| Literature DB >> 27047906 |
Elke Jeschke1, Alexandra Biermann1, Christian Günster1, Thomas Böhler2, Günther Heller3, Helmut D Hummler4, Christoph Bührer5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Expectant parents of very preterm infants, physicians, and policy makers require estimates for chances of survival and survival without morbidity. Such estimates should derive from a large, reliable, and contemporary data base of easily available items known at birth.Entities:
Keywords: morbidity; mortality; predictive power; preterm infant; risk factor
Year: 2016 PMID: 27047906 PMCID: PMC4801886 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2016.00023
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Pediatr ISSN: 2296-2360 Impact factor: 3.418
Patients’ characteristics stratified by birth weight.
| Total | 250–499 g | 500–749 g | 750–999 g | 1000–1249 g | 1,250–1,499 g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number | 13,147 (100) | 673 (100) | 2,147 (100) | 2,764 (100) | 3,061 (100) | 4,502 (100) |
| Girls | 6,473 (49.2) | 353 (52.5) | 1,090 (50.8) | 1,351 (48.9) | 1,478 (48.3) | 2,201 (48.9) |
| Small for gestational age | 2,502 (19.0) | 216 (32.1) | 387 (18.0) | 434 (15.7) | 566 (18.5) | 899 (20.0) |
| Multiple gestation | 2,456 (18.7) | 94 (14.0) | 328 (15.8) | 498 (18.0) | 556 (18.2) | 980 (21.8) |
| Severe malformations | 53 (0.4) | 3 (0.5) | 7 (0.3) | 6 (0.2) | 14 (0.5) | 23 (0.5) |
| Moderate malformations | 128 (1.0) | 13 (1.9) | 20 (0.9) | 26 (0.9) | 23 (0.8) | 46 (1.0) |
Mortality and major morbidity stratified by birth weight.
| Total | 250–499 g | 500–749 g | 750–999 g | 1,000–1,249 g | 1,250–1,499 g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numbers (percentage) | 13,147 (100) | 673 (100) | 2,147 (100) | 2,764 (100) | 3,061 (100) | 4,502 (100) |
| • Within 30 days of life | 1,230 (9.4) | 394 (58.4) | 477 (22.2) | 195 (7.1) | 88 (2.9) | 76 (1.7) |
| • Within 180 days of life | 1,432 (10.9) | 417 (62.0) | 565 (26.3) | 247 (8.9) | 110 (3.6) | 93 (2.1) |
| • Intraventricular hemorrhage, surgical treatment within first 180 days of life | 296 (2.3) | 13 (1.9) | 78 (3.6) | 106 (3.8) | 59 (1.9) | 40 (0.9) |
| • Necrotizing enterocolitis or intestinal perforation, surgical treatment within first 180 days of life | 474 (3.6) | 43 (6.4) | 199 (9.3) | 142 (5.1) | 57 (1.9) | 33 (0.7) |
| • Retinopathy of prematurity, local treatment (cryo, laser, anti-VEGF injection) within first 180 days of life | 397 (3.0) | 60 (8.9) | 227 (10.6) | 88 (3.2) | 18 (0.6) | 4 (0.1) |
| • Without major morbidity | 10,807 (82.2) | 174 (25.9) | 1,200 (55.9) | 2,257 (81.7) | 2,841 (92.8) | 4,335 (96.3) |
| • With one major morbidity | 782 (5.9) | 64 (9.5) | 322 (15.0) | 222 (8.0) | 100 (3.3) | 74 (1.6) |
| • With more than one major morbidity | 126 (1.0) | 18 (2.7) | 60 (2.8) | 38 (1.4) | 10 (0.3) | 0 (0.0) |
| • Total | 11715 (89.1) | 256 (38.0) | 1582 (73.7) | 2517 (91.1) | 2957 (96.6) | 4409 (97.9) |
Figure 1Kaplan–Meier estimates for survival up to 180 days of life in preterm infants stratified by birth weight.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier estimates for survival up to 180 days of life without major morbidity (surgically treated intraventricular hemorrhage, necrotizing enterocolitis/intestinal perforation, or retinopathy of prematurity) in preterm infants stratified by birth weight.
Figure 3Venn diagram of major neonatal morbidities with surgical intervention (all infants). IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; NEC, necrotizing enterocolitis (including any intestinal perforation); ROP, retinopathy of prematurity.
Figure 4Venn diagram of major neonatal morbidities with surgical intervention (survivors only). IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; NEC, necrotizing enterocolitis (including any intestinal perforation); ROP, retinopathy of prematurity.
Multivariate predictor variables for death or death/survival with major morbidity.
| Variable | OR death | 5–95% CI | OR death or survival with major morbidity | 5–95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <300 | 2026.27 | 265.06–15,489.06 | 578.61 | 131.77–2540.60 |
| 300––399 | 269.96 | 166.15–438.61 | 288.90 | 173.14–482.06 |
| 400–499 | 104.05 | 73.11–148.09 | 105.93 | 77.58–144.65 |
| 500–599 | 42.03 | 30.11–58.66 | 47.25 | 35.85–62.28 |
| 600–699 | 20.15 | 14.51–27.97 | 26.63 | 20.53–34.54 |
| 700–799 | 10.76 | 7.68–15.08 | 12.15 | 9.34–15.79 |
| 800–899 | 5.62 | 3.93–8.06 | 6.95 | 5.30–9.11 |
| 900–999 | 4.02 | 2.82–5.73 | 4.99 | 3.83–6.50 |
| 1,000–1,099 | 3.37 | 2.20–5.17 | 3.19 | 2.29–4.46 |
| 1,100–1,199 | 1.92 | 1.26–2.93 | 2.44 | 1.80–3.31 |
| 1,200–1,299 | 1.39 | 0.90–2.15 | 1.24 | 0.88–1.74 |
| 1,300–1,399 | 1.35 | 0.86–2.11 | 1.08 | 0.75–1.56 |
| 1,400–1,499 | 1 | (Reference) | 1 | (Reference) |
| Male | 1.59 | 1.40–1.82 | 1.65 | 1.48–1.85 |
| Small for gestational age | 0.24 | 0.19–0.29 | 0.23 | 0.19–0.28 |
| Multiple | 1.07 | 0.90–1.27 | 1.08 | 0.94–1.25 |
| Moderate malformation | 1.68 | 1.11–2.55 | 1.55 | 1.05–2.29 |
| Severe malformation | 17.34 | 9.52–31.58 | 11.59 | 6.29–21.37 |
Figure 5Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for survival (upper panel) or survival without major morbidities (lower panel) based on birth weight (model 1, dashed lines) or birth weight, small for gestational age, sex, multiple gestation, severe or moderate malformations (model 2, solid lines).