| Literature DB >> 30496214 |
Chutima Kumdee1, Wantanee Kulpeng1, Yot Teerawattananon1,2.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-utility of an oral precancer screening program compared to a no-screening program in Thailand.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30496214 PMCID: PMC6264816 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0207442
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Model of the screening program for early oral cancer detection in Thailand.
Summary data and assumptions.
| Parameter | Distribution | Mean | Standard Error (S.E.) | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability of progression from precancer to cancer stage I | Beta | 0.04 | 0.01 | [ |
| Probability of progression from cancer stage I to II | Beta | 0.53 | 0.27 | [ |
| Probability of progression from cancer stage II to III | Beta | 0.59 | 0.25 | |
| Probability of progression from cancer stage III to IV | Beta | 0.67 | 0.25 | |
| Probability of precancerous lesion regression | Beta | 0.30 | 0.10 | [ |
| Probabilities of disease progression of each cancer stage are less than the no-treatment group by a half. (using hazard ratio = 0.50) | - | 0.50 | - | [ |
| Probability of precancerous lesion being cured after treatment | - | 0.58 | - | [ |
| Probability of loss to follow-up treatment and developing cancer stage I | - | 0.01 | - | [ |
| Probability of death from cancer stage I | Beta | 0.20 | 0.01 | Meta-analysis [ |
| Probability of death from cancer stage II | Beta | 0.34 | 0.06 | |
| Probability of death cancer from stage III | Beta | 0.42 | 0.08 | |
| Probability of death cancer from stage IV | Beta | 0.52 | 0.10 | |
| Probabilities of death of each cancer stage are more than the treatment group by a half. (using hazard ratio = 2) | - | 2.00 | - | [ |
| MSE at no cancer and precancer | - | 0.97 | - | Pilot study, by the Bureau of Dental Health |
| Visual screening by TDN at no cancer and precancer | - | 0.80 | - | |
| Visual screening by TDT at no cancer and precancer | - | 0.76 | - | |
| Visual screening by oral surgeons at precancer | - | 0.91 | - | |
| Visual screening at cancer stages I to VI | - | 1.00 | - | Assumption |
| Biopsy | - | 0.62 | - | |
| Self-referral rate to general dentist without precancer and cancer | - | 0.04 | - | [ |
| Self-referral rate to general dentist at cancer stage I and II | - | 0.43 | - | |
| Self-referral rate to general dentist at cancer stages III and IV | - | 0.82 | - | |
| Biopsy | - | 0.51 | - | [ |
| Precancer stage | - | 0.94 | - | Data collection |
| Cancer stage I | - | 0.98 | - | |
| Cancer stage II | - | 0.98 | - | |
| Cancer stage III | - | 0.94 | - | |
| Cancer stage IV | - | 0.84 | - | |
| Sensitivity of MSE | Beta | 0.20 | 0.03 | Pilot study, by the Bureau of Dental Health |
| Specificity of MSE | Beta | 0.81 | 0.02 | |
| Sensitivity of visual examination by TDN | Beta | 0.44 | 0.06 | |
| Specificity of visual examination by TDN | Beta | 0.79 | 0.02 | |
| Sensitivity of visual examination by TDT | Beta | 0.87 | 0.04 | [ |
| Specificity of visual examination by TDT | Beta | 0.85 | 0.05 | [ |
| Sensitivity of visual examination by oral surgeon | Beta | 0.76 | 0.03 | [ |
| Sensitivity of visual examination by general dentist | Beta | 0.84 | 0.09 | [ |
| Specificity of visual examination by general dentist | Beta | 0.82 | 0.14 | [ |
| Sensitivity of visual examination by oral surgeon | Beta | 0.76 | 0.03 | [ |
| Cost of screening program management | - | 0.25 | - | Pilot study, by the Bureau of Dental Health |
| Cost of MSE | - | 5 | - | [ |
| Cost of visual screening by TDN | - | 34 | - | |
| Cost of visual screening by TDT | - | 43 | - | |
| Cost of visual screening by general dentist | - | 95 | - | [ |
| Cost of visual screening by oral surgeon | - | 90 | - | [ |
| Cost of biopsy | - | 450 | - | [ |
| Transportation cost of visual screening by TDN | Gamma | 57 | 4 | [ |
| Transportation cost of visual screening by TDT | Gamma | 76 | 4 | |
| Transportation cost of visual screening by oral surgeon | Gamma | 151 | 12 | |
| Lost productivity work time to visual screening by TDN | Gamma | 14 | 4 | |
| Lost productivity work time to visual screening by TDT | Gamma | 52 | 6 | |
| Lost productivity work time to visual screening by oral surgeon | Gamma | 85 | 14 | |
| Precancer | Gamma | 758 | 177 | Data collection |
| Cancer stage I | Gamma | 63,546 | 10,250 | [ |
| Cancer stage II | Gamma | 68,753 | 15,870 | |
| Cancer stage III | Gamma | 78,749 | 8,205 | |
| Cancer stage VI | Gamma | 106,529 | 5,978 | |
| Precancer | Gamma | 11,044 | 1,841 | Data collection |
| Cancer stage I | Gamma | 18,460 | 5,630 | |
| Cancer stage II | Gamma | 75,896 | 14,422 | |
| Cancer stage III | Gamma | 54,300 | 10,497 | |
| Cancer stage VI | Gamma | 54,265 | 9,511 | |
| Precancer | Beta | 0.83 | 0.02 | Data collection |
| Cancer stages I to II | Beta | 0.61 | 0.05 | |
| Cancer stages III to VI | Beta | 0.34 | 0.09 | |
Fig 2Model validation.
Lifetime costs and QALYs of screening versus no-screening.
| Strategy | Cost (THB) | QALYs |
|---|---|---|
| Screening | 2,765 | 21.6233 |
| No-screening | 1,403 | 21.6189 |
| Increment between strategies | 1,362 | 0.0044 |
Fig 3Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve.
Fig 4Tornado diagram of ICER sensitivity to plausible ranges of individual parameters.
Summary of subgroup analysis.
| Scenario | Steps of screening | Cost (THB) | QALYs | ICER (THB/QALYs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. MSE | 2,616 | 21.6275 | 320,618 | |
| 1. Visual Examination by TDN | 4,498 | 21.6418 | 174,621 | |
| 1. Visual Examination by TDT | 5,199 | 21.6623 | 100,016 | |
| 1. MSE | 2,938 | 21.6432 | 82,292 |