| Literature DB >> 27162544 |
Xu Wang1, Kewei Ma2, Lumei Chi3, Jiuwei Cui2, Lina Jin4, Ji-Fan Hu1, Wei Li2.
Abstract
Genetic variants from a considerable number of susceptibility loci have been identified in association with cancer risk, but their interaction with epidemiologic factors in lung cancer remains to be defined. We sought to establish a forecasting model for identifying individuals with high-risk of lung cancer by combing gene single-nucleotide polymorphisms with epidemiologic factors. Genotyping and clinical data from 500 lung cancer cases and 500 controls were used for developing the logistic regression model. We found that lung cancer was associated with telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) rs2736100 single-nucleotide polymorphism. The TERT rs2736100 model was still significantly associated with lung cancer risk when combined with environmental and lifestyle factors, including lower education, lower BMI, COPD history, heavy cigarettes smoking, heavy cooking emission, and dietary factors (over-consumption of meat and deficiency in fish/shrimp, vegetables, dairy products, and soybean products). These data suggest that combining TERT SNP and epidemiologic factors may be a useful approach to discriminate high and low-risk individuals for lung cancer.Entities:
Keywords: Chinese population.; Lung cancer; TERT; WWOX; epidemiologic factors; forecasting model; single nucleotide polymorphism; telomerase
Year: 2016 PMID: 27162544 PMCID: PMC4860802 DOI: 10.7150/jca.13437
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Cancer ISSN: 1837-9664 Impact factor: 4.207
Characteristic in case and healthy control groups and the associated distribution of risk factors.
| Characteristic | Case group (n=500) | Control group (n=500) | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | Male | 305 (61.0%) | 302 (60.4%) | |
| Female | 195 (39.0%) | 198 (39.6%) | 0.85 | |
| Age (years) | <30 | 2 (0.4%) | 5 (1.0%) | |
| 30-39 | 14 (2.8%) | 16 (3.2%) | ||
| 40-49 | 64 (12.8%) | 70 (14.0%) | ||
| 50-59 | 176 (35.2%) | 196 (39.2%) | ||
| 60-69 | 174 (34.8%) | 148 (19.7%) | ||
| ≥70 | 70 (14.0%) | 65 (13.0%) | 0.42 | |
| Education | Junior high school or lower | 318 (63.6%) | 130 (26.0%) | |
| High school | 97 (19.4%) | 144 (28.8%) | ||
| Greater than high school | 85 (17.0%) | 226 (45.2%) | 0.00 | |
| Smoking (pack-years) | 14.25 (0.0-36.0) | 0.00 (0.0-6.9) | 0.00 | |
| Fish and shrimps (g/day) | 4.00 (2.5-17.1) | 14.29 (3.3-28.6) | 0.00 | |
| Vegetable (g/day) | 177.10 (148.3-199.2) | 205.60 (174.8-407.9) | 0.00 | |
| Fruit (g/day) | 60.70 (31.40-101.90) | 99.50 (49.80-201.30) | 0.00 | |
| Meat | Deficient | 296 (59.2%) | 304 (60.8%) | |
| Normal | 108 (21.6%) | 128 (25.6%) | ||
| Over-sufficient | 96 (19.2%) | 68 (13.6%) | 0.04 | |
| Dairy products | Deficient | 499 (99.8%) | 457 (91.4%) | |
| Sufficient | 1 (0.2%) | 43 (8.6%) | 0.00 | |
| Soybean products and nuts | deficient | 327 (65.4%) | 228 (45.6%) | |
| Normal | 93 (18.6%) | 80 (16.0%) | ||
| Over-sufficient | 80 (16.0%) | 192 (38.4%) | 0.00 | |
| Alcohol (times/week) | 0 | 276 (55.2%) | 297 (59.4%) | |
| 1-2 | 104 (20.8%) | 130 (26.0%) | ||
| 3-6 | 31 (6.2%) | 43 (8.6%) | ||
| ≥7 | 89 (17.8%) | 30 (6.0%) | 0.00 | |
| Exposure to pesticide | Absent | 398 (79.6%) | 473 (94.6%) | |
| Present | 102 (20.4%) | 27 (5.4%) | 0.00 | |
| Exposure to gasoline/diesel | Absent | 487 (97.4%) | 496 (99.2%) | |
| Present | 13 (2.6%) | 4 (0.8%) | 0.04 | |
| Cooking emissions (total dish-years) | Absent | 244 (48.8%) | 250 (50.0%) | |
| ≤50 | 149 (29.8%) | 152 (30.4%) | ||
| 51-100 | 61 (12.2%) | 80 (16.0%) | ||
| 101-150 | 46 (9.2%) | 18 (3.6%) | 0.00 | |
| Pneumonia history | Absent | 477 (95.4%) | 490 (98.0%) | |
| Present | 23 (4.6%) | 10 (2.0%) | ||
| COPD history | Absent | 449 (89.8%) | 489 (97.8%) | |
| Present | 51 (10.2%) | 11 (2.2%) | 0.00 | |
| Pulmonary tuberculosis history | Absent | 470 (94.0%) | 486 (97.2%) | |
| Present | 30 (6.0%) | 14 (2.8%) | 0.02 | |
| Bronchial asthma history | Absent | 488 (97.6%) | 495 (99.0%) | |
| Present | 12 (2.4%) | 5 (1.0%) | 0.10 | |
| Cancer family history | Absent | 330 (66.0%) | 397 (79.4%) | |
| Present | 170 (34.0%) | 103 (20.6%) | 0.00 | |
| BMI (kg/m2) | <18.5 | 49 (9.8%) | 15 (3.0%) | |
| 18.5-24 | 302 (60.4%) | 230 (46.0%) | ||
| ≥24 | 149 (29.8%) | 255 (51.0%) | 0.00 | |
| Histology types | Squamous cell | 141(28.2%) | ||
| Adenocarcinomas | 176(35.2%) | |||
| Small cell | 126(25.2%) | |||
| Other carcinomas* | 57(11.4%) | |||
Genotype of SNPs in case and healthy control groups and the association of SNPs with lung cancer risk in univariate analysis.
| SNP(Reference) | Genotype | Case | Control | Crude OR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | % | N | % | ||||
| rs4488809(21,22) | CC | 133 | 26.6 | 140 | 28.0 | ||
| 3q28, | CT | 252 | 50.4 | 258 | 51.6 | ||
| TT | 115 | 23.0 | 102 | 20.4 | |||
| Multiplicative model | C vs T | 0.92(0.77-1.10) | 0.37 | ||||
| rs2736100(22,23) | CC | 112 | 22.4 | 80 | 16.0 | ||
| 5p15.33, | CA | 257 | 51.4 | 242 | 48.4 | ||
| AA | 131 | 26.2 | 178 | 35.6 | |||
| Multiplicative model | C vs A | 1.39 (1.16-1.66) | 0.00 | ||||
| rs753955(22) | GG | 65 | 13.0 | 65 | 13.0 | ||
| 13q12.12, | GA | 214 | 42.8 | 223 | 44.6 | ||
| AA | 221 | 44.2 | 212 | 42.4 | |||
| Multiplicative model | G vs A | 0.96 (0.80-1.15) | 0.68 | ||||
| rs6495309(25) | CC | 160 | 32.0 | 155 | 31.0 | ||
| 15q25,CHRNA3 | CT | 253 | 50.6 | 241 | 48.2 | ||
| TT | 87 | 17.4 | 104 | 20.8 | |||
| Multiplicative model | C vs T | 1.09 (0.92-1.31) | 0.32 | ||||
| rs3764340(24) | GG | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 | ||
| GC | 74 | 14.8 | 91 | 18.2 | |||
| CC | 425 | 85.0 | 406 | 81.2 | |||
| Multiplicative model | G vs C | 0.77 (0.55-1.04) | 0.09 | ||||
| rs17728461(22) | GG | 27 | 5.4 | 21 | 4.2 | ||
| 22q12.2, | GC | 164 | 32.8 | 194 | 38.8 | ||
| CC | 309 | 61.8 | 285 | 57.0 | |||
| Multiplicative model | G vs C | 0.90 (0.73-1.11) | 0.33 | ||||
The optimal regression model with the maximum Cox & Snell R square and Nagelkerke R square.
| Procedure | Risk factors | Cox & Snell R square | Nagelkerke R square | Percentage Correct | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegetable | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.73 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Education | 0.31 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 0.00 |
| 3 | Smoking | 0.35 | 0.46 | 0.77 | 0.00 |
| 4 | Fish and shrimps | 0.36 | 0.48 | 0.77 | 0.00 |
| 5 | Meat | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.78 | 0.00 |
| 6 | BMI | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.78 | 0.00 |
| 7 | COPD | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.78 | 0.00 |
| 8 | rs2736100 | 0.41 | 0.54 | 0.78 | 0.00 |
| 9 | Soybean products and nuts | 0.41 | 0.55 | 0.78 | 0.01 |
| 10 | Dairy products | 0.42 | 0.56 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
| 11 | rs3764340 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 0.79 | 0.01 |
| 12 | Cooking emissions | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0.80 | 0.01 |
The final multivariate logistic regression model with adjusted ORs and 95% CI.
| Risk factors | Exp (B) | 95% CI* | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegetable (g/day) | 0.99 | 0.99-0.99 | 0.00 |
| Education | 0.00 | ||
| Junior high school and lower | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| High school | 0.36 | 0.24-0.55 | 0.00 |
| Greater than high school | 0.29 | 0.19-0.44 | 0.00 |
| Smoking (pack-years) | 1.03 | 1.02-1.04 | 0.00 |
| Fish and shrimps (g/day) | 0.97 | 0.96-0.98 | 0.00 |
| Meat | 0.00 | ||
| Deficient | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| Normal | 1.51 | 0.98-2.32 | 0.06 |
| Over-sufficient | 4.91 | 2.76-8.75 | 0.00 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 0.00 | ||
| <18.5 | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| 18.5-24 | 0.54 | 0.25-1.17 | 0.12 |
| ≥24 | 0.27 | 0.12-0.59 | 0.00 |
| COPD history | |||
| Absent | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| Present | 3.67 | 1.59-8.44 | 0.00 |
| rs2736100 | |||
| C allele | 1.51 | 1.18-1.93 | 0.00 |
| Soybean products and nuts | 0.00 | ||
| Deficient | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| Normal | 0.80 | 0.50-1.28 | 0.36 |
| Over-sufficient | 0.48 | 0.31-0.74 | 0.00 |
| Dairy products | |||
| Deficient | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| Sufficient | 0.10 | 0.01-0.77 | 0.03 |
| rs3764340 | |||
| G allele | 1.70 | 1.11-2.59 | 0.02 |
| Cooking emissions (total dish-years) | 0.05 | ||
| ≤50 | 1.00 | Reference | - |
| 51-100 | 1.74 | 1.16-2.62 | 0.01 |
| 101-150 | 1.07 | 0.64-1.80 | 0.79 |
| >150 | 2.76 | 1.26-6.06 | 0.01 |