David J Tate1, Lobke Desomer2, Amir Klein2, Gregor Brown3, Luke F Hourigan4, Eric Y T Lee2, Alan Moss5, Donald Ormonde6, Spiro Raftopoulos6, Rajvinder Singh7, Stephen J Williams2, Simon Zanati8, Karen Byth9, Michael J Bourke1. 1. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Westmead Clinical School, The University of Sydney Medical School, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. 2. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. 3. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Epworth Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. 4. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Greenslopes Private Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia; Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. 5. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Western Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Department of Medicine, Melbourne Medical School, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. 6. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Western Australia, Australia. 7. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Lyell McEwan Hospital, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia. 8. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The Western Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. 9. Research and Education Network, Westmead Hospital and The University of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: EMR is the primary treatment of large laterally spreading lesions (LSLs) in the colon. Residual or recurrent adenoma (RRA) is a major limitation. We aimed to identify a robust method to stratify the risk of RRA. METHODS: Prospective multicenter data on consecutive LSLs ≥20 mm removed by piecemeal EMR from 8 Australian tertiary-care centers were included (September 2008 until May 2016). A logistic regression model for endoscopically determined recurrence (EDR) was created on a randomly selected half of the cohort to yield the Sydney EMR recurrence tool (SERT), a 4-point score to stratify the incidence of RRA based on characteristics of the index EMR. SERT was validated on the remainder of the cohort. RESULTS: Analysis was performed on 1178 lesions that underwent first surveillance colonoscopy (SC1) (median 4.9 months, interquartile range [IQR] 4.9-6.2). EDR was detected in 228 of 1178 (19.4%) patients. LSL size ≥40 mm (odds ratio [OR] 2.47; P < .001), bleeding during the procedure (OR 1.78; P = .024), and high-grade dysplasia (OR 1.72; P = .029) were identified as independent predictors of EDR and allocated scores of 2, 1, and 1, respectively to create SERT. Lesions with SERT scores of 0 (SERT = 0) had a negative predictive value of 91.3% for RRA at SC1, and SERT was shown to stratify RRA to specific follow-up intervals by using Kaplan Meier curves (log-rank P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Guidelines recommend SC1 within 6 months of EMR. SERT accurately stratifies the incidence of RRA after EMR. SERT = 0 lesions could safely undergo first surveillance at 18 months, whereas lesions with SERT scores between 1 and 4 (SERT 1-4) require surveillance at 6 and 18 months. (Clinical trial registration number: NCT01368289.).
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: EMR is the primary treatment of large laterally spreading lesions (LSLs) in the colon. Residual or recurrent adenoma (RRA) is a major limitation. We aimed to identify a robust method to stratify the risk of RRA. METHODS: Prospective multicenter data on consecutive LSLs ≥20 mm removed by piecemeal EMR from 8 Australian tertiary-care centers were included (September 2008 until May 2016). A logistic regression model for endoscopically determined recurrence (EDR) was created on a randomly selected half of the cohort to yield the Sydney EMR recurrence tool (SERT), a 4-point score to stratify the incidence of RRA based on characteristics of the index EMR. SERT was validated on the remainder of the cohort. RESULTS: Analysis was performed on 1178 lesions that underwent first surveillance colonoscopy (SC1) (median 4.9 months, interquartile range [IQR] 4.9-6.2). EDR was detected in 228 of 1178 (19.4%) patients. LSL size ≥40 mm (odds ratio [OR] 2.47; P < .001), bleeding during the procedure (OR 1.78; P = .024), and high-grade dysplasia (OR 1.72; P = .029) were identified as independent predictors of EDR and allocated scores of 2, 1, and 1, respectively to create SERT. Lesions with SERT scores of 0 (SERT = 0) had a negative predictive value of 91.3% for RRA at SC1, and SERT was shown to stratify RRA to specific follow-up intervals by using Kaplan Meier curves (log-rank P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Guidelines recommend SC1 within 6 months of EMR. SERT accurately stratifies the incidence of RRA after EMR. SERT = 0 lesions could safely undergo first surveillance at 18 months, whereas lesions with SERT scores between 1 and 4 (SERT 1-4) require surveillance at 6 and 18 months. (Clinical trial registration number: NCT01368289.).
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