Literature DB >> 28270610

Eliciting probabilistic expectations: Collaborations between psychologists and economists.

Wändi Bruine de Bruin1,2, Baruch Fischhoff2,3.   

Abstract

We describe two collaborations in which psychologists and economists provided essential support on foundational projects in major research programs. One project involved eliciting adolescents' expectations regarding significant future life events affecting their psychological and economic development. The second project involved eliciting consumers' expectations regarding inflation, a potentially vital input to their investment, saving, and purchasing decisions. In each project, we sought questions with the precision needed for economic modeling and the simplicity needed for lay respondents. We identify four conditions that, we believe, promoted our ability to sustain these transdisciplinary collaborations and coproduce the research: (i) having a shared research goal, which neither discipline could achieve on its own; (ii) finding common ground in shared methodology, which met each discipline's essential evidentiary conditions, but without insisting on its culturally acquired tastes; (iii) sharing the effort throughout, with common language and sense of ownership; and (iv) gaining mutual benefit from both the research process and its products.

Keywords:  adolescents; expectations; inflation; interdisciplinary research; subjective probabilities

Mesh:

Year:  2017        PMID: 28270610      PMCID: PMC5380093          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1615461114

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  28 in total

1.  Teen expectations for significant life events.

Authors:  B Fischhoff; A M Parker; J Downs; C Palmgren; R Dawes; C F Manski
Journal:  Public Opin Q       Date:  2000

2.  The trouble with overconfidence.

Authors:  Don A Moore; Paul J Healy
Journal:  Psychol Rev       Date:  2008-04       Impact factor: 8.934

3.  Informed public choices for low-carbon electricity portfolios using a computer decision tool.

Authors:  Lauren A Fleishman Mayer; Wändi Bruine de Bruin; M Granger Morgan
Journal:  Environ Sci Technol       Date:  2014-03-11       Impact factor: 9.028

4.  Challenges in researching terrorism from the field.

Authors:  Scott Atran; Robert Axelrod; Richard Davis; Baruch Fischhoff
Journal:  Science       Date:  2017-01-27       Impact factor: 47.728

5.  Rounding Probabilistic Expectations in Surveys.

Authors:  Charles F Manski; Francesca Molinari
Journal:  J Bus Econ Stat       Date:  2010-04-01       Impact factor: 6.565

6.  Subjective Probabilities in Household Surveys.

Authors:  Michael D Hurd
Journal:  Annu Rev Econom       Date:  2009-06-01

7.  A new scale for assessing perceptions of chance: a validation study.

Authors:  S Woloshin; L M Schwartz; S Byram; B Fischhoff; H G Welch
Journal:  Med Decis Making       Date:  2000 Jul-Sep       Impact factor: 2.583

8.  Adolescents' perceived risk of dying.

Authors:  Baruch Fischhoff; Wändi Bruine de Bruin; Andrew M Parker; Susan G Millstein; Bonnie L Halpern-Felsher
Journal:  J Adolesc Health       Date:  2009-08-28       Impact factor: 5.012

9.  Interactive video behavioral intervention to reduce adolescent females' STD risk: a randomized controlled trial.

Authors:  Julie S Downs; Pamela J Murray; Wändi Bruine de Bruin; Joyce Penrose; Claire Palmgren; Baruch Fischhoff
Journal:  Soc Sci Med       Date:  2004-10       Impact factor: 4.634

10.  INAPPROPRIATE CONFIDENCE AND RETIREMENT PLANNING: FOUR STUDIES WITH A NATIONAL SAMPLE.

Authors:  Andrew M Parker; Wändi Bruine de Bruin; Joanne Yoong; Robert Willis
Journal:  J Behav Decis Mak       Date:  2011-06-15
View more
  2 in total

1.  Collaboration, conflict, and disconnect between psychologists and economists.

Authors:  Charles F Manski
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-03-20       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Reflections on an interdisciplinary collaboration to inform public understanding of climate change, mitigation, and impacts.

Authors:  Wändi Bruine de Bruin; M Granger Morgan
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2019-01-14       Impact factor: 11.205

  2 in total

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.