| Literature DB >> 29538371 |
Naomi Moy1, Ho Fai Chan1, Benno Torgler1,2.
Abstract
We explore the effects of the quantity of information on the tendency to contribute to crowdfunding campaigns. Using the crowdfunding platform Kickstarter, we analyze the campaign descriptions and the performance of over 70,000 projects. We look empirically at the effect of information quantity (word count) on funding success (as measure by amount raised and number of backers). Within this empirical approach, we test whether an excessive amount of information will affect funding success. To do so, we test for the non-linearity (quadratic) effect of our independent variable (word count) using regression analysis. Consistent with the hypothesis that excess information will negatively affect funds raised and number of contributors, we observe a consistent U-shaped relationship between campaign text length and overall success which suggest that an optimal number of words exists within crowdfunding texts and that going over this point will reduce a project's chance of fundraising success.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29538371 PMCID: PMC5851530 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0192012
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Distribution of amount raised and the number of backers, (a) original and (b) log transformed.
The right-hand tail (top 99 percentile) of the distributions in (a) was not shown for the purposes of visualization.
Summary statistics of non-censored word count.
| Category | N | Mean | SD | Min. | 99th percentile | Max. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Music | 18,909 | 352.78 | 276.66 | 4 | 1353 | 4078 |
| Dance | 1,146 | 393.84 | 297.79 | 4 | 1424 | 4112 |
| Theatre | 4,003 | 400.10 | 285.71 | 5 | 1567 | 2572 |
| Art | 7,518 | 447.46 | 354.18 | 4 | 1761 | 5535 |
| Photography | 2,565 | 451.38 | 338.94 | 6 | 1766 | 4082 |
| Fashion | 2,597 | 463.11 | 355.57 | 4 | 1633 | 3275 |
| Film & Video | 21,538 | 498.98 | 418.53 | 4 | 2084 | 5361 |
| Food | 2,973 | 531.99 | 400.60 | 5 | 1976 | 4975 |
| Publishing | 9,237 | 547.88 | 666.95 | 4 | 2528 | 32135 |
| Comics | 2,190 | 569.24 | 486.02 | 9 | 2402 | 5137 |
| Design | 3,317 | 638.84 | 443.23 | 11 | 2167 | 4469 |
| Technology | 1,762 | 780.99 | 610.68 | 8 | 2907 | 5062 |
| Games | 4,137 | 954.48 | 784.61 | 5 | 3986 | 5370 |
| Total | 81,892 | 494.90 | 465.61 | 4 | 2230 | 32135 |
Note: For analysis we censored the word count variable at the 99th percentile for each category.
Fig 2Distribution of the total word count across projects (a) and by category (b).
The right-hand tail of each distribution is truncated for the purposes of visualization.
Summary statistics of identified edits.
| Total | Successful | Unsuccessful | Percentage successful | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No edit | 75414 | 33236 | 42178 | 44.07 |
| General | 3733 | 2461 | 1272 | 65.93 |
| Reminder | 592 | 481 | 111 | 81.25 |
| Progress | 2153 | 1784 | 369 | 82.86 |
| Total (edit) | 6478 | 4726 | 1752 | 72.95 |
Notes: 220 progress projects had been identified with a reminder and progress edit. They are coded as a progress given the achievement of the goal would occur after the reminder.
Descriptive statistics.
| Mean | SD | Min. | Max. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amount raised (in USD) | 6423.31 | 68773.82 | 0 | 10300000 |
| Number of backers | 88.57 | 843.28 | 0 | 91585 |
| Description word count | 494.90 | 465.61 | 4 | 32135 |
| Funding goal (in USD) | 15276.92 | 221083.80 | 0.01 | 21500000 |
| Duration (in days) | 37.42 | 16.03 | 1 | 91.96 |
| Latitude | 37.25 | 9.55 | -54.79 | 78.22 |
| Longitude | -86.62 | 36.66 | -176.66 | 178.42 |
| Project # | 1.24 | 1.84 | 1 | 79 |
| Avg. # project in subcategory | 120.58 | 85.46 | 1 | 467.63 |
| Update dummy | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| U.S. dummy | 0.94 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 |
Note: Number of observations equals to 81,892.
Multivariate analysis of description length (word count censored at 99%).
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Word count | .0031 | .0032 | .003 | .0023 | .0024 | .0022 |
| (55.12) | (58.42) | (52.72) | (50.81) | (53.95) | (48.03) | |
| Word count2 | -8.7e-07 | -9.1e-07 | -9.0e-07 | -6.0e-07 | -6.4e-07 | -6.4e-07 |
| (-28.25) | (-29.87) | (-28.77) | (-23.47) | (-26.14) | (-25.38) | |
| Category | ||||||
| Comics | .023 | -.025 | .33 | .26 | ||
| (0.44) | (-0.45) | (7.58) | (5.98) | |||
| Dance | .74 | .81 | .48 | .52 | ||
| (14.74) | (15.81) | (12.57) | (13.23) | |||
| Design | .65 | .67 | .61 | .6 | ||
| (14.23) | (13.94) | (15.95) | (15.18) | |||
| Fashion | -.36 | -.3 | -.38 | -.35 | ||
| (-7.34) | (-5.99) | (-10.00) | (-9.04) | |||
| Film & video | .13 | .18 | -.043 | -.023 | ||
| (4.01) | (5.31) | (-1.81) | (-0.91) | |||
| Food | .36 | .41 | .26 | .29 | ||
| (8.11) | (9.03) | (7.60) | (8.18) | |||
| Games | -.14 | -.17 | .28 | .21 | ||
| (-2.72) | (-3.15) | (6.85) | (5.02) | |||
| Music | .53 | .55 | .42 | .42 | ||
| (18.30) | (18.23) | (18.95) | (18.22) | |||
| Photography | -.24 | -.24 | -.22 | -.22 | ||
| (-4.88) | (-4.57) | (-5.97) | (-5.70) | |||
| Publishing | -.62 | -.6 | -.4 | -.39 | ||
| (-18.34) | (-16.81) | (-15.26) | (-14.32) | |||
| Technology | .42 | .42 | .38 | .36 | ||
| (7.00) | (6.81) | (8.08) | (7.49) | |||
| Theatre | .53 | .57 | .35 | .36 | ||
| (14.29) | (14.77) | (12.11) | (12.28) | |||
| Goal ($) | 1.3e-07 | 6.2e-08 | 4.9e-08 | 1.3e-09 | ||
| (1.64) | (0.87) | (1.10) | (0.04) | |||
| Duration (days) | .014 | .013 | .0061 | .0053 | ||
| (7.56) | (6.76) | (4.24) | (3.61) | |||
| Duration2 | -.00018 | -.00017 | -.00012 | -.00011 | ||
| (-9.67) | (-8.70) | (-8.33) | (-7.43) | |||
| Latitude | .0032 | .014 | .006 | .014 | ||
| (3.95) | (12.24) | (9.56) | (15.89) | |||
| Longitude | .00032 | .0011 | .0008 | .0016 | ||
| (1.53) | (3.16) | (4.83) | (5.67) | |||
| Project # | -.017 | -.019 | -.01 | -.012 | ||
| (-1.91) | (-2.17) | (-0.67) | (-0.82) | |||
| Avg. # project in sub-category | .00063 | .00052 | .00038 | .00032 | ||
| (6.14) | (4.93) | (4.52) | (3.68) | |||
| Edits | ||||||
| General edit | .89 | .85 | ||||
| (26.12) | (29.74) | |||||
| Reminder | 1.2 | 1.1 | ||||
| (17.92) | (18.97) | |||||
| Progress | 1 | .98 | ||||
| (26.78) | (28.96) | |||||
| N (Obs.) | 74665 | 74665 | 69754 | 74665 | 74665 | 69754 |
| N (Cluster) | 66999 | 66999 | 62527 | 66999 | 66999 | 62527 |
| 0.100 | 0.138 | 0.154 | 0.100 | 0.141 | 0.163 |
This table represents the regression results estimating the relationship between the amount raised or the number of backers with the amount of information provided by creators. The project description’s word count (Word Count), quadratic of the word count (Word Count2), indicator for the project category classified on Kickstarter (Category), overall goal amount of the project (Goal), the duration of the project (Duration), quadratic of the duration (Duration2), geographic location of the project (Latitude, Longitude), project number for the creator e.g. first or second project (Project #), average number of competitors in the project’s subcategory during the project campaign (Avg. # project in sub-category), and the indicator for edits (Edits). For robustness of our results, we conducted the regressions with the original word count variable (non-winzorised), and our results remain robust.
Notes: t-statistics are in parentheses. The reference groups for project category and edits are art and no edit, respectively.
^ Projects with a U.S. location only.
*, **, and *** designate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively
Fig 3Effects of project description length (word count) on fund raised (in log).
Part (a) depicts the results from specification (3) in Table 4. There exists a concave (inverted U-shape) relationship between the description length and fundraised; increasing the length of the project description increases the funding until it reaches the optimal point, (~1681.77 words), after which the amount raised is negatively affected and starts to decline. Part (b) reports the outcomes for the same specification by project category, as demonstrated in Table 5. The concave relationship is visual in all categories, but the optimal length point varies.
Fig 4Effects of project description length (word count) on the number of contributors (in log).
Part (a) depicts the results from specification (6) in Table 4. Similar to Fig 3, there is an inverted U-shape between project description length and number of backers (contributors); the optimal length point is approximately 1689.21 words. Part (b) reports the outcomes for the same specification by project category, as demonstrated in Table 6. A similar pattern was found in all categories, but the optimal length point varies.
Multivariate analysis of description length (word count censored at 99%) on ln(Raised).
| Art | Comics | Dance | Design | Fashion | Film & Video | Food | Games | Music | Photography | Publishing | Technology | Theatre | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | |
| Word count | .0031 | .0031 | .0024 | .0043 | .0043 | .0034 | .0029 | .0032 | .0035 | .0036 | .0031 | .0026 | .0026 |
| (17.30) | (10.07) | (5.40) | (15.40) | (13.29) | (29.40) | (10.47) | (13.44) | (26.38) | (10.05) | (18.34) | (7.16) | (9.76) | |
| Word count2 | -1.1e-06 | -8.8e-07 | -8.7e-07 | -1.3e-06 | -1.4e-06 | -1.1e-06 | -9.8e-07 | -7.2e-07 | -1.4e-06 | -1.3e-06 | -1.2e-06 | -5.6e-07 | -9.8e-07 |
| (-11.13) | (-5.60) | (-3.28) | (-9.81) | (-8.16) | (-17.60) | (-6.59) | (-7.46) | (-14.24) | (-6.25) | (-13.52) | (-3.48) | (-5.68) | |
| N (Obs.) | 6283 | 1994 | 1025 | 2924 | 2180 | 17678 | 2770 | 3596 | 16736 | 1951 | 7490 | 1527 | 3600 |
| N (Cluster) | 5785 | 1663 | 915 | 2623 | 2054 | 16186 | 2612 | 2982 | 15580 | 1832 | 6967 | 1428 | 3218 |
| 0.112 | 0.181 | 0.088 | 0.232 | 0.191 | 0.133 | 0.119 | 0.305 | 0.105 | 0.137 | 0.111 | 0.222 | 0.081 |
This table shows the relationship between the amount of information provided by creators (word count in the description) and the amount raised by project category.
Notes: t-statistics are in parentheses; marginal effects are in italics.
*, **, and *** designate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. In all specifications, we control for Goal, Duration, Duration, Latitude, Longitude, Project number, Average number of projects in the same sub-category, and Edits.
Multivariate analysis of description length (word count censored at 99%) on ln(Backers).
| Art | Comics | Dance | Design | Fashion | Film & Video | Food | Games | Music | Photography | Publishing | Technology | Theatre | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (20) | (21) | (22) | (23) | (24) | (25) | (26) | (27) | (28) | (29) | (30) | (31) | (32) | |
| Word count | .0022 | .0023 | .0021 | .0031 | .0029 | .0024 | .0022 | .0022 | .0026 | .0025 | .0022 | .0019 | .0019 |
| (15.96) | (8.85) | (5.98) | (13.08) | (11.56) | (28.12) | (10.30) | (11.75) | (24.75) | (8.92) | (16.81) | (6.62) | (8.87) | |
| Word count2 | -8.0e-07 | -6.4e-07 | -7.7e-07 | -9.7e-07 | -8.7e-07 | -8.0e-07 | -7.6e-07 | -4.9e-07 | -1.0e-06 | -8.5e-07 | -8.3e-07 | -4.3e-07 | -7.4e-07 |
| (-10.32) | (-4.82) | (-3.52) | (-8.10) | (-6.20) | (-16.56) | (-6.29) | (-6.17) | (-12.87) | (-4.98) | (-12.08) | (-3.31) | (-4.99) | |
| N (Obs.) | 6283 | 1994 | 1025 | 2924 | 2180 | 17678 | 2770 | 3596 | 16736 | 1951 | 7490 | 1527 | 3600 |
| N (Cluster) | 5785 | 1663 | 915 | 2623 | 2054 | 16186 | 2612 | 2982 | 15580 | 1832 | 6967 | 1428 | 3218 |
| 0.106 | 0.186 | 0.102 | 0.178 | 0.170 | 0.141 | 0.129 | 0.297 | 0.113 | 0.127 | 0.123 | 0.201 | 0.083 |
This table shows the estimated relationship between the amount of information provided by the creator (word count in the description) and the number of backers, by project category.
Notes: t-statistics are in parentheses; marginal effects are in italics.
*, **, and *** designate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. In all specifications, we control for Goal, Duration, Duration, Latitude, Longitude, Project number, Average number of projects in the same sub-category, and Edits.