| Literature DB >> 29343479 |
Gabriel A Brat1,2, Denis Agniel3, Andrew Beam3, Brian Yorkgitis4, Mark Bicket5, Mark Homer3, Kathe P Fox6, Daniel B Knecht6, Cheryl N McMahill-Walraven6, Nathan Palmer3, Isaac Kohane3.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To quantify the effects of varying opioid prescribing patterns after surgery on dependence, overdose, or abuse in an opioid naive population.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29343479 PMCID: PMC5769574 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.j5790
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ ISSN: 0959-8138
Fig 1Mean of Bernoulli random variable generating synthetic binary confounder
Baseline demographic information and unadjusted associations
| Characteristics | Total | Misuse/overdose events | Opioid prescription filled (%) | Median duration (days) | Median MME/day | Median follow-up (years) | Median time to misuse (years) | Cases per 100 000 person years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total sample | 1 015 116 | 5906 | 56 | 5 | 50 | 2.67 | 1.74 | 183.2 |
| Female | 563 170 | 3166 | 54.3 | 5 | 50 | 2.67 | 1.82 | 176.3 |
| Male | 451 946 | 2740 | 58.2 | 5 | 50 | 2.66 | 1.67 | 191.8 |
| Age group (years): | ||||||||
| <15 | 54 098 | 118 | 46 | 5 | 30 | 2.74 | 2.39 | 66.7 |
| 15-24 | 92 458 | 1160 | 62.9 | 5 | 54.2 | 2.51 | 1.47 | 420.6 |
| 25-34 | 97 856 | 666 | 60.6 | 5 | 50 | 2.41 | 1.68 | 226 |
| 35-44 | 175 969 | 1086 | 58.9 | 5 | 50 | 2.69 | 1.9 | 190.7 |
| 45-54 | 238 154 | 1284 | 57.9 | 5 | 50 | 2.78 | 1.95 | 164 |
| 55-64 | 211 308 | 989 | 56.1 | 5 | 50 | 2.55 | 1.64 | 152.4 |
| ≥65 | 145 273 | 603 | 45.5 | 5 | 45 | 2.93 | 2.07 | 126.9 |
| Surgery year: | ||||||||
| 2008 | 142 332 | 1031 | 47.5 | 5 | 50 | 3.3 | 2.76 | 183.1 |
| 2009 | 205 618 | 1374 | 53 | 5 | 50 | 3.62 | 2.51 | 169.5 |
| 2010 | 157 640 | 982 | 61.1 | 5 | 50 | 3.66 | 2.28 | 168.9 |
| 2011 | 137 648 | 780 | 62.8 | 5 | 50 | 3.52 | 1.72 | 171.6 |
| 2012 | 130 096 | 705 | 57.6 | 5 | 50 | 3.2 | 1.38 | 193 |
| 2013 | 113 841 | 505 | 63.9 | 5 | 50 | 2.39 | 1.29 | 195 |
| 2014 | 110 392 | 461 | 49.1 | 5 | 50 | 1.52 | 0.76 | 268.7 |
| Surgery type: | ||||||||
| Musculoskeletal | 367 317 | 2448 | 60.3 | 6 | 57.7 | 2.71 | 1.86 | 206.2 |
| Gastrointestinal | 293 905 | 1825 | 63.2 | 5 | 50 | 2.63 | 1.68 | 198.1 |
| Integumentary | 106 914 | 533 | 39.3 | 5 | 45 | 2.61 | 1.75 | 160.8 |
| Gynecological | 98 444 | 449 | 56.7 | 5 | 46.9 | 2.69 | 1.85 | 142.3 |
| Cardiovascular | 57 715 | 241 | 33.3 | 6 | 44.4 | 2.65 | 1.52 | 134.4 |
| Neurological | 38 698 | 374 | 61.1 | 8 | 56.2 | 2.6 | 1.52 | 306.5 |
| Renal | 30 274 | 121 | 49.8 | 5 | 45 | 2.71 | 1.52 | 125.8 |
| Male genital | 26 524 | 76 | 59.3 | 5 | 41.2 | 2.73 | 1.98 | 89.6 |
| Endocrine | 19 622 | 110 | 49.2 | 4 | 45 | 2.72 | 1.6 | 172 |
| Hernia and lymphatic systems | 11 836 | 56 | 62.6 | 5 | 50 | 2.6 | 1.52 | 153.9 |
| Auditory | 10 250 | 37 | 30.1 | 5 | 41.7 | 2.62 | 1.76 | 114.6 |
| Respiratory | 6280 | 50 | 59.5 | 8 | 50 | 2.44 | 0.85 | 270.2 |
| Maternity care and delivery | 2692 | 13 | 67.4 | 4 | 46.9 | 2.42 | 2.28 | 162.2 |
| Mediastinum and diaphragm | 1186 | 13 | 62 | 6 | 67.5 | 2.74 | 2.52 | 344.1 |
| Reproductive | 10 | 0 | 30 | 5 | 30 | 1.51 | - | 0 |
| Drugs: | ||||||||
| Hydrocodone | 275 292 | 1695 | - | 5 | 45 | 2.83 | 1.95 | 187.5 |
| Oxycodone | 205 559 | 1432 | - | 5 | 62.5 | 2.7 | 1.68 | 219 |
| Codeine | 35 041 | 148 | - | 4 | 27 | 2.84 | 2.45 | 127.6 |
| Mixed | 30 803 | 324 | - | 9 | 60 | 2.62 | 1.52 | 339.7 |
| Tramadol | 11 721 | 70 | - | 8 | 30 | 2.21 | 1.53 | 221.1 |
| Hydromorphone | 9600 | 123 | - | 5 | 66.7 | 2.47 | 1.45 | 427.6 |
Fig 2Misuse of and prescription rates for opioids per 100 000 person years across ages and sex over time by cohort
Fig 3Postsurgical rates of misuse by dosage and duration of opioid prescription. MME=morphine milligram equivalent
Fig 4Temporal effects and sensitivity analysis for opioid use. MME=morphine milligram equivalent