| Literature DB >> 31341974 |
Paul W Sperduto1, Penny Fang2, Jing Li2, William Breen3, Paul D Brown3, Daniel Cagney4, Ayal Aizer4, James B Yu5, Veronica Chiang5, Supriya Jain6, Laurie E Gaspar6, Sten Myrehaug7, Arjun Sahgal7, Steve Braunstein8, Penny Sneed8, Brent Cameron9, Albert Attia9, Jason Molitoris10, Cheng-Chia Wu11, Tony J C Wang11, Natalie A Lockney12, Kathryn Beal12, Jessica Parkhurst13, John M Buatti13, Ryan Shanley14, Emil Lou14, Daniel D Tandberg15, John P Kirkpatrick15, Diana Shi16, Helen A Shih16, Michael Chuong17, Hirotake Saito18, Hidefumi Aoyama18, Laura Masucci19, David Roberge19, Minesh P Mehta17.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patients with gastrointestinal cancers and brain metastases (BM) represent a unique and heterogeneous population. Our group previously published the Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA) for patients with GI cancers (GI-GPA) (1985-2007, n = 209). The purpose of this study is to update the GI-GPA based on a larger contemporary database.Entities:
Keywords: Brain metastases; End-of-life; Gastrointestinal cancers; Prognosis
Year: 2019 PMID: 31341974 PMCID: PMC6612649 DOI: 10.1016/j.ctro.2019.06.007
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Transl Radiat Oncol ISSN: 2405-6308
Patient Characteristics, Survival and Time from Primary Diagnosis to Brain Metastases.
| Variable | Category | N (%) | Median Survival (IQR) | P | TPDBM (IQR) | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 792 (100) | 8 (3, 18) | . | 23 (9, 51) | . | |
| Original GI-GPA | <0.001 | 0.751 | ||||
| 0–1 | 267 (34) | 4 (2, 12) | . | 24 (7, 48) | . | |
| 1.5–2 | 207 (26) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 24 (10, 53) | . | |
| 2.5–3 | 187 (24) | 12 (6, 21) | . | 21 (10, 45) | . | |
| 3.5–4 | 55 (7) | 16 (7, 26) | . | 23 (11, 61) | . | |
| Not Reported | 76 (10) | 10 (4, 19) | . | 21 (9, 47) | . | |
| KPS | <0.001 | 0.866 | ||||
| <70 | 113 (14) | 3 (1, 8) | . | 28 (7, 54) | . | |
| 70 | 154 (19) | 6 (3, 13) | . | 23 (8, 48) | . | |
| 80 | 207 (26) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 24 (10, 53) | . | |
| 90 | 187 (24) | 12 (6, 21) | . | 21 (10, 45) | . | |
| 100 | 55 (7) | 16 (7, 26) | . | 23 (11, 61) | . | |
| Not Reported | 76 (10) | 10 (4, 19) | . | 21 (9, 47) | . | |
| Number BM | <0.001 | 0.610 | ||||
| 1 | 379 (48) | 10 (4, 22) | . | 23 (10, 47) | . | |
| 2–3 | 237 (30) | 8 (3, 17) | . | 26 (10, 56) | . | |
| > 3 | 159 (20) | 3 (2, 11) | . | 23 (8, 49) | . | |
| Not Reported | 17 (2) | 12 (8, 18) | . | 12 (0, 42) | . | |
| Extracranial Mets | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||
| Absent | 150 (19) | 14 (6, 26) | . | 13 (5, 21) | . | |
| Present | 622 (79) | 7 (3, 15) | . | 29 (10, 58) | . | |
| Not Reported | 20 (3) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 14 (8, 41) | . | |
| ECM Liver | <0.001 | 0.870 | ||||
| Absent | 450 (57) | 10 (3, 19) | . | 22 (10, 52) | . | |
| Present | 322 (41) | 6 (2, 15) | . | 25 (8, 51) | . | |
| Not Reported | 20 (3) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 14 (8, 41) | . | |
| ECM Bone | <0.001 | 0.041 | ||||
| Absent | 604 (76) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 22 (9, 46) | . | |
| Present | 168 (21) | 5 (2, 14) | . | 30 (9, 60) | . | |
| Not Reported | 20 (3) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 14 (8, 41) | . | |
| ECM Lung | 0.004 | <0.001 | ||||
| Absent | 335 (42) | 9 (3, 20) | . | 13 (5, 28) | . | |
| Present | 437 (55) | 7 (3, 16) | . | 37 (16, 62) | . | |
| Not Reported | 20 (3) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 14 (8, 41) | . | |
| ECM Other | <0.001 | 0.499 | ||||
| Absent | 542 (68) | 9 (4, 20) | . | 24 (10, 51) | . | |
| Present | 230 (29) | 5 (2, 14) | . | 22 (8, 52) | . | |
| Not Reported | 20 (3) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 14 (8, 41) | . | |
| Age | 0.002 | 0.150 | ||||
| 25–52 | 195 (25) | 10 (4, 20) | . | 26 (12, 46) | . | |
| 53–61 | 186 (23) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 24 (9, 57) | . | |
| 62–68 | 214 (27) | 7 (3, 19) | . | 19 (7, 40) | . | |
| 69–92 | 197 (25) | 5 (2, 13) | . | 25 (9, 59) | . | |
| Sex | 0.576 | <0.001 | ||||
| Male | 500 (63) | 8 (3, 18) | . | 20 (8, 46) | . | |
| Female | 287 (36) | 7 (3, 16) | . | 31 (12, 57) | . | |
| Not Reported | 5 (1) | 9 (8, 12) | . | 24 (8, 62) | . | |
| Race | 0.481 | 0.940 | ||||
| Asian | 45 (6) | 7 (2, 14) | . | 23 (9, 55) | . | |
| African American | 37 (5) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 23 (16, 38) | . | |
| White | 635 (80) | 8 (3, 18) | . | 23 (9, 52) | . | |
| Unknown/Not Reported | 75 (9) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 25 (5, 44) | . | |
| Ethnicity | 0.611 | 0.956 | ||||
| Not Hispanic or Latino | 658 (83) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 23 (9, 51) | . | |
| Hispanic or Latino | 62 (8) | 7 (3, 14) | . | 24 (9, 56) | . | |
| Unknown/Not Reported | 72 (9) | 5 (2, 12) | . | 26 (10, 46) | . | |
| Primary Tumor Site | 0.009 | <0.001 | ||||
| Esophagus | 181 (23) | 10 (3, 21) | . | 12 (6, 22) | . | |
| GE junction | 73 (9) | 7 (2, 18) | . | 10 (4, 20) | . | |
| Stomach | 20 (3) | 2 (1, 6) | . | 14 (7, 23) | . | |
| Small Intestine (ie jejunum, d | 27 (3) | 8 (2, 14) | . | 17 (2, 53) | . | |
| Colon-Right | 100 (13) | 7 (3, 20) | . | 31 (12, 57) | . | |
| Colon-Transverse | 15 (2) | 3 (2, 5) | . | 36 (23, 57) | . | |
| Colon-Left | 35 (4) | 10 (4, 14) | . | 41 (22, 70) | . | |
| Rectosigmoid | 90 (11) | 10 (4, 20) | . | 41 (24, 67) | . | |
| Rectum | 189 (24) | 7 (3, 17) | . | 42 (17, 66) | . | |
| Anus | 6 (1) | 14 (5, 15) | . | 35 (21, 46) | . | |
| Gallbladder | 16 (2) | 5 (1, 17) | . | 13 (2, 27) | . | |
| Pancreas – adenocarcinoma | 30 (4) | 4 (3, 14) | . | 18 (1, 45) | . | |
| Not Reported | 10 (1) | 15 (12, 23) | . | 66 (29, 87) | . | |
| Surgical Resection of Primary Tumor | 0.004 | <0.001 | ||||
| 0 = No | 276 (35) | 6 (2, 15) | . | 10 (1, 20) | . | |
| 1 = Yes | 447 (56) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 40 (20, 65) | . | |
| Unknown | 69 (9) | 10 (4, 23) | . | 20 (3, 34) | . | |
| Stage | 0.026 | <0.001 | ||||
| 1 = I | 28 (4) | 8 (3, 17) | . | 65 (28, 102) | . | |
| 2 = II | 90 (11) | 11 (3, 26) | . | 47 (23, 70) | . | |
| 3 = III | 245 (31) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 34 (16, 60) | . | |
| 4 = IV | 330 (42) | 6 (2, 16) | . | 12 (2, 28) | . | |
| Unknown | 99 (13) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 29 (9, 63) | . | |
| 0.066 | 0.570 | |||||
| 0 = Absent | 89 (32) | 6 (2, 16) | . | 12 (7, 22) | . | |
| 1 = Present | 59 (22) | 13 (6, 23) | . | 10 (4, 21) | . | |
| Not Reported | 126 (46) | 7 (2, 18) | . | 12 (5, 22) | . | |
| 0.111 | 0.047 | |||||
| 0 = Absent | 111 (26) | 6 (3, 14) | . | 45 (23, 72) | . | |
| 1 = Present | 130 (30) | 10 (4, 19) | . | 36 (16, 61) | . | |
| Not Reported | 188 (44) | 7 (3, 16) | . | 36 (15, 59) | . | |
| 0.369 | 0.785 | |||||
| 1 = G12D | 27 (20) | 8 (4, 18) | . | 29 (17, 61) | . | |
| 2 = G12V | 11 (8) | 7 (4, 15) | . | 48 (33, 68) | . | |
| 3 = G13D | 24 (18) | 9 (3, 20) | . | 50 (11, 77) | . | |
| 9 = Other | 32 (24) | 14 (6, 26) | . | 36 (12, 72) | . | |
| Unknown | 39 (29) | 10 (3, 19) | . | 37 (15, 56) | . | |
| 0.917 | 0.938 | |||||
| 0 = Absent | 130 (30) | 9 (4, 17) | . | 44 (21, 65) | . | |
| 1 = Present | 13 (3) | 12 (2, 19) | . | 49 (17, 68) | . | |
| Not Reported | 286 (67) | 7 (3, 17) | . | 36 (16, 62) | . | |
| EGFR | 0.118 | 0.608 | ||||
| 0 = Absent | 166 (21) | 10 (4, 19) | . | 33 (14, 57) | . | |
| 1 = Present | 16 (2) | 5 (2, 14) | . | 44 (13, 61) | . | |
| Not Reported | 610 (77) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 21 (8, 46) | . | |
| PIK3CA/P13K | 0.398 | 0.377 | ||||
| 0 = Absent | 92 (12) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 45 (21, 70) | . | |
| 1 = Present | 15 (2) | 14 (6, 21) | . | 28 (16, 59) | . | |
| Not Reported | 685 (86) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 21 (8, 46) | . | |
| 0.315 | 0.513 | |||||
| 0 = No | 353 (82) | 7 (3, 17) | . | 39 (19, 66) | . | |
| 1 = Yes | 2 (0) | 6 (1, 11) | . | 28 (24, 31) | . | |
| Unknown | 74 (17) | 10 (4, 20) | . | 37 (19, 57) | . | |
| 0.514 | 0.192 | |||||
| 0 = No | 350 (82) | 7 (3, 16) | . | 39 (19, 65) | . | |
| 1 = Yes | 5 (1) | 4 (4, 20) | . | 89 (37, 91) | . | |
| Unknown | 74 (17) | 10 (4, 20) | . | 37 (19, 57) | . | |
| Microsatellite status | 0.380 | 0.803 | ||||
| 0 = Unstable | 8 (1) | 14 (6, 25) | . | 24 (16, 56) | . | |
| 1 = Stable | 97 (12) | 8 (3, 19) | . | 30 (9, 58) | . | |
| Unknown | 687 (87) | 8 (3, 17) | . | 23 (9, 49) | . | |
| Hemoglobin | <0.001 | 0.473 | ||||
| [5, 11) | 121 (15) | 3 (1, 6) | . | 27 (9, 58) | . | |
| [11, 12.5) | 123 (16) | 6 (2, 18) | . | 26 (12, 53) | . | |
| [12.5, 14.1) | 122 (15) | 7 (3, 19) | . | 23 (10, 47) | . | |
| [14.1, 164] | 124 (16) | 11 (5, 19) | . | 21 (7, 51) | . | |
| Not Reported | 302 (38) | 12 (4, 21) | . | 21 (8, 47) | . | |
| Neutrophil-to-lymphoc | 0.569 | 0.498 | ||||
| [0.07, 3.30) | 76 (10) | 6 (3, 16) | . | 19 (11, 35) | . | |
| [3.30, 6.86) | 80 (10) | 4 (3, 12) | . | 21 (5, 43) | . | |
| [6.86, 12.50) | 76 (10) | 5 (2, 12) | . | 23 (10, 56) | . | |
| [12.50, 112] | 78 (10) | 4 (1, 18) | . | 22 (8, 61) | . | |
| Not Reported | 482 (61) | 10 (4, 19) | . | 24 (10, 52) | . | |
| LDH | 0.170 | 0.939 | ||||
| [1, 196) | 36 (5) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 22 (10, 51) | . | |
| [196, 347) | 33 (4) | 4 (3, 9) | . | 25 (11, 60) | . | |
| [347, 517) | 33 (4) | 7 (3, 18) | . | 17 (13, 40) | . | |
| [517, 4369] | 33 (4) | 5 (2, 14) | . | 25 (5, 60) | . | |
| Not Reported | 657 (83) | 9 (3, 18) | . | 24 (9, 49) | . | |
| BMI | 0.396 | 0.044 | ||||
| [11.8, 22.1) | 82 (10) | 4 (2, 17) | . | 23 (15, 54) | . | |
| [22.1, 26.0) | 86 (11) | 6 (3, 16) | . | 17 (6, 38) | . | |
| [26.0, 30.1) | 87 (11) | 7 (3, 22) | . | 17 (6, 44) | . | |
| [30.1, 80.8] | 86 (11) | 9 (3, 14) | . | 22 (10, 41) | . | |
| Not Reported | 451 (57) | 10 (3, 18) | . | 27 (10, 56) | . | |
Only applies to a subset of primary tumor types. PT: Primary Tumor. Median survival is in months from start of BM treatment (Kaplan-Meier estimate). IQR = Interquartile Range. TPDBM = time from primary diagnosis to start of BM treatment, in months. Variables were measured at time of BM diagnosis. P-values are from log-rank (survival) or Kruskal-Wallis (TPDBM) test of equivalence among categories, excluding unknown/not reported.
Survival by Treatment and Treatment Era.
| Overall | WBRT | SRS | WBRT+SRS | S+SRS | S+WBRT | S+WBRT+SRS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Cohort | |||||||
| N (%) | 209 | 95 (45%) | 35 (17%) | 35 (17%) | 2 (1%) | 34 (16%) | 8 (4%) |
| Mean GPA | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Median Survival | 5 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| Risk of Death (HR) | 1.0 | 0.72 | 0.69 | 2.30 | 0.33 | 0.39 | |
| 95% CI | 0.40, 1.28 | 0.39, 1.22 | 0.43, 12.4 | 0.19, 0.56 | 0.17, 0.90 | ||
| P-value | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.33 | <0.01 | 0.03 | ||
| Current Study | |||||||
| N (%) | 792 | 166 (21%) | 309 (39%) | 31 (4%) | 121 (15%) | 67 (8%) | 5 (1%) |
| Mean GPA | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Median Survival | 8 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 4 |
| Risk of Death (HR) | 1.0 | 0.87 | 0.67 | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.70 | |
| 95% CI | 0.69, 1.10 | 0.43, 1.04 | 0.33, 0.60 | 0.35, 0.68 | 0.24, 2.07 | ||
| P-value | 0.25 | 0.08 | <0.01 | <0.01 | 0.52 | ||
Abbreviations: WBRT: whole brain radiation therapy; SRS: stereotactic radiosurgery; S: surgery (craniotomy).
Hazard ratio (HR), 95% CI, and p (each treatment vs. WBRT alone within each cohort) adjusted for GPA. Median survival is unadjusted, in months. 11 patients in the current study did not have an initial treatment reported. 70 had surgery alone and 12 had fractionated partial brain radiation alone.
Hazard Ratio Results of Multi-Variable Analyses of Significant Prognostic Factors.
| Parameter | Categories | N (%) | HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| KPS | 90–100 | 242 (31) | 1.0 (Ref) |
| 80 | 207 (26) | 1.6 (1.3, 2.0) | |
| <80 | 267 (34) | 2.1 (1.6, 2.7) | |
| Age | <60 | 340 (43) | 1.0 (Ref) |
| ≥60 | 452 (57) | 1.3 (1.1, 1.6) | |
| ECM | Absent | 150 (19) | 1.0 (Ref) |
| Present | 622 (79) | 1.8 (1.4, 2.2) | |
| # BM | 1 | 379 (48) | 1.0 (Ref) |
| 2–3 | 237 (30) | 1.4 (1.1, 1.7) | |
| >3 | 159 (20) | 1.9 (1.6, 2.4) | |
Note: Two other factors (hemoglobin and primary GI site) were significant but incorporating those factors did not improve the model so were excluded for simplicity.
Definition of the Updated Prognostic Index, the Graded Prognostic Assessment for Patients with Gastrointestinal Cancers and Brain Metastases (GI-GPA) and Scoring Worksheet to Estimate Survival.
| Prognostic Factor | GI-GPA Scoring Criteria | Patient Score | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | ||
| KPS | <80 | n/a | 80 | n/a | 90–100 | – |
| Age | ≥60 | <60 | n/a | n/a | n/a | – |
| ECM | Present | Absent | n/a | n/a | n/a | – |
| # of BM | >3 | 2–3 | 1 | n/a | n/a | – |
| Sum Total | – | |||||
Median Survival by GI-GPA Group: 0–1.0, 1.5–2.0, 2.5–3.0, 3.5–4.0 was 3, 9, 12 and 17 months, respectively. Abbreviations: KPS, Karnofsky Performance Score; ECM, extracranial metastases; # of BM, number of brain metastases; n/a, not applicable.
Fig. 1Kaplan-Meier Curve for Survival by GI-GPA Group.