| Literature DB >> 30868740 |
Hai-Jie Hu1, Yan-Wen Jin1, Anuj Shrestha1,2, Wen-Jie Ma1, Jun-Ke Wang1, Fei Liu1, Ya-Yun Zhu3, Rong-Xing Zhou1, Parbatraj Regmi1, Nan-Sheng Cheng1, Fu-Yu Li1.
Abstract
Prediction of early postoperative recurrence is of great significance for follow-up treatment. However, there are few studies available that focus on high-risk factors of early postoperative recurrence or even the definition the exact time of early recurrence for hilar cholangiocarcinoma. Thus, we aimed to examine the optimal cut-off value for defining the early in patients with R0 resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma and to investigate prognostic factors associated with early recurrence. Two hundred and fifty-eight patients with R0 resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma between 2000 and 2015 were included. The minimum P value approach was used to define the optimal cut-off of early recurrence. The prognostic factors associated with early recurrence were investigated. The optimal cut-off value for dividing patients into early and non-early recurrence groups after R0 resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma was 12 months. Sixty-two patients were recorded as early recurrence, and the remaining 196 patients were labeled as non-early recurrence. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated lymph node metastasis (OR = 2.756, 95% CI 1.409-5.393; P = 0.003), poor differentiation (OR = 1.653; 95% CI 1.040-2.632; P = 0.034), increased postoperative CA 19-9 levels (OR = 1.965, 95% CI 1.282-3.013; P = 0.002), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio > 3.41 (OR = 5.125, 95% CI 2.419-10.857; P < 0.001) and age > 60 years (OR = 2.018, 95% CI 1.032-3.947; P = 0.040) were independent determinants of early and non-early recurrence. Poor differentiation (HR = 2.609, 95% CI 1.600-4.252; P < 0.001), Bismuth classification type III/IV (HR = 2.510, 95% CI 1.298-4.852; P = 0.006) and perineural invasion (HR=2.380, 95% CI 1.271-4.457; P = 0.007) were independent factors of overall survival in the subgroup of patients who developed early recurrence. The optimal cut-off value for dividing early recurrence after R0 resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma was 12 months. Tumor differentiation, Bismuth classification, and perineural invasion were independent factors of overall survival in the subgroup of patients with early recurrence. Patients with risk factors should be monitored closely after curative surgery.Entities:
Keywords: early recurrence; hilar cholangiocrcinoma; prognosis; survival
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30868740 PMCID: PMC6488134 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.2052
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Figure 1Kaplan‐Meier curves comparing survival status based on early and non‐early recurrence in patients with R0 resection of hilar cholangiocarcinoma (P < 0.001)
Analysis of preoperative factors with early and non‐early recurrence
|
| Early recurrence (n = 62) | Non‐early recurrence (n = 196) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 63.00 (56.00‐68.00) | 60.00 (50.00‐67.00) | 0.025 |
| Gender/Male (%) | 42 (67.7) | 111 (56.6) | 0.121 |
| Preoperative CA 19‐9 level, U/mL | 288.55 (109.25‐527.08) | 251.50 (67.44‐458.30) | 0.094 |
| Preoperative CA 125 level, U/mL | 20.61 (13.03‐25.50) | 17.69 (12.33‐25.64) | 0.542 |
| Preoperative CEA level, ng/mL | 3.70 (2.58‐5.88) | 3.16 (2.20‐4.84) | 0.101 |
| Preoperative TB level, umol/L | 225.05 (141.88‐278.33) | 180.50 (102.28‐302.70) | 0.102 |
| Preoperative ALT level, U/L | 96.50 (52.75‐158.50) | 95.00 (50.00‐169.50) | 0.984 |
| Preoperative AST level, U/L | 85.00 (58.75‐130.25) | 87.00 (57.25‐140.25) | 0.834 |
| Preoperative Albumin level, g/L | 35.60 (31.75‐39.00) | 36.90 (33.90‐40.28) | 0.076 |
| NLR | 4.40 (3.52‐5.34) | 3.10 (2.75‐4.13) | <0.001 |
| PLR | 250.20 (1.99‐2.88) | 187.32 (146.55‐242.67) | <0.001 |
| Preoperative tumor size, cm | 2.55 (2.00‐3.00) | 2.50 (2.00‐3.00) | 0.866 |
| Preoperative Biliary drainage (%) | 38 (61.3) | 105 (53.6) | 0.287 |
| Bismuth‐Corlette classification (%) | |||
| Type I and Type II | 26 (41.9) | 94 (48.0) | 0.407 |
| Type III and Type IV | 36 (58.1) | 102 (52.0) | |
ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate transaminase; CA‐19‐9, carbohydrate antigenic determinant 19‐9; CA125, carbohydrate antigen 125; CEA, carcino embryonie antigen; NLR, neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet‐lymphocyte ratio; TB, total bilirubin.
Parameters are presented as median (Interquartile range).
Univariate analysis of clinicopathologic and postoperative factors with early and non‐early recurrence
| Variables | Early recurrence (n = 62 | Non‐early recurrence (n = 196) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Lymph node metastasis | |||
| No | 24 (38.7) | 137 (69.9) | <0.001 |
| Yes | 38 (61.3) | 59 (30.1) | |
| Vascular invasion | |||
| No | 38 (61.3) | 153 (78.1) | 0.009 |
| Yes | 24 (38.7) | 43 (21.9) | |
| Tumor size | |||
| ≤3 cm | 42 (67.7) | 152 (77.6) | 0.119 |
| >3 cm | 20 (32.3) | 44 (22.4) | |
| Perineural invasion | |||
| No | 28 (45.2) | 130 (66.3) | 0.003 |
| Yes | 34 (54.8) | 66 (33.7) | |
| Tumor differentiation | |||
| Poor | 27 (43.5) | 44 (22.4) | 0.001 |
| Moderate | 26 (41.6) | 87 (44.4) | |
| Well | 9 (14.5) | 65 (33.2) | |
| Caudate lobe resection | |||
| No | 12 (19.4) | 25 (12.8) | 0.196 |
| Yes | 50 (80.6) | 171 (87.2) | |
| Postoperative complications | |||
| No | 46 (74.2) | 134 (64.8) | 0.170 |
| Yes | 16 (25.8) | 71 (35.2) | |
| Postoperative CA 19‐9 levels | |||
| Increased | 24 (38.7) | 39 (19.9) | 0.002 |
| Decreased ≤ 50% | 22 (35.5) | 64 (32.7) | |
| Decreased > 50% | 16 (25.8) | 93 (47.4) | |
CA‐19‐9, carbohydrate antigenic determinant 19‐9. Other factors included postoperative CEA and CA 125 levels.
Variables associated with early and non‐early recurrence in multivariate logistic analysis
| Variables | Odds ratio | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Lymph node metastasis | 2.756 | 1.409‐5.393 | 0.003 |
| Tumor differentiation | 1.653 | 1.040‐2.632 | 0.034 |
| Increased postoperative CA 19‐9 levels | 1.965 | 1.282‐3.013 | 0.002 |
| NLR > 3.41 | 5.125 | 2.419‐10.857 | <0.001 |
| Age > 60 years | 2.018 | 1.032‐3.947 | 0.040 |
CA‐19‐9, carbohydrate antigenic determinant 19‐9; NLR, neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of tumor factors associated with overall survival in the subgroup of patients with early recurrence
| Tumor factors | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard Ratio | 95% CI |
| Hazard Ratio | 95% CI |
| |
| Age > 60 years | 1.079 | 0.612‐1.903 | 0.793 | |||
| Male gender | 0.722 | 0.396‐1.313 | 0.285 | |||
| Tumor >3 cm | 2.202 | 1.146‐4.230 | 0.018 | |||
| Bismuth classification type III and IV | 2.002 | 1.126‐3.561 | 0.018 | 2.510 | 1.298‐4.852 | 0.006 |
| CA 19‐9 > 200 U/mL | 0.717 | 0.332‐1.547 | 0.396 | |||
| ALT > 50 U/L | 0.732 | 0.388‐1.379 | 0.334 | |||
| AST > 40 U/L | 1.103 | 0.468‐2.602 | 0.823 | |||
| CA 125 > 35 U/mL | 2.465 | 1.069‐5.683 | 0.034 | |||
| CEA > 3.4 ng/mL | 1.224 | 0.692‐2.165 | 0.487 | |||
| Preoperative biliary drainage | 1.373 | 0.777‐2.428 | 0.275 | |||
| Caudate lobe resection | 1.531 | 0.734‐3.197 | 0.256 | |||
| Major hepatectomy | 1.357 | 0.728‐2.527 | 0.336 | |||
| AJCC T stage | 0.857 | 0.487‐1.506 | 0.591 | |||
| Positive nodal status | 0.886 | 0.506‐1.550 | 0.672 | |||
| Poor differentiation | 1.846 | 1.196‐2.849 | 0.006 | 2.609 | 1.600‐4.252 | <0.001 |
| Vascular invasion | 1.235 | 0.697‐2.188 | 0.470 | |||
| Perineural invasion | 2.435 | 1.344‐4.413 | 0.003 | 2.380 | 1.271‐4.457 | 0.007 |
CA‐19‐9, carbohydrate antigenic determinant 19‐9; CA125, carbohydrate antigen 125; CEA, carcino embryonie antigen; ALT, alanine aminotransferase. AST, aspartate transaminase; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer.
Figure 2Kaplan‐Meier curves comparing survival status based on Bismuth classification in selected patients with early recurrence (P = 0.016)
Figure 3Kaplan‐Meier curves comparing survival status based on the presence of perineural invasion in selected patients with early recurrence (P = 0.003)
Figure 4Kaplan‐Meier curves comparing survival status based on tumor differentiation in selected patients with early recurrence (P = 0.015)