| Literature DB >> 29042513 |
Nickolas M Jones1, Rebecca R Thompson1, Christine Dunkel Schetter2, Roxane Cohen Silver3,4,5.
Abstract
During crisis events, people often seek out event-related information to stay informed of what is happening. However, when information from official channels is lacking or disseminated irregularly, people may be at risk for exposure to rumors that fill the information void. We studied information-seeking during a university lockdown following an active-shooter event. In study 1, students in the lockdown (n = 3,890) completed anonymous surveys 1 week later. Those who indicated receiving conflicting information about the lockdown reported greater acute stress [standardized regression coefficient (b) = 0.07; SE = 0.01; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.04, 0.10]. Additionally, those who reported direct contact with close others via text message (or phone) and used Twitter for critical updates during the lockdown were exposed to more conflicting information. Higher acute stress was reported by heavy social media users who trusted social media for critical updates (b = 0.06, SE = 0.01; 95% CI, 0.03, 0.10). In study 2, we employed a big data approach to explore the time course of rumor transmission across 5 hours surrounding the lockdown within a subset of the university's Twitter followers. We also examined the patterning of distress in the hours during the lockdown as rumors about what was happening (e.g., presence of multiple shooters) spread among Twitter users. During periods without updates from official channels, rumors and distress increased. Results highlight the importance of releasing substantive updates at regular intervals during a crisis event and monitoring social media for rumors to mitigate rumor exposure and distress.Entities:
Keywords: Twitter; crisis event; lockdown; rumor; social media
Mesh:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29042513 PMCID: PMC5676907 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1708518114
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ISSN: 0027-8424 Impact factor: 11.205
Correlates of acute stress among students in the lockdown
| Model 1, | Model 2, | |||||
| Variables | SE | SE | ||||
| Completion week | −0.05(−0.08, −0.01) | 0.01 | −3.10 | −0.08(−0.13, −0.03) | 0.02 | −3.23 |
| Gender | ||||||
| Female = 0 | — | — | — | |||
| Male | −0.37(−0.44, −0.29) | 0.03 | −10.27 | −0.36(−0.44, −0.29) | 0.03 | −9.30 |
| Other | 0.48(0.16, 0.80) | 0.16 | 2.98 | 0.44(0.08, 0.80) | 0.18 | 2.44 |
| Age | −0.01(−0.05, 0.01) | 0.01 | −0.93 | −0.001(−0.01, 0.01) | 0.004 | −0.32 |
| Prior shooting exposure | 0.17(0.08, 0.26) | 0.04 | 3.85 | 0.21(0.12, 0.31) | 0.04 | 4.48 |
| Prior trauma—violence, war, other | 0.13(0.10, 0.17) | 0.01 | 8.07 | 0.15(0.10, 0.19) | 0.02 | 7.09 |
| Department affiliation, none = 0 | 0.10(0.03, 0.18) | 0.03 | 2.86 | 0.10(0.02, 0.18) | 0.04 | 2.53 |
| Lockdown event exposure | 0.09(0.05, 0.12) | 0.01 | 5.00 | 0.05(0.02, 0.07) | 0.01 | 4.00 |
| Alone, with others = 0 | −0.11(−0.21, −0.01) | 0.05 | −2.25 | −0.11(−0.22, −0.01) | 0.05 | −2.14 |
| Exposure to conflicting information | 0.07(0.04, 0.10) | 0.01 | 4.28 | 0.08(0.04, 0.12) | 0.02 | 4.14 |
| Count of traditional media use | 0.01(−0.02, 0.05) | 0.01 | 0.85 | 0.01(−0.03, 0.05) | 0.02 | 0.40 |
| Count of contact with friends/family | 0.13(0.10, 0.17) | 0.01 | 7.21 | 0.09(0.06, 0.12) | 0.01 | 6.70 |
| Count of social media use | 0.07(0.03, 0.10) | 0.01 | 3.99 | −0.15(−0.28, −0.03) | 0.06 | −2.42 |
| Social media trust | — | — | — | −0.06(−0.15, 0.01) | 0.04 | −1.55 |
| Social Media Use × Social Media Trust | — | — | — | 0.06(0.03, 0.10) | 0.01 | 3.66 |
| Model statistics | ||||||
P < 0.05; **P < 0.001; all regression coefficients are standardized.
Sample sizes vary across models due to missing data.
Fig. 1.Association between count of social media channels used during the lockdown and acute stress, moderated by level of trust in social media.
Communication channels students consulted during the lockdown and their independent associations with exposure to conflicting information (n = 3,393)
| Variables | SE | ||
| Direct contact | |||
| Text message from a campus group | 0.41(0.34, 0.48) | 0.03 | 11.49 |
| Text message from a friend | 0.29(0.16, 0.42) | 0.06 | 4.58 |
| Text message from family | 0.09(0.01, 0.18) | 0.04 | 2.16 |
| Phone call from a friend | −0.09(−0.17, −0.01) | 0.04 | −2.15 |
| Phone call from family | −0.03(−0.12, 0.05) | 0.04 | −0.81 |
| Social media | |||
| 0.08(0.01, 0.14) | 0.03 | 2.49 | |
| 0.07(−0.002, 0.14) | 0.03 | 1.90 | |
| Snapchat | 0.03(−0.04, 0.11) | 0.03 | 0.90 |
| 0.01(−0.06, 0.07) | 0.03 | 0.15 | |
| 0.07(−0.02, 0.16) | 0.04 | 1.52 | |
| Model statistics | |||
P < 0.05; **P < 0.001; †P = 0.057; all regression coefficients are standardized.
Official alerts sent via text message and Twitter during the lockdown
| Message no. | Content | Time, UTC |
| 1 | Police Activity vic[inity of] [BUILDING NAME]. Avoid area until further notice. | 16:49 |
| 2 | Shooting at [BUILDING NAME]. Go to secure location and deny entry (lockdown) now! | 16:53 |
| 3 | Follow up: Shooting. Lock down continues for entire campus. Regardless of location on campus go to secure… Msg 1 of 2 | 18:26 |
| 4 | …location and deny entry, (lockdown) now! More information once available. Msg 2 of 2 | 18:26 |
| 5 | Lock down continues. Do not go outside unless instructed by [CAMPUS POLICE]. Do not come to campus. If outside, go indoors and lock down. | 18:42 |
| 6 | Lockdown lifted. All Clear. Check [web address omitted] | 19:19 |
UTC, coordinated universal time.
Fig. 2.Time course of rumor generation, event-related negative emotions, and campus alerts in the hours before, during, and after the lockdown.
Example rumors and their virality
| Text of retweeted rumors | No. retweets |
| Description of perpetrator(s) | |
| [user omitted] per scanner [university name omitted] suspects are male and female white male approx 6 ft tall | 103 |
| [user omitted] [university omitted] shooting 2 victims per [university name omitted] newsroom campus on lockdown shooter described as 6ft white male wearing black | 859 |
| [user omitted] police search for 6foot white male dressed in all black after two people shot dead at [university name omitted] | 1,096 |
| Warnings of multiple shooters and victims | |
| [user omitted] multiple shooters on campus right now make sure to get into a safe place | 9 |
| [user omitted] wtf multiple shooters people on stretchers 5 helicopters in the air im literally so scared right now | 9 |
| [user omitted] 2 confirmed victims down multiple shooters on the loose been almost 30 min still not caught | 15 |
Fig. 3.Time course of rumor virality, event-related negative emotions, and campus alerts in the hours before, during, and after the lockdown.
Descriptive statistics for all variables of interest (n = 3,162)
| Variables | % | Min | Max | |||
| Acute stress | 10.57 | 10.11 | 0 | 56 | ||
| Conflicting information exposure | 3.37 | 0.94 | 0 | 4 | ||
| Traditional media count | 1.53 | 0.79 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Direct contact from friends/family count | 3.22 | 1.41 | 0 | 5 | ||
| Social media count | 1.90 | 1.25 | 0 | 5 | ||
| Trust in traditional media | 4.03 | 0.84 | 1 | 5 | ||
| Trust in direct contact from friends/family | 3.73 | 0.85 | 1 | 5 | ||
| Trust in social media | 3.29 | 0.91 | 1 | 5 | ||
| Covariates and sample characteristics | ||||||
| Age | 22.43 | 5.05 | 18 | 68 | ||
| Survey completion week | 1.88 | 0.71 | 1 | 4 | ||
| Prior trauma exposure | 1.06 | 0.88 | 0 | 4 | ||
| Lockdown event exposure | 2.60 | 1.43 | 0 | 9 | ||
| Prior school shooting exposure | 16 | |||||
| Alone during lockdown | 11 | |||||
| Department affiliation | 26 | |||||
| Gender | ||||||
| Female | 67 | |||||
| Male | 32 | |||||
| Other | 1 |
In model 2, complete data were available for 2,696 participants. Mean social media use was 2.22 (SD = 1.07); mean social media trust was 3.29 (SD = 0.91).
Sample size varies due to missing data.
Percentage of individuals who relied on various communication channels in the regression analysis examining the channels associated with receipt of conflicting information (n = 3,393)
| Variables | % |
| Direct contact friends/family | |
| Text from campus organization | 68 |
| Text from friend | 91 |
| Text from family | 76 |
| Phone call from friend | 42 |
| Phone call from family | 50 |
| Social media | |
| 49 | |
| 69 | |
| Snapchat | 28 |
| 34 | |
| 13 |
Traditional media was not included because it was not associated with the extent to which participants felt they received conflicting information.