| Literature DB >> 28382136 |
Qiuyao Zeng1, Ning Xue2, Danian Dai3, Shan Xing1, Xia He1, Shibing Li2, Yi Du4, Chumei Huang5, Linfang Li1, Wanli Liu1.
Abstract
Purpose: This study aimed to develop an effective nomogram for predicting survival in surgically treated non-small cell lung cancer patients.Entities:
Keywords: NSCLC; nomogram; prognosis.
Year: 2017 PMID: 28382136 PMCID: PMC5381162 DOI: 10.7150/jca.17423
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Cancer ISSN: 1837-9664 Impact factor: 4.207
Clinicopathological characteristics of NSCLC patients.
| Demographic or characteristic | Number | Percent(%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | male | 612 | 71.5 |
| famale | 244 | 28.5 | |
| Age | median | 61 | - |
| range | 25-89 | - | |
| Smoking history | Yes | 507 | 59.23 |
| No | 349 | 40.77 | |
| Clinical stage | I | 284 | 33.18 |
| II | 137 | 16 | |
| III | 290 | 33.88 | |
| IV | 145 | 16.94 | |
| T status | T1 | 145 | 16.94 |
| T2 | 488 | 57.01 | |
| T3 | 111 | 13.97 | |
| T4 | 112 | 13.08 | |
| N status | N0 | 389 | 45.44 |
| N1 | 140 | 16.36 | |
| N2 | 278 | 32.48 | |
| N3 | 49 | 5.72 | |
| M status | M0 | 712 | 83.18 |
| M1 | 144 | 16.82 | |
| Chemotherapy | Yes | 290 | 33.88 |
| No | 566 | 66.12 | |
| Radiotherapy | Yes | 14 | 1.64 |
| No | 842 | 98.36 | |
| Category | adenocarcinoma(ADC) | 538 | 62.85 |
| squamous cell carcinoma(SCC) | 256 | 29.90 | |
| large cell carcinoma(LC) | 4 | 0.47 | |
| other | 58 | 6.78 | |
Correlation between Fibrinogen, CRP and clinicopathological variables of NSCLC patients.
| Variables | Cases (n=856) | Fibrinogen (3.7g/L) | Patients, n (%) | CRP (8.6g/L) | Patients, n (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean±SD | Low (<3.7g/L) | High (≧3.7g/L) | Mean±SD | Low (<8.6mg/L) | High (≧8.6mg/L) | ||||||
| Age (years) | 0.155 | 0.243 | 0.968 | 0.926 | |||||||
| <=61 | 119 | 3.61±1.38 | 73 (61.3%) | 46 (38.7%) | 14.47±28.35 | 64 (53.8%) | 55 (46.2%) | ||||
| >61 | 737 | 3.80±1.34 | 410 (55.6%) | 327 (44.4%) | 14.37±24.41 | 393 (53.3%) | 344 (46.7%) | ||||
| Gender | |||||||||||
| male | 612 | 3.91±1.41 | <0.001* | 314 (51.3%) | 298 (48.7%) | <0.001* | 16.97±26.85 | <0.001* | 280 (45.8%) | 332 (54.2%) | <0.001* |
| Famale | 244 | 3.41±1.08 | 169 (69.3%) | 75 (30.7%) | 7.90±17.96 | 177 (72.5%) | 67 (27.5%) | ||||
| Smoking history | |||||||||||
| no | 349 | 3.46±1.15 | <0.001* | 228 (65.3%) | 121 (34.7%) | <0.001* | 9.06±18.81 | <0.001* | 235 (67.3%) | 114 (32.7%) | <0.001* |
| yes | 507 | 3.98±1.42 | 255 (50.3%) | 252 (49.7%) | 18.05±27.88 | 222 (43.8%) | 285 (56.2%) | ||||
| Differentiation | |||||||||||
| G1 | 41 | 3.59±1.39 | 0.388 | 25 (61.0%) | 16 (39.0%) | 0.547 | 13.77±26.87 | 0.872 | 25 (61.0%) | 16 (39.0%) | 0.318 |
| G2/G3 | 815 | 3.78±1.34 | 458 (56.2%) | 357 (43.6%) | 14.41±24.89 | 432 (53.0%) | 383 (47.0%) | ||||
| Tumor status (T) | |||||||||||
| T1/T2 | 633 | 3.57±1.24 | <0.001* | 402 (63.5%) | 231 (36.5%) | <0.001* | 10.35±19.96 | <0.001* | 389 (61.5%) | 244 (38.5%) | <0.001* |
| T3/T4 | 223 | 4.33±1.46 | 81 (36.3%) | 142 (63.7%) | 25.83±33.00 | 68 (30.5%) | 155 (69.5%) | ||||
| Lymph node metastasis | |||||||||||
| No | 389 | 3.62±1.32 | 0.003* | 241 (62.0%) | 148 (38.0%) | 0.003* | 11.10±20.82 | <0.001* | 238 (61.2%) | 151 (38.8%) | <0.001* |
| Yes | 467 | 3.89±1.36 | 242 (51.8%) | 225 (48.2%) | 17.11±27.70 | 219 (46.9%) | 248 (53.1%) | ||||
| Distant metastases | |||||||||||
| M0 | 712 | 3.71±1.33 | 0.005* | 418 (58.7%) | 294 (41.3%) | 0.003* | 13.73±24.99 | 0.091 | 392 (55.1%) | 320 (44.9%) | 0.03* |
| M1 | 144 | 4.06±1.40 | 65 (45.1%) | 79 (54.9%) | 17.59±24.72 | 65 (45.1%) | 79 (54.9%) | ||||
| Clinical stage | |||||||||||
| I/II | 421 | 3.55±1.30 | <0.001* | 278(66.0%) | 143(34.0%) | <0.001* | 11.14±22.04 | <0.001* | 264(62.7%) | 157(37.3%) | <0.001* |
| III/IV | 435 | 3.98±1.35 | 205(47.1%) | 230(52.9%) | 17.52±27.17 | 193(44.4%) | 242(55.6%) | ||||
| Chemotherapy | |||||||||||
| No | 566 | 3.72±1.34 | 0.141 | 326(57.6%) | 240(42.4%) | 0.334 | 13.61±24.41 | 0.207 | 306(54.1%) | 260(45.9%) | 0.580 |
| Yes | 290 | 3.86±1.36 | 157(54.1%) | 133(45.9%) | 15.89±26.01 | 151(52.1%) | 139(47.9%) | ||||
| Radiotherapy | |||||||||||
| No | 842 | 3.78±1.35 | 0.059 | 473(56.2%) | 369(43.8%) | 0.290 | 14.46±25.13 | 0.466 | 451(53.6%) | 391(46.4%) | 0.426 |
| Yes | 14 | 3.09±0.97 | 10(71.4%) | 4(28.6%) | 9.55±12.07 | 6(42.9%) | 8(57.1%) | ||||
| Overall survial | |||||||||||
| Alive | 238 | 3.37±1.24 | <0.001* | 177(74.4%) | 61(25.6%) | <0.001* | 7.98±17.17 | <0.001* | 171(71.8%) | 67(28.2%) | <0.001* |
| Death | 618 | 3.92±1.35 | 306(49.5%) | 312(50.5%) | 16.85±27.00 | 286(46.3%) | 332(53.7%) | ||||
Note: a Using t test, * p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. b Using Chi-squared test, * p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Figure 1X-title analyses of 5-year OS was performed using patients' data to determine the optimal cut-off value for CRP (A, B, C) and fibrinogen (D, E, F).
Figure 2The 5-year OS rate was 15.78% of 856 NSCLC patients(A); Survival curves for overall survival (OS) according to CRP (B), fibrinogen (C), and their combined (D) expression status.
Fibrinogen and CRP in patients with non-small cell lung cancer by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (log-rank test).
| Variable | Case | OS (months) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Median | |||
| Total | 856 | |||
| Fibrinogen | <0.001* | |||
| Low levela | 483 | 44.752 | 37.233 | |
| High levela | 373 | 26.623 | 16.3 | |
| CRP | ||||
| Low levela | 457 | 45.235 | 38.7 | <0.001* |
| High levela | 399 | 27.178 | 16.433 | |
| Combination | ||||
| both low | 401 | 46.874 | 40.867 | <0.001* |
| either high | 138 | 32.807 | 21.133 | |
| both high | 317 | 25.537 | 15.067 | |
* p < 0.05, statistically significant.
Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses for Overall Survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.
| Variables | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | (95%CI) | HR | (95%CI) | ||||
| Age (years), (≤61 vs >61) | 0.969 (0.772-1.215) | 0.772-1.215 | 0.783 | ||||
| Gender (female vs male) | 0.768 (0.641-0.919) | 0.641-0.919 | 0.877 (0.728-1.057) | 0.728-1.057 | 0.169 | ||
| Smoking history (no vs yes) | 1.129 (0.961-1.327) | 0.961-1.327 | 0.140 | ||||
| Differentiation | |||||||
| G1 | reference | reference | reference | reference | reference | reference | |
| G2/G3 | 1.663 (1.096-2.523) | 1.096-2.523 | 1.265 (0.831-1.927) | 0.831-1.927 | 0.273 | ||
| Tumor status (T) | |||||||
| T1/T2 | reference | reference | reference | reference | reference | reference | |
| T3/T4 | 2.34 (1.972-2.777) | 1.972-2.777 | 1.281 (1.063-1.542) | 1.063-1.542 | |||
| Nodal status (N>0/N0) | 3.154 (2.651-3.751) | 2.651-3.751 | 1.721 (1.369-2.162) | 1.369-2.162 | |||
| Distant metastases (M0/M1) | 2.606 (2.145-3.165) | 2.145-3.165 | 1.495 (1.214-1.841) | 1.214-1.841 | |||
| Clinical stage | |||||||
| I/II | reference | reference | reference | reference | reference | reference | |
| III/IV | 3.817 (3.213-4.535) | 3.213-4.535 | 2.009 (1.562-2.583) | 1.562-2.583 | |||
| Fibrinogen (High/Low) | 2.064 (1.761-2.420) | 1.761-2.420 | 1.399 (1.122-1.744) | 1.122-1.744 | |||
| CRP (High/Low) | 2.047 (1.746-2.401) | 1.746-2.401 | 1.304 (1.040-1.636) | 1.040-1.636 | |||
* p < 0.05, statistically significant. CI = confidence interval; HR = hazard ratio.
Figure 3Nomogram convey the results of prognostic models using CRP, fibrinogen and TNM characteristics predict OS (A). Calibration curve for predicting 5-year OS rate in the nomogram (B), the C-index for OS were 0.720. Nomogram convey the results of prognostic models using TNM system staging (C). Calibration curve for predicting 5-year OS rate in the nomogram (D), the C-index for OS were 0.689. The x-axis is nomogram-predicted probility of survival and y-axis is actual survival. The reference line is 45 degree and indicates perfect calibration.
Point Assignment and Prognostic Score of the nomogram based CRP and fibrinogen.
| Variable and Prognostic Score | Score | Estimated 5-Year Overall Survival (%) |
|---|---|---|
| T group Points | ||
| T3-T4 | 0 | |
| T1-T2 | 61 | |
| Differentiation Points | ||
| G2/G3 | 0 | |
| G1 | 49 | |
| LNM Points | ||
| Positive | 0 | |
| Negative | 89 | |
| Stage group Points | ||
| III-IV | 0 | |
| I-II | 100 | |
| Metastasis Points | ||
| Positive | 0 | |
| Negative | 66 | |
| Fibrinogen group Points | ||
| High | 0 | |
| Low | 56 | |
| CRP group Points | ||
| High | 0 | |
| Low | 64 | |
| Total prognostic Score | ||
| 0-158 | 10 | |
| 158-258 | 20 | |
| 258-352 | 38 | |
| ≥352 | 40 |
Figure 4Risk group stratification within each TNM stage in the NSCLC patients. Kaplan-Meier curves of OS according to the score predicted OS shown in the nomograms.