Literature DB >> 31429827

Confidence predicts speed-accuracy tradeoff for subsequent decisions.

Kobe Desender1,2, Annika Boldt3, Tom Verguts2, Tobias H Donner1.   

Abstract

When external feedback about decision outcomes is lacking, agents need to adapt their decision policies based on an internal estimate of the correctness of their choices (i.e., decision confidence). We hypothesized that agents use confidence to continuously update the tradeoff between the speed and accuracy of their decisions: When confidence is low in one decision, the agent needs more evidence before committing to a choice in the next decision, leading to slower but more accurate decisions. We tested this hypothesis by fitting a bounded accumulation decision model to behavioral data from three different perceptual choice tasks. Decision bounds indeed depended on the reported confidence on the previous trial, independent of objective accuracy. This increase in decision bound was predicted by a centro-parietal EEG component sensitive to confidence. We conclude that internally computed neural signals of confidence predict the ongoing adjustment of decision policies.
© 2019, Desender et al.

Entities:  

Keywords:  EEG; ERN; Pe; confidence; decision making; drift diffusion modeling; human; neuroscience

Mesh:

Year:  2019        PMID: 31429827      PMCID: PMC6711665          DOI: 10.7554/eLife.43499

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Elife        ISSN: 2050-084X            Impact factor:   8.140


  63 in total

Review 1.  Confidence as Bayesian Probability: From Neural Origins to Behavior.

Authors:  Florent Meyniel; Mariano Sigman; Zachary F Mainen
Journal:  Neuron       Date:  2015-10-07       Impact factor: 17.173

Review 2.  The neural basis of decision making.

Authors:  Joshua I Gold; Michael N Shadlen
Journal:  Annu Rev Neurosci       Date:  2007       Impact factor: 12.449

3.  Post choice information integration as a causal determinant of confidence: Novel data and a computational account.

Authors:  Rani Moran; Andrei R Teodorescu; Marius Usher
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4.  Optimal decision making in heterogeneous and biased environments.

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Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev       Date:  2015-02

5.  Testing theories of post-error slowing.

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6.  Human VMPFC encodes early signatures of confidence in perceptual decisions.

Authors:  Sabina Gherman; Marios G Philiastides
Journal:  Elife       Date:  2018-09-24       Impact factor: 8.140

7.  Cortical network dynamics of perceptual decision-making in the human brain.

Authors:  Markus Siegel; Andreas K Engel; Tobias H Donner
Journal:  Front Hum Neurosci       Date:  2011-02-28       Impact factor: 3.169

8.  A neural mechanism of speed-accuracy tradeoff in macaque area LIP.

Authors:  Timothy Hanks; Roozbeh Kiani; Michael N Shadlen
Journal:  Elife       Date:  2014-05-27       Impact factor: 8.140

9.  Pupil-linked arousal is driven by decision uncertainty and alters serial choice bias.

Authors:  Anne E Urai; Anke Braun; Tobias H Donner
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2017-03-03       Impact factor: 14.919

10.  The construction of confidence in a perceptual decision.

Authors:  Ariel Zylberberg; Pablo Barttfeld; Mariano Sigman
Journal:  Front Integr Neurosci       Date:  2012-09-21
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  16 in total

1.  Response-based outcome predictions and confidence regulate feedback processing and learning.

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Journal:  Elife       Date:  2021-04-30       Impact factor: 8.140

2.  Certain, but incorrect: on the relation between subjective certainty and accuracy in sound localisation.

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Authors:  R Frömer; A Shenhav
Journal:  Neurosci Biobehav Rev       Date:  2021-12-10       Impact factor: 8.989

5.  Are you confident enough to act? Individual differences in action control are associated with post-decisional metacognitive bias.

Authors:  Wojciech Zajkowski; Maksymilian Bielecki; Magdalena Marszał-Wiśniewska
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2022-06-01       Impact factor: 3.752

6.  Post-error Slowing Reflects the Joint Impact of Adaptive and Maladaptive Processes During Decision Making.

Authors:  Fanny Fievez; Gerard Derosiere; Frederick Verbruggen; Julie Duque
Journal:  Front Hum Neurosci       Date:  2022-06-09       Impact factor: 3.473

7.  Partially Overlapping Neural Correlates of Metacognitive Monitoring and Metacognitive Control.

Authors:  Annika Boldt; Sam J Gilbert
Journal:  J Neurosci       Date:  2022-03-18       Impact factor: 6.709

8.  Pupil Dilation and the Slow Wave ERP Reflect Surprise about Choice Outcome Resulting from Intrinsic Variability in Decision Confidence.

Authors:  Jan Willem de Gee; Camile M C Correa; Matthew Weaver; Tobias H Donner; Simon van Gaal
Journal:  Cereb Cortex       Date:  2021-06-10       Impact factor: 5.357

9.  Imperfect integration: Congruency between multiple sensory sources modulates decision-making processes.

Authors:  Dominik Krzemiński; Jiaxiang Zhang
Journal:  Atten Percept Psychophys       Date:  2022-04-22       Impact factor: 2.157

10.  Dogmatism manifests in lowered information search under uncertainty.

Authors:  Lion Schulz; Max Rollwage; Raymond J Dolan; Stephen M Fleming
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2020-11-19       Impact factor: 11.205

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