 2,498 (1.2) | 44 (1.6) | 38 (86.4) | 2,454 (1.2) | 866 (35.3) | |
| Low | 23,625 (11.3) | 247 (9.2) | 167 (67.6) | 23,378 (11.3) | 6,622 (28.3) | |
| Mid to high | 183,131 (87.5) | 2,404 (89.2) | 1,582 (65.8) | 180,727 (87.5) | 46,794 (25.9) | |
Values are presented as number (%) or mean±standard deviation.
AD, Alzheimer’s disease.
Devided into following three categories: very low (income decile=0), low (income decile=1), and mid to high (income decile ≥2).
Causes of death
| Variable | AD | Non-AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Male | Female | Total | Male | Female | |
| Dementia (F00–F03, G30) | 374 (20.9) | 112 (18.1) | 262 (22.4) | - | - | - |
| CVA (I60–69, G46) | 269 (15.1) | 103 (16.6) | 166 (14.2) | 6,697 (12.3) | 3,054 (11.1) | 3,643 (13.6) |
| Senescence (R54) | 238 (13.3) | 60 (9.7) | 178 (15.2) | 7,272 (13.4) | 2,546 (9.3) | 4,726 (17.6) |
| Cancer (C00–C97) | 113 (6.3) | 56 (9.0) | 57 (4.9) | 14,938 (27.5) | 9,203 (33.5) | 5,731 (21.4) |
| Lung (C33, C34) | 22 (1.2) | 14 (2.3) | 8 (0.7) | 4,087 (7.5) | 3,021 (11.0) | 1,066 (4.0) |
| Stomach (C16) | 17 (1.0) | 8 (1.3) | 9 (0.8) | 2,207 (4.1) | 1,396 (5.1) | 811 (3.0) |
| Colon (C18–C21) | 14 (0.8) | 6 (1.0) | 8 (0.7) | 1,600 (2.9) | 834 (3.0) | 766 (2.9) |
| Liver (C22) | 12 (0.7) | 7 (1.1) | 5 (0.4) | 1,660 (3.1) | 1,030 (3.8) | 630 (2.3) |
| Pneumonia (J12–J18, J69) | 101 (5.7) | 41 (6.6) | 60 (5.1) | 1,941 (3.6) | 1,006 (3.7) | 935 (3.5) |
| Diabetes (E10–14) | 91 (5.1) | 24 (3.9) | 67 (5.7) | 2,543 (4.7) | 1,145 (4.2) | 1,398 (5.2) |
| CVD (I20–I25) | 85 (4.8) | 24 (3.9) | 61 (5.2) | 2,850 (5.3) | 1,252 (4.6) | 1,598 (6.0) |
| Missing | 29 (1.6) | 6 (1.0) | 23 (2.0) | 623 (1.1) | 238 (0.9) | 385 (1.4) |
| Total | 1,787 (100.0) | 619 (100.0) | 1,168 (100.0) | 54,282 (100.0) | 27,453 (100.0) | 26,829 (100.0) |
Values are presented as number (%).
AD, Alzheimer’s disease; CVA, cerebrovascular accident; CVD, cardiovascluar disease.
Figure. 2.Differences in survival time between the AD and the non-AD groups, as determined using the Kaplan-Meier method. In the graphs, the x-axis represents the number of survival times converted into years, and the y-axis represents the number of deaths corresponding to each survival period. (A) Graph A shows the results of the comparison of deaths between the AD and the non-AD groups. (A) Graph A compares the survival times of the AD group with those of the non-AD group. (B) Graph B compares survival time by gender, and the remaining graphs (C–F) show the comparison of age-specific survivals. Each statistical significance level was P<0.0001. AD, Alzheimer’s disease.
Survival interval, during observation period (from the initial diagnosis, year)
| Variable | AD | Non-AD | P-value | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| During observation period | From the initial diagnosis | Median | Average±SD | ||||
| Median | Average±SD | Median | Average±SD | ||||
| Total | 5.5 | 5.3±3.3 | 6.1 | 5.9±3.3 | 9.0 | 7.8±2.4 | <0.0001 |
| Gender | <0.0001 | ||||||
| Male | 4.2 | 4.7±3.2 | 4.9 | 5.3±3.2 | 9.0 | 7.5±2.6 | |
| Female | 6.3 | 5.6±3.3 | 7.0 | 6.2±3.3 | 9.0 | 8.0±2.3 | |
| Age (y) | <0.0001 | ||||||
| 65–69 | 9.0 | 7.0±2.9 | 9.2 | 7.6±2.9 | 9.0 | 8.4±1.7 | |
| 70–74 | 8.3 | 6.3±3.2 | 8.9 | 6.9±3.1 | 9.0 | 8.0±2.2 | |
| 75–79 | 5.5 | 5.4±3.2 | 6.2 | 6.0±3.2 | 9.0 | 7.2±2.8 | |
| ≥80 | 2.8 | 3.7±3.0 | 3.4 | 4.3±3.1 | 5.4 | 5.4±3.2 | |
| Comorbidity[ | |||||||
| Diabetes | 4.6 | 5.0±3.3 | 5.3 | 5.6±3.3 | 9.0 | 7.5±2.6 | <0.0001 |
| Hypertension | 5.8 | 5.4±3.3 | 6.5 | 6.0±3.4 | 9.0 | 7.7±2.5 | <0.0001 |
| Dyslipidemia | 9.0 | 6.9±2.8 | 9.1 | 7.5±2.9 | 9.0 | 8.4±1.7 | 0.0002 |
| Income level[ | |||||||
| Very low | 3.2 | 4.0±3.1 | 4.0 | 4.6±3.1 | 9.0 | 7.2±2.8 | <0.0001 |
| Low | 4.6 | 4.9±3.4 | 5.2 | 5.5±3.4 | 9.0 | 7.7±2.5 | <0.0001 |
| Mid to high | 5.6 | 5.4±3.3 | 6.2 | 6.0±3.3 | 9.0 | 7.8±2.4 | <0.0001 |
AD, Alzheimer’s disease; SD, standard deviation.
Frequent accompanying three disease (hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia).
Devided into following three categories: very low (income decile=0), low (income decile=1), and mid to high (income decile ≥2).
Cox propotional hazard ratio by multivariable and stratification
| Variable | Category | Hazard ratio (95% condfidence interval) | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unadjusted | AD | 3.7 (3.53–3.88) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Adjusted | AD | 2.5 (2.38–2.62) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Gender[ | |||
| Male | AD | 2.7 (2.51–2.95) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Female | AD | 2.3 (2.19–2.46) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Age (y)[ | |||
| ≥80 | AD | 1.9 (1.79–2.07) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| 75–79 | AD | 2.6 (2.33–2.81) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| 70–74 | AD | 3.2 (2.92–3.60) | <0.0001 |
| NonAD | 1.0 | ||
| 65–69 | AD | 4.1 (3.56–4.71) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Comorbidity[ | |||
| Diabetes | AD | 2.3 (1.89–2.85) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Hypertenion | AD | 2.4 (2.23–2.66) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Dyslipidemia | AD | 2.6 (1.67–3.94) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Income level[ | |||
| Very low | AD | 2.5 (2.35–2.60) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Low | AD | 2.7 (2.28–3.10) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 | ||
| Mid to high | AD | 3.3 (2.33–4.54) | <0.0001 |
| Non-AD | 1.0 |
AD, Alzheimer’s disease.
Variables for stratification adjustment: age, income level and frequent accompanying diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia.
Variables for stratification adjustment: gender, income level and frequent accompanying diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia.
Variables for stratification adjustment: gender age and income level.
Variables for stratification adjustment: gender, age and frequent accompanying diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia.
Divided into three categories: very low (income decile=0), low (income decile=1), and mid to high (income decile ≥2).