| Literature DB >> 31910242 |
Akihiro Nakamura1, Aya Kohno2, Nobuyoshi Noguchi1,2, Kenji Kawa2, Yuki Ohno2, Masaru Komatsu1, Hachiro Yamanishi1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Multidrug-resistant Enterobacteriaceae in urinary tract infection (UTI) has spread worldwide; one cause is overuse of broad-spectrum antimicrobial agents such as fluoroquinolone antibacterials. To improve antimicrobial agent administration, this study aimed to calculate a probability prediction formula to predict the organism strain causing UTI in real time from dip-stick testing and flow cytometry.Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2020 PMID: 31910242 PMCID: PMC6946154 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227257
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Results of receiver operating characteristic curve analysis using BACT scattergram analysis.
| Discrimination group | Optimal condition | AUC | SE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single-species group and polymicrobial group | Area IV/all areas | 0.7256 | 0.0584 |
| Cocci group and polymicrobial group | Area III/all areas | 0.6543 | 0.0673 |
| Bacilli group and cocci or polymicrobial group | Area I + II/all areas | 0.8414 | 0.0252 |
| Area I/I + II + III | 0.8410 | 0.0461 |
BACT, bacteria; AUC, area under the curve; SE, standard error.
Results of final regression model in the discrimination of bacilli group and cocci or polymicrobial group.
| Models | Variables | Regression coefficient β | SE (β) | P value | OR (95% CI) | AIC | AUC (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 (Final model using stepwise method) | α (constant) | 3.331 | 0.472 | - | - | 238.3 | 0.875 (0.832–0.917) |
| Area I+II/all areas | -5.699 | 0.762 | 0.00335 (0.00075–0.01491) | ||||
| Sex | -1.126 | 0.335 | 0.32449 (0.16836–0.62540) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.446 | 0.140 | 0.64025 (0.48651–0.84258) | ||||
| Ketones | 1.686 | 1.123 | 0.133 | 5.40018 (0.59732–48.8210) | |||
| Model 2 | α (constant) | 3.482 | 0.523 | - | - | 239.8 | 0.874 (0.829–0.917) |
| Area I+II/all areas | -5.826 | 0.786 | 0.00295 (0.00063–0.01377) | ||||
| Sex | -1.129 | 0.335 | 0.32345 (0.16759–0.62423) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.444 | 0.140 | 0.64124 (0.48733–0.84375) | ||||
| Ketones | 1.838 | 1.162 | 0.114 | 6.28594 (0.64491–61.2690) | |||
| Proteins | -0.056 | 0.079 | 0.481 | 0.94606 (0.81076–1.10393) | |||
| Model 3 | α (constant) | -15.988 | 28.016 | - | - | 239.9 | 0.874 (0.831–0.917) |
| Area I+II/all areas | -5.676 | 0.762 | 0.00343 (0.00077–0.01527) | ||||
| Sex | -1.095 | 0.337 | 0.33448 (0.17263–0.64810) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.441 | 0.140 | 0.64316 (0.48908–0.84577) | ||||
| Ketones | 1.520 | 1.131 | 0.179 | 4.57332 (0.49793–42.0046) | |||
| Specific gravity | 19.053 | 27.638 | 0.491 | 1.881E8 (0.00000–6.30E31) | |||
| Model 4 | α (constant) | 3.118 | 0.624 | - | - | 240.1 | 0.874 (0.830–0.917) |
| Area I+II/all areas | -5.751 | 0.770 | 0.00318 (0.00070–0.01439) | ||||
| Sex | -1.135 | 0.336 | 0.32133 (0.16641–0.62047) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.492 | 0.167 | 0.61131 (0.44046–0.84843) | ||||
| Ketones | 1.596 | 1.120 | 0.154 | 4.93138 (0.54932–44.2706) | |||
| Bacteria count | 0.104 | 0.203 | 0.512 | 1.10985 (0.74499–1.65340) |
SE, standard error; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; AIC, Akaike’s Information Criterion; AUC, area under the curve.
1 Nitrite interacts with specific gravity.
Fig 1ROC analysis of Y value of the prediction formula to distinguish the cocci or polymicrobial group and bacilli group.
Sensitivity and specificity in discrimination of bacilli group and cocci or polymicrobial group.
| Prediction value | Training group | Validation group | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cocci or polymicrobial (n = 98) | Bacilli (n = 169) | Cocci or polymicrobial (n = 50) | Bacilli (n = 50) | |
| Y >0.395 | 85 | 38 | 42 | 12 |
| Y ≤0.395 | 13 | 131 | 8 | 38 |
| Sensitivity | 0.867 | 0.840 | ||
| Specificity | 0.775 | 0.760 | ||
| PPV | 0.691 | 0.778 | ||
| NPV | 0.910 | 0.826 | ||
PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
Results of final regression model in the discrimination of the P. mirabilis group and other bacilli group.
| Models | Variables | Regression coefficient β | SE (β) | P value | OR (95% CI) | AIC | AUC (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 (Final model using stepwise method) | α | -10.993 | 3.288 | - | - | 57.4 | 0.876 (0.787–0.965) |
| Area I/I+II+III | 11.332 | 3.957 | 83447.7 (35.7456–1.948E8) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.671 | 0.396 | 0.090 | 0.51109 (0.23505–1.11127) | |||
| Model 2 | α | -10.808 | 3.354 | - | - | 58.9 | 0.884 (0.800–0.967) |
| Area I/I+II+III | 11.196 | 4.032 | 72844.3 (26.9418–1.970E8) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.647 | 0.401 | 0.106 | 0.52365 (0.23883–1.14812) | |||
| Erythrocytes | -0.441 | 0.774 | 0.568 | 0.64314 (0.14119–2.92970) | |||
| Model 3 | α | -9.284 | 3.805 | - | - | 58.9 | 0.881 (0.798–0.961) |
| Area I/I+II+III | 11.455 | 3.877 | 9413.0 (47.2806–1.885E8) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.682 | 0.396 | 0.085 | 0.50578 (0.23262–1.09973) | |||
| Age | -0.026 | 0.034 | 0.451 | 0.97470 (0.91190–1.04181) | |||
| Model 4 | α | -11.894 | 4.142 | - | - | 59.3 | 0.871 (0.781–0.961) |
| Area I/I+II+III | 11.058 | 3.991 | 63457.4 (25.4179–1.584E8) | ||||
| Nitrite | -0.682 | 0.401 | 0.089 | 0.50565 (0.23059–1.10882) | |||
| pH | 0.179 | 0.495 | 0.718 | 1.19624 (0.45306–3.15848) |
SE, standard error; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; AIC, Akaike’s Information Criterion; AUC, area under the curve.
Fig 2ROC analysis of Y value of the prediction formula to distinguish the P. mirabilis group and other bacilli group.
Sensitivity and specificity in discrimination of the P. mirabilis group and other bacilli group.
| Prediction value | Training group | Validation group | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other bacilli (n = 160) | Other bacilli (n = 47) | |||
| Y >0.064 | 8 | 34 | 3 | 11 |
| Y ≤0.064 | 1 | 126 | 0 | 36 |
| Sensitivity | 0.889 | 1.000 | ||
| Specificity | 0.788 | 0.766 | ||
| PPV | 0.191 | 0.214 | ||
| NPV | 0.992 | 1.000 | ||
PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.