| Literature DB >> 30184178 |
Jacob D Ball1,2, Maha A Elbadry1,3, Taina Telisma4, Sarah K White1,3, Sonese Chavannes4, Marie Gina Anilis4, Mattia Prosperi1,2, Derek A T Cummings1,5, John A Lednicky1,3, J Glenn Morris1,6, Madsen Beau de Rochars1,7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Beginning in December 2013, an epidemic of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection spread across the Caribbean and into virtually all countries in the Western hemisphere, with >2.4 million cases reported through the end of 2017.Entities:
Keywords: Haiti; arbovirus; chikungunya virus
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30184178 PMCID: PMC6399436 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciy582
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Infect Dis ISSN: 1058-4838 Impact factor: 9.079
Figure 1.Map of study area. School locations are indicated by letters; the darker line represents the major highway through the region.
Figure 2.Pathogen-specific surveillance over the course of the study period. Abbreviations: AFI, acute febrile illness; CHIKV, chikungunya virus; DENV1 and DENV4, dengue virus, serotypes 1 and 4; ZIKV, Zika virus.
Population Demographics and Demographic-specific Attack Rates
| Variablea | Patients, No. (%) | AFI AR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFI Population (n = 252) | Total Population (N = 1390) | ||
| Sex | |||
| Female | 120 (47.6) | 705 (50.72) | 0.17 (.14–.20) |
| Male | 132 (52.4) | 685 (49.28) | 0.19 (.16–.22) |
| Schoolb | |||
| School A | 180 (71.4) | 558 (40.14) | 0.32 (.28–.36) |
| School B | 13 (5.2) | 217 (15.61) | 0.06 (.03–.09) |
| School C | 47 (18.7) | 126 (9.06) | 0.38 (.29–.47) |
| School D | 12 (4.8) | 231 (16.62) | 0.06 (.03–.09) |
| Gradeb | |||
| Kindergarten | 114 (45.2) | 296 (21.29) | 0.35 (.30–.41) |
| Primary | 96 (38.1) | 648 (46.62) | 0.14 (.11–.16) |
| Secondary | 42 (16.7) | 207 (14.89) | 0.19 (.14–.25) |
Abbreviations: AFI, acute febrile illness; AR, attack rate; CI, confidence interval.
aThe mean age in the AFI population was 7.8 years (standard deviation, 4.5). The mean age for the school-age population was 8.84 years.
bStatistically significant differences between ≥1 categories in this variable.
Pathogen-specific Demographics and Attack Rates
| Variablea | Cohort, | DENV1 Only (n = 24) | DENV4 Only (n = 32) | CHIKV Only (n = 74) | Dual CHIKV-ZIKV (n = 6) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. (%) | AR (95% CI), % | No. (%) | AR (95% CI), % | No. (%) | AR (95% CI), % | No. (%) | AR (95% CI), % | ||
| Sex | |||||||||
| Female | 705 | 11 (45.8) | 0.02 (.01–.02) | 17 (53.1) | 0.02 (.01–.03) | 39 (52.7) | 0.06 (.04–.07) | 4 (66.7) | 0.01 (.0–.01) |
| Male | 685 | 13 (54.2) | 0.02 (.01–.03) | 15 (46.9) | 0.02 (.01–.03) | 35 (47.3) | 0.05 (.03–.07) | 2 (33.3) | 0.0 (.0–.01) |
| School | |||||||||
| School A | 736 | 19 (79.2) | 0.03 (.02–.04) | 22 (68.8) | 0.03 (.02–.04) | 64 (86.5) | 0.09 (.07–.11) | 5 (83.3) | 0.01 (.0–.01) |
| School B | 230 | 1 (4.2) | 0.0 (.0–.01) | 0 (0.0) | 0.0 (.0–.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (.0–.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0.0 (.0–.0) |
| School C | 174 | 3 (12.5) | 0.02 (.0–.04) | 8 (25.0) | 0.05 (.01–.08) | 8 (10.8) | 0.02 (.01–.8) | 1 (16.7) | 0.01 (.0–.2) |
| School D | 244 | 0 (0.0) | 0.0 (.0–.0) | 2 (6.3) | 0.01 (.0–.02) | 2 (2.6) | 0.01 (.0–.02) | 0 (0.0) | 0.0 (.0–.0) |
| Grade | |||||||||
| Kindergarten | 401 | 9 (37.5) | 0.02 (.01–.04) | 13 (40.6) | 0.03 (.02–.05) | 17 (23.0) | 0.04 (.02–.06) | 3 (50.0) | 0.01 (.0–.02) |
| Primary | 736 | 11 (45.8) | 0.01 (.01–.02) | 11 (34.4) | 0.01 (.01–.02) | 38 (51.4) | 0.05 (.03–.07) | 2 (33.3) | 0.0 (.0–.01) |
| Secondary | 247 | 4 (16.7) | 0.02 (.0–.03) | 8 (25.0) | 0.03 (.01–.05) | 19 (25.7) | 0.08 (.04–.11) | 1 (16.7) | 0.0 (.0–.01) |
Abbreviations: AR, attack rate; CHIKV, chikungunya virus; CI, confidence interval; DENV1 and DENV4, dengue virus, serotypes 1 and 4; ZIKV, Zika virus.
aThe mean (standard deviation) age was 8.3 (4.5) years for DENV1 only, 8.1 (4.7) years for DENV4 only, 9.6 (4.4) years for CHIKV only, 7.5 (5.4) years for dual CHIKV-ZIKV infection, and 8.8 (3.9) years for the school age population as a whole.
Prevalence of Symptoms by Pathogen
| Symptom | Patients, No. (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DENV1 Only (n = 24) | DENV4 Only (n = 32) | Any DENV (n = 56) | CHIKV Only (n = 74) | Dual CHIKV-ZIKV (n = 6) | |
| Fever at visit | 13 (54.1) | 9 (28.1) | 22 (39.3) | 29 (39.2) | 2 (33.3) |
| Headache | 9 (37.5) | 14 (43.8) | 23 (41.1) | 29 (39.2) | 1 (16.7) |
| Abdomen pain | 9 (37.5) | 16 (50.0) | 25 (44.6)a | 19 (25.7)a | 1 (16.7) |
| Myalgia | 6 (25.0) | 1 (3.1) | 7 (12.5)b | 43 (58.1)b | 4 (66.7) |
| Arthralgia | 5 (20.8) | 0 (0.0) | 5 (8.9)b | 47 (63.5)b | 4 (66.7) |
| Rash | 0 (0.0) | 2 (6.3) | 2 (3.6) | 3 (4.1) | 0 (0.0) |
Abbreviations: CHIKV, chikungunya virus; DENV, dengue virus; DENV1 and DENV4, DENV serotypes 1 and 4; ZIKV, Zika virus.
a P < .05.
b P < .001.
Stepwise Logistic Regression for Each Pathogen
| Variable | OR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DENV1 Only | DENV4 Only | CHIKV Only | CHIKV-ZIKV Dual Infection | |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | …a | … | 0.6 (.3–1.2) | … |
| Female | … | … | Reference | … |
| Age category | ||||
| 3–4 y | … | … | Reference | … |
| 5–9 y | … | … | 1.43 (.6–3.6) | … |
| 10–14 y | … | … | 3.6 (1.4–9.8) | … |
| 15–20 y | … | … | 2.4 (.7–8.5) | … |
| Fever at visit | 2.1 (.9–4.9) | - | … | … |
| Headache | … | 2.5 (1.1–5.5) | … | … |
| Myalgia | … | … | … | 6.5 (1.2–47.6) |
| Abdominal pain | … | … | … | … |
| Arthralgia | … | … | 16.2 (8.0–34.4) | … |
Abbreviations: CHIKV, chikungunya virus; CI, confidence interval; DENV1 and DENV4, dengue virus, serotypes 1 and 4; OR, odds ratio; ZIKV, Zika virus.
aEllipses indicate that the variable was not selected for inclusion in the stepwise model for the outcome of interest.