| Literature DB >> 26792195 |
Kerri R Beckmann1, Alice Bennett2, Graeme P Young3, Stephen R Cole3, Rohit Joshi4, Jacqui Adams5,4, Nimit Singhal6, Christos Karapetis3,7, David Wattchow8, David Roder9.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Inequalities in survival from colorectal cancer (CRC) across socioeconomic groups and by area of residence have been described in various health care settings. Few population-wide datasets which include clinical and treatment information are available in Australia to investigate disparities. This study examines socio-demographic differences in survival for CRC patients in South Australia (SA), using a population-wide database derived via linkage of administrative and surveillance datasets.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 26792195 PMCID: PMC4721049 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-016-1263-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Health Serv Res ISSN: 1472-6963 Impact factor: 2.655
Fig. 1Data sources and linkages used to compile study dataset
Characteristics of the study population (CRC diagnosed among SA residents 50-79 yrs, 2003-2008)
| Factor | Total no. (%) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total | Number (% of total) | 4641 (100) |
| Sex | Female | 1973 (42.5) |
| Male | 2668 (57.5) | |
| Age | 50-59 yrs | 959 (20.7) |
| 60-69 yrs | 1601 (34.5) | |
| 70-79 yrs | 2085 (44.8) | |
| Place of | Inner urban | 3304 (71.2) |
| residence | Outer urban | 459 (10.0) |
| Rural | 621 (13.4) | |
| Remote | 257 (5.5) | |
| Socioeconomic | Lowest quintile | 1120 (24.1) |
| status | Mid-low | 939 (20.2) |
| Mid | 849 (18.3) | |
| Mid-high | 897 (19.3) | |
| Highest quintile | 836 (18.0) | |
| Private Insurance | No | 2082 (44.9) |
| Yes | 2559 (55.1) | |
| Year | 2003 | 789 (17.0) |
| 2004 | 771 (16.6) | |
| 2005 | 722 (15.6) | |
| 2006 | 744 (16.0) | |
| 2007 | 828 (17.8) | |
| 2008 | 787 (17.0) | |
| Stage# | A | 933 (20.4) |
| B | 1438 (30.1) | |
| C | 1345 (28.0) | |
| D | 649 (14.0) | |
|
| 278 (6.0) | |
| Grade | Low | 123 (2.7) |
| Intermediate | 3293 (71.0) | |
| High | 863 (18.6) | |
|
| 362 (7.8) | |
| Comorbidity* | None | 3236 (69.7) |
| Single comorbidity | 819 (17.7) | |
| Severe or multiple | 586 (12.6) | |
| Site | Colon | 3005 (64.7) |
| Rectal or both | 1636 (35.3) |
*Comorbidity assessed using Charlson comorbidity index
#ACPS -Australian clinico-pathological staging
Crude and adjusted odds ratios for factors associated with later stage at diagnosis derived from ordinal logistic regression (unknown stage excluded) N = 4362
| Crude | Adjusted# | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | OR | 95 % CI |
| OR | 95 % CI |
| |
| Site | Colon | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Rectum | 0.82 | 0.73-0.91 | <0.001 | 0.81 | 0.72-0.91 | <0.001 | |
| Age group | 50-59 yrs | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 60-69 yrs | 0.82 | 0.70-0.95 | <0.008 | 0.76 | 0.66-0.89 | <0.001 | |
| 70-79 yrs | 0.88 | 0.77-1.02 | 0.087 | 0.77 | 0.67-0.89 | 0.001 | |
| Sex | Females | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Males | 0.97 | 0.87-1.08 | 0.562 | 0.96 | 0.86-1.07 | 0.436 | |
| SES | Lowest (quintile) | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Low | 0.89 | 0.75-1.06 | 0.208 | 0.90 | 0.75-1.08 | 0.248 | |
| Mid | 0.99 | 0.83-1.18 | 0.909 | 0.96 | 0.79-1.15 | 0.636 | |
| Low-high | 0.93 | 0.78-1.10 | 0.395 | 0.90 | 0.75-1.08 | 0.268 | |
| Highest | 1.08 | 0.91-1.26 | 0.438 | 1.03 | 0.86-1.23 | 0.756 | |
| Residence | Inner urban | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Outer urban | 0.85 | 0.70-1.05 | 0.080 | 0.89 | 0.74-1.07 | 0.248 | |
| Rural | 1.02 | 0.88-1.20 | 0.717 | 0.99 | 0.83-1.16 | 0.812 | |
| Remote | 0.92 | 0.73-1.16 | 0.473 | 0.99 | 0.77-1.26 | 0.912 | |
| Private Insurance | No | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Yes | 0.88 | 0.76-0.94 | 0.002 | 0.84 | 0.75-0.95 | 0.003 | |
| Co-morbidities | None | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| One (not severe) | 1.25 | 1.09-1.44 | 0.002 | 1.25 | 1.09-1.44 | 0.002 | |
| Multiple or severe | 1.48 | 1.25-1.76 | <0.001 | 1.50 | 1.26-1.79 | <0.001 | |
| Diagnosis year | 2003-2008 (cont) | 0.97 | 0.94-1.00 | 0.024 | 0.97 | 0.94-1.00 | 0.027 |
#Ordinal logistic regression model adjusted for all factors simultaneously – excludes missing stage (n = 328)
Ordinal logistic regression is an extension of logistic regression that incorporates the ordinal nature of the dependent variable (in this case stage at diagnosis). It can be used for modelling a dependant variable that has more than two ordered categories. The method is analogous to a series of binary models predicting the following combinations of binary stage groupings (e.g. stage A v stage B + C + D, A + B v C + D and A + B + C v D)
1, 3 and 5 year colorectal cancer cancer-specific survival [%], for South Australian residents aged 50-79 yr, diagnosed 2003-2008 (unadjusted). [N = 8461]
| CRC-survival (%) | 1 yr | 95 % CI | 3 yrs | 95 % CI | 5 yrs | 95 % CI |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 88 | 87 - 89 | 75 | 73 - 76 | 69 | 68 - 71 | ||
| Age group | 50-59 yrs | 91 | 89 - 92 | 75 | 72 - 78 | 68 | 65 - 71 | |
| 60-69 yrs | 90 | 88 - 91 | 76 | 74 - 79 | 70 | 67 - 72 | 0.016 | |
| 70-79 yrs | 85 | 84 - 87 | 71 | 69 - 72 | 66 | 64 - 68 | ||
| Sex | Female | 88 | 86 - 89 | 74 | 72 - 76 | 69 | 66 - 71 | 0.156 |
| Male | 88 | 87 - 89 | 74 | 72 - 75 | 67 | 65 - 69 | ||
| Private Insurance | No | 85 | 83 - 86 | 71 | 69 - 73 | 65 | 62 - 67 | <0.001 |
| Yes | 91 | 89 - 92 | 76 | 75 - 79 | 70 | 68 - 72 | ||
| Residence | Inner urban | 88 | 87 - 89 | 75 | 72 - 76 | 69 | 66 - 69 | |
| Outer urban | 87 | 84 - 90 | 76 | 71 - 80 | 71 | 66 - 75 | 0.219 | |
| Rural | 86 | 83 - 89 | 74 | 69 - 76 | 68 | 64 - 71 | ||
| Remote | 89 | 83 - 92 | 73 | 66 - 79 | 64 | 56 - 70 | ||
| Very remote | 84 | 67 - 92 | 75 | 57 - 86 | 59 | 38 - 76 | ||
| SES (quintiles) | Least advantaged | 86 | 84 - 88 | 70 | 69 - 75 | 64 | 61 - 67 | |
| Mid-low | 87 | 85 - 89 | 74 | 71 - 77 | 68 | 65 - 71 | ||
| Mid | 87 | 85 - 89 | 74 | 72 - 78 | 69 | 66 - 72 | 0.010 | |
| Mid-high | 89 | 87 - 91 | 74 | 72 - 78 | 67 | 64 - 70 | ||
| Most advantaged | 91 | 89 - 93 | 78 | 75 - 81 | 71 | 68 - 74 | ||
| ACP Stage | A | 98 | 97 - 99 | 97 | 95- 98 | 95 | 93 - 96 | |
| B | 97 | 95 - 97 | 89 | 87 - 90 | 84 | 82 - 86 | ||
| C | 91 | 89 - 92 | 72 | 69 - 74 | 62 | 59 - 64 | <0.001 | |
| D | 54 | 50 - 58 | 18 | 15 - 21 | 9 | 7 - 12 | ||
| Unknown | 72 | 66 - 77 | 58 | 51 - 63 | 56 | 49 - 62 | ||
| Grade | Low | 93 | 87 - 97 | 87 | 79 - 92 | 85 | 77 - 90 | |
| Intermediate | 93 | 92 - 94 | 81 | 80 - 82 | 75 | 73 - 76 | <0.001 | |
| High | 77 | 74 - 79 | 55 | 52 - 58 | 49 | 46 - 53 | ||
| Unknown | 66 | 61 - 71 | 47 | 41 - 52 | 43 | 37 - 48 | ||
| Site | Colon | 87 | 86 - 88 | 73 | 72 - 74 | 68 | 66 - 69 | |
| Rectum | 90 | 88 - 91 | 76 | 73 - 78 | 68 | 66 - 70 | 0.747 | |
| Co-morbidity | None | 90 | 89 - 91 | 77 | 75 - 78 | 70 | 69 - 72 | |
| One (not severe) | 87 | 85 - 89 | 73 | 70 - 76 | 68 | 64 - 71 | <0.001 | |
| Multiple / severe | 75 | 71 - 78 | 58 | 54 - 62 | 52 | 48 - 56 | ||
| Surgery† | No | 46 | 41 - 51 | 24 | 20 - 28 | 19 | 16 - 24 | <0.001 |
| Yes | 92 | 91 - 93 | 79 | 77 - 80 | 73 | 71 - 74 | ||
| Radiotherapy† | No | 88 | 87 - 89 | 75 | 74 - 76 | 70 | 68 - 71 | <0.001 |
| Yes | 87 | 84 - 89 | 67 | 63 - 71 | 57 | 53 - 61 | ||
| Chemotherapy† | No | 88 | 87 - 89 | 81 | 79 - 82 | 77 | 75- 79 | <0.001 |
| Yes | 88 | 86 - 89 | 62 | 59 - 64 | 52 | 50 - 55 |
#Kaplan-meier log rank test
†Treatments received within 12 months of diagnosis
Mean follow-up time to death or censoring of 40 months (sd = 24 months), median 36 months (inter-quartile range 21-59 months
Multivariate competing risks regression analysis for risk of CRC death, all CRC patients
| CRC death/ no. at risk | All CRC (n = 4365) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95 % CI |
| |||
| Site | Colon | 923/2847 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Rectum | 487/1518 | 0.85 | 0.74-0.98 | 0.022 | |
| Stage dukes | A | 55/933 | 1.00 | - | - |
| B | 250/1438 | 2.97 | 2.21-3.99 | 0.000 | |
| C | 520/1345 | 7.74 | 5.75-10.4 | 0.000 | |
| D | 585/649 | 34.1 | 25.0-46.5 | 0.000 | |
| Grade | Low | 10/114 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Intermediate | 826/3137 | 1.22 | 0.72-2.07 | 0.453 | |
| High | 405/825 | 2.25 | 1.32-3.84 | 0.003 | |
| Unknown | 159/289 | 2.09 | 1.20-3.64 | 0.010 | |
| Age group | 50-59 | 298/901 | 1.00 | - | - |
| 60-69 | 467/1552 | 1.04 | 0.89-1.21 | 0.600 | |
| 70-79 | 645/1942 | 1.12 | 0.96-1.29 | 0.146 | |
| Sex | Female | 585/1867 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Male | 825/2498 | 1.07 | 0.95-1.20 | 0.243 | |
| Private Insurance | No | 686/1985 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 724/2380 | 0.95 | 0.84-1.06 | 0.335 | |
| Comorbidity | None | 941/3068 | 1.00 | - | - |
| One (not severe) | 248/779 | 0.90 | 0.78-1.05 | 0.194 | |
| Multiple / severe | 221/518 | 1.21 | 1.02-1.44 | 0.033 | |
| SES quintile | Low | 382/1072 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Low-mid | 280/878 | 0.94 | 0.80-1.11 | 0.443 | |
| Middle | 246/791 | 0.93 | 0.78-1.10 | 0.379 | |
| Mid-high | 276/843 | 1.06 | 0.90-1.25 | 0.508 | |
| High | 226/781 | 0.75 | 0.62-0.91 | 0.004 | |
| Residence | Urban | 1007/3102 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Outer urban | 122/429 | 0.95 | 0.79-1.16 | 0.638 | |
| Rural | 47/188 | 0.98 | 0.82-1.17 | 0.830 | |
| Remote | 93/242 | 1.12 | 0.90-1.39 | 0.324 | |
| Surgerya | No | 230/295 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 1180/4070 | 0.51 | 0.42-0.62 | 0.000 | |
| Radiotherapya | No | 1141/3757 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 36/269 | 1.41 | 1.18-1.68 | 0.000 | |
| Chemotherapya | No | 632/2745 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 778/1620 | 0.87 | 0.76-1.00 | 0.047 | |
| Diagnosis year | (continuous) | 1410/4365 | 0.95 | 0.92-0.98 | 0.002 |
CRC patients age 50-79 years diagnosed in South Australia 2003–3008
Analysis with multiply imputed stage and grade, where missing, revealed similar results (i.e. identical patterns with regard to significant associations and approximately equivalent point estimates for all HRs)
aTreatments received within 12 months of diagnosis
Multivariate competing risks regression analysis for risk of death from CRC, for stages A-C
| Covariates | No. CRC deaths/total | Stages A-C ( | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95 % CI | p-value | |||
| Site | Colon | 523/2409 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Rectum | 302/1307 | 0.94 | 0.78-1.14 | 0.538 | |
| Stage dukes | A | 55/933 | 1.00 | - | - |
| B | 250/1438 | 2.93 | 2.18-3.94 | 0.000 | |
| C | 520/1345 | 6.72 | 4.92-9.17 | 0.000 | |
| Grade | Low | 12/104 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Intermediate | 512/2779 | 1.09 | 0.61-1.95 | 0.779 | |
| High | 262/670 | 2.13 | 1.18-3.87 | 0.013 | |
| Unknown | 39/163 | 1.59 | 0.82-3.07 | 0.172 | |
| Age group | 50-59 | 172/758 | 1.00 | - | - |
| 60-69 | 282/1317 | 1.08 | 0.89-1.31 | 0.433 | |
| 70-79 | 371/1641 | 1.12 | 0.93-1.36 | 0.240 | |
| Sex | Female | 348/1604 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Male | 477/2112 | 1.09 | 0.94-1.26 | 0.243 | |
| Private Insurance | No | 352/1625 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 473/2091 | 1.07 | 0.92-1.24 | 0.378 | |
| Comorbidity | None | 580/2672 | 1.00 | - | - |
| One (not severe) | 142/653 | 0.94 | 0.77-1.13 | 0.504 | |
| Multiple / severe | 103/391 | 1.29 | 1.02-1.62 | 0.032 | |
| SES quintile | Low | 216/890 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Low-mid | 164/749 | 0.98 | 0.79-1.20 | 0.819 | |
| Middle | 142/678 | 0.80 | 0.63-1.00 | 0.048 | |
| Mid-high | 169/730 | 1.00 | 0.80-1.24 | 0.967 | |
| High | 134/669 | 0.80 | 0.63-1.01 | 0.057 | |
| Residence | Urban | 578/2624 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Outer urban | 74/374 | 0.96 | 0.74-1.23 | 0.724 | |
| Rural | 117/515 | 0.94 | 0.75-1.17 | 0.561 | |
| Remote | 56/203 | 1.35 | 1.01-1.80 | 0.040 | |
| Surgerya | No | 41/96 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 784/3620 | 0.38 | 0.26-0.56 | 0.000 | |
| Radiotherapya | No | 656/3217 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 169/499 | 1.48 | 1.16-1.88 | 0.002 | |
| Chemotherapya | No | 399/2487 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 426/1229 | 1.11 | 0.92-1.35 | 0.284 | |
| Diagnosis year | (continuous) | 825/3716 | 0.93 | 0.90-0.97 | 0.002 |
CRC patients age 50-79 years diagnosed in South Australia 2003–2008
Analysis with multiply imputed stage and grade, where missing, revealed similar results (i.e. identical patterns with regard to significant associations and approximately equivalent point estimates for all HRs)
aTreatments received within 12 months of diagnosis
Multivariate competing risks regression analysis for risk of death from CRC, for stage D CRC
| Covariates | No. CRC deaths/total | Stage D (n = 649) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95 % CI | p-value | |||
| Site | Colon | 400/438 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Rectum | 185/211 | 0.71 | 0.58-0.87 | 0.001 | |
| Stage dukes | A | - | - | - | |
| B | - | - | - | ||
| C | - | - | - | ||
| Grade | Low | 8/10 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Intermediate | 314/358 | 1.25 | 0.53-2.94 | 0.605 | |
| High | 143/155 | 2.04 | 0.86-4.83 | 0.105 | |
| Unknown | 120/126 | 2.26 | 0.94-5.42 | 0.067 | |
| Age group | 50-59 | 126/143 | 1.00 | - | - |
| 60-69 | 185/205 | 1.15 | 0.90-1.47 | 0.254 | |
| 70-79 | 274/301 | 1.15 | 0.90-1.46 | 0.261 | |
| Sex | Female | 237/263 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Male | 348/386 | 1.11 | 0.92-1.33 | 0.295 | |
| Private Insurance | No | 334/360 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 251/289 | 0.80 | 0.67-0.96 | 0.016 | |
| Comorbidity | None | 361/396 | 1.00 | - | - |
| One (not severe) | 106/126 | 0.87 | 0.68-1.11 | 0.259 | |
| Multiple / severe | 118/127 | 1.13 | 0.87-1.45 | 0.364 | |
| SES quintile | Low | 166/182 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Low-mid | 116/129 | 0.85 | 0.65-1.11 | 0.231 | |
| Middle | 104/113 | 1.07 | 0.81-1.41 | 0.622 | |
| Mid-high | 107/113 | 1.15 | 0.90-1.48 | 0.259 | |
| High | 92/112 | 0.65 | 0.47-0.89 | 0.007 | |
| Residence | Urban | 429/478 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Outer urban | 48/55 | 1.00 | 0.74-1.34 | 0.975 | |
| Rural | 71/77 | 1.05 | 0.79-1.41 | 0.724 | |
| Remote | 37/39 | 0.91 | 0.67-1.23 | 0.553 | |
| Surgerya | No | 189/199 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 396/450 | 0.58 | 0.46-0.72 | 0.000 | |
| Radiotherapya | No | 485/540 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 100/109 | 1.25 | 0.98-1.58 | 0.068 | |
| Chemotherapya | No | 233/258 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Yes | 352/391 | 0.62 | 0.51-1.04 | 0.000 | |
| Diagnosis year | (continuous) | 585/649 | 0.99 | 0.94-1.04 | 0.619 |
Fig. 2Cumulative CRC mortality by a SES quintiles (for all cases 3 middle quintiles collapsed) and b remoteness of residence (cases with stages A-C at diagnosis) Fig. 2a and b represent cumulative incidence plots for CRC mortality by based on competing risk regression, for CRC cases diagnosed 2003-2008 among South Australians aged 50-79 yrs. Covariates include age, tumour site, stage, grade, co-morbidity, health insurance status, treatments received in first 12 months, and diagnosis year, categorised as described in methods. SES quintiles low-mid, mid, mid-high were collapsed into one category