| Literature DB >> 31449559 |
Sarah J Girdwood1, Brooke E Nichols1,2, Crispin Moyo3, Thomas Crompton4, Dorman Chimhamhiwa4, Sydney Rosen1,2.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Viral load (VL) monitoring programs have been scaled up rapidly, but are now facing the challenge of providing access to the most remote facilities (the "last mile"). For the hardest-to-reach facilities in Zambia, we compared the cost of placing point of care (POC) viral load instruments at or near facilities to the cost of an expanded sample transportation network (STN) to deliver samples to centralized laboratories.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31449559 PMCID: PMC6709899 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0221586
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Modelled scenarios.
| Scenario | Description | Facilities | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Candidate POC facilities | ||
| On-site POC placement at all facilities | Scenarios based on all 675 facilities not reached by the modelled national STN | Scenarios based on a subset of the 675 facilities not reached by the modelled national STN but identified as candidate POC facilities using exploratory cluster analysis. | |
| An optimized combination of both on-site POC placement and placement at facilities that would act as POC hubs for the facilities in their immediate surroundings. This scenario uses a Location Allocation model to identify POC hubs. | |||
| Integration of the facilities into the centralized modelled national STN to allow use of centralized labs | |||
Fig 1Schematic of the integration of the geospatial model with the cost model to determine the optimized placement of POC instruments.
Key cost parameters and related assumptions.
| Parameter | Estimate | Range | Sources and assumptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vehicle running costs ($USD/km) | $0.55 | $0.51 - $0.59 | Ministry of Health Reimbursement Rate |
| | $1.24 | $1.16-$1.33 | |
| Motorbike capital cost | $4,012 | $4,000-$5,000 | USAID procurement 2017, Zambia |
| Motorbike write-off period | 4 | 3–5 | Estimate |
| Allocation of capital to sample collection | 1/5 (20%) | Motorbike will be required for one day a week to do sample collection | |
| Monthly driver salaries | $432 | $324-$540 | Ministry of Health salary scales. Assumed a driver will be required one day a week to do sample collection |
| $14.74 | $13.27 - $16.22 | Biogroup Zambia Limited and Medical Stores Limited Catalogue 2016. | |
| $0.88 | $0.43-$1.80 | Procurement invoices, Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ) laboratory. Roche Cobas® Ampliprep/ Cobas® TaqMan 96 procured at $160,000. | |
| $1.60 | $1.30- $2.05 | Government of Zambia salary scales. | |
| $17.27 | $15.54-$19.00 | Used the ceiling price for the viral load assay test kit (< 500,000 tests per year).[ | |
| $2.18 | $0.84-$132.20 | Omni instrument cost estimate of $5000 based on report.[ | |
| $3.78 | $2.19-$138.29 | Government of Zambia salary scales; | |
| Max capacity of a POC platform per week (per day) | 30 (6) | Test takes 90 minutes, assume 8 hour day, 5 days a week | |
*Zambian reimbursement formula is: ((Fuel Price*1.1)/2.5)
**We assume that the cost of a viral load test at the centralized lab does not vary with utilization as the addition of the hard to reach facilities’ volumes are too small to impact on test price (+/- $0.01).
ART facilities and POC candidate facilities.
| Number of facilities | Weekly viral load volume | |
|---|---|---|
| Total ART facilities | 1475 (100%) | 32,800 (100%) |
| Facilities reached by modelled STN | 800 (54%) | 29,842 (91%) |
| Facilities not reached (Baseline) | 675 (46%) | 2,957 (9%) |
| Identified potential POC candidates | 337 (23%) | 1,056 (3.2%) |
Fig 2Illustration of the location of the 337 POC candidates (pink) relative to centralized laboratories, facilities reached through the STN and the unreached facilities that were not considered candidates for POC instrument placement.
Cost per viral load test by scenario for the hardest-to-reach patients.
| Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median total cost per test (IQR) | $35.79 ($33.91 - $37.86) | $34.76 ($33.38 - $36.69) | $36.78 ($35.49 - $38.78) |
| Median total cost per test (IQR) | $41.81 ($39.62 - $44.17) | $39.58 ($37.95 - $41.76) | $53.44 ($52.08 - $55.68) |
| | $41.81 ($39.62 - $44.17) | $27.94 ($26.47 - $29.64) | $17.22 ($16.11 - $18.64) |
| | $0 | $11.64 ($11.56 - $11.88) | $36.22 ($36.10 - $36.63) |
| Total cost of scenario (IQR) | $2 296 680 | $2 174 007 | $2 935 558 |
| Savings from using optimized POC and near-POC | $122 673 | - | $761 551 |