| Literature DB >> 31412996 |
Anders Husby1,2, Jan Wohlfahrt3, Mads Melbye3,4,5.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To explore the association between pregnancy duration and risk of endometrial cancer.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31412996 PMCID: PMC6693051 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.l4693
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ ISSN: 0959-8138
Relative risk of endometrial cancer after a pregnancy compared with having one pregnancy less by pregnancy number and type
| Pregnancy No and type | Relative risk (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted for age and period* | Adjusted for age, period, and socioeconomic factors*† | |
|
| ||
| Induced abortion | 0.52 (0.44 to 0.62) | 0.53 (0.45 to 0.64) |
| Childbirth | 0.66 (0.61 to 0.71) | 0.66 (0.61 to 0.72) |
|
| ||
| Induced abortion | 0.80 (0.76 to 0.85) | 0.81 (0.77 to 0.86) |
| Childbirth | 0.88 (0.85 to 0.90) | 0.86 (0.84 to 0.89) |
| Second pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.77 (0.66 to 0.90) | 0.79 (0.67 to 0.92) |
| Childbirth | 0.85 (0.79 to 0.91) | 0.83 (0.77 to 0.89) |
| Third pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.78 (0.70 to 0.87) | 0.80 (0.71 to 0.89) |
| Childbirth | 0.86 (0.80 to 0.92) | 0.84 (0.78 to 0.90) |
| Fourth pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.81 (0.70 to 0.94) | 0.82 (0.71 to 0.95) |
| Childbirth | 0.92 (0.81 to 1.04) | 0.91 (0.80 to 1.03) |
| Fifth pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.81 (0.63 to 1.03) | 0.81 (0.63 to 1.04) |
| Childbirth | 0.92 (0.72 to 1.16) | 0.91 (0.72 to 1.16) |
Adjusted for age, period, pregnancy history, and interaction between age and period.
Additionally adjusted for educational attainment, marital status, urbanicity, and interaction between period and educational attainment, marital status, and urbanicity, respectively. P value for difference between induced abortion and childbirth for risk of endometrial cancer, adjusted for age, period, and socioeconomic factors, are 0.07 (relative risk 0.53 v 0.66) and 0.25 (0.81 v 0.86), respectively, for first and any subsequent pregnancy. Test for difference between model with different effect of each pregnancy compared with model with same effect for all pregnancies after the first pregnancy gave P=0.99. Sensitivity analysis with start of follow-up from 20 years of age presented in supplementary table S9 gave identical results.
Relative risk of endometrial cancer after a pregnancy compared with having one pregnancy less by pregnancy number and type, stratified by weeks of gestation
| Pregnancy No, type, and duration | Adjusted relative risk (95% CI)* |
|---|---|
|
| |
| Induced abortion (weeks): | |
| ≤5 | 0.66 (0.30 to 1.48) |
| 6-7 | 0.56 (0.43 to 0.73) |
| 8-9 | 0.54 (0.41 to 0.70) |
| 10-11 | 0.46 (0.29 to 0.71) |
| ≥12 | 0.59 (0.24 to 1.41) |
| Childbirth (weeks): | |
| ≤36 | 0.61 (0.44 to 0.85) |
| ≥37 | 0.49 (0.43 to 0.55) |
|
| |
| Induced abortion (weeks): | |
| ≤5 | 0.71 (0.49 to 1.02) |
| 6-7 | 0.75 (0.68 to 0.83) |
| 8-9 | 0.84 (0.76 to 0.92) |
| 10-11 | 0.93 (0.80 to 1.08) |
| ≥12 | 0.81 (0.51 to 1.28) |
| Childbirth (weeks): | |
| ≤36 | 0.87 (0.70 to 1.10) |
| ≥37 | 0.73 (0.69 to 0.78) |
Adjusted for age, period, educational attainment, marital status, urbanicity, and interaction between period and age, educational attainment, marital status, and urbanicity, respectively.
Test for difference in fit when stratifying by gestational duration of pregnancy as in table 2, compared with stratification only by pregnancy type as in table 1, P=0.98.
Relative risk of endometrial cancer after a pregnancy compared with having one pregnancy less by pregnancy number and type, stratified by age at pregnancy, time since pregnancy, and attained age at diagnosis
| Pregnancy No and type | Adjusted relative risk (95% CI)* | |
|---|---|---|
|
| <30 years | ≥30 years |
| First pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.59 (0.48 to 0.72) | 0.42 (0.30 to 0.61) |
| Childbirth | 0.67 (0.62 to 0.73) | 0.61 (0.55 to 0.69) |
| Any subsequent: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.90 (0.80 to 1.01) | 0.78 (0.73 to 0.84) |
| Childbirth | 0.89 (0.86 to 0.92) | 0.79 (0.75 to 0.83) |
|
| <10 years | ≥10 years |
| First pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.36 (0.13 to 0.97) | 0.56 (0.47 to 0.67) |
| Childbirth | 0.33 (0.23 to 0.50) | 0.68 (0.62 to 0.73) |
| Any subsequent: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.45 (0.32 to 0.62) | 0.84 (0.79 to 0.89) |
| Childbirth | 0.45 (0.36 to 0.56) | 0.87 (0.84 to 0.90) |
|
| <50 years | ≥50 years |
| First pregnancy: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.40 (0.28 to 0.56) | 0.61 (0.49 to 0.75) |
| Childbirth | 0.42 (0.35 to 0.51) | 0.73 (0.67 to 0.80) |
| Any subsequent: | ||
| Induced abortion | 0.80 (0.68 to 0.94) | 0.82 (0.77 to 0.87) |
| Childbirth | 0.73 (0.67 to 0.81) | 0.88 (0.85 to 0.91) |
Adjusted for age, period, educational attainment, marital status, urbanicity, and interaction between period and age, educational attainment, marital status, and urbanicity, respectively. Test for difference in fit when stratifying by age at pregnancy, time since pregnancy, and attained age, respectively, compared with analysis in table 1, P=0.69, P=0.94, and P=0.13, respectively.
5215 events and 32 745 464 person years among women with a pregnancy before age 30 years, and 2462 events and 15 465 953 person years among women with a pregnancy at or after age 30 years.
123 events and 16 813 543 person years among women with less than 10 years since pregnancy, and 5681 events and 26 026 430 person years among women with less than 10 years since pregnancy.
929 events and 46 156 519 person years among women aged less than 50 years, and 5814 events and 11 191 103 person years among women aged 50 or more years.
Relative risk of endometrial cancer after a pregnancy compared with having one pregnancy less by pregnancy number and type, by cancer stage and cancer subtype*
| Pregnancy No and type | Adjusted relative risk (95% CI)† | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer stage‡ | Cancer subtype§ | ||||
| Stage I | Stage II-IV | Type I | Type II | ||
| No of events | 2968 | 1021 | 6203 | 485 | |
| First pregnancy: | |||||
| Induced abortion | 0.51 (0.40 to 0.64) | 0.73 (0.53 to 1.02) | 0.53 (0.44 to 0.63) | 0.70 (0.38 to 1.31) | |
| Childbirth | 0.70 (0.62 to 0.79) | 0.63 (0.52 to 0.76) | 0.67 (0.61 to 0.72) | 0.62 (0.45 to 0.87) | |
| Any subsequent: | |||||
| Induced abortion | 0.86 (0.80 to 0.93) | 0.80 (0.70 to 0.91) | 0.81 (0.76 to 0.86) | 0.84 (0.68 to 1.03) | |
| Childbirth | 0.89 (0.85 to 0.93) | 0.91 (0.84 to 0.97) | 0.84 (0.82 to 0.87) | 1.09 (0.98 to 1.21) | |
Analyses by competing risks between stage/subtype groups and other cancers.
Adjusted for age, period, educational attainment, marital status, urbanicity, and interaction between period and age, educational attainment, marital status, and urbanicity, respectively.
Analysis of cancer stage included 19 721 829 person years and was based on follow-up time from 2004. Missing stage and low stage were grouped together. Sensitivity analysis on cancer stage based events only after implementation of the 2009 FIGO revision of stage is presented in supplementary table S10.
Analysis of cancer subtype included 57 348 802 person years and was based on follow-up time from 1978. The few endometrial cancers not grouped in type I and type II was included in the analysis as a separate outcome (see supplementary methods for definitions of endometrial cancer subtypes).
Fig 1Relative risk of endometrial cancer among parous women (≥1 birth) by number of induced abortions and births, with uniparous women with no induced abortions as reference. Estimates are adjusted for age, period, educational attainment, marital status, urbanicity, and interaction between period and age, educational attainment, marital status, and urbanicity, respectively. Events and person years (in 1000s) are given for each number of induced abortion and birth. Test for interaction between induced abortions and births, P=0.92