| Literature DB >> 29601671 |
David J Stewart1,2, Andrew A Stewart3, Paul Wheatley-Price1,2, Gerald Batist4, Hagop M Kantarjian5, Joan Schiller6, Mark Clemons1,2, John-Peter Bradford7, Laurel Gillespie2, Razelle Kurzrock8.
Abstract
It takes on average 6-12 years to develop new anticancer drugs from discovery to approval. Effective new agents prolong survival. To demonstrate the importance of rapid drug approval, we calculated life-years potentially saved if selected agents were approved more rapidly. As illustrative examples, we used 27 trials documenting improvements in survival. We multiplied improvement in median survival by numbers of patients dying annually and multiplied this by number of years from drug discovery until approval. For every year by which time to drug approval could have been shortened, there would have been a median number of life-years potentially saved of 79,920 worldwide per drug. Median number of life-years lost between time of drug discovery and approval was 1,020,900 per example. If we were able to use available opportunities to decrease the time required to take a drug from discovery to approval to 5 years, the median number of life-years saved per example would have been 523,890 worldwide. Various publications have identified opportunities to speed drug development without sacrificing patient safety. While many investigational drugs prove to be ineffective, some significantly prolong survival and/or reduce suffering. These illustrative examples suggest that a substantial number of life-years could potentially be saved by increasing the efficiency of development of new drugs for advanced malignancies.Entities:
Keywords: Cancer; drug approval; drug development; life-years saved
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29601671 PMCID: PMC5943431 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.1454
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Life‐years potentially gained per year of acceleration of drug approval for selected drugs
| No. patients per year potentially eligible for the therapy | Life‐years potentially gained per year of acceleration of drug approval If all relevant patients were treated | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malignancy | Therapy (reference) | Median survival gain (years) | North America | Worldwide | North America | Worldwide |
| NSCLC | Erlotinib | 0.17 | 152,794 | 1,351,418 | 25,975 | 229,741 |
| NSCLC (nonsquamous) | Bevacizumab | 0.17 | 95,559 | 953,941 | 16,245 | 162,170 |
| NSCLC (squamous) | Nivolumab | 0.27 | 44,941 | 397,474 | 12,134 | 107,318 |
| Breast | Eribulin | 0.21 | 45,529 | 521,900 | 9561 | 109,599 |
| Breast (HER2+ve) | Trastuzumab | 0.40 | 9106 | 104,371 | 3643 | 41,742 |
| Breast (HER2+ve) | Trastuzumab emtansine | 0.48 | 9106 | 104,371 | 4371 | 50,103 |
| Breast (HER2+ve) | Pertuzumab | 1.31 | 9106 | 104,371 | 11,929 | 136,737 |
| Colorectal | Bevacizumab | 0.39 | 59,100 | 693,900 | 23,248 | 270,621 |
| Colorectal | Oxaliplatin | 0.38 | 59,100 | 693,900 | 22,652 | 263,682 |
| Colorectal | Regorafinib | 0.12 | 59,100 | 693,900 | 7153 | 83,268 |
| Colorectal (EGFR+ve) | Cetuximab | 0.13 | 57,823 | 673,086 | 7517 | 87,501 |
| Gastric (HER2+ve) | Trastuzumab | 0.23 | 2748 | 151,852 | 632 | 34,926 |
| Head/Neck (squamous) | Cetuximab | 0.23 | 8926 | 199,800 | 2053 | 45,954 |
| Prostate | Cabazitaxel | 0.20 | 33,480 | 307,500 | 6,696 | 61,500 |
| Prostate | Enzalutamide | 0.40 | 33,480 | 307,500 | 13,392 | 123,000 |
| Prostate | Abiraterone | 0.38 | 33,480 | 307,500 | 12,722 | 116,850 |
| Prostate | Sipuleucel‐T | 0.36 | 33,480 | 307,500 | 12,053 | 110,700 |
| Renal | Temsirolimus | 0.30 | 15,610 | 116,000 | 4683 | 34,800 |
| Renal | Sunitinib | 0.38 | 15,610 | 116,000 | 5932 | 44,080 |
| Renal | Sorafenib | 0.29 | 15,610 | 116,000 | 4527 | 33,640 |
| Melanoma | Ipilumumab | 0.31 | 10,760 | 46,000 | 3336 | 14,260 |
| Melanoma (BRAF | Vemurafenib | 0.33 | 5380 | 23,000 | 1775 | 7590 |
| Melanoma (BRAF‐wild type) | Nivolumab | 0.42 | 5380 | 23,000 | 2260 | 9660 |
| Myeloma | Pomalidomide | 0.39 | 12,400 | 72,000 | 4836 | 28,080 |
| Myeloma | Bortezomib | 1.11 | 12,490 | 72,000 | 13,864 | 79,920 |
| Hepatocellular | Sorafenib | 0.23 | 24,050 | 745,500 | 5532 | 171,465 |
| Cervix | Bevacizumab | 0.31 | 4400 | 265,700 | 1364 | 82,367 |
| Median | 0.31 | 15,610 | 265,700 | 5932 | 79,920 | |
| Cumulative (all sites/drugs combined) | 240,085 | 2,541,274 | ||||
No. patients dying per year.
Median survival gain (years) x no. patients dying per year.
Control patients censored at time of cross‐over.
Number of life‐years potentially lost in North America and worldwide between time of drug patent application and drug approval
| Life‐years lost from patent to approval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malignancy | Therapy | US Patent application date or drug discovery (reference) | FDA approval date (reference) | Patent to approval, years | North America | Worldwide |
| NSCLC | Erlotinib | 05‐1996 | 11‐2004 | 8.5 | 220,790 | 1,952,795 |
| NSCLC (nonsquamous) | Bevacizumab | 05‐1995 | 10‐2006 | 11.4 | 185,193 | 1,848,738 |
| NSCLC (squamous) | Nivolumab | 2002 | 03‐2015 | 13 | 157,739 | 1,395,137 |
| Breast | Eribulin | 04‐2001 | 11‐2010 | 9.6 | 91,788 | 1,052,150 |
| Breast (HER2+ve) | Trastuzumab | 1990 | 09‐1998 | 8 | 29,138 | 334,015 |
| Breast (HER2+ve) | Trastuzumab emtansine | 10‐2004 | 02‐2013 | 8.3 | 36,276 | 415,849 |
| Breast (HER2+ve) | Pertuzumab | 06‐2000 | 06‐2012 | 12 | 143,157 | 1,640,853 |
| Colorectal | Bevacizumab | 05‐1995 | 02‐2004 | 8.8 | 204,582 | 2,381,465 |
| Colorectal | Oxaliplatin | 10‐1980 | 01‐2004 | 23.3 | 527,787 | 6,143,791 |
| Colorectal | Regorafinib | 01‐2000 | 02‐2012 | 12.1 | 86,554 | 1,007,543 |
| Colorectal (EGFR‐+ve) | Cetuximab | 09‐1988 | 02‐2004 | 15.4 | 115,760 | 1,347,512 |
| Gastric (HER2+ve) | Trastuzumab | 1990 | 10‐2010 | 20 | 12,645 | 698,515 |
| Head/Neck (squamous) | Cetuximab | 09‐1988 | 11‐2011 | 23.2 | 47,630 | 1,066,133 |
| Prostate | Cabazitaxel | 11‐1993 | 06‐2010 | 16.6 | 111,154 | 1,020,900 |
| Prostate | Enzalutamide | 05‐2006 | 08‐2012 | 6.3 | 84,370 | 774,900 |
| Prostate | Abiraterone | 09‐1994 | 04‐2011 | 16.6 | 211,192 | 1,939,710 |
| Prostate | Sipuleucel‐T | 09‐1998 | 04‐2010 | 11.6 | 139,815 | 1,284,120 |
| Renal | Temsirolimus | 04‐1994 | 05‐2007 | 13.1 | 61,347 | 455,880 |
| Renal | Sunitinib | 12‐1999 | 01‐2006 | 6.1 | 36,184 | 268,888 |
| Renal | Sorafenib | 02‐1999 | 12‐2005 | 6.8 | 30,783 | 228,752 |
| Melanoma | Ipilumumab | 1997 | 03‐2011 | 14 | 46,698 | 199,640 |
| Melanoma (RAF‐mutant) | Vemurafenib | 12‐2004 | 08‐2011 | 6.8 | 12,073 | 51,612 |
| Melanoma (RAF‐wild type) | Nivolumab | 2002 | 12‐2014 | 12 | 27,115 | 115,920 |
| Myeloma | Pomalidomide | 07‐1996 | 02‐2013 | 16.6 | 80,278 | 466,128 |
| Myeloma | Bortezomib | 05‐1995 | 06‐2008 | 13.1 | 181,617 | 1,046,952 |
| Hepatocellular | Sorafenib | 02‐1999 | 11‐2007 | 8.8 | 48,677 | 1,508,892 |
| Cervix | Bevacizumab | 05‐1995 | 08‐2014 | 19.3 | 26,325 | 1,589,683 |
| Median | 12 | 80,278 | 1,020,900 | |||
| Cumulative (all sites) | 2,956,667 | 31,537,958 | ||||
Demonstration that PD‐L1 expression in mouse tumors confers immune resistance and that human tumors have high expression of PD‐L1.
Creation of trastuzumab.
First published report on oxaliplatin.
Patent priority date.
Control patients censored at time of cross‐over.
Treatment of mouse tumors with anti‐CTLA‐4.
Figure 1Cumulatively, across illustrative examples, more than 19,000,000 life‐years could potentially have been saved worldwide if time from drug discovery to approval for these agents had been reduced to 5 years, or more than 1,900,000 if (for example) only 10% of all relevant patients were to be treated.