André Szklo1, Roberto Magno Iglesias1, Mirian Carvalho de Souza1, Moysés Szklo1, Liz Maria de Almeida1. 1. André Szklo, Mirian Carvalho de Souza, and Liz Maria de Almeida are with the Division of Epidemiology, Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Roberto Magno Iglesias is with the Center of Studies on Integration and Development (CINDES), Rio de Janeiro. Moysés Szklo is with the Division of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To estimate the proportions of illicit cigarette consumption in Brazil from 2012 to 2016, a period of sharp increases in cigarette taxes. METHODS: We used an approach based on legal sales provided by the Secretariat of Federal Revenues and self-reported consumption data from an annually conducted telephone survey (VIGITEL) to estimate the changes over time in illegal cigarette use in Brazil. For that purpose, we also used available information on the proportion of illegal cigarette consumption from a nationwide household survey conducted in 2013 to calculate a constant proportion of underreporting from VIGITEL in relation to total consumption and sales in Brazil. RESULTS: There was an increase in the estimated proportion of illicit cigarette use from 2012 to 2013 (from 28.6% to 32.3%), then a decrease from 2013 to 2014 (32.3% to 28.8%), and then a sustained trend of increase from 2014 to 2016 (28.8% to 42.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Novel and feasible approaches to estimate changes over time in the illegal market are important for helping the effective implementation of tobacco excise tax policy.
OBJECTIVES: To estimate the proportions of illicit cigarette consumption in Brazil from 2012 to 2016, a period of sharp increases in cigarette taxes. METHODS: We used an approach based on legal sales provided by the Secretariat of Federal Revenues and self-reported consumption data from an annually conducted telephone survey (VIGITEL) to estimate the changes over time in illegal cigarette use in Brazil. For that purpose, we also used available information on the proportion of illegal cigarette consumption from a nationwide household survey conducted in 2013 to calculate a constant proportion of underreporting from VIGITEL in relation to total consumption and sales in Brazil. RESULTS: There was an increase in the estimated proportion of illicit cigarette use from 2012 to 2013 (from 28.6% to 32.3%), then a decrease from 2013 to 2014 (32.3% to 28.8%), and then a sustained trend of increase from 2014 to 2016 (28.8% to 42.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Novel and feasible approaches to estimate changes over time in the illegal market are important for helping the effective implementation of tobacco excise tax policy.
Authors: Micaela H Coady; Christina A Chan; Rachel Sacks; Ijeoma G Mbamalu; Susan M Kansagra Journal: Am J Public Health Date: 2013-04-18 Impact factor: 9.308
Authors: Roberto Magno Iglesias; André Salem Szklo; Mirian Carvalho de Souza; Liz Maria de Almeida Journal: Tob Control Date: 2016-01-21 Impact factor: 7.552
Authors: Luz María Sánchez-Romero; Luis Zavala-Arciniega; Luz Myriam Reynales-Shigematsu; Belén Sáenz de Miera-Juárez; Zhe Yuan; Yameng Li; Yan Kwan Lau; Nancy L Fleischer; Rafael Meza; James F Thrasher; David T Levy Journal: PLoS One Date: 2021-06-21 Impact factor: 3.752
Authors: Pedro Toteff Dulgheroff; Luciana Saraiva da Silva; Ana Elisa Madalena Rinaldi; Leandro F M Rezende; Emanuele Souza Marques; Catarina Machado Azeredo Journal: BMJ Open Date: 2021-07-19 Impact factor: 2.692