| Literature DB >> 31710406 |
Qi-Yue Chen1,2, Qing Zhong1,2, Jun-Feng Zhou3, Xian-Tu Qiu4, Xue-Yi Dang5, Li-Sheng Cai6, Guo-Qiang Su7, Dong-Bo Xu8, Guang-Tan Lin1,2, Kai-Qing Guo5, Zhi-Yu Liu1,2, Qiu-Xian Chen6, Ping Li1,2, Teng-Wen Li7, Jian-Wei Xie1,2, Shuang-Ming Lin8, Jia-Bin Wang1,2, Jian-Xian Lin1,2, Jun Lu1,2, Long-Long Cao1,2, Mi Lin1,2, Chao-Hui Zheng1,2, Wei Lin4, Qing-Liang He3, Chang-Ming Huang1,2.
Abstract
The present study was designed to evaluate the dynamic survival and recurrence of remnant gastric cancer (RGC) after radical resection and to provide a reference for the development of personalized follow-up strategies. A total of 298 patients were analyzed for their 3-year conditional overall survival (COS3), 3-year conditional disease-specific survival (CDSS3), corresponding recurrence and pattern changes, and associated risk factors. The 5-year overall survival (OS) and the 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS) of the entire cohort were 41.2% and 45.8%, respectively. The COS3 and CDDS3 of RGC patients who survived for 5 years were 84.0% and 89.8%, respectively. The conditional survival in patients with unfavorable prognostic characteristics showed greater growth over time than in those with favorable prognostic characteristics (eg, COS3, ≥T3: 46.4%-83.0%, Δ36.6% vs ≤T2: 82.4%-85.7%, Δ3.3%; P < 0.001). Most recurrences (93.5%) occurred in the first 3 years after surgery. The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage was the only factor that affected recurrence. Time-dependent Cox regression showed that for both OS and DSS, after 4 years of survival, the common prognostic factors that were initially judged lost their ability to predict survival (P > 0.05). Time-dependent logistic regression analysis showed that the AJCC stage independently affected recurrence within 2 years after surgery (P < 0.05). A postoperative follow-up model was developed for RGC patients. In conclusion, patients with RGC usually have a high likelihood of death or recurrence within 3 years after radical surgery. We developed a postoperative follow-up model for RGC patients of different stages, which may affect the design of future clinical trials.Entities:
Keywords: condition survival; prognosis; recurrence; remnant gastric cancer; surveillance
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31710406 PMCID: PMC7004538 DOI: 10.1111/cas.14231
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Sci ISSN: 1347-9032 Impact factor: 6.716
Figure 1A, Kaplan‐Meier plots showing the disease‐specific survival rates according to survival time after surgery for all 298 remnant gastric cancer (RGC) patients. B, Cumulative recurrence rate in patients with RGC according to their survival time after surgery
Figure 2A, The 3‐year conditional overall survival relative to actual overall survival among the entire cohort. B, The 3‐year conditional disease‐specific survival relative to actual disease‐specific survival among the entire cohort
Figure 3A comparison of (A, C, E, G, I and K) actual overall survival with (B, D, F, H, J and L) the 3‐year conditional overall survival of the entire cohort. Patients were stratified according to (A, B) age, (C, D) histology, (E, F) tumor size, (G, H) T stage, (I, J) N stage and (K, L) American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage
Figure 4Venn diagram of recurrence patterns in all remnant gastric cancer (RGC) patients (A), patients with stage I disease (B), patients with stage II disease (C) and patients with stage III disease (D)
Time‐dependent multivariate analysis of the prognostic factors for patients with remnant gastric cancer (including T stage and N stage)
| Overall survival | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Baseline | 1 year | 2 year | 3 year | 4 year | ||||||||||
| N = 298, | N = 240, | N = 150, | N = 111, | N = 83, | |||||||||||
| HR | 95%CI |
| HR | 95%CI |
| HR | 95%CI |
| HR | 95%CI |
| HR | 95%CI |
| |
| Age | |||||||||||||||
| <65 y | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| ≥65 y | 1.41 | 1.02‐1.95 | .038 | 1.55 | 1.07‐2.26 | .021 | 1.75 | 1.07‐2.86 | .025 | 2.34 | 1.25‐4.38 | .008 | 2.00 | 0.87‐4.63 | .104 |
| Histology | |||||||||||||||
| Differentiated | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| Undifferentiated | 1.50 | 1.07‐2.10 | .018 | 1.58 | 1.08‐2.33 | .02 | 1.44 | 0.88‐2.37 | .146 | 1.66 | 0.87‐3.16 | .124 | 2.11 | 0.86‐5.15 | .102 |
| Size | |||||||||||||||
| <4 cm | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| ≥4 cm | 1.51 | 1.01‐2.26 | .047 | 1.25 | 0.80‐1.95 | .319 | 1.67 | 0.91‐3.06 | .099 | 2.38 | 1.03‐5.48 | .042 | 1.66 | 0.58‐4.81 | .347 |
| T stage | |||||||||||||||
| ≤T2 | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| >T3 | 2.02 | 1.20‐3.42 | .008 | 1.34 | 1.02‐1.78 | .038 | 1.21 | 0.86‐1.71 | .265 | 1.14 | 0.75‐1.75 | .532 | 1.00 | 0.56‐1.79 | .988 |
| N stage | |||||||||||||||
| N0 | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||||||
| N+ | 1.52 | 1.04‐2.22 | .032 | 1.42 | 0.92‐2.19 | .113 | 1.21 | 0.69‐2.12 | .513 | 0.96 | 0.47‐1.97 | .906 | 0.99 | 0.36‐2.69 | .983 |
E, number of events; N, sample size of each cohort.
Figure 5Models of follow‐up programs for patients with early‐stage remnant gastric cancer and advanced remnant gastric cancer: (A) postoperative follow up for stage I remnant gastric cancer patients and (B) postoperative follow up for stage II‐III remnant gastric cancer patients.