| Literature DB >> 27082111 |
Bojing Liu1, Honglei Chen2, Fang Fang1, Annika Tillander1, Karin Wirdefeldt1,3.
Abstract
Parkinson's disease (PD) may take decades to develop and early life exposures such as infection may be important. However, few epidemiological studies have evaluated early life risk factors in relation to PD risk. We therefore examined such associations in a prospective analysis of 3 545 612 individuals born in Sweden between 1932 and 1970 without PD on January 1, 2002. Incident PD cases were identified using the Swedish Patient Register during 2002-2010. Information on sibship size, number of older and younger siblings, multiple births, parental age, birth month and season was obtained from the Swedish Multi-Generation Register. Monthly data on national burden of influenza-like illness during 1932-1970 were obtained from the Swedish Public Health Agency. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression. During the follow-up, 8779 incident PD cases were identified. As expected, older age, male sex, parental occupation as farmers, and family history of PD were associated with higher PD risk. Overall, early life factors, including flu burden in the year of birth, were not associated with PD risk, although we did find a lower PD risk among participants with older siblings than those without (HR = 0.93, 95%CI: 0.89, 0.98). Our study therefore provided little support for important etiological contributions of early life factors to the PD risk late in life. The finding of a lower PD risk among individuals with older siblings will need confirmation and further investigation.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27082111 PMCID: PMC4833308 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0152841
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Study population within the Swedish Multi-generation Register (MGR).
The study population included individuals who were born in Sweden during 1932–1970, with available information on maternal links in the MGR, alive and free of PD, lived in Sweden, and were 40 years or older on January 1, 2002, or turned 40 years during the study period.
Characteristics of the Swedish Population Cohort Born in 1932–1970.
| Study population No. (%) | PD cases No. (%) | Adjusted for attainted age | Adjusted for multi-variables | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |||
| 3 545 612 (100.0) | 8 779 (0.25) | |||||
| Women | 1 746 866 (49.27) | 3 391 (0.19) | ref | ref | ||
| Men | 1 798 746 (50.73) | 5 388 (0.30) | 1.64 | 1.57, 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.58, 1.73 |
| 1932–1941 | 613 998 (17.32) | 5 009 (0.82) | ref | ref | ||
| 1942–1951 | 1 049 644 (29.60) | 2 860 (0.27) | 0.89 | 0.82, 0.96 | 0.92 | 0.84, 1.00 |
| 1952–1961 | 952 357 (26.86) | 735 (0.08) | 0.81 | 0.69, 0.95 | 0.82 | 0.70, 0.97 |
| 1962–1970 | 929 613 (26.22) | 175 (0.02) | 0.95 | 0.70, 1.30 | 0.98 | 0.72, 1.34 |
| Wald test | ||||||
| Farmers | 448 020 (12.64) | 1 618 (0.36) | 1.11 | 1.04, 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.03, 1.17 |
| Blue-collar employees | 1 248 382 (35.21) | 2 700 (0.22) | 1.02 | 0.92, 1.13 | 1.03 | 0.98, 1.09 |
| White collar employees | 1 543 915 (43.54) | 3 165 (0.20) | ref | ref | ||
| Self-employed | 67 707 (1.91) | 167 (0.25) | 1.00 | 0.85, 1.17 | 0.98 | 0.84, 1.15 |
| Unclassifiable | 102 309 (2.89) | 451 (0.44) | 1.02 | 0.92, 1.13 | 1.03 | 0.93, 1.14 |
| Missing | 135 279 (3.82) | 678 (0.50) | ||||
| Wald test | ||||||
| No | 3 278 886 (92.48) | 7 450 (0.23) | ref | ref | ||
| Yes | 135 046 (3.81) | 754 (0.56) | 1.86 | 1.72, 2.02 | 1.88 | 1.74, 2.04 |
| Missing | 131 680 (3.71) | 575 (0.44) | ||||
1. Percentages were calculated by dividing the number of study population in each category by the corresponding number of PD cases.
2. Model included sex, birth year category, parental SES status, and family history of PD.
Birth Characteristics, Parental Age, and PD Risk.
| Study population | PD cases | Adjusted for attainted age | Adjusted for multi-variables | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. (%) | No. (%) | HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |
| 3 545 612 (100.0) | 8 779 (0.25) | |||||
| 1 | 469 008 (13.23) | 1 874 (0.40) | ref | ref | ||
| >1 | 3 076 604 (86.77) | 6 905 (0.22) | 0.99 | 0.94, 1.04 | 0.96 | 0.91, 1.02 |
| # of sibship size | ||||||
| 2 | 1 227 553 (34.62) | 2 717 (0.22) | 0.99 | 0.93, 1.05 | 0.97 | 0.91, 1.04 |
| 3 | 940 925 (26.54) | 1 929 (0.21) | 0.98 | 0.92, 1.05 | 0.96 | 0.90, 1.03 |
| > = 4 | 908 126 (25.61) | 2 259 (0.25) | 0.99 | 0.93, 1.06 | 0.95 | 0.89, 1.02 |
| Wald test | 0.95 | 0.57 | ||||
| 0 | 1 688 407 (47.62) | 5 384 (0.32) | ref | ref | ||
| ≥1 | 1 857 205 (52.38) | 3 395 (0.18) | 0.97 | 0.93, 1.01 | 0.93 | 0.89, 0.98 |
| # of older siblings | ||||||
| 1 | 1 094 487 (30.87) | 2 144 (0.20) | 0.95 | 0.90, 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.87, 0.97 |
| 2 | 463 344 (13.07) | 813 (0.18) | 1.03 | 0.95, 1.11 | 0.98 | 0.90, 1.06 |
| > = 3 | 299 374 (8.44) | 438 (0.15) | 0.97 | 0.88, 1.07 | 0.91 | 0.82, 1.01 |
| Wald test | 0.14 | |||||
| No elder siblings | 1 688 407 (47.62) | 5 384 (0.32) | ref | ref | ||
| <2 | 404 456 (11.41) | 931 (0.23) | 0.94 | 0.88, 1.01 | 0.91 | 0.84, 0.98 |
| 2–6 | 1 133 417 (31.97) | 2 047 (0.18) | 0.98 | 0.93, 1.04 | 0.94 | 0.89, 1.00 |
| >6 | 319 332 (9.01) | 417(0.13) | 0.95 | 0.86, 1.05 | 0.93 | 0.84, 1.04 |
| Wald test | 0.37 | |||||
| 0 | 1 512 610 (42.66) | 3 471 (0.23) | ref | ref | ||
| ≥1 | 2 033 002 (57.34) | 5 308 (0.26) | 1.01 | 0.96, 1.05 | 1.00 | 0.96, 1.05 |
| # of younger sibling | ||||||
| 1 | 1 151 339 (32.47) | 2 685 (0.23) | 1.02 | 0.97, 1.07 | 1.01 | 0.96, 1.07 |
| 2 | 541 666 (15.28) | 1 426 (0.26) | 1.01 | 0.95, 1.08 | 1.02 | 0.95, 1.09 |
| > = 3 | 339 997 (9.59) | 1 198 (0.35) | 0.98 | 0.92, 1.05 | 0.96 | 0.90, 1.03 |
| Wald test | 0.82 | 0.52 | ||||
| No younger siblings | 1 512 610 (42.66) | 3 471 (0.23) | ref | ref | ||
| <2 | 407 997 (11.51) | 1 129 (0.28) | 1.00 | 0.93, 1.07 | 0.99 | 0.92, 1.06 |
| 2–6 | 1 234 920 (34.83) | 3 035 (0.25) | 1.01 | 0.96, 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.95, 1.06 |
| >6 | 390 085 (11.00) | 1 144 (0.29) | 1.01 | 0.94, 1.08 | 1.02 | 0.95, 1.09 |
| Wald test | 0.97 | 0.94 | ||||
| = <20 | 417 882 (11.79) | 749 (0.18) | 1.00 | 0.92–1.09 | 1.01 | 0.93, 1.11 |
| 21–25 | 1 036 476 (29.23) | 2 232 (0.22) | ref | ref | ||
| 26–30 | 998 216 (28.15) | 2 583 (0.26) | 1.06 | 1.00, 1.12 | 1.05 | 0.99, 1.11 |
| 31–35 | 658 844 (18.58) | 1 882 (0.29) | 1.06 | 1.00, 1.13 | 1.04 | 0.97, 1.11 |
| 36–40 | 340 067 (9.59) | 1 042 (0.31) | 1.08 | 1.00, 1.16 | 1.05 | 0.97, 1.14 |
| >40 | 94 127 (2.65) | 291 (0.31) | 0.99 | 0.88, 1.12 | 0.98 | 0.85–1.13 |
| Wald test | 0.17 | 0.55 | ||||
| = <20 | 109 291 (3.08) | 131 (0.12) | 0.89 | 0.75, 1.07 | 0.91 | 0.76, 1.09 |
| 21–25 | 657 842 (18.55) | 1 206 (0.18) | 1.01 | 0.94, 1.08 | 1.02 | 0.95, 1.09 |
| 26–30 | 969 389 (27.34) | 2 193 (0.23) | ref | ref | ||
| 31–35 | 803 072 (22.65) | 2 144 (0.27) | 1.04 | 0.98, 1.11 | 1.03 | 0.97, 1.09 |
| 36–40 | 502 775 (14.18) | 1 404 (0.28) | 1.03 | 0.96, 1.10 | 1.01 | 0.95, 1.09 |
| >40 | 369 333 (10.42) | 1 111 (0.30) | 1.04 | 0.97, 1.12 | 1.03 | 0.95, 1.11 |
| missing | 133 910 (3.78) | 590 (0.44) | ||||
| Wald test | 0.41 | 0.82 | ||||
| No | 3 480 911 (98.18) | 8 627 (0.25) | ref | ref | ||
| Yes | 64 701 (1.82) | 152 (0.23) | 0.95 | 0.81, 1.11 | 0.98 | 0.83, 1.16 |
1 Multi-variable adjusted models included sex, birth year category, parental SES status, and stratified by family PD history.
Birth Month, Season and Influenza-like Illness (ILI) Incidence in the Year of Birth in Relation to PD Risk.
| Study population | PD cases | Adjusted for attainted age | Adjusted for multi-variables | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. (%) | No. (%) | HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | |
| JAN | 283 324 (7.99) | 696 (0.25) | 1.05 | 0.94, 1.17 | 1.05 | 0.94–1.18 |
| FEB | 276 384 (7.80) | 706 (0.26) | 1.11 | 0.99, 1.23 | 1.10 | 0.99–1.23 |
| MAR | 333 430 (9.40) | 868 (0.26) | 1.14 | 1.03, 1.26 | 1.16 | 1.04–1.29 |
| APR | 331 935 (9.36) | 830 (0.25) | 1.12 | 1.01–1.24 | 1.10 | 0.99–1.22 |
| MAY | 328 220 (9.26) | 790 (0.24) | 1.06 | 0.95–1.17 | 1.02 | 0.92–1.14 |
| JUN | 300 593 (8.48) | 722 (0.24) | 1.04 | 0.93–1.15 | 1.03 | 0.92–1.15 |
| JUL | 297 090 (8.38) | 781 (0.26) | 1.14 | 1.03–1.27 | 1.13 | 1.01–1.26 |
| AUG | 285 169 (8.04) | 734 (0.26) | 1.12 | 1.01–1.24 | 1.14 | 1.02–1.27 |
| SEP | 292 421 (8.25) | 665 (0.23) | ref | ref | ||
| OCT | 280 629 (7.91) | 700 (0.25) | 1.13 | 1.01–1.25 | 1.09 | 0.97–1.22 |
| NOV | 262 106 (7.39) | 616 (0.24) | 1.06 | 0.95–1.18 | 1.05 | 0.93–1.18 |
| DEC | 274 311 (7.74) | 671 (0.24) | 1.10 | 0.98–1.22 | 1.07 | 0.96–1.20 |
| Wald test | 0.23 | 0.17 | ||||
| Spring (MAR-MAY) | 993 585 (28.02) | 2 488 (0.25) | 1.04 | 0.98–1.10 | 1.05 | 0.98–1.12 |
| Summer (JUN-AUG) | 882 852 (24.90) | 2 237 (0.25) | 1.04 | 0.98–1.10 | 1.05 | 0.98–1.12 |
| Autumn (SEP-NOV) | 835 156 (23.55) | 1 981 (0.24) | ref | ref | ||
| Winter (DEC-FEB) | 834 019 (23.52) | 2 073 (0.25) | 1.02 | 0.96–1.09 | 1.03 | 0.97–1.10 |
| Wald test | 0.56 | 0.44 | ||||
| Low (< = 500) | 1 555 345 (43.87) | 3 046 (0.20) | ref | ref | ||
| Intermediate (500–1500) | 1 382 236 (38.98) | 4 901 (0.35) | 1.01 | 0.96–1.06 | 0.98 | 0.93–1.03 |
| High (>1500) | 283 580 (8.00) | 117 (0.04) | 1.04 | 0.85–1.27 | 1.07 | 0.87–1.32 |
| missing | 324 442 (9.15) | 715 (0.22) | - | - | ||
| Wald test | 0.92 | 0.56 | ||||
| 1.00 | 1.00–1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00–1.00 | |||
1 Multi-variable adjusted models included sex, birth year category, parental SES status, and stratified by family PD history.
Fig 2Incidence of influenza-like illness (ILI) by year of birth.
National burden of ILI in Sweden from 1932 to 1970, data in 1947–1949 were excluded due to low report rates.