| Literature DB >> 31334912 |
M Bonet1, O T Oladapo1, J P Souza1,2, A M Gülmezoglu1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: There are questions about the use of the 'one-centimetre per hour rule' as a valid benchmark for assessing the adequacy of labour progress.Entities:
Keywords: Alert line; childbirth; diagnostic accuracy; partograph
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31334912 PMCID: PMC6899985 DOI: 10.1111/1471-0528.15884
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BJOG ISSN: 1470-0328 Impact factor: 6.531
Figure 1PRISMA flowchart.
Diagnostic test accuracy of the alert line for adverse fetal outcomes (fresh stillbirths)
| Country (Year) references | Alert line status | Adverse fetal outcome | Percentage of alert line crossing | Prevalence of adverse fetal outcome | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Negative likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Diagnostic odds ratio (95% CI) | J statistic (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Present | Absent | ||||||||||
| Senegal (1992) | Crossed | 5 | 88 | 9.3 | 1.4% | 36% (16.3–61.2) | 91.1% (89.1–92.7) | 4.0 (1.93–8.31) | 0.71 (0.48–1.04) | 5.67 (1.86–17.29) | 26.8% (1.6– 52.0) |
| Not crossed | 9 | 898 | |||||||||
| Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand (1994) | Crossed | 0 | 1532 | 23.8 | 0.0% | 0 (0–56.2) | 76.2% (75.2–77.2) | NA | 1.31 (1.3–1.3) | NA | –23.78% (−24.8 to −22.7) |
| Not crossed | 3 | 4910 | |||||||||
| South Africa (2006) | Crossed | 2 | 461 | 75.9 | 0.5% | 66.7% (20.6–93.9) | 24.1% (20.8–27.6) | 0.88 (0.39–1.96) | 1.39 (0.28– 6.91) | 0.63 (0.06–7.04) | −9.3% (−62.7 to 44.2) |
| Not crossed | 1 | 146 | |||||||||
| Nigeria (2008) | Crossed | 5 | 208 | 46.0 | 1.1% | 100% (56.6–100) | 54.6% (50.0–59.1) | 2.2 (1.99–2.43) | NA | NA | 54.6% (50.0– 59.1) |
| Not crossed | 0 | 250 | |||||||||
| Nigeria and Uganda (2018) | Crossed | 30 | 4133 | 49.0 | 0.6% | 61.2% (47.3–73.6) | 51.0% (50.0–52.1) | 1.25 (1.00–1.56) | 0.76 (0.53–1.08) | 1.65 (0.93–2.93) | 12.3% (−1.4 to 24.9) |
| Not crossed | 19 | 4307 | |||||||||
|
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| Fresh stillbirths | Crossed | 42 | 6422 | 38.0 | 0.4% | 56.8% (45.4–67.4) | 62.1% (61.3–62.8) | 1.50 (1.2–1.8) | 0.70 (0.5–0.9) | 2.15 (1.7–3.4) | 18.8% (7.5– 30.1) |
| Not crossed | 32 | 10511 | |||||||||
NA, not applicable.
*Did not separate fetal death occurring before admission; outcome unknown for five women who crossed the line and two macerated stillbirths excluded from the denominator.
**Outcome unknown for three women who did not cross the line and 12 macerated stillbirths excluded from the denominator.
Figure 2Sensitivity and specificity of the alert line for adverse fetal and neonatal outcomes. (A) Sensitivity and specificity of the alert line for adverse fetal (fresh stillbirths). (B) Sensitivity and specificity of the alert line for Apgar score <7 at 5 min. (C) Sensitivity and specificity of the alert line for birth asphyxia.
Diagnostic test accuracy of the alert line for adverse neonatal outcomes
| Country (Year) references | Alert line status | Adverse neonatal outcome | Percentage of alert line crossing | Prevalence of adverse neonatal outcome | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Negative likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Diagnostic odds ratio (95% CI) | J statistic (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Present | Absent | ||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| South Africa (2006) | Crossed | 28 | 433 | 75.9% | 7.6% | 60.9% | 22.8% | 0.79 | 1.72 | 0.46 | −16.3% (−30.8 to −1.8) |
| Not crossed | 18 | 128 | (46.5–73.6) | (19.5–26.5) | (0.6–1.0) | (1.2–2.5) | (0.3–0.9) | ||||
| Ecuador (2008) | Crossed | 3 | 289 | 58.4% | 0.6% | 100.0% (43.9–100) | 41.9% (37.6–46.2) | 1.72 (1.6–1.9) | NA | NA | |
| Not crossed | 0 | 208 | |||||||||
| Brazil (2009) | Crossed | 2 | 98 | 42.9% | 1.3% | 66.7% (20.8–93.6) | 57.4% (50.9–63.6) | 1.56 (0.7–3.5) | 0.58 (0.1–2.9) | 2.69 (0.2–30.1) | 24.1% (−29.6 to 77.8) |
| Not crossed | 1 | 132 | |||||||||
| India(2014) | Crossed | 43 | 53 | 19.2% | 17.2% | 50.0% (39.7–60.3) | 87.2% (83.6–90.0) | 3.91 (2.8–5.4) | 0.57 (0.5–0.7) | 6.81 (4.1–11.4) | 37.20% (26.2–48.2%) |
| Not crossed | 43 | 361 | |||||||||
| India (2016) | Crossed | 4 | 109 | 56.5% | 2.0% | 100.0% (51.0–100) | 44.4% (37.6–51.4) | 1.80 (1.6–2.0) | NA | NA | 44.4% (37.4–51.3) |
| Not crossed | 0 | 87 | |||||||||
| Nigeria and Uganda (2018) | Crossed | 143 | 3990 | 49.0% | 2.8% | 60.9% (54.5–66.9) | 51.4% (50.3–52.5) | 1.25 (1.1–1.4) | 0.76 (0.7–0.9) | 1.64 (1.3–2.1) | 12.2% (5.9–18.6) |
| Not crossed | 92 | 4215 | |||||||||
| Overall | Crossed | 223 | 4972 | 49.6% | 3.6% | 59.2% (54.1–64.0) | 50.8% (49.8–51.8) | 1.20 (1.1–1.3) | 0.80 (0.7–0.9) | 1.49 (1.2–1.8) | 9.9% (4.9–15.0) |
| Not crossed | 154 | 5131 | |||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| Nigeria (2008) | Crossed | 22 | 186 | 45.4% | 10.3% | 46.8% (33.3–60.8) | 54.7% (49.9–59.5) | 1.03 (0.8–1.4) | 0.97 (0.7–1.3) | 1.06 (0.6–2.0) | 1.6% (−13.5 to 16.6) |
| Not crossed | 25 | 225 | |||||||||
| India (2016) | Crossed | 7 | 106 | 56.5% | 4.5% | 77.8% (45.3–93.7) | 44.5% (37.6–51.6) | 1.4 (0.97–2.0) | 0.5 (0.2–1.7) | 2.81 (0.6–13.9) | 22.3% (−5.8 to 50.3%) |
| Not crossed | 2 | 85 | |||||||||
| India (2016) | Crossed | 7 | 79 | 32.8% | 5.7% | 46.7% (24.8–69.9) | 68.0% (62.0–73.5) | 1.46 (0.8–2.6) | 0.78 (0.5–1.3) | 1.86 (0.7–5.3) | 14.7% (−11.2 to 40.6) |
| Not crossed | 8 | 168 | |||||||||
| Overall | Crossed | 29 | 292 | 48.8% | 8.5% | 51.8% (39.0–64.3) | 51.5% (47.5–55.5) | 1.07 (0.8–1.4) | 0.94 (0.7–1.2) | 1.14 (0.7–2.0) | 3.3% (−10.4 to 17.0) |
| Not crossed | 27 | 310 | |||||||||
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| South Africa (2006) | Crossed | 8 | 453 | 75.9% | 3.0% | 44.4% (24.6–66.3) | 23.1% (19.9–26.7) | 0.58 (0.3–0.97) | 2.41 (1.6–3.7) | 0.24 (0.1–0.6) | −32.5% (–55.7 to −9.3) |
| Not crossed | 10 | 136 | |||||||||
NA, not applicable.
*Stillbirths and unknown outcomes excluded from the denominator as follows. Dujardin24: outcome unknown for 33 neonates and 28 stillbirths excluded; WHO12: three stillbirths excluded; Van Bogaert26: three stillbirths excluded Orji28: five stillbirths excluded; Souza33: 49 stillbirths excluded).
**Deaths resulted from low Apgar scores and unsuccessful resuscitation.