| Literature DB >> 30167454 |
Henri K Terho1, Jani T Tikkanen1, Tuomas V Kenttä1, Juhani M Junttila1, Aapo L Aro2, Olli Anttonen3, Tuomas Kerola3, Harri A Rissanen4, Paul Knekt4, Heikki V Huikuri1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Abnormal 12‑lead electrocardiogram (ECG) findings and proposing its ability for enhanced risk prediction, majority of the studies have been carried out with elderly populations with prior cardiovascular diseases. This study aims to denote the association of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and various abnormal ECG morphologies using middle-aged population without a known cardiac disease.Entities:
Keywords: Electrocardiogram; Follow-up studies; Risk prediction; Sudden cardiac death
Year: 2018 PMID: 30167454 PMCID: PMC6111047 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcha.2018.08.002
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ISSN: 2352-9067
Characteristics of subjects at baseline.
| Normal ECG | Any ECG abnormality | P value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (N = 7963) | (N = 1548) | ||
| Males (%) | 50.8 | 63.0 | <0.001 |
| Age (years) | 42.8 ± 8.1 | 44.5 ± 8.6 | <0.001 |
| Current smoker (%) | 33.9 | 38.2 | 0.001 |
| Diabetes (%) | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.369 |
| Cholesterol (mmol/l) | 6.46 ± 1.3 | 6.49 ± 1.3 | 0.695 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 25.8 ± 3.7 | 25.2 ± 3.6 | 0.001 |
| Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 135 ± 19 | 144 ± 23 | <0.001 |
Adjusted for age.
Adjusted for gender.
Adjusted for age and gender.
Competing risk regression model and hazard ratios (HR), 10-year follow-up.
| Univariate HR | P-value | Multivariate HR | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normal ECG (N = 7963) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Any ECG abnormality (N = 1548, 16.3%) | 2.86 (1.77–4.62) | <0.001 | 1.62 (1.00–2.62) | 0.052 |
| QRS duration > 110 ms (N = 110, 1.2%) | 6.44 (2.59–16.00) | <0.001 | 3.09 (1.27–7.52) | 0.013 |
| QTc (N = 534, 5.6%) | 2.68 (1.38–5.22) | 0.004 | 1.26 (0.64–2.48) | 0.500 |
| QRST-angle > 100° (N = 125, 1.3%) | 5.61 (2.26–13.90) | <0.001 | 3.40 (1.37–8.44) | 0.009 |
| LVH (N = 395, 4.2%) | 5.07 (2.78–9.23) | <0.001 | 2.67 (1.42–5.01) | 0.002 |
| ER ≥ 0,1 mV (N = 351, 3.7%) | 1.12 (0.35–3.55) | 0.850 | 0.86 (0.27–2.72) | 0.800 |
| ER ≥ 0,2 mV (N = 40, 0,4%) | 0.00 (0–0) | N/A | 0.00 (0–0) | N/A |
| T-wave inversion (N = 284, 3,0%) | 4.05 (1.94–8.45) | <0.001 | 2.98 (1.30–6.79) | 0.010 |
Adjusted for age, gender, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, BMI and cholesterol. ECG = electrocardiogram, ER = early repolarization, HR = hazard ratio, LVH = left ventricular hypertrophy, QTc = heart rate corrected QT interval. HRs for ER > 0.2 mV were not possible to analyze as no events occurred in this group during the 10-year follow-up.
Fig. 1Mortality rates in subject with and without ECG abnormalities for sudden cardiac death.
Competing risk regression model, 30-year follow-up.
| Univariate | P-value | Multivariate | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normal ECG (N = 7963) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Any ECG abnormality (N = 1548, 16.3%) | 1.67 (1.39–2.00) | <0.001 | 1.30 (1.07–1.57) | 0.007 |
| QRS duration > 110 ms (N = 110, 1.2%) | 2.20 (1.30–3.72) | 0.003 | 1.57 (0.91–2.72) | 0.110 |
| QTc (N = 534, 5.6%) | 1.56 (1.18–2.07) | 0.002 | 1.06 (0.79–1.43) | 0.670 |
| QRS-T angle > 100° (N = 125, 1.3%) | 2.33 (1.45–3.77) | 0.001 | 1.79 (1.08–2.95) | 0.0230 |
| LVH (N = 395, 4.2%) | 2.01 (1.50–2.71) | <0.001 | 1.52 (1.12–2.05) | 0.007 |
| ER ≥ 0,1 mV (N = 351, 3.7%) | 1.81 (1.31–2.49) | <0.001 | 1.60 (1.15–2.21) | 0.005 |
| ER ≥ 2 mV (N = 40, 0,4%) | 3.29 (1.63–6.67) | 0.001 | 2.60 (1.28–5.29) | 0.009 |
| T-wave inversion (N = 284, 3,0%) | 1.41 (0.948–2.08) | 0.090 | 1.33 (0.88–2.02) | 0.170 |
Multivariate model included age, gender, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, BMI and cholesterol. ECG = electrocardiogram, ER = early repolarization, HR = hazard ratio, LVH = left ventricular hypertrophy, QTc = heart rate corrected QT interval. Adjusted for age, gender, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, BMI and cholesterol.
Fig. 2Cumulative effect of abnormal ECG findings for sudden cardiac death.
Association between the number of ECG abnormalities and risk for sudden cardiac death.
| Number of ECG abnormalities | Number of SCDs/subjects at risk | Univariate | P value | Multivariate | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 ECG abnormality | 16/1313 | 2.10 (1.19–3.69) | 0.011 | 1.29 (0.72–2.30) | 0.393 |
| ≥2 ECG abnormalities | 10/186 | 7.62 (3.85–15.09) | <0.001 | 3.22 (1.57–6.62) | 0.001 |
| 1 ECG abnormality | 87/1313 | 1.55 (1.23–1.96) | <0.001 | 1.12 (0.89–1.43) | 0.334 |
| ≥2 ECG abnormalities | 37/186 | 4.57 (3.26–6.41) | <0.001 | 2.97 (2.09–4.20) | <0.001 |
Adjusted for age, gender, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, BMI and cholesterol. ECG = electrocardiogram.