| Literature DB >> 29938197 |
D M Martin1, M Mazzotta1.
Abstract
Analytical methods for Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) support the non-monetary valuation of ecosystem services for environmental decision making. Many published case studies transform ecosystem service outcomes into a common metric and aggregate the outcomes to set land use planning and environmental management priorities. Analysts and their stakeholder constituents should be cautioned that results may be sensitive to the methods that are chosen to perform the analysis. In this article, we investigate four common additive aggregation methods: global and local multi-attribute scaling, the analytic hierarchy process, and compromise programming. Using a hypothetical example, we explain scaling and compensation assumptions that distinguish the methods. We perform a case study application of the four methods to re-analyze a data set that was recently published in Ecosystem Services and demonstrate how results are sensitive to the methods.Entities:
Keywords: Decision making; Ecosystem services; MCDA; Trade-offs
Year: 2018 PMID: 29938197 PMCID: PMC6011778 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2017.10.022
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecosyst Serv ISSN: 2212-0416 Impact factor: 5.454
Saaty’s 9-point pairwise importance scale. Modified from Saaty (1980).
| Ratio importance value scale | Judgement | Explanation |
|---|---|---|
| 1/1 | Equal importance | The two alternatives are equally important |
| 3/1 | Moderate importance of one over another | Experience and judgement slightly favors one alternative over another |
| 5/1 | Strong importance | Experience and judgement strongly favors one alternative over another |
| 7/1 | Very strong importance | An alternative value is strongly favored over another and its dominance is demonstrated in practice |
| 9/1 | Extreme importance | The evidence favoring one alternative over another is of the highest possible order of affirmation |
| Reciprocal example | If element | |
Hypothetical multi-criteria problem. Measured data and method-relevant calculations are given to set up transformation and additive aggregation.
| Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative | 0 | 2.25 | 75 | Excellent |
| Alternative | 0.74 | 0.9 | 15 | Poor |
| Alternative | 0.55 | 2.25 | 30 | Good |
| Alternative | 1 | 3 | 10 | Fair |
| Global “worst” (
| 0 | 0 | 0 | None |
| Global “best” (
| 1 | 3 | 100 | Excellent |
| Local “worst” (
| 0 | 0.9 | 10 | Poor |
| Local “best” or “ideal” (
| 1 | 3 | 75 | Excellent |
|
| 1 | 2.1 | 65 | |
|
| 2.29 | 8.4 | 130 |
Notes: We assume c4 categories correspond to numbers (None = 0, Poor = 25, Fair = 50, Good = 75, Excellent = 100); we assume local “worst” and “best” “worst” and “ideal” values, respectively, for compromise programming.
Global scaling calculations for the hypothetical example. All values rounded to nearest whole number.
| Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative | 0 | 75 | 75 | 100 | 63 | 2 |
| Alternative | 74 | 30 | 15 | 25 | 36 | 4 |
| Alternative | 55 | 75 | 30 | 75 | 59 | 3 |
| Alternative | 100 | 100 | 10 | 50 | 65 | 1 |
Notes: Linear transformation using Eq. (2) performed on c1 : c4 values to transform data on 0–100 scale.
Compromise programming calculations for the hypothetical example. All values rounded to nearest hundredth.
| Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 2 |
| Alternative | 0.07 | 1 | 0.85 | 1 | 0.18 | 4 |
| Alternative | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1 |
| Alternative | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.09 | 3 |
Notes: Assumed distance norm p = 2 in Eq. (7); lower values for D correspond to preferred alternatives.
Fig. 1Benefit function values from the hypothetical multi-criteria problem using the global scaling (a), local scaling (b), and analytic hierarchy process (c) methods. Higher benefit function values correspond to more preferred alternatives. Distance function values using the compromise programming method (d). Performance values for each criterion range from “worst” = 1 to “ideal” = 0; alternatives closer to the ideal (lower distance function values) are preferred.
Local scaling calculations for the hypothetical example. All values rounded to nearest whole number.
| Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative | 0 | 64 | 100 | 100 | 66 | 1 |
| Alternative | 74 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 20 | 4 |
| Alternative | 55 | 64 | 31 | 67 | 54 | 3 |
| Alternative | 100 | 100 | 0 | 33 | 58 | 2 |
Notes: Linear transformation using Eq. (3) performed on c1 : c4 values to transform data on 0–100 scale.
Analytic hierarchy process calculations for the hypothetical example. All values rounded to nearest hundredth.
| Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Criterion | Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative | 0 | 0.27 | 0.58 | 0.56 | 0.35 | 1 |
| Alternative | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 3 |
| Alternative | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 2 |
| Alternative | 0.44 | 0.36 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 2 |
Notes: Vector normalization using Eq. (4) performed on c1 : c3 values; Saaty’s 9-point pairwise importance scale (Table 1) and eigenvalue analysis using Eqs. (5) and (6) performed on c4 values (see Supplementary material).
Ecosystem service criteria, relative importance weights, and indicator data of four land management alternatives in Kgalagdi District, southern Botswana (adapted from Favretto et al., 2016).
| Ecosystem service criterion (initial weight) | Indicator | Communal livestock grazing | Private cattle ranches | Private game ranches | Wildlife management areas | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial food (0.17) | Max. net profit of meat production (US $/ha/yr) | 0.64 | 1.21 | −2.07 | 0 | (−7.89,3.75) |
| Min. stocking level (Ha/LSU) | 11 | 14 | 9.5 | 160 | (7,200) | |
| Wild food (0.12) | Max. gathering of veld products | High | Low | Low | Medium | (Very low, Very high) |
| Max. subsistence hunting | High | Very low | Very low | High | (Very low, Very high) | |
| Fuel (0.11) | Max. firewood collection | Very high | Medium | Medium | High | (Very low, Very high) |
| Construction material (0.10) | Max. collection of thatching grass and poles for fencing | Very high | Medium | Low | High | (Very low, Very high) |
| Groundwater (0.18) | Max. value of water extracted (US $/ha/yr) | 0.84 | 0.97 | 0.15 | 0 | (0,1.71) |
| Plant and livestock diversity (0.15) | Max. species and genetic diversity between forage species | Low | Medium | High | Very high | (Very low, Very high) |
| Max. genetic diversity between livestock breeds | Low | High | Very low | Low | (Very low, Very high) | |
| Climate regulation (0.08) | Max. value of carbon sequestration (US $/ha/yr) | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | (0,2.5) |
| Recreation (0.06) | Max. revenues from CBNRM trophy hunting and photographic safari (US $/hr/yr) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | (0,0.09) |
| Max. ecotourism potential | Low | Very low | High | Very high | (Very low, Very high) | |
| Max. wild animals diversity | Medium | Very low | Very high | Very high | (Very low, Very high) | |
| Cultural/Spiritual benefits (0.03) | Max. presence of landscape features or species with cultural/spiritual benefits | Very high | Very low | Medium | Very high | (Very low, Very high) |
This value was incorrectly published as “Very high” in Favretto et al. (2016) (N. Favretto, personal communication).
Results of MCDA analysis using Favretto et al. (2016) data set.
| Iteration | Management alternative | Rank
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global scaling ( | Local scaling | Analytic hierarchy process | Compromise programming | ||
| Equal weights | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Private cattle ranches | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | |
| Private game ranches | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Initial weighting (Fig. 2 in | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Private cattle ranches | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Private game ranches | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| Sensitivity iteration 1 (Fig. 3a in | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Private cattle ranches | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Private game ranches | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| Sensitivity iteration 2 (Fig. 3b in | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Private cattle ranches | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| Private game ranches | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| Sensitivity iteration 3 (Fig. 3c in | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Private cattle ranches | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| Private game ranches | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |
| Sensitivity iteration 4 (Fig. 3d in | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Private cattle ranches | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Private game ranches | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| Sensitivity iteration 5 (Fig. 3e in | Communal livestock grazing | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Private cattle ranches | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| Private game ranches | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Wildlife management areas | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |
Note: The sensitivity iterations are described in Favretto et al. (2016) and the specifics are not relevant to this current study.