| Literature DB >> 29211800 |
Gea A Holtman1, Yvonne Lisman-van Leeuwen1, Boudewijn J Kollen1, Obbe F Norbruis2, Johanna C Escher3, Laurence C Walhout3, Angelika Kindermann4, Yolanda B de Rijke5, Patrick F van Rheenen6, Marjolein Y Berger1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In children with symptoms suggestive of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) who present in primary care, the optimal test strategy for identifying those who require specialist care is unclear. We evaluated the following three test strategies to determine which was optimal for referring children with suspected IBD to specialist care: 1) alarm symptoms alone, 2) alarm symptoms plus c-reactive protein, and 3) alarm symptoms plus fecal calprotectin.Entities:
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Year: 2017 PMID: 29211800 PMCID: PMC5718464 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0189111
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Diagnostic criteria for alarm symptoms, blood markers, and fecal calprotectin.
| Symptoms or tests | Measurement | Positive |
|---|---|---|
| Rectal blood loss | History | Rectal bleeding with defecation without constipation according to ROME III criteria |
| Family history of IBD | History | Affected first-degree relatives |
| Involuntary weight loss | History and physical examination | Involuntary decrease in weight of > 1 kg |
| Growth failure | History and physical examination | Target height range more than −1 standard deviation score |
| Extra-intestinal symptoms | Physical examination | Eyes (episcleritis, scleritis, uveitis), skin (erythema nodosum, pyoderma gangrenosum, psoriasis), mouth ulcers, finger clubbing, arthritis |
| Peri-anal lesions | Physical examination | Skin tags, hemorrhoids, fissures, fistulas, and/or abscesses |
| Hemoglobin | Local laboratory | 4–12 years < 7.1 mmol/l, |
| C-reactive protein | Local laboratory | > 10 mg/l [ |
| Erythrocyte sedimentation rate | Local laboratory | > 20 mm/h [ |
| platelet count | Local laboratory | > 450 × 109/l [ |
| Fecal calprotectin | ELISA (Phical test) | > 50 μg/g |
Abbreviations: ELISA: enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay; IBD: inflammatory bowel disease.
Fig 1Patient flow diagram.
Abbreviations: IBD: inflammatory bowel disease.
Baseline characteristics of children by referrer and whether endoscopy was performed at baseline.
| Referred by general practitioners | Referred by general pediatrician | No endoscopy At baseline | Endoscopy At baseline | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male sex (n (%)) | 29 (45) | 8 (32) | 27 (42) | 10 (40) |
| Age in years at baseline (median, IQR) | 10 (7–14) | 14 (10–15.5) | 9 (6–14) | 15 (12–16) |
| <0.5 year | 14 (22) | 6 (24) | 12 (19) | 8 (32) |
| >1 year | 41 (63) | 9 (36) | 42 (65) | 8 (32) |
| Growth failure | 6 (9.2) | 0 (0) | 5 (8) | 1 (4) |
| Involuntary weight loss | 10 (15) | 13 (52) | 10 (15) | 13 (52) |
| Rectal blood loss | 13 (20) | 14 (56) | 16 (25) | 11 (44) |
| Positive family history of IBD | 9/64 (14) | 2 (8) | 6/64 (9) | 5 (20) |
| Extra-intestinal symptoms | 4 (6) | 9 (36) | 6 (9) | 7 (28) |
| Peri-anal lesions | 9 (14) | 4/24 (17) | 7 (11) | 6/24 (25) |
| ≥1 alarm symptoms | 38 (59) | 24 (96) | 39 (60) | 23 (92) |
| hemoglobin (cut-off is age/sex specific | 5/61 (8) | 6/24 (25) | 4/61 (7) | 7/24 (29) |
| C-reactive protein (>10 mg/l) | 5/56 (9) | 5/19 (26) | 2/53 (4) | 8/22 (36) |
| erythrocyte sedimentation rate (>20 mm/h) | 8/59 (14) | 8/24 (33) | 4/59 (7) | 12/24 (50) |
| Platelet count (>450 x109/l) | 4/61 (7) | 3/24 (13) | 4/61 (7) | 3/24 (13) |
| ≥1 blood marker | 14/53 (28) | 10/19 (53) | 11/50 (22) | 13/22 (59) |
| fecal calprotectin (>50 μg/g) | 14/63 (22) | 13/22 (59) | 9/63 (14) | 18/22 (82) |
| endoscopy | 9 (14) | 20 (80) | 4 (6) | 25 (100) |
| IBD | 5 (8) | 12 (48) | 2 (3) | 15 (60) |
| FGIDs | 55 (85) | 11 (44) | 58 (89) | 8 (32) |
a 4–12 years < 7.1 mmol/l, boys 12–18 years < 8.1 mmol/l, girls 12–18 years < 7.4 mmol/l.
b Diagnosis of FGID was reached when after 12 months there were no signs of any inflammatory, anatomic, metabolic, or neoplastic pathology after thorough history, physical examination, and additional testing by the treating physician.
Abbreviations: FGID: functional gastrointestinal disorder; IBD: inflammatory bowel disease.
The various diagnostic models for IBD with the non-imputed and imputed datasets.
| Non-imputed | Imputed | Non-imputed | Imputed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alarm symptoms | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 0.80 (0.67–0.92) | 0.80 (0.69–0.90) |
| Alarm symptoms + c-reactive protein | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 1.02 (1.01–1.03) | 0.88(0.78–0.98) | 0.85(0.76–0.93) |
| 1.18 (1.04–1.33) | 1.14 (1.01–1.27) | |||
| Alarm symptoms + fecal calprotectin | 1.01 (0.99–1.04) | 1.02 (0.99–1.04) | 0.97(0.93–1.00) | 0.97(0.93–1.00) |
| 1.01 (1.003–1.02) | 1.01 (1.003–1.03) |
Basic model consisted of the number of weighted alarm symptoms (Total score: 357): growth failure (weight: 51), involuntary weight loss (weight: 44), rectal blood loss (weight: 60), family history of IBD (weight: 53), extra-intestinal symptoms (weight: 78), peri-anal lesions (weight: 71). The mean weighting scores for the alarm symptoms were based on the independent opinions of 85 physicians who treat children with chronic gastrointestinal symptoms in different clinical settings. The physicians weighted the alarm symptoms using a visual analog scale from 0 (completely excludes that the child has IBD) to 100 (absolutely confirms that the child has IBD). Interpretation DOR: one point increase on a continuous scaled test result (weighted alarm symptoms, c-reactive protein, fecal calprotectin) increases the risk of IBD with the DOR-value. Abbreviations: DOR: Diagnostic Odds Ratio; AUC: area under the curve.
Fig 2Decision curve for the three models predicting the outcome of IBD in the non-imputed dataset.
Representative interpretation of the decision curve: the purple line representing the alarm symptoms + fecal calprotectin strategy shows a net benefit of 0.16 at a threshold probability of 20%. In this instance, a threshold probability of 20% means that a general practitioner would be willing to refer 5 children to prevent a delay in diagnosis for 1 child with IBD. The net benefit of 0.16 means that this strategy would lead to the referral of 160 per 1000 children at risk, with all referrals having IBD. Abbreviations: CRP: C-reactive protein, FCal: fecal calprotectin.
Reduction in referral rate for further diagnostic work-up per 100 children using different threshold probabilities for the three test strategies.
| Threshold probability | Alarm symptoms | Alarm symptoms + c-reactive protein | Alarm symptoms + fecal calprotectin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | – | 15 | 32 |
| 15% | 12 | 33 | 49 |
| 20% | 35 | 40 | 59 |
Note: The reduction in the number of referral for further diagnostic work-up per 100 children without missing a child with IBD was calculated as follows: (net benefit strategy—net benefit of refer all) / [Pt / (1 –Pt)] × 100.