| Literature DB >> 30854118 |
Weiqi Gao1, Jiayi Wu1, Xiaosong Chen1, Lin Lin2, Xiaochun Fei3, Kunwei Shen1, Ou Huang1.
Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the clinical value of Ki67 by RT-PCR, we investigated the concordance of Ki67 expression by IHC and by RT-PCR, and assessed their prognostic value in HR+/HER2- early breast cancer.Entities:
Keywords: 21-gene expression assay; Breast cancer; Ki67; Prognostic marker
Year: 2019 PMID: 30854118 PMCID: PMC6400683 DOI: 10.7150/jca.29337
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Cancer ISSN: 1837-9664 Impact factor: 4.207
Distributions of Patient and Tumor Characteristics in all patients, and in training and validation cohorts
| Characteristics | All patients | X-tile program | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Training cohort | Validation cohort | p value | ||
| Age, median (range), years | 57 (24-93) | 57 (24-92) | 56 (29-93) | |
| Pathology, No. (%) | 0.58 | |||
| IDC | 1092 (86.7%) | 544 (86.5%) | 548 (87.0%) | |
| ILC | 53 (4.2%) | 30 (4.8%) | 23 (3.7%) | |
| Others | 114 (9.1%) | 55 (8.7%) | 59 (9.3%) | |
| Tumor Size, No. (%) | 0.29 | |||
| pT1 | 850 (67.5%) | 427 (67.9%) | 423 (67.1%) | |
| pT2-3 | 367 (29.2%) | 186 (29.6%) | 181 (28.7%) | |
| pTx | 42 (3.3%) | 16 (2.5%) | 26 (4.2%) | |
| Nodal status, No. (%) | 0.08 | |||
| pN0-mic | 1091 (86.6%) | 540 (85.9%) | 551 (87.5%) | |
| pN1 | 161 (12.8%) | 88 (14.0%) | 73 (11.6%) | |
| pNx | 7 (0.6%) | 1 (0.1%) | 6 (0.9%) | |
| Grade, No. (%) | 0.89 | |||
| G1-2 | 818 (74.8%) | 410 (75.0%) | 408 (74.6%) | |
| G3 | 276 (25.2%) | 137 (25.0%) | 139 (25.4%) | |
| ER expression, No. (%) | 0.21 | |||
| <50% | 119 (9.5%) | 53 (8.4%) | 66 (10.5%) | |
| ≥50% | 1140 (90.5%) | 576 (91.6%) | 564 (89.5%) | |
| PR expression, No. (%) | 0.03 | |||
| <20% | 463 (36.8%) | 213 (33.9%) | 250 (39.7%) | |
| ≥20% | 796 (63.2%) | 416 (66.1%) | 380 (60.3%) | |
| Ki67 by IHC, No. (%) | 0.71 | |||
| ≤14% | 658 (52.3%) | 332 (52.8%) | 326 (51.7%) | |
| >14% | 601 (47.7%) | 297 (47.2%) | 304 (48.3%) | |
| Ki67 by RT-PCR, No. (%) | 0.98 | |||
| ≤5.68 | 811 (64.4%) | 405 (64.4%) | 406 (64.4%) | |
| >5.68 | 448 (35.6%) | 224 (35.6%) | 224 (35.6%) | |
| Intrinsic subtype, No. (%) | 0.62 | |||
| Luminal A-like | 402 (31.9%) | 205 (32.6%) | 197 (31.3%) | |
| Luminal B-like | 857 (68.1%) | 424 (67.4%) | 433 (68.7%) | |
| Recurrence Score result, No. (%) | 0.53 | |||
| <11 | 101 (8.0%) | 46 (7.4%) | 55 (8.7%) | |
| 11-25 | 607 (48.2%) | 311 (49.4%) | 296 (47.0%) | |
| >26 | 551 (43.8%) | 272 (43.2%) | 279 (44.3%) | |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy, No. (%) | 0.296 | |||
| Received | 636 (50.5%) | 309 (49.1%) | 327 (52.1%) | |
| Not received | 621 (49.3%) | 320 (50.9%) | 301 (47.9%) | |
Pearson Correlation between Ki67 by IHC and Proliferation Genes in 21-gene Expression Assay
| Ki67 by IHC | Ki67 by PCR | CCNB1 | MYBL2 | STK15 | SURV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ki67 by IHC | 1 | |||||
| Ki67 by PCR | 0.345* | 1 | ||||
| CCNB1 | 0.081* | 0.285* | 1 | |||
| MYBL2 | 0. 104* | 0.309* | 0.421* | 1 | ||
| STK15 | 0.182* | 0.552* | 0.226* | 0.238* | 1 | |
| SURV | 0.057* | 0.272* | 0.137* | 0.300* | 0.206* | 1 |
* p value less than 0.05
Agreement of High and Low Ki67 Expression Levels by IHC and by RT-PCR
| Ki67 by RT-PCR, No. | κ | χ | p value* | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 5.30 | >5.30 | ||||
| Ki67 by IHC, No. | 0. 252 | 79.82 | <0.001 | ||
| ≤ 14 | 410 (62.3%) | 248 (37.7%) | |||
| >14 | 223 (37.1%) | 378 (62.9%) | |||
* p value for chi-square test
Association of the Clinicopathological Factors and the Concordance between Two Assays' Assessments of Ki67
| Concordance | Discordance | χ | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menopausal status | 0.245 | 0621 | ||
| Pre- Menopausal | 137 (32.9%) | 74 (34.9%) | ||
| Peri- or Post- Menopausal | 279 (67.1%) | 138 (65.1%) | ||
| Pathology, No. (%) | 8.001 | 0.018 | ||
| IDC | 699 (88.7%) | 393 (83.4%) | ||
| ILC | 31 (3.9%) | 22 (4.7%) | ||
| Others | 58 (7.4%) | 56 (11.9%) | ||
| Grade, No. (%) | 7.661 | 0.022 | ||
| G1 | 91 (13.0%) | 33 (8.4%) | ||
| G2 | 426 (60.8%) | 268 (68.2%) | ||
| G3 | 184 (26.2%) | 92 (23.4%) | ||
| Tumor Size, No. (%) | 0.655 | 0.418 | ||
| pT1 | 535 (70.7%) | 315 (68.5%) | ||
| pT2-3 | 222 (29.3%) | 145 (31.5%) | ||
| Nodal status, No. (%) | 0.818 | 0.366 | ||
| pN0-mic | 678 (86.5%) | 413 (88.2%) | ||
| pN1 | 106 (13.5%) | 55 (11.8%) | ||
| ER status, No. (%) | 2.218 | 0.136 | ||
| <50% | 67 (8.5%) | 52 (11.0%) | ||
| ≥50% | 721 (91.5%) | 419 (89.0%) | ||
| PR status, No. (%) | 0.984 | 0.321 | ||
| <20% | 298 (37.8%) | 165 (35.0%) | ||
| ≥20% | 490 (62.2%) | 306 (65.0%) | ||
| Ki67, No. (%) | 50.054 | <0.001 | ||
| <10 | 269 (34.2%) | 126 (26.8%) | ||
| 10-29 | 287 (36.4%) | 265 (56.3%) | ||
| ≥30 | 232 (29.4%) | 80 (17.0%) | ||
| Recurrence Score, No. (%) | 1.776 | 0.411 | ||
| <11 | 57 (7.2%) | 44 (9.3%) | ||
| 11-25 | 383 (48.6%) | 224 (47.6%) | ||
| >25 | 348 (44.2%) | 203 (43.1%) |
Kaplan-Meier Estimates of Disease-free Survival at 3 Years According to Ki67 by IHC and by RT-PCR
| Biomarker | 3-year estimated DFS | LR-Δχ² | Log-rank p | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low expression | High expression | |||
| (1) Training cohort | ||||
| Ki67 by RT-PCR (≤5.68 vs >5.68) | 96.9% | 90.5% | 9.3 | 0.002 |
| (2) Validation cohort | ||||
| Ki67 by RT-PCR (≤5.68 vs >5.68) | 97.0% | 90.3% | 8.1 | 0.004 |
| (3) Whole population | ||||
| Ki67 by IHC (≤14 vs >14) | 96.0% | 92.5% | 2.5 | 0.1 |
| Ki67 by IHC (≤20 vs >20) | 96.0% | 91.7% | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| Ki67 by IHC (≤30 vs >30) | 95.8% | 89.9% | 5.1 | 0.02 |
| Ki67 by RT-PCR (≤5.68 vs >5.68) | 97.0% | 90.4% | 17.4 | <0.001 |
Figure 1Distribution Pattern of Ki67 Assessed by RT-PCR in Training and Validation Cohorts.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier estimates of disease-free survival by Ki67 status. Disease-free survival by RT-PCR assessed Ki67 status in training cohort (A), in validation cohort (B)and in whole population (C); Disease-free survival by IHC assessed Ki67 status in whole population (D).
Univariate and Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Analyses for Disease-free Survival in association with Ki67 by RT-PCR in Training and Validation Cohorts and whole population
| Variables | coding | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | p | HR (95% CI) | p | |||
| (1) Training cohort | ||||||
| Ki67 by RT-PCR | >5.68 vs ≤5.68 | 2.740 (1.396-5.378) | 0.003 | |||
| (2) Validation cohort | ||||||
| Tumor stage | T2-3 vs T1 | 2.138 (1.189-3.843) | 0.011 | 1.774 (0.977-3.221) | 0.059 | |
| Ki67 by IHC | ≥14% vs <14% | 1.850 (1.019-3.358) | 0.043 | 1.517 (0.815-2.822) | 0.189 | |
| Ki67 by RT-PCR | >5.68 vs ≤5.68 | 2.370 (1.285-4.371) | 0.003 | 1.909 (0.995-3.661) | 0.052 | |
| Recurrence score | >25 vs ≤25 | 1.948 (1.070-3.549) | 0.029 | 1.615 (0.867-3.006) | 0.131 | |
| (3) Whole population | ||||||
| Tumor stage | T2-3 vs T1 | 1.985 (1.285-3.066) | 0.002 | 1.672 (1.076-2.597) | 0.022 | |
| Nodal status | pN1 vs pN0-mic | 1.432 (0.704-2.913) | 0.322 | NA | ||
| Grade | Grade III vs Grade I-II | 1.425 (0.862-2.356) | 0.168 | NA | ||
| Intrinsic subtype | Luminal B-like vs Luminal A-like | 1.799 (1.056-3.063) | 0.031 | 1.470 (0.842-2.568) | 0.176 | |
| Ki67 by IHC | ≥14% vs <14% | 1.410 (0.917-2.170) | 0.118 | NA | ||
| Ki67 by RT-PCR | >5.68 vs ≤5.68 | 2.540 (1.615-3.997) | <0.001 | 2.179 (1.359-3.494) | 0.001 | |
| Recurrence score | >25 vs ≤25 | 1.670 (1.079-2.584) | 0.021 | 1.307 (0.832-2.053) | 0.246 | |