| Literature DB >> 32280757 |
Junta Yamamichi1, Yasunori Kawaguchi2, Taiga Otsuka3, Shunya Nakashita2, Hideaki Mizobe1, Yuichiro Eguchi4, Shinya Kimura4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: To better predict patient survival, we used automated tumor volume and density measurements to make an objective radiological assessment of the response of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to treatment with sorafenib.Entities:
Keywords: Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; density; hepatocellular carcinoma; sorafenib; survival; volumetry
Year: 2019 PMID: 32280757 PMCID: PMC7144795 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12230
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JGH Open ISSN: 2397-9070
Definition of response categories for radiological evaluation criteria
| Response | RECIST 1.1 | Volumetry | Volume and density |
|---|---|---|---|
| Complete response | Disappearance of all lesions | ||
| No new lesion | |||
| Partial response | ≥30% decrease in tumor diameter | ≥50% decrease in tumor volume |
≥50% decrease in tumor volume or ≥15% decrease in tumor density and ±<50% change in tumor volume |
| No new lesion | No new lesion | No new lesion | |
| Stable disease | Neither response nor progression | ||
| No new lesion | |||
| Progressive disease | ≥20% increase in tumor diameter or new lesions | ≥50% increase in tumor volume or new lesions | |
Tumor density was measured on the late arterial phase acquisition and standardized relative to background liver density.
All measurements are based on the sum of target lesions as defined by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) 1.1.6
Patient demographics and clinical characteristics
| Variable |
|
|---|---|
| Age (years), Median (Range) | 76 (50–86) |
| Gender | |
| Male/female | 20 (91%)/2 (9%) |
| Body weight (kg), Median (Range) | 55.0 (33.7–92.5) |
| BMI (kg/m2), Median (Range) | 21.1 (13.7–30.2) |
| Etiology | |
| HBV/HCV/NBNC | 4 (18%)/13 (59%)/5 (23%) |
| Child‐Pugh score | |
| 5/6 | 14 (64%)/8(36%) |
| ECOG PS | |
| 0/1 | 19 (86%)/3 (14%) |
| Prior treatment | |
| Yes/no | 20 (91%)/2 (9%) |
| Extrahepatic spread | |
| Yes/no | 13 (59%)/9 (41%) |
| Vascular invasion | |
| Yes/no | 10 (45%)/12 (55%) |
| Duration of sorafenib treatment (months), Median (Range) | 2.6 (1.1–19.5) |
| Sorafenib medication status | |
| Continued/terminated | 1 (5%)/21 (95%) |
| Reason for sorafenib termination | |
| Tumor progression/adverse events | 15 (71%)/6 (29%) |
| Post‐treatment | |
| Yes/no | 14 (64%)/8 (36%) |
| Laboratory tests, Median (Range) | |
| ALT (IU/L) | 40.4 (8–100) |
| AST (IU/L) | 49.0 (17–102) |
| Total bilirubin (mg/dL) | 0.87 (0.5–1.4) |
| Platelets (/mm3) | 88.2 (71.6–110.1) |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 3.7 (2.8–4.5) |
| AFP (ng/mL) | 5215 (2.8–48 000) |
| AFP‐L3% (%) | 36.4 (0–91.3) |
| DCP (mAU/mL) | 1318 (12–9399) |
As of the last follow‐up date: 31 August 2013.
AFP, alpha‐fetoprotein; AFP‐L3%, Lens culinaris agglutinin‐reactive fraction of AFP; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; DCP, Des‐gamma‐carboxy prothrombin; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; NBNC, nonhepatitis B nonhepatitis C.
Figure 1Comparison of Kaplan–Meier analyses of overall survival. (a) All patients (n = 22); (b) volume and density criteria: OR versus non‐OR; (c) volume and density criteria: DC versus PD; (d) RECIST 1.1: OR versus non‐OR; (e) RECIST 1.1: DC versus PD; (f) volumetric criteria: OR versus non‐OR; and (g) volumetric criteria: DC versus PD. DC, disease control; OR, objective response; PD, progressive disease; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors.
Classification of tumor responses according to three evaluation criteria
| CR | PR | SD | PD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC | PD | |||
| OR | Non‐OR | |||
| RECIST 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 |
| Volumetry | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 |
| Volume and density | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| mRECIST | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
CR, complete response; DC, disease control; OR, objective response; PD, progressive disease; PR, partial response; SD, stable disease; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; mRECIST, modified RECIST.
Importance of variables (identified using the random forest approach)
| Variable | Importance |
|---|---|
| Pretreatment variables | |
| Age | −2.78 |
| Longest diameter of hepatic lesions | −0.78 |
| Extrahepatic spread | 3.65 |
| Vascular invasion | −0.99 |
| Lymph node lesion | −0.03 |
| AFP level | 3.23 |
| DCP level | −1.38 |
| Smoking history | 1.96 |
| Alcohol consumption | −1.04 |
| Peritreatment variables | |
| RECIST 1.1 OR | 2.58 |
| RECIST 1.1 DC | 1.82 |
| Volumetric criteria OR | 1.41 |
| Volumetric criteria DC | 2.88 |
| Volume and density criteria OR | 9.66 |
| Volume and density criteria DC | 5.16 |
| mRECIST OR | 0.84 |
| mRECIST DC | 6.14 |
| New lesion | −2.27 |
Variables with a large positive importance value were considered important. The actual value may vary according to the random seed used.
AFP, alpha‐fetoprotein; DC, disease control; DCP, Des‐gamma‐carboxy prothrombin; OR, objective response; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; mRECIST, modified RECIST.
Results of univariate Cox regression analysis
| Variable |
| AIC | Hazard ratio | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RECIST 1.1 | |||||
| OR/non‐OR | 0.05 | 76.00 | — | — | — |
| RECIST 1.1 | |||||
| DC/PD | 0.07 | 79.78 | 2.65 | 0.89–7.85 | 0.08 |
| Volumetric criteria | |||||
| OR/non‐OR | 0.05 | 76.00 | — | — | — |
| Volumetric criteria | |||||
| DC/PD | 0.02 | 77.64 | 3.56 | 1.18–10.7 | 0.02 |
| Volume and density criteria | |||||
| OR/non‐OR | 0.01 | 75.26 | 4.75 | 1.34–16.9 | 0.02 |
| Volume and density criteria | |||||
| DC/PD | 0.02 | 77.64 | 3.56 | 1.18–10.7 | 0.02 |
| mRECIST | |||||
| DC/PD | 0.09 | 79.86 | 2.35 | 0.86–6.45 | 0.10 |
| AFP level | 0.09 | 80.00 | 1.40 | 0.95–2.06 | 0.09 |
| Smoking history | |||||
| Yes/no | 0.19 | 81.05 | 1.94 | 0.71–5.31 | 0.20 |
| Extrahepatic spread | |||||
| Yes/no | 0.17 | 81.07 | 0.51 | 0.19–1.37 | 0.18 |
Log‐rank test.
—, not available; AFP, alpha‐fetoprotein; AIC, Akaike's Information Criterion; CI, confidence interval; DC, disease control; OR, objective response; PD, progressive disease; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; mRECIST, modified RECIST.
Results of multivariate Cox regression analysis
| Variable |
| AIC | Hazard ratio | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RECIST 1.1 DC | 0.07 | 79.97 | 2.30 | 0.74–7.14 | 0.15 |
| AFP level | 1.30 | 0.89–1.91 | 0.18 | ||
| Volumetric DC | 0.02 | 78.11 | 3.16 | 1.01–9.93 | 0.049 |
| AFP level | 1.27 | 0.87–1.85 | 0.22 | ||
| Volume and density criteria OR | 0.01 | 73.51 | 5.45 | 1.48–20.0 | 0.01 |
| AFP level | 1.47 | 1.00–2.17 | 0.0497 | ||
| Volume and density criteria DC | 0.02 | 78.11 | 3.16 | 1.01–9.93 | 0.049 |
| AFP level | 1.27 | 0.87–1.85 | 0.22 | ||
| mRECIST DC | 0.12 | 80.71 | 1.88 | 0.63–5.66 | 0.26 |
| AFP level | 1.26 | 0.83–1.91 | 0.29 |
Log‐rank test.
AFP, alpha‐fetoprotein; AIC, Akaike's Information Criterion; CI, confidence interval; DC, disease control; OR, objective response; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; mRECIST, modified RECIST.