| Literature DB >> 30694001 |
Brian R Gastman1, Jonathan S Zager2, Jane L Messina3, Robert W Cook4, Kyle R Covington4, Brooke Middlebrook4, Pedram Gerami5,6,7, Jeffrey D Wayne5,8, Sancy Leachman9, John T Vetto10.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We report the performance of a gene expression profile test to classify the recurrence risk of cutaneous melanoma tumors of the head and neck as low-risk Class 1 or high-risk Class 2.Entities:
Keywords: cutaneous melanoma; gene expression profiling; metastasis; prognosis; staging
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30694001 PMCID: PMC6667900 DOI: 10.1002/hed.25473
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Head Neck ISSN: 1043-3074 Impact factor: 3.147
Patient demographics
| Clinical characteristics | Overall (n = 157) | Class 1 (n = 79) | Class 2 (n = 78) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median age (range), years | 65 (25‐89) | 62 (25‐89) | 66 (25‐85) | .27 |
| Recurrence/distant metastasis | 73/65 | 19/17 | 54/48 | <.001 |
| Median time to recurrence/follow‐up for non‐metastatic, years | 1.4/7.1 | 1.8/7.5 | 1.2/6.0 | … |
| AJCC stage | … | … | … | <.001 |
| I | 64 (41%) | 52 (81%) | 12 (19%) | … |
| II | 53 (32%) | 19 (37%) | 32 (63%) | … |
| III | 40 (27%) | 8 (19%) | 34 (81%) | … |
| Breslow thickness | … | … | … | <.001 |
| Median (range), mm | 1.6 (0.2‐15.0) | 1.0 (0.2‐6.0) | 2.5 (0.6‐15.0) | … |
| ≤1 mm | 44 (28%) | 39 (89%) | 5 (11%) | … |
| >1 mm | 112 (71%) | 40 (36%) | 72 (64%) | … |
| Not assessed | 1 (1%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (100%) | … |
| Mitotic index | … | … | … | .002 |
| <1/mm2 | 23 (14%) | 17 (74%) | 6 (26%) | … |
| ≥1/mm2 | 84 (54%) | 32 (38%) | 52 (62%) | … |
| Not assessed | 50 (32%) | 30 (60%) | 20 (40%) | … |
| Ulceration | … | … | … | <.001 |
| Absent | 92 (59%) | 63 (68%) | 29 (32%) | … |
| Present | 48 (31%) | 7 (15%) | 41 (85%) | … |
| Not assessed | 17 (10%) | 9 (53%) | 8 (47%) | … |
| Node status | … | … | … | <.001 |
| Negative | 118 (75%) | 72 (61%) | 46 (39%) | … |
| Positive | 39 (25%) | 7 (18%) | 32 (82%) | … |
| Growth pattern | … | … | … | <.001 |
| Superficial spreading | 40 (25%) | 27 (68%) | 13 (32%) | … |
| Nodular | 37 (24%) | 11 (30%) | 26 (70%) | … |
| Desmoplastic | 10 (6%) | 2 (20%) | 8 (80%) | … |
| Lentigo maligna | 11 (7%) | 10 (91%) | 1 (9%) | … |
| Other/not reported | 59 (38%) | 29 (49%) | 30 (51%) | … |
| Site | … | … | … | <.001 |
| Mid‐face | 52 (33%) | 34 (65%) | 18 (35%) | … |
| Lateral face | 40 (25%) | 21 (53%) | 19 (47%) | … |
| Scalp | 49 (32%) | 13 (27%) | 36 (73%) | … |
| Neck | 16 (10%) | 11 (69%) | 5 (31%) | … |
Abbreviations: AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer.
P‐values indicate statistical differences between Class 1 and Class 2.
Figure 1Kaplan‐Meier analysis of recurrence‐free (RFS), distant metastasis‐free (DMFS), overall survival (OS), and melanoma‐specific survival (MSS) by gene expression profile (GEP) class. RFS, DMFS, OS, and MSS rates for patients with cutaneous melanoma located in the head and neck (n = 157) using molecular GEP subclassification or nodal status in Kaplan‐Meier analysis. Tables below curves show the number of patients with each GEP class or a sentinel lymph node status, 5‐year survival rates for the outcome with 95% confidence intervals, and number of events with percentages experiencing the event. P‐values determined by log rank test for either all comparisons of GEP class or nodal status [Color figure can be viewed at wileyonlinelibrary.com]
Cox proportional hazard models evaluating gene expression profile classification along with standard clinicopathologic factors
| Univariate | Multivariate | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| ||
| RFS | Breslow | 1.2 | 1.1‐1.2 | <.0001 | 1.2 | 1.1‐1.5 | .02 |
| Mitotic rate | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.1 | .1 | 1.0 | 0.9‐1.0 | .1 | |
| Ulceration present | 2.5 | 1.5‐4.1 | .0002 | 1.2 | 0.6‐2.5 | .5 | |
| SLN‐positive | 3.8 | 2.4‐6.1 | <.0001 | 2.2 | 1.1‐4.1 | .02 | |
| GEP Class 2 | 4.8 | 2.8‐8.2 | <.0001 | 3.0 | 1.3‐7.1 | .01 | |
| DMFS | Breslow | 1.2 | 1.1‐1.3 | <.0001 | 1.3 | 1.1‐1.6 | .008 |
| Mitotic rate | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.1 | .5 | 0.9 | 0.9‐1.0 | .03 | |
| Ulceration present | 2.8 | 1.7‐4.8 | <.0001 | 2.0 | 0.9‐4.2 | .07 | |
| SLN‐positive | 3.4 | 2.1‐5.7 | <.0001 | 1.7 | 0.8‐3.4 | .1 | |
| GEP Class 2 | 4.5 | 2.5‐7.8 | <.0001 | 2.5 | 1.0‐6.3 | .04 | |
| OS | Breslow | 1.2 | 1.1‐1.3 | .0001 | 1.4 | 1.0‐1.7 | .01 |
| Mitotic rate | 1.0 | 1.0‐1.1 | .06 | 1.0 | 0.9‐1.0 | .5 | |
| Ulceration present | 4.6 | 2.4‐8.6 | <.0001 | 1.9 | 0.8‐4.7 | .1 | |
| SLN‐positive | 3.9 | 2.2‐6.9 | <.0001 | 1.5 | 0.7‐3.4 | .3 | |
| GEP Class 2 | 6.7 | 3.3‐13.5 | <.0001 | 2.9 | 1.0‐9.0 | .06 | |
| MSS | Breslow | 1.2 | 1.1‐1.3 | .0008 | 1.4 | 1.0‐1.9 | .03 |
| Mitotic rate | 1.0 | 0.9‐1.1 | .7 | 0.9 | 0.8‐1.0 | .1 | |
| Ulceration present | 3.1 | 1.3‐7.6 | .01 | 0.9 | 0.3‐3.1 | .9 | |
| SLN‐positive | 4.9 | 2.2‐10.9 | <.0001 | 2.6 | 0.8‐8.6 | .1 | |
| GEP Class 2 | 10.5 | 3.1‐35.4 | .0001 | 5.4 | 1.0‐30.7 | .06 | |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; DMFS, distant metastasis‐free survival; HR, hazard ratio; MSS, melanoma‐specific survival; OS, overall survival; RFS, recurrence‐free survival; SLN, sentinel lymph node.
Cox multivariate analysis evaluating high risk classification by American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage (stage IIB and above) along with gene expression profile class
| HR | 95% CI |
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFS | ≥AJCC stage IIB | 2.9 | 0.2‐0.6 | .0003 |
| GEP Class 2 | 2.8 | 1.5‐5.1 | .0009 | |
| DMFS | ≥ AJCC stage IIB | 2.4 | 0.2‐0.8 | .006 |
| GEP Class 2 | 2.8 | 1.5‐5.4 | .002 | |
| OS | ≥ AJCC stage IIB | 2.8 | 0.2‐0.7 | .005 |
| GEP Class 2 | 4.1 | 1.9‐9.1 | .0004 | |
| MSS | ≥ AJCC stage IIB | 2.3 | 0.2‐1.1 | .1 |
| GEP Class 2 | 6.8 | 1.8‐25.4 | .005 |
Abbreviations: DMFS, distant metastasis‐free survival; GEP, gene expression profile; MSS, melanoma‐specific survival; OS, overall survival; RFS, recurrence‐free survival.
Figure 2Kaplan‐Meier analysis of recurrence‐free (RFS), distant metastasis‐free (DMFS), overall survival (OS), and melanoma‐specific survival (MSS) outcomes by combined gene expression profile (GEP) and nodal risk classification. RFS, DMFS, OS, and MSS rates for patients with cutaneous melanoma located in the head and neck (n = 157) using molecular GEP class and clinical nodal status in Kaplan‐Meier analysis. Tables below curves show the number of patients with each GEP class and a sentinel lymph node status combination, 5‐year survival rates for the outcome with 95% confidence intervals, and number of events with percentages experiencing the event. P‐values determined by log rank test for all comparisons
Accuracy values of node status and gene expression profile alone and in combination for prediction of recurrence, distant metastasis, all‐cause death, and melanoma‐specific death
| GEP (95% CI) | Node (95% CI) | GEP + node (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFS | Sensitivity | 74% (62%‐84%) | 41% (30%‐53%) | 81% (70%‐89%) |
| Specificity | 71% (61%‐81%) | 89% (81%‐95%) | 69% (58%‐79%) | |
| PPV | 69% (58%‐79%) | 77% (61%‐89%) | 69% (62%‐76%) | |
| NPV | 76% (65%‐85%) | 64% (54%‐74%) | 81% (72%‐87%) | |
| DMFS | Sensitivity | 74% (61%‐84%) | 40% (28%‐53%) | 80% (68%‐89%) |
| Specificity | 67% (57%‐77%) | 86% (77%‐92%) | 64% (53%‐74%) | |
| PPV | 62% (50%‐72%) | 67% (50%‐81%) | 61% (54%‐68%) | |
| NPV | 78% (68%‐87%) | 67% (58%‐75%) | 82% (73%‐88%) | |
| OS | Sensitivity | 80% (66%‐90%) | 43% (29%‐58%) | 82% (68%‐91%) |
| Specificity | 64% (54%‐73%) | 83% (75%‐90%) | 58% (48%‐68%) | |
| PPV | 50% (38%‐62%) | 54% (37%‐70%) | 47% (41%‐53%) | |
| NPV | 87% (78%‐94%) | 76% (68%‐84%) | 88% (79%‐93%) | |
| MSS | Sensitivity | 88% (69%‐97%) | 52% (31%‐72%) | 88% (69%‐97%) |
| Specificity | 58% (49%‐66%) | 80% (72%‐87%) | 52% (43%‐61%) | |
| PPV | 28% (19%‐40%) | 33% (19%‐50%) | 26% (22%‐31%) | |
| NPV | 96% (89%‐99%) | 90% (83%‐95%) | 96% (89%‐99%) |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; DMFS, distant metastasis‐free survival; GEP, gene expression profile; MSS, melanoma‐specific survival; NPV, negative predictive value; OS, overall survival; PPV, positive predictive value; RFS, recurrence‐free survival.