| Literature DB >> 35148341 |
Abstract
Crowdfunding platforms allow entrepreneurs to publish projects and raise funds for realizing them. Hence, the question of what influences projects' fundraising success is very important. Previous studies examined various factors such as project goals and project duration that may influence the outcomes of fundraising campaigns. We present a novel model for predicting the success of crowdfunding projects in meeting their funding goals. Our model focuses on semantic features only, whose performance is comparable to that of previous models. In an additional model we developed, we examine both project metadata and project semantics, delivering a comprehensive study of factors influencing crowdfunding success. Further, we analyze a large dataset of crowdfunding project data, larger than reported in the art. Finally, we show that when combining semantics and metadata, we arrive at F1 score accuracy of 96.2%. We compare our model's accuracy to the accuracy of previous research models by applying their methods on our dataset, and demonstrate higher accuracy of our model. In addition to our scientific contribution, we provide practical recommendations that may increase project funding success chances.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35148341 PMCID: PMC8836297 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263891
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1PCA on datasets.
Fig 2Methodology flowchart.
Feature correlation with funding success.
| R_All_D | Corr. | R_Tech _D | Corr. | R_Market_D | Corr. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| achieve* | 0.758 | achieve* | 0.718 | punc* | 0.717 |
|
| punc* | 0.668 | percept* | 0.677 | achieve* | 0.696 |
|
| preps* | 0.625 | feelings_num | 0.675 | preps* | 0.659 |
|
| feelings_num | 0.599 | WC* | 0.663 | work* | 0.54 |
|
| percept* | 0.595 | see* | 0.644 | see* | 0.495 |
|
| work* | 0.592 | discrep* | 0.61 | present * | 0.494 |
|
| hear* | 0.583 | updates | 0.574 | feelings_num | 0.492 |
|
| see* | 0.582 | work* | 0.556 | Instagram_link | 0.478 |
|
| discrep* | 0.56 | punc* | 0.53 | buzz_num | 0.475 |
|
| buzz_num | 0.519 | buzz_num | 0.52 | number* | 0.468 |
Semantic-model performance.
| Algorithm | F-score | Precision | Recall | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LightGBM | 91.1% | 92.3% | 89.9% | 90% |
| SDG | 89.3% | 90.5% | 88.1% | 88.5% |
All_D performance.
| Algorithm | F-score | Precision | Recall | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LightGBM | 96.2% | 97% | 95.4% | 96.2% |
| SDG | 95.3% | 95.5% | 95.1% | 95.1% |
Market_D performance.
| Algorithm | F-score | Precision | Recall | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LightGBM | 95.6% | 95.9% | 95.3% | 95.3% |
| SDG | 95.2% | 95.4% | 95% | 95.4% |
Fig 3Comparison of models’ accuracy.
Tech_D performance.
| Algorithm | F-score | Precision | Recall | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LightGBM | 94.8% | 94.8% | 94.8% | 94.2% |
| Random | 93.9% | 91.7% | 96.2% | 92.2% |